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Jim Cramer

Jim Cramer

@jimcramer

X 上 约 210 万Mad Money 自 2005 年CNBC Investing Club

美国电视上嗓门最大的选股人——在加密领域,则是被反向操作最多的那个声音。克莱默不是加密交易者;他是 CNBC 的主持人,会对着镜头说出自己对比特币的看法,并且带着日期。正因如此,他的战绩可以被核查;也正因如此,“Inverse Cramer”本身成了一种交易。

本名 James Joseph Cramer专注 美股 · 宏观事业 Mad Money · CNBC Investing Club · TheStreet(联合创始人)所在地 美国
6追踪的喊单1已验证2仍在进行3与观点相反See the record →

简而言之。 Jim Cramer is a former Goldman Sachs salesman and hedge fund manager who has hosted CNBC's Mad Money since 2005 and runs the CNBC Investing Club. Crypto is a sideline for him, not a specialty — but he talks about it constantly, on the record, so it can be scored. In the last seven months he has gone from “I own Bitcoin and I do think it's a good buy” (May) to calling Bitcoin “bad money” (June) to “I'm going to sell mine” over quantum computing (July) to “Just go buy Bitcoin” (August) — and on 1 October, “if you like Bitcoin I got an idea, buy Bitcoin”. Charted against real price, the bearish turns are where he has been most wrong: the three negative calls have since gone +36%, +29% and +31% in the direction he warned against, while his one clean buy call is +21% in his favour. He is a reach-driven contrarian indicator, not a source of levels — and this page treats him as exactly that.

背景——高盛、一只对冲基金,以及二十年电视生涯

克莱默的职业生涯并不是加密职业生涯。他在哈佛读政治学,1984 年在同校取得法学学位,进入高盛做销售与交易,并于 1987 年创立自己的对冲基金——Cramer & Co.,后更名为 Cramer Berkowitz——一直经营到 2001 年退出。他宣称在那里取得14 年年均 24% 的回报;独立研究者对这个数字提出过质疑,也没有公开的审计记录。1996 年他与 Martin Peretz 共同创办 TheStreet,2005 年起在 CNBC 主持 Mad Money,同时主理付费的 CNBC Investing Club 及其 Charitable Trust 组合。

在加密圈,他最出名的身份是被反向操作的对象。他有据可查的历史是一连串反转:2021 年 4 月他在 CNBC 上说,自己在约 6 万美元附近卖掉部分比特币来还清房贷;2022 年 12 月 6 日,比特币在 16,796 美元附近时,他说自己已清空全部加密资产,称其为“a gigantic con”,并说“in a million years”都不会再碰——此后三年比特币上涨超过 400%。这个模式流行到 Tuttle Capital 专门推出了 Inverse Cramer Tracker ETF(SJIM);该基金于 2024 年 2 月清盘,并没有跑赢他。这些事件都在本页可作图的七个月价格窗口之外,但它们属于他的记录,所以在此说明,而不是悄悄略过。

Sources: cnbc.com · x.com/jimcramer · dated third-party coverage (linked on every call)

交易风格 & 哲学

叙事优先、语气笃定、从不给价位。克莱默的工作方式是公司基本面、对管理层的接触(他每晚采访 CEO),加上一条持续运行的宏观故事线——美联储、利率、AI 资本开支周期、债务。对加密,他几乎从不给出价格目标、关键价位或失效条件;他给的是一种立场,以十足的把握说出,又在故事改变时毫无仪式地修正。他 2026 年 7 月退出比特币,起因只是一次关于量子计算的 CEO 访谈——三周后又在节目中推翻。对读者而言,全部教训就在这里:表达上的笃定并不说明背后有多少把握,而仓位、时间框架与止损从不被提及,因为它们根本不存在。

工具包 · 在我们分析过的公开判断中,每项工具出现的频率
宏观 / 美联储叙事9/10
CEO 访谈与管理层接触9/10
股票基本面与筛选7/10
盘口解读 / 动量6/10
加密原生分析(链上、周期)1/10
市场立场
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

这不是中立,而是真正的不稳定。5 月是买家,6 月轻蔑,7 月宣布卖出,8 月又是买家——全部发生在四个月内。我们把指针放在中间,是因为这是一个不断翻转的立场的诚实平均值,而不是因为他在观望。

采用此风格交易Contrarian Challenge —— 在相信反向操作之前先测试它免费加入 →

战绩记录——他们的判断,画在图上

Six dated statements from the last seven months, every one of them pulled back verbatim from its own source page before it was charted. Two come from CNBC's own write-ups and his own X account — first-party. Cramer does not trade crypto publicly, does not post levels and does not run a portfolio you can follow, so these are stances, scored on what price actually did next. The result is lopsided and we are not going to dress it up: 1 played out, 2 open, 3 went against him — and all three misses are moments he turned negative. Note also what is not here: no outlet has ever verified that he actually sold any Bitcoin, so this page says he said he would.

6
追踪的喊单
1
已验证
2
仍在进行
3
与观点相反
每条判断都从说出当天画到今天 · white = 发言当时 · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. 我们的评分方式 →
1 Oct 2026BTC
“Buy Bitcoin” over MSTR

“Now, look, if you like Bitcoin I got an idea, buy Bitcoin.”

$82.4k$83.9k$85.5kOct▲ said 1 Oct
BTC $83.6k低点时间 $81.4k · -3%Now $82.7k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$989 · -1.1%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$26)

Reviewing the third quarter on Mad Money, he noted that Bitcoin's rally had lifted Strategy (MSTR) 76% — and told viewers to skip the levered proxy and own the coin. It repeats his 20 August line, and like that one it is a conditional buy: no level, no timeframe, no stop. BTC's daily point for 1 October is $83,576; the show airs at 6pm New York time, about two hours before the next point, $84,842 on 2 October. Since then BTC has dipped to $81,686 (−2.3%), reached $86,490 (+3.5%) and sits at $83,778 (+0.2%) — −1.3% from the 2 October point. Two weeks is far too early to score, so this is open. Quote and date are Insider Monkey's account of the 1 October episode; CNBC's own write-up confirms that night's show was the third-quarter review but does not carry the Bitcoin line.

SourceStrategy (MSTR) Rallied 76%, but Jim Cramer Would Rather Own Bitcoin — Insider Monkey via Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com
20 Aug 2026BTC
买在突破上

“Just go buy Bitcoin. Don't buy the derivatives.”

$67.4k$74.7k$82.1kSepOct▲ said 20 Aug
BTC $69.3k低点时间 $69.3k · +0%Now $82.7k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,193 · +19.3%期间最大跌幅 +0% (−$0)

Asked in the Mad Money lightning round about BitMine Immersion (BMNR), he told the caller to skip the equity and own the coin — three weeks after saying he would sell his own. BTC was $69,291 that night. It has never traded lower since (+0.0% worst dip), ran to $86,597 (+25.0%) on 22 September and sits at $83,778 (+20.9%). His cleanest crypto call of the window, and the one that most directly contradicts the call before it.

SourceCramer's lightning round: “Just go buy Bitcoin. Don't buy the derivatives.” — CNBC↗ cnbc.com
31 Jul 2026BTC
在底部上方 3% 卖出

“Arvind Krishna knows quantum incredibly. He knows Bitcoin and quantum. And I'm going to sell mine.”

$66.9k$74.4k$82.0kAugSepOct▲ said 31 Jul
BTC $64.7k低点时间 $62.8k · -3%Now $82.7k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,277 · +27.7%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$30)

After IBM CEO Arvind Krishna told him to get “rather paranoid” about cryptography inside three or four years, Cramer said he was out. BTC was $64,743. It then fell just 3.0% to $62,773, ran to $86,597 (+33.8%) and is $83,778 today (+29.4%) — and he was publicly recommending it again 20 days later. Dating note: outlets differ, some placing the on-air exchange on 31 July and others on 3–4 August; BTC traded $62.8k–$64.7k across that whole span, so the verdict is the same either way. No sale has ever been verified — no wallet, no size, no proof. We score the statement, not a trade.

SourceJim Cramer Is Selling His Bitcoin Over Quantum Threat — Decrypt↗ decrypt.co
31 Jul 2026ETH
“Even worse”——随后 +29%

“I realize I'm waiting. Ethereum, really, maybe even worse.”

$2.0k$2.3k$2.6kAugSepOct▲ said 31 Jul
ETH $1.9k低点时间 $1.8k · -4%Now $2.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,270 · +27.0%期间最大跌幅 -4% (−$39)

In the same breath he singled out Ethereum as the more exposed of the two. ETH was $1,918. It dipped 3.9% to $1,843, then ran to $2,775 (+44.7%) and trades at $2,514 (+31.1%) — the strongest move of any asset on this page, in the opposite direction. To be fair to the argument: quantum risk is a multi-year thesis and two months cannot falsify it. What two months can judge is the trading implication he attached to it, and that implication was wrong.

Source“Ethereum, really, maybe even worse” — Decrypt↗ decrypt.co
10 Jun 2026BTC
“Bad money”——距底部 5%

“Bitcoin and gold--bad money, being liquidated for SpaceX. Apple and Nvidia --good money--being liquidated”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 10 Jun
BTC $61.7k低点时间 $58.6k · -5%Now $82.7k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,341 · +34.1%期间最大跌幅 -5% (−$50)

A one-line dismissal posted mid-selloff: BTC was the money being dumped for better assets. It was $61,670 that day — and that was close to the end of it. The subsequent low was $58,566, only 5.0% lower; from there BTC ran to $86,597 (+40.4%) and now sits at $83,778 (+35.8%). Verified in full through the public X syndication endpoint, so the wording above is his, including the dashes.

𝕏 Post“Bitcoin and gold--bad money, being liquidated for SpaceX” — @jimcramer↗ x.com
28 May 2026BTC
长期表态,先跌 −21%

“I own Bitcoin and I do think it's a good buy right here for the long term.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 28 May
BTC $74.3k低点时间 $58.6k · -21%Now $82.7k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,112 · +11.2%期间最大跌幅 -21% (−$212)

Answering a caller sitting on a loss, he said he owned BTC and would not double down, but that it was a buy. BTC was $74,340. Anyone who acted on it then watched a 21.2% drawdown to $58,566 before it recovered; today it is $83,778 (+12.7%), and the best it has managed was $86,597 (+16.5%). He also framed it as long term, which we take at face value — four months does not settle a long-term call, so this is open, not a win and not a miss.

SourceCramer on Mad Money, 28 May 2026: “a good buy right here for the long term” — 24/7 Wall St.↗ 247wallst.com

结论是我们对他公开立场与 CoinGecko 真实价格的对照解读,不是他本人的打分——给一个没有价位、没有期限的立场打分,本来就带有判断成分。凡是报道在日期上不一致的地方,我们都直接写在卡片上。近期的判定仍可能翻转。

这里靠什么赚钱——以及利益冲突在哪

克莱默的钱来自 CNBC 和订阅,不是加密。这消除了一个利益冲突——他不是在喊自己的仓位——但引入了另一个:他的产品是每晚一小时的电视,而电视奖励的是每天对每件事都拿出强烈观点,包括那些诚实答案本该是“我不知道”的日子。

CNBC 薪酬与节目

Mad Money 自 2005 年播出。他以电视台主持人身份领薪;激励来自收视与出镜时间,这奖励的是观点的数量与力度,而不是每一条表态的准确率。

CNBC Investing Club

围绕他的 Charitable Trust 组合与交易提醒构建的付费订阅产品。它覆盖的是股票而非加密——所以他对比特币的看法是评论,而不是他在卖的产品。

书籍、TheStreet 与早期股份

TheStreet(1996)的联合创始人,他在那里写作至 2021 年,并著有多本书,包括 Confessions of a Street Addict 与 Get Rich Carefully。

标志性观点

“Just go buy Bitcoin. Don't buy the derivatives.”

20 Aug 2026 · 快问快答里那次应验的表态

“Arvind Krishna knows quantum incredibly. He knows Bitcoin and quantum. And I'm going to sell mine.”

31 Jul 2026 · 三周后被他自己推翻的退出

“Bitcoin and gold--bad money, being liquidated for SpaceX. Apple and Nvidia --good money--being liquidated”

10 Jun 2026 · 发布于距底部 5% 处

引文取自其本人的公开来源;这些是表达过的观点,不是投资建议。

内容库

这里没有视频库。克莱默的产出是广播电视——CNBC 的 Mad Money 和 Squawk on the Street——而不是上传到自有频道的视频,而且 CNBC 的视频页没有文字稿。与其用无法引用的片段来填充这一栏,我们选择留空:上面图表中的每一条表态都是一篇 CNBC 报道或一条 X 帖子,在各自卡片上有链接,并在本页背后的已核实语料中逐字复现。我们不会为无法精确引用的说法作图。

直接回答

吉姆·克莱默是谁?+

James Joseph Cramer——前高盛销售,1987 至 2001 年经营对冲基金 Cramer Berkowitz,1996 年联合创办 TheStreet,自 2005 年起主持 CNBC 的 Mad Money。他的本行是选股;加密是他评论的对象,而不是他的专长。

什么是 “Inverse Cramer”?+

A running market joke that fading his calls beats following them. It went far enough that Tuttle Capital listed an Inverse Cramer Tracker ETF (SJIM) — which was closed and liquidated in February 2024, having failed to beat him. On the six crypto calls charted on this page, three went against him, one played out and two are open. That is a small sample from one seven-month window, not proof of a reliable inverse signal — and it is worth noting the ETF built on exactly that premise did not work.

吉姆·克莱默持有比特币吗?+

他在 2026 年 5 月说自己持有,2026 年 7 月底说要卖掉。没有任何卖出被独立核实过——他从未公布过钱包地址、交易凭证或仓位规模——所以除了他家里人,没人知道他持有什么。退出三周后,他让一位来电者去买比特币。

吉姆·克莱默的加密建议可靠吗?+

He is a television host, not a licensed adviser, and his crypto record in this window is 1 played out, 2 open and 3 against. He gives no levels, no timeframes and no invalidation, and he reverses without warning — the August buy call directly contradicted the July sell call. Treat his views as a dated, checkable opinion from a mainstream-finance voice, and never trade them blindly in either direction.

你的风格有多接近?

克莱默的风格是没有价位的笃定:一个强故事,大声说出,故事变了就改口。这与你实际的决策方式有多接近?用 Trader Passport 真实地量一量。

1. 是什么驱动你的判断?
2. 当故事改变时,你会…
3. 你会设定价格目标吗?
4. 你的想法从哪里来?
付诸实践

Three of the six Cramer calls on this page went against him. Would you actually fade a TV pundit's crypto calls?

七个月的一个样本算不上优势,而建立在这一前提上的 ETF 已经关停。与其相信这个想法,不如去验证它——用真实市场数据,不冒本金风险,参加有真实奖品的免费 BuyCrypt 锦标赛。

仅基于公开可得材料(CNBC 自己的报道、他经核实的 X 帖子以及带日期的第三方报道,每条表态均附链接)的信息与教育性分析。不构成财务或投资建议。数字为近似值并持续变动。 Spotted an error, or are you Jim? 提交更正 →

认证账号 · 上述来源引用 · 评分方法论 · 更新于 14 October 2026