@WClemente
American Bitcoin analyst who became known for on-chain data and now also trades stocks, oil and metals. In this sample he bought near the low and sold some near the high: on 10 August, at $64,856, he made his first Bitcoin purchases “in a long time”, and Bitcoin rose to $86,597 on 22 September. On 28 September, at $84,449, he trimmed. His later bullish calls are open, and Bitcoin is lower than when he made them.
In short. Will Clemente posts to about 793,000 followers on X. On eight dated Bitcoin calls from July to October 2026, the record is 4 played out, 4 open, 0 went against. He said in July that the bear market was near its end, bought in August and trimmed in late September. His calls that the trend had turned bullish and that the cycle low is in are open. On 29 October he wrote that the “trend is shot for now”, and Bitcoin is 9.3% lower since then.
Will Clemente, also written William Clemente III, has posted on X since June 2020. His handle was @WClementeIII and is now @WClemente. Cointelegraph Magazine profiled him in May 2023, when he was 21. It reported that he left his studies in August 2021 to work in crypto, and that he and Anthony Pompliano launched Reflexivity Research in September 2021. In January 2024 DeFi Technologies announced a deal to acquire Reflexivity Research. His X bio now reads “market enjoyer & student of life.”
How the sample was built: the X profile feed returned 238 of his own posts from 16 April to 10 November 2026, and 84 of them mention Bitcoin. We chart every post that makes a checkable claim about where Bitcoin goes next, or reports that he bought or sold, once, at the first clear post. Repeats are not charted on their own: his 23 September post that raised the odds of a cycle low to 87% is covered by the 8 September card, and his 23 October post that he had reduced again is covered by the 28 September card. Posts that only describe data, such as holder supply or open interest, are not charted. We found no ETH call in the sample.
His reasons are in a long article he posted on X on 8 August 2026, “Exploring the outlook for Bitcoin”. In it he wrote: “In Jan of this year I reduced the Bitcoin exposure that I still personally had left”. He also wrote “You are very unlikely to buy the exact bottom.” and “I am open to a final leg down at some point throughout the year”. Two days later he posted that he had bought.
Earlier calls, before our price window. In May 2023, with Bitcoin near $27,599, he told Cointelegraph Magazine that the “market has bottomed on a multi-year view.” The magazine wrote that he expected six figures between the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. Our daily data first shows Bitcoin above $100,000 on 8 December 2024, so that call played out. On 25 January 2026, at about $86,670, he wrote that “it's hard not to see the the resemblance to Q1 2022.” Bitcoin then fell to $58,566 on 1 July.
Sources: x.com/WClemente · cointelegraph.com/magazine · crowdfundinsider.com
On-chain data and positioning. Clemente reads what long-term holders and short-term holders are doing, where coins last moved, and how full the futures and options markets are. He adds weekly moving averages and macro views on debt and interest rates. He gives odds more often than price targets, and he says when he buys, adds or trims his own Bitcoin.
Long-term bullish, cautious for now. On 19 October he wrote that Bitcoin “shoots to 100k+” within 12 to 24 months. On 23 October he reduced his Bitcoin again, and on 29 October he wrote that the “trend is shot for now until proven otherwise”, with new lows unlikely.
Eight dated Bitcoin calls from Will Clemente (@WClemente)'s own X posts, charted against real price. The tally is 4 played out, 4 open, 0 went against.
“Not trying to be big bear, base case is that BTC kinda chops till EOY, with new HTF lows being unlikely. Just trying to make the point that trend is shot for now until proven otherwise.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $81,274, in a reply under his own post about the chart. EOY means the end of the year, and HTF lows are the lows on long-term charts. The next day's mark was $77,839 (−4.2%), and Bitcoin is at $73,707 (−9.3%). It is still far above the $58,566 low of 1 July. Open: the call runs to the end of the year, and it fails if Bitcoin sets a new low.
𝕏 Post“base case is that BTC kinda chops till EOY, with new HTF lows being unlikely” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“Next 12-24 months(?): AI unwind triggers some form of Fed backstop -> BTC shoots to 100k+”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $82,020, as the first steps of a longer chain of events that he marked with a question mark. Bitcoin rose to $84,082 (+2.5%) on 22 October. It is at $73,707 (−10.1%). Four days after the post he wrote that he had reduced his Bitcoin. Open: the window he gave runs to October 2027 at the earliest.
𝕏 Post“AI unwind triggers some form of Fed backstop -> BTC shoots to 100k+” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“Trimmed some exposure this morning, going through and seeing some signs of froth in things like altcoin OI relative to BTC OI.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $84,449, six days after the $86,597 close of 22 September, the highest from April to November 2026. In the same post he wrote that he was keeping a “sizable % core BTC posn to hold from 60s”. After the post Bitcoin closed no higher than $86,490 (+2.4%) on 5 October. It is at $73,707 (−12.7%). Played out: he sold some close to the high.
𝕏 Post“Trimmed some exposure this morning” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“Current move is well out of danger zone, but not yet all clear. ~70-75% odds that we have cycle bottomed based on this.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $79,093, from his own study of past bear market rallies. On 23 September he raised the figure and wrote “~87% probability that cycle low is in based on this”. Bitcoin rose to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 September. It is at $73,707 (−6.8%). The low of this cycle so far is $58,566, on 1 July, and Bitcoin has not gone back to it. Open: the call fails if Bitcoin closes below that low.
𝕏 Post“~70-75% odds that we have cycle bottomed based on this.” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“For multi-month views, seems like a pretty clear trend shift from bearish to bullish at this point.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $78,511, after Bitcoin moved above the average price that holders of under five months had paid. Bitcoin rose to $86,597 (+10.3%) on 22 September. It is at $73,707 (−6.1%). On 29 October he wrote that the “trend is shot for now until proven otherwise”. Open, but Bitcoin has gone the other way so far, and he has said so himself.
𝕏 Post“seems like a pretty clear trend shift from bearish to bullish at this point” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“It is possible we reject again here, but if we hold this push over 65k on the treasury headline, suspect that chasing market participants could move price much higher in short order.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $64,686. He posted at 15:11 UTC, after Bitcoin had moved above 65k that day, and the next day's mark was $69,291. Bitcoin held above 65k and reached $78,318 (+21.1%; +13.0% from the next day's mark) on 22 August, three days after the post. It rose to $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September. It is at $73,707 (+13.9%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“if we hold this push over 65k on the treasury headline, suspect that chasing market participants could move price much higher in short order” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“Just made my first spot Bitcoin purchases (via ETFs) in a long time. Wrote about why here.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $64,856, with a link to his 8 August article. Bitcoin's lowest close after that was $62,844 (−3.1%) on 17 August. That day he wrote “I just keep tapping away at spot.” Then Bitcoin rose to $86,597 (+33.5%) on 22 September. It is at $73,707 (+13.6%). Played out: a short dip, then a large rise.
𝕏 Post“Just made my first spot Bitcoin purchases (via ETFs) in a long time.” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.com“bitcoin is much closer to the end of its bear market than the beginning.”
Prices in this text as of 11 Nov 2026Said at $64,984, two weeks after the $58,566 close of 1 July, the lowest from April to November 2026. He did not buy until 10 August. Bitcoin's lowest close after the post was $62,773 (−3.4%) on 2 August. Then it rose to $86,597 (+33.3%) on 22 September. It is at $73,707 (+13.4%). Played out so far: no new low has come in the four months since.
𝕏 Post“bitcoin is much closer to the end of its bear market than the beginning.” — Will Clemente (@WClemente) on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not his own scoring. Selection: from 238 of his own posts between 16 April and 10 November 2026, we chart every post that makes a checkable claim about where Bitcoin goes next, or reports that he bought or sold, once, at the first clear post. Our price data is daily, so the price for each call is the daily mark for the post's date, and moves within a day are not seen. The 19 August post came after Bitcoin had already moved above 65k that day, so that card also gives the next day's mark. The $1,000 line on each card assumes buying, also for the 28 September call, when he sold some, and the 29 October call, which was cautious.
Clemente co-founded a research firm, has worked on investment analysis, and trades his own money. Here is what we found.
He co-founded Reflexivity Research with Anthony Pompliano. In January 2024 DeFi Technologies announced a binding letter of intent to acquire it, to be paid in DeFi Technologies shares. We could not check what role he has there now.
In his 8 August 2026 article he wrote of “my employment helping with investment analysis at STIX in recent months”, where he looked at quantum computing startups.
He holds Bitcoin, bought from 10 August 2026 through ETFs, and he trimmed it on 28 September and again on 23 October. On 28 August he wrote that he “picked up some ZEC under $800”, and on 11 September that he had sold it down “for ~50% gain”. He traded oil in October and wrote on 2 November that he was “Off screens to reset & flat”.
We found no paid group, course or referral link in the posts we read. His X bio says “not investment advice, personal opinions which change, etc.”
“bitcoin is much closer to the end of its bear market than the beginning.”
15 Jul 2026 · played out“Just made my first spot Bitcoin purchases (via ETFs) in a long time.”
10 Aug 2026 · played out“~70-75% odds that we have cycle bottomed based on this.”
8 Sep 2026 · open“Trimmed some exposure this morning”
28 Sep 2026 · played outQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Clemente's market views are mainly in his X posts and in the long articles he publishes on X.
An American Bitcoin analyst who posts on X as @WClemente, formerly @WClementeIII, with about 793,000 followers. He became known for on-chain analysis and co-founded Reflexivity Research with Anthony Pompliano.
On 19 October 2026 he wrote that Bitcoin “shoots to 100k+” within 12 to 24 months, with a question mark on the timing. On 29 October he wrote that his base case was that Bitcoin “kinda chops till EOY”, with new lows unlikely. He gives odds that the cycle low is in, and on 23 September he put them at 87%.
On our sample of eight dated Bitcoin calls from July to October 2026: four played out, four are open and none went against. He bought in August near the low and trimmed in September near the high. His calls that the trend had turned bullish and that the cycle low is in are open, with Bitcoin lower since.
He co-founded Reflexivity Research, which DeFi Technologies announced it would acquire in 2024, and he wrote in August 2026 that he was employed helping with investment analysis at STIX. He also trades his own money in Bitcoin, stocks and commodities. We found no paid group or course in the posts we read.
Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.
Clemente waits for data to show that sellers are done, buys in steps, and trims when the market looks crowded. How close is your instinct? Measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
Now put your approach to work. Test your edge on live market data with no capital at risk in a free BuyCrypt tournament with real prizes.
Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: the public X posts of @WClemente and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Will? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 11 November 2026
