@KillaXBT
Pseudonymous Bitcoin swing trader with about 243,000 followers on X. Killa posts several times a day, mostly on Bitcoin, and publishes his own positions. In spring 2026 he was bearish and right: on 29 April, at $76,332, he wrote that Bitcoin was more likely to go below 60K in the next 90 days, and on 1 July it was at $58,566. In June he turned bullish near the low, and Bitcoin rose to $86,597 on 22 September. The autumn went against him. He expected no pullback larger than 10–15%, and Bitcoin is at $69,248, about a fifth below the September high. On 12 November he wrote that his winning run was ending.
In short. Killa posts to about 243,000 followers on X as @KillaXBT. On eleven dated Bitcoin calls from April to November 2026 the record is 3 played out, 5 open, 3 went against. The spring calls for lower prices played out, and so far the July call that the cycle low was in has held. Three calls went against him: a ceiling in the mid-70Ks for 2026, pullbacks of no more than 10–15%, and a leveraged long from October. Since the 23 September call Bitcoin is 19.7% lower.
Killa is a pseudonym. The X account was opened in September 2024, and the bio reads “Quantitative trader, 7 years.” On 25 July 2026 he wrote “I’ve been trading for 7 years. I’m 26 and started when I was 19.” On 27 April he wrote that he trades from Europe, and on 18 October he called himself “Just a random guy who happened to short 123K and long 62K”. He has not published a legal name or a country that we could confirm. The profile picture is a drawing of a hooded figure with the name on it, and this page uses it as the portrait.
How the sample was built: X search returned 1,520 of the account's own posts from 18 April to 13 November 2026. Of these, 1,264 are not replies, and 1,062 of those mention Bitcoin. Most are comments on the day's price, on liquidations, or on other traders. We chart the posts that make a checkable claim: a price level with a time frame, a statement that the cycle low is in, or a trade with an entry and an invalidation. Killa repeats his main claims many times, so each one is charted once, at the first clear post.
Posts we did not chart, and why. From July to November more than twenty posts say that the bottom is in. One of them is charted, 18 July, and the rest repeat it. The dates he gives for a new all-time high moved during the sample. On 26 June he wrote “Bitcoin will create a ATH between next year October & February 2028.” On 23 September he wrote “$BTC breaks above 126K sometime between May and September 2027.” The 4 October version is the one we chart. Posts on short-term levels for the same day or week are not charted, because our price data is daily. On 2 October he wrote “Highest I see $BTC going is 97K.” That post gives no clear date for the ceiling, so it is not charted.
What the account says about its own record. Killa often writes that he sold near the top of the last cycle and was short from 123K, for example on 12 August: “I’ve been shorting every bearish retest since 123K”. Those posts are older than our sample, and we did not check them. Inside the sample he admitted a mistake twice. On 5 May he wrote “My short was too early, plain and simple.” On 12 November he wrote “It does, in fact, seem like my 1.5 year streak is coming to an end.” In that post he said he had taken no profit on the way up, and that the market had erased nearly all of the gains.
Sources: x.com/KillaXBT · youtube.com/@KillaXBT · killalabs.io
Cycle timing, market structure and his own positions. Killa compares the present cycle with earlier Bitcoin bear markets: how many days they lasted, how deep they went, and in which quarter they ended. From that he sets a view for months ahead and trades it with a few large positions at low leverage. He posts the entry, the size and the invalidation of each one. He also watches fixed dates in the month, which he calls pivots, and bets against the mood going into them. News matters little in his method: he treats good and bad headlines as already in the price.
Bullish for the long term, and less sure for the short term. On 12 November Killa wrote “I am still, of course, bullish on the HTF.” HTF means the higher time frames. He says he still holds his long positions and his spot Bitcoin. On 13 November he wrote “If we are unable to see a reaction around this area, then we are likely going to push to new lows on BTC.”
Eleven dated calls from Killa (@KillaXBT)'s own X posts, all on Bitcoin, charted against real price. The tally is 3 played out, 5 open, 3 went against.
“$BTC has literally never made a new low after forming a weekly HH. Of course, that’s based on BTC having already impulsed from the bottom. So, based on history, this next low should be a HL.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $75,775. HH means higher high and HL means higher low: Killa expects this fall to stop above the summer low. Bitcoin kept falling and is at $69,248 (−8.6%). The lowest daily mark of the summer was $58,566, on 1 July, so the call has not failed. On 13 November he wrote that Bitcoin would probably go to new lows if it found no support at the present level. Open.
𝕏 Post“So, based on history, this next low should be a HL.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“I have decided to activate into another 10x long position on $BTC here. Entry is 82.860. Invalidation is 74.550 with maintaince margin.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026The daily mark for that date is $85,540. Killa posted later in the day, after a fall, and gave an entry of 82,860 and an invalidation of 74,550. Bitcoin stayed in its range for three weeks and then fell. On 4 November he wrote “$BTC took out my aggressive 10x long”, and said he had opened a new 10x long at 76.2K. Bitcoin is at $69,248 (−19.0%), below the second entry too. Went against: the position was closed at a loss, by his own account.
𝕏 Post“I have decided to activate into another 10x long position on $BTC here.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“$BTC will break ATH between April 26th-August 2nd. I said we would bottom sooner, we did. Now, we will form a new ATH quicker than everyone's expectations.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $84,743. ATH means all-time high, which Killa puts at 126K. The post names no year. His other posts from these weeks put the new high in 2027, so we read the dates as 26 April to 2 August 2027. Bitcoin rose to $86,490 (+2.1%) the next day and then fell. It is at $69,248 (−18.3%). To reach 126K from here, the price would have to rise by about four fifths. Open until August 2027.
𝕏 Post“$BTC will break ATH between April 26th-August 2nd.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“I do not see $BTC pulling back more than 10-15% for the remainder of the move towards 126K.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $86,183, one day after the highest mark in our data. The next day Killa repeated it: “From here to $126K, I expect the largest pullbacks in this bull market to be roughly 10–15%.” Bitcoin fell through October and November. On 13 November the daily mark was $71,372 (−17.2%), and Bitcoin is at $69,248 (−19.7%). Went against: the fall is larger than the limit he gave. He wrote the same day that Bitcoin was down 22% from its high.
𝕏 Post“I do not see $BTC pulling back more than 10-15% for the remainder of the move towards 126K.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“In 432 days, $BTC will be trading above 100K. In 250 days, BTC will never trade in the 60K region again.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $64,318. Counting from the post, 250 days end on 2 April 2027 and 432 days end on 1 October 2027. Bitcoin rose to $86,597 (+34.6%) on 22 September. It is at $69,248 (+7.7%), which is back in the 60K region. Neither date has come. Open.
𝕏 Post“In 432 days, $BTC will be trading above 100K.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“$BTC has already established its major cycle low. The move from 97K to 59K was the final major correction. 59K is the base low. Could we wick below it? Yes. However, any move below is likely manipulation.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $63,905. The lowest daily mark in our data is $58,566, on 1 July, before this post. After it, Bitcoin did not go below $62,773 (−1.8%), and it rose to $86,597 (+35.5%) on 22 September. It is at $69,248 (+8.4%). Played out so far: the low has held for four months. The call fails if Bitcoin sets a new low, and Killa himself wrote on 13 November that this could happen.
𝕏 Post“$BTC has already established its major cycle low.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“Nothing has changed with my $BTC swing long. I'm expecting to hold this for 1.5–2 years. I expect BTC above 80K in Q1 next year, and above 110K around Q4 2027.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $59,968. Bitcoin went above 80K much sooner than he expected: the daily mark on 28 August was $80,268 (+33.9%). It did not stay there, and it is at $69,248 (+15.5%). The first date that can be checked is the first quarter of 2027. Open.
𝕏 Post“I expect BTC above 80K in Q1 next year, and above 110K around Q4 2027.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“I may be bullish on the HTF, but let's be realistic. The highest I see Bitcoin reaching this year is somewhere in the mid $70K's. Anything higher is just absurd.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $58,566, the lowest daily mark in our data. Seven weeks later Bitcoin was above that ceiling: the mark on 22 August was $78,318 (+33.7%). On 22 September it reached $86,597 (+47.9%). It is at $69,248 (+18.2%). Went against: the price went well above the ceiling he named. The same post also said that Bitcoin would not reach 100K this year, and that part has held so far.
𝕏 Post“The highest I see Bitcoin reaching this year is somewhere in the mid $70K's.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“I am officially swing long on $BTC Invalidation 31950. Target 160,000. I will see you in 1-2 years from now.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026The daily mark for that date is $64,047. Killa gives his entry as 62.6K, and two days earlier he had closed his last short. Bitcoin fell further, to $58,566 (−8.6%) on 1 July, and then rose to $86,597 (+35.2%) on 22 September. It is at $69,248 (+8.1%). He says he still holds the position and has taken no profit on it. Open: neither the target nor the invalidation has been reached.
𝕏 Post“I am officially swing long on $BTC” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“I’m very confident we’ll see sub-$74K well before we ever trend above 100K. Range. Bound. Capitulation.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $81,059, when Killa was short. Two weeks later, on 29 May, the daily mark was $73,652 (−9.1%). Bitcoin went on down to $58,566 (−27.7%) on 1 July. The highest mark since the post is $86,597 (+6.8%), far from 100K. Played out. He had opened the short too early, as he wrote on 5 May, and closed it on 2 June.
𝕏 Post“I’m very confident we’ll see sub-$74K well before we ever trend above 100K.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.com“The next 90 days are going to be some of the trickiest conditions to trade. More likely to see sub-60K.”
Prices in this text as of 13 Nov 2026Said at $76,332. Six days earlier Killa had written “I absolutely refuse to believe that $BTC bottomed at $60K.” The 90 days ended on 28 July. The daily mark first went below 60K on 26 June, at $59,727 (−21.8%), and the low was $58,566 (−23.3%) on 1 July. Played out. The post began “Absolutely 0% chance $BTC trends over 100K this year.” That has held so far as well: the highest mark since the post is $86,597 (+13.4%).
𝕏 Post“More likely to see sub-60K.” — Killa (@KillaXBT) on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not the account's own scoring. Selection: from 1,264 non-reply posts between 18 April and 13 November 2026, as returned by X search, we chart the posts that make a checkable claim: a price level with a time frame, a statement that the cycle low is in, or a trade with an entry and an invalidation. Each claim is charted once, at the first clear post, and repeats are named in the cards. Our price data is one mark a day, taken at midnight UTC, so the price for each call is the mark for the post's date. Killa's own entries were taken during the day and differ from that mark. Lows and highs within a day are not seen: he puts the cycle low at 57K, and our lowest daily mark is $58,566. The 18 July call is graded as played out because the low has held and Bitcoin rose by a third afterwards. It would fail if Bitcoin set a new low. The $1,000 line on each card assumes buying, also for the two spring calls, which expected lower prices.
Killa says his trades are free to follow. He also sells a course, and he names the exchanges he trades on. Here is what we found.
The X bio links killalabs.io. The site describes “A complete, one-time curriculum” with more than 60 video lessons, custom indicators and a private chat group, sold for one payment with lifetime access. It shows no price, and it counts 376 members. Enrollment was closed when we looked. In the sample Killa opened it twice, each time for 48 hours: on 10 July and on 1 October 2026. Buyers were asked to write to him directly.
On 22 September 2026 Killa wrote “No paid group. No paid signals. No hiding behind a paywall.” The trades in this dossier were all posted in public. The course is a paid product, and he describes it as teaching, with strategies and indicators that he does not post on X.
On 27 April 2026 he wrote “That’s why I have been trading on Bitunix.” and “I practically never post affiliate links.” We found no referral link in the posts we read. He also says he has a position on Binance.
67 of the 1,264 posts in the sample quote the crypto account of the prediction market Kalshi, and Killa adds his own view of the odds. Five of the charted calls are posts of this kind. We found no post that says whether Kalshi pays him.
Killa says he trades his own money. On 22 September 2026 he wrote that he held about 14 BTC of exposure, about $1.25M, across spot and long positions, with an unrealized profit of over 250K. On 12 November he wrote that the market had erased nearly all of the gains. The posts show charts and entries, not account statements, so we cannot check the amounts.
“More likely to see sub-60K.”
29 Apr 2026 · played out“The highest I see Bitcoin reaching this year is somewhere in the mid $70K's.”
1 Jul 2026 · went against“$BTC has already established its major cycle low.”
18 Jul 2026 · played out“I do not see $BTC pulling back more than 10-15% for the remainder of the move towards 126K.”
23 Sep 2026 · went againstQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Killa's market views are in his X posts and in videos on his YouTube channel. Only the X posts are charted here.
A pseudonymous Bitcoin swing trader who posts on X as @KillaXBT to about 243,000 followers. He says he is 26, has traded for seven years and trades from Europe. He posts his own positions with entry and invalidation, and sells a trading course called KillaLabs.
On 4 October 2026 Killa wrote “$BTC will break ATH between April 26th-August 2nd.” His other posts put that in 2027. On 2 July he wrote “I expect BTC above 80K in Q1 next year, and above 110K around Q4 2027.” The target of his long position is 160,000. On 13 November he wrote that new lows were likely if Bitcoin found no support.
On our sample of eleven dated calls from April to November 2026: three played out, five are open and three went against. The spring calls for lower prices played out, and he turned bullish in June, near the low. The autumn calls went against him: Bitcoin fell more than the 10–15% he allowed for, and a leveraged long from October was closed at a loss.
He says he trades his own money, and he sells the KillaLabs course for a one-time payment. The site shows no price and counts 376 members. He says his trade posts are free and that he runs no paid signal group.
Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. He has posted position sizes, which we cannot check. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.
Killa sets a view from earlier cycles, takes a few large positions and holds them through drawdowns. How close is your instinct? Measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: the public X posts of @KillaXBT and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Killa? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 13 November 2026
