@IT_Tech_PL
A pseudonymous on-chain analyst who reads Bitcoin through ETF flows, holder cost bases and futures data. He was bearish from April to early June, and right: Bitcoin fell from about $79,000 to its low of $58,566 on 1 July. Then he stayed bearish too long. On 18 July he said the bottom was not in, more than two weeks after it was. He turned bullish on 19 August, just before a 34% rally, and on 27 September wrote that he believed the bottom was in.
In short. IT Tech posts on X as @IT_Tech_PL and writes a paid weekly newsletter. On our sample of nine in-window calls the record is 5 played out, 2 open, 2 went against. The best calls are the May bear call on Bitcoin and Ether and the 19 August turn. The misses are a June squeeze call that never came and the July view that the bottom was not in.
IT Tech is a brand name. We found no real name in his posts, his newsletter or his bio, so we use the brand. His X bio reads “Bitcoin & Crypto Insights | On-chain analyst | Verified Author on @CryptoQuant_com”. He writes about himself in masculine forms in his Polish posts, so we say “he”. The account has been on X since 2013.
He posts in English and Polish. Most posts are data threads: ETF flows, short-term and long-term holder cost bases, realized profit and loss, funding rates and liquidation maps. Many are short-term order-flow notes on the 15-minute chart. We did not grade those; we charted the posts that take a view on where Bitcoin or Ether goes next.
On 1 April 2026 he posted that the Bitcoin “bottom is in” with a 140K target, then marked it “April Fools” the same day. We did not chart it. We read every own post in the window, about 560, and charted eight, plus one newsletter. His views changed during the year, and the record shows both sides.
Sources: x.com/IT_Tech_PL (captured via api.fxtwitter.com) · ittechpl.substack.com
Flows first, then the cost bases. IT Tech reads demand from ETF flows and the Coinbase premium, and supply from holder cost bases and realized losses. He names one level that would change his mind, such as 83.5K or 82,800, and waits for a weekly close. That made him right in the spring sell-off and slow at the July low, when the flow data was still negative.
Bearish from April to July 2026, with a short bullish lean in mid-June. Bullish from 19 August. On 15 September he called the setup “mid-cycle floor building, not the cycle low”, and on 27 September he wrote that he believed the bottom was in if the week closed above $82,800. It did.
Nine dated calls from @IT_Tech_PL, eight captured verbatim from X and one from his newsletter, each charted against real price. The tally is 5 played out, 2 open, 2 went against. He read the spring sell-off well and caught the August turn. He missed the July low.
“For weeks, I have been saying one level would settle this cycle: $82,800. On Monday, Bitcoin broke through it and has stayed above it ever since.” … “If the week closes above $82,800 tonight, I believe the bottom is in.”
From his weekly newsletter, published on a Sunday at $84,417. The week closed above $82,800, so his condition was met. Bitcoin dipped to $83,479 (−1.1%) on 29 September and is at $86,440 (+2.4%). A bottom call takes months to prove. Open.
Source“If the week closes above $82,800 tonight, I believe the bottom is in.” — IT Tech, On-Chain Insights #196↗ ittechpl.substack.com“Bullish read. I flagged this aging setup before the 2022 low, and it's repeating now. BTC is still 38% off ATH though, well above where the 2022 base printed - this reads as mid-cycle floor building, not the cycle low.”
Posted at $78,173. Bitcoin dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then rose to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 September and is at $86,440 (+10.6%). The bullish read worked so far. The second half, that the cycle low is still to come, has not been tested, and twelve days later he wrote that he believed the bottom was in. Open.
𝕏 Post“this reads as mid-cycle floor building, not the cycle low.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“OI drop then rebound = shorts closed, longs entered. MA cross confirmed breakout. ✅ Bullish. Spot CVD held. OI climbing = fresh longs, not covering.”
Posted as Bitcoin broke to about 65K; the day's mark was $64,686. The next day's mark was $69,291 (+7.1%), and Bitcoin never closed below the call level again. It reached $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September and is at $86,440 (+33.6%). He also warned that the move was driven by leverage, but no sharp unwind came. Played out.
𝕏 Post“✅ Bullish. Spot CVD held. OI climbing = fresh longs, not covering.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Still hearing calls that $BTC's bottom is in. 120K BTC in net ETF outflows this year says otherwise. The demand that fueled the rally is now unwinding. That's the trend, not noise.”
Posted at $63,905, 17 days after the low of $58,566 (−8.4%) on 1 July. Bitcoin dipped only to $62,773 (−1.8%) on 2 August, was back above the call level on 5 August, and rose to $86,597 (+35.5%) on 22 September. It is at $86,440 (+35.3%). The bottom was in. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Still hearing calls that $BTC's bottom is in. 120K BTC in net ETF outflows this year says otherwise.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Price reclaimed both the 10 and 30 MA (67K / 66K) after the dip below 64K. Shorts are underwater and stuck. No fresh long leverage stepping in. This bounce is running on short covering plus steady buying. Lean bullish - but it's a short squeeze setup, not a leverage breakout.”
Posted at $66,293. No squeeze came. Bitcoin fell to $58,566 (−11.7%) on 1 July and closed above the call level only once, at $66,521 (+0.3%) on 22 July, before 20 August. It is at $86,440 (+30.4%), but that came two months later on a new move. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Lean bullish - but it's a short squeeze setup, not a leverage breakout.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“$BTC capitulation mode activated. Short-term holders hit the worst reading of the year. But one extreme doesn't mark the bottom - it marks stress. Capitulation can extend if selling pressure stays elevated. Smells like a final flush could still be coming.”
Posted at $64,047. Bitcoin fell to $60,855 (−5.0%) on 7 June and made its low of $58,566 (−8.6%) on 1 July. It is at $86,440 (+35.0%). The flush came. Played out.
𝕏 Post“Smells like a final flush could still be coming.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Spot ETF flows just flipped hard red on both $BTC and $ETH after a week of recovery inflows.” … “$BTC at 79K, $ETH at 2,256. One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.”
The same post as the Bitcoin card, charted for Ether at $2,258. Ether peaked the next day at $2,283 (+1.1%), then fell to $1,566 (−30.7%) on 26 June. It is at $2,727 (+20.7%) now, after a rally that started in August. Played out.
𝕏 Post“$BTC at 79K, $ETH at 2,256. One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“Spot ETF flows just flipped hard red on both $BTC and $ETH after a week of recovery inflows.” … “$BTC at 79K, $ETH at 2,256. One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.”
Posted at $79,289. Bitcoin peaked the next day at $81,059 (+2.2%), then fell to $58,566 (−26.1%) on 1 July. It is at $86,440 (+9.0%) now, after the August rally. Played out.
𝕏 Post“One-day wipeout of multi-week recovery = conviction isn't there yet. Bearish.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.com“83.5K on a weekly close - that's the line separating bear market rally from trend reversal for $BTC.” … “Every bounce into 83.5K faces selling pressure from underwater STHs. That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise.”
Posted at $75,112. Bitcoin rose to $82,018 (+9.2%) on 11 May, short of 83.5K, then fell to $58,566 (−22.0%) on 1 July. The first daily mark above 83.5K came on 22 September, at $86,597 (+15.3%). The spring bounce was a relief rally. Played out.
𝕏 Post“That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise.” — @IT_Tech_PL on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not the trader's own scoring. Every quote is verbatim and linked on its card. Each call is charted at that day's midnight CoinGecko mark. We did not chart restatements. On 10 June he wrote “Final capitulation is still ahead”, the same view as the 4 June card. On 16 and 21 July he repeated that the bottom was not in, the same view as the 18 July card. On 5 August he posted two opposite reads hours apart, one bearish and one bullish, so we charted neither. We also left out the 1 April “bottom is in” post, which he marked as an April Fools joke, and his 15-minute chart notes. The “$1,000 in” line under each chart is a buy-and-hold figure from the day of the call; for the five bearish cards (17 April, 14 May twice, 4 June and 18 July) a rising number means the market went against the title.
IT Tech's posts on X are free. Here is how he makes money from them.
His weekly Bitcoin and crypto report on Substack is paid: $7 a month or $70 a year on the web. Only the opening of each issue is public. The 27 September call on this page comes from that public part.
He posts sign-up links for Bybit EU and OKX, with bonuses for new accounts. Some posts are marked “#reklama”, Polish for advertisement. His free Telegram channel for trade ideas is open to people who sign up through one of these partner exchanges.
His newsletter links two YouTube channels, one in English and one in Polish, and a website, btc-analysis.com, with a free on-chain dashboard. We did not chart anything from them.
“That's not a breakout - that's a relief rally until proven otherwise.”
17 Apr 2026 · played out“Still hearing calls that $BTC's bottom is in. 120K BTC in net ETF outflows this year says otherwise.”
18 Jul 2026 · went against“If the week closes above $82,800 tonight, I believe the bottom is in.”
27 Sep 2026 · openQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
IT Tech writes data threads on X, a weekly paid newsletter, and posts on CryptoQuant as a verified author. He also runs YouTube channels in English and Polish.
An on-chain analyst who posts on X as @IT_Tech_PL, with about 47,000 followers. He is a verified author on CryptoQuant and writes a paid weekly newsletter, On-Chain Insights. He has not published a real name.
On our sample of nine dated calls from 17 April to 27 September 2026: five played out, two are open, two went against. He was right about the spring sell-off and the August turn, and wrong to say in July that the bottom was not in.
Yes. His newsletter costs $7 a month or $70 a year on the web. He also posts exchange referral links for Bybit EU and OKX, some marked as advertising.
The average price paid by coins that moved in the last 155 days. When Bitcoin trades below it, recent buyers are at a loss and tend to sell into rallies. IT Tech uses it as the line between a relief rally and a new uptrend.
Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.
IT Tech reads Bitcoin through flows and cost bases. How close is your instinct? Measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: dated X posts captured from X's public endpoints, the public part of his newsletter and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you IT Tech? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 5 October 2026
