@CryptoCapo_
The most argued-about anonymous chartist in crypto. il Capo made their name calling the 2021–22 collapse, then spent years as the market's favourite contrarian indicator. The 2026 record below is the awkward one for both camps: a support zone named almost perfectly, and five months of being early on it.
In short. il Capo of Crypto is an anonymous analyst who has been in the market since 2017 and posts to roughly 800,000 followers on X and roughly 116,800 on a free Telegram channel. They read high-timeframe support and resistance zones, liquidity build-ups and crowd sentiment, and they say the level out loud with a date attached — which is why a page like this is possible at all. Two things must be said before the chart: they were right early and then wrong for five months in 2026, and — in their own words — “As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin”. Their own book is privacy coins and low caps. Bitcoin is the reference they publish direction on; it is not what they are buying.
il Capo of Crypto is a pseudonym. No verified real name, face or location has ever been published, and because they have never stated pronouns, this page uses they/them — the press convention of “he” is a guess, not a fact. What is documented is the trading record: Phemex's profile of them notes they have “been active in the crypto community since 2017”, and that in March 2022, with Bitcoin near $40,000, they called for a fall below $23,000 — BTC traded under $18,000 that June. That call, and a similar one in August 2022, built the reputation.
Then the same conviction ran the other way. They held a bearish target long after the 2022 low, and NewsBTC's October 2024 write-up puts it plainly: “This goes as far back as his prediction of Bitcoin falling to $12,000 last year, but the crypto eventually broke past resistance levels,” adding that there is “a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite.” That is the reputation they carry into 2026, and it is the reason a dated, charted record is worth more here than any summary — including this one.
The 2026 posture inverts the caricature: they have been publicly, stubbornly bullish since early February, through a 20% drawdown, while the crowd turned bearish. They also documented the cost of it themselves. On 9 July, with Bitcoin at $62,247, they wrote to the Telegram channel: “I've been bullish since January/February, when price reached the expected main support zone of $60k-70k… Since then, 5 months have passed by, which is a lot of time. And price went up to 82k, then back down to 58k, and now trading at around 63k.” The twelve cards below are that stretch and what followed it, charted.
Sources: x.com/CryptoCapo_ · t.me/CryptoCapoTG · Phemex profile · NewsBTC
High-timeframe zones, liquidity and sentiment — conviction over timing. il Capo works from big support and resistance bands (“$65k-75k range”, “main support zone of $60k-70k”), confluence of order blocks and old all-time highs, where liquidity is stacked, and how negative the crowd has become. The trade is to buy the zone and wait, then name confirmation levels above it (“First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k”) rather than a stop below. That is the strength and the flaw in one: when the zone is right the entry is close to perfect, and when the timing is wrong there is no mechanism that takes them out. They also say plainly that they trade spot, not leverage — “Hence, I won't promote leverage” — and that they are “not selling” through the drawdowns they forecast.
Bullish mid-term — “Mid-term bullish (next months) yes” — and heavily positioned in privacy coins, but short-term bearish since late August: as of 24 September 2026 calling the local highs in with a $65k–70k target below $80k, and on 27 September “starting to hedge”.
Twelve dated public statements from il Capo, 5 February – 24 September 2026, charted against real Bitcoin price. The CoinGecko window runs 210 days and now begins 4 March, so the two oldest cards — the 5 and 18 February posts — sit outside it and are anchored at the window's first close; their cards say so. Five are their own X posts, captured with x_capture.py so the text and date are the post's own; seven are posts from t.me/CryptoCapoTG, the channel their own description calls “Official and free Telegram channel of @CryptoCapo_ from Twitter.” Read the whole set together, not the best card: this is a run of one thesis, repeated for seven months, that was right about the level and badly wrong about the clock — followed, from late August, by a turn to short-term caution that the market has so far run over. The famous 2021–22 top call and the $12,000 target sit years outside any chartable window and are described above instead.
“There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze)”
The post the whole year hangs on, and it has now aged off the left edge of its own chart. They marked the “main support zone” — a confluence of an order block, the November and April 2021 all-time highs and the 2024 ATH — and read maximum negative sentiment as the setup for an immediate squeeze. The CoinGecko window is 210 days and now begins 4 Mar 2026, so 5 February can no longer be priced from its own date; the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287, and the weeks right after the post sit off the edge. What does not depend on that anchor is the clock. No strong bounce came: Bitcoin ground lower for nearly five months to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below even the later anchor — and only then turned. The zone did eventually hold, and BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor, but “there's no better time” was five months early. It stays against.
𝕏 Post“Main support zone reached… There's no better time for a strong bounce” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Not ruling out the possibility of a quick last dump to $65k, but we should see bullish acceleration soon, with targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming.”
Two halves, and both have now paid — the second one very late. The post and the “quick last dump” that followed it in late February now sit before the CoinGecko window, which begins 4 Mar 2026, so the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287. The target took seven months. Bitcoin first fell to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below the anchor and well under the $65k they had allowed for — before closing at $86,597 on 22 September, +26.8% above the anchor and over the $85k they named. The card sat open for months because that number was unprinted; it is printed now, so it moves to played out. What it does not earn is “soon”: the acceleration came after a second leg down. BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor. The altcoin half of the post is not charted here.
Source“targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“For now, the most likely scenario remains an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels (potentially higher).”
With BTC at $71,304, stuck in the $65k–75k range they had been publishing for weeks, they called an imminent squeeze into $80k–90k. It arrived twice. First to $82,018 on 11 May, the bottom of the band — after a 7.5% dip to $65,947 on 30 March — and then, after the whole move was given back into the $58,566 low on 1 July (−17.9% from the post), to $86,597 on 22 September, +21.4% and past the middle of the range. Honest caveat: “imminent” fits the first leg, not the second. BTC is $83,145 today, +16.6% above the post.
Source“an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.”
Their most confident post of the spring, and the whole forecast is one word. BTC was $75,716; it went higher for three weeks, to $82,018 on 11 May — and then gave all of it back and more, falling 22.7% to $58,566 by 1 July. The card stayed open while price was only back around the post. That changed in September: Bitcoin closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +14.4% and above the May high, and is $83,145 now, +9.8%. “Higher” was right, so it moves from open to played out — but anyone who sized up on that one word sat through a 23% drawdown to get here.
𝕏 Post“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“I think we see a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation.”
The worst call in the window. Three days before the May high, with BTC at $80,025, they sized the coming correction at roughly 1–2% — a “last leg down” to $78k–79k. Bitcoin lost 26.8% instead, to $58,566 on 1 July. The “bullish continuation” did eventually come: BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +8.2% above the post, and is $83,145 today, +3.9%. That does not rescue it — the forecast was the size of the dip, and it was wrong by more than ten times. Four days earlier they had told the same channel that “Accuracy over the last months has been out of this world.”
Source“a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
Less a forecast than an admission, and it belongs on the record. Four months into the thesis, with BTC back at $61,480, well under the support zone they had marked in February, they wrote the miss down publicly instead of quietly deleting it, and kept the position. It turned out to be near the end of the fall: the deepest dip after this post was −4.7% to $58,566 on 1 July, and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, +35.2% higher.
𝕏 Post“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k.”
The best-timed call here. At $59,727 they read a third test of $60k as a bottom and named the levels that would prove it — “First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k.” The low came five days later at $58,566, only 1.9% below them. Both confirmations have now cleared — the second on 22 September, when Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+45.0%). BTC is $83,145 today, +39.2% above the post.
𝕏 Post“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“After this strong bullish move, I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k.”
After a 34.8% run off the 1 July low, with BTC at $78,974, they turned short-term cautious and named where they would buy it back: “Eyes on 74k-75k and 69k-70k as potential local bottoms.” The first part roughly worked: Bitcoin peaked at $81,265 on 4 September and fell to $75,590 on 16 September, 4.3% below the post — close to, but not into, the 74k–75k zone. Then it ran straight through that top, to $86,597 on 22 September (+9.7%), and is $83,145 today, +5.3% above where they posted. Neither buy-back level has been tested, so it stays open, and the “local top” is now a lower high. Note what it is not: “PS: I'm not selling, just ready to buy more if that happens.”
𝕏 Post“I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Most coins remain sideways/correcting. Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation.”
The August caution, now with a number on it. With BTC at $78,553 they sized the pullback they were waiting for — a final 10–20% shakeout, then bullish continuation — and reposted the same two lines verbatim to the channel on 7 September. It has not arrived. The deepest close since the post is $75,590 on 16 September, only 3.8% below it; then Bitcoin went the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+10.2%), and is $83,145 today, +5.8% above the post. It is open and pointing against them. One caveat this card cannot remove — the post says “most coins”, not Bitcoin; it is charted against BTC because that is the reference they publish direction on.
Source“Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“After riding this wave from the low $60ks, I remain cautious short-term. This looks very overextended for now, and seems like the market is going to flush some leverage and reset indicators before continuing higher.”
The first time in this window they claim the move: “riding this wave from the low $60ks” is the 26 June call above, which landed within 1.9% of the $58,566 low. From $78,451 they stayed short-term cautious and asked for a leverage flush before continuation. What followed fits the words loosely: a 3.6% dip to $75,590 on 16 September, then $86,597 on 22 September (+10.4%); BTC is $83,145 today, +6.0% above the post. A 3.6% flush is small for a market they called “very overextended”, and the post names no level either way, so it stays open rather than claimed. Same caveat as the card above — the subject is “the market”, charted against BTC.
Source“I remain cautious short-term… this looks very overextended for now” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Expected retracements from here: • $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k) • $ETH: 15% - 20% ($2k - $2.1k)”
The shakeout, sized asset by asset. Two days after the card above, with BTC at $76,555, they published a table of expected retracements — Bitcoin 10–15% to $65k–70k, Ether 15–20% to $2k–2.1k, altcoins and memecoins deeper — and reposted it word for word on 18 September. Five days after the post Bitcoin had dipped 1.3% to $75,590, the closest it has come. Then it rallied the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+13.1%), and is $83,145 today, +8.6% above the post — a 15.8% fall away from even the top of their target zone. Ether did the same: $2,438 to a $2,775 high (+13.9%), $2,666 today (+9.4%). No clock was attached, so it stays open — but it is going against them.
Source“Expected retracements from here… $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k)” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“High probability local highs are in. We could now see an LTF bounce towards $85k, but then down again. Bull trap confirmation (trend change) once $BTC goes below $80k. The expected target would be $65k-70k.”
Their newest call, and the most complete bearish one on this page: a top, a bounce level, a trigger and a target. Two days after the $86,597 close on 22 September, with BTC at $84,382, they called the local highs in, allowed a bounce toward $85k, and set below $80k as the confirmation for a drop to $65k–70k. On 27 September they added: “As mentioned on X, I'm starting to hedge.” Five days settles nothing. The highest close since is $84,449 (+0.1%), and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, 1.5% below the post — still above the $80k trigger. Note the shift: this is the first card here where they say they are acting on a bearish view rather than waiting to buy lower.
Source“High probability local highs are in” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.meOutcomes are our read of their stated direction against real CoinGecko price, not their own scoring. Two things bound what these cards can prove. First, il Capo has said they do not trade Bitcoin — “it's one of the main references for market direction” — so a red card marks a published view that aged badly, not a losing position; their actual holdings are privacy coins and low caps we have no price series for. Second, they publish confirmation levels rather than stops, so there is no exit to score against. The newest card is five days old and settles nothing. One more limit: the “$1,000 in” line on each card is buy-and-hold from the post date, including on the cautious and bearish cards from 25 August onward — for those, a positive figure means the call is going against them.
There is no paid group here — the Telegram channel is free and they say it is the only one they run. The money is in an exchange affiliate deal, a tool referral, and, most importantly, a book of illiquid coins they name publicly to an audience of six figures.
An affiliate deal announced on 16 July 2026 and still being promoted in August: a $10,000 USDT giveaway, a 10% trading-fee discount and up to $30,000 USDT in rewards through partner.bybit.com/b/cryptocapo. They stated the terms of their own restraint publicly — “my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading” and “Hence, I won't promote leverage” — which is a stricter line than most exchange deals draw. It is still a revenue share on people signing up to trade.
A referral link to the analytics platform they use (kiyotaka.ai/ref=CryptoCapo), posted to the channel in May 2026. They also flagged that Telegram's own ads now appear in the feed: “Ads might pop up here due to Telegram's new policy. I don't control them and they're not related to the content.”
This matters more than the affiliate links. They post buy zones on illiquid privacy coins and low caps they hold — $XMR, $ZEC, $ZANO, $ARRR, $XLM, $BCH, $TAO — to roughly 116,800 Telegram readers and ~800K on X, with lines like “$XMR looks ready to take off.” Bitcoin, the asset charted above, is the one thing they say they do not trade. Weigh a low-cap call from an account this size accordingly.
Their channel description warns: “This is the only TG that I have. Beware of scammers. I will never DM you first.” Copycat Telegram channels and YouTube accounts using the name exist; this dossier links only the two handles the account itself declares.
“As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin, but it's one of the main references for market direction.”
04 Mar 2026 · the disclosure that frames the whole chart above“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
11 Jun 2026 · five months in, owning it publicly“Trade the charts, not the news.”
07 Apr 2026 · their standing instruction to readers“As always, my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading.”
16 Jul 2026 · announcing the Bybit dealQuotes transcribed from their own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
There is no video library to link. il Capo publishes no podcast and runs no verified YouTube channel — the channels trading on the name are unverified, and the account warns about impersonators. Their entire output is short posts on X and the free Telegram channel, which is exactly why every call above is a screenshot-length quote with a timestamp rather than a clip. Both handles are linked at the top of this page; the full verified corpus behind the chart is cited on each card.
An anonymous crypto analyst and trader posting as @CryptoCapo_ on X to roughly 800,000 followers, with a free Telegram channel of roughly 116,800. No verified name, face or country has been published, and no pronouns have been stated. They have been in the market since 2017 and became widely known for calling the 2021–22 Bitcoin collapse.
Both, at different times. They called Bitcoin below $23,000 in March 2022 from around $40,000 and it traded under $18,000 that June. They then held a $12,000 target that never arrived — NewsBTC reported in October 2024 that it had become “a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite.” Across the twelve dated calls charted here (5 February – 24 September 2026), five played out, five are still open and two went against — including a 26.8% drawdown after they forecast a 1–2% dip.
No paid group has been found, and the Telegram channel is free and declared to be the only one they run. They earn from a Bybit affiliate partnership announced in July 2026 and a tool referral link, and they hold and publicly name illiquid privacy coins and low caps — which is the conflict worth weighing, more than the affiliate links.
Buying high-timeframe support zones identified by confluence — order blocks, prior all-time highs, range lows — when liquidity is stacked above and sentiment is at its most negative, then holding spot through the drawdown and naming confirmation levels above rather than stops below. They say they trade spot only and will not promote leverage, and that their own book is privacy coins rather than Bitcoin.
il Capo buys the zone, ignores the news and waits — sometimes for months, sometimes too long. How close is your instinct? Measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials — their own dated X posts and posts from the Telegram channel their account declares as official, linked on each call. il Capo is anonymous and has never stated pronouns; this page uses they/them rather than guess. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you il Capo? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 29 September 2026
