@Darkfost_Coc
A pseudonymous on-chain analyst who writes for CryptoQuant. Darkfost called the end of the bear market on 18 July at $63,905, and Bitcoin never closed more than 1.8% lower after that. On 26 June Darkfost said Ether whales under water had marked bottoms before, on the day of Ether's lowest close. But in March Darkfost expected months below $72,500, and in summer looked for one more leg down that never came.
In short. Darkfost is a pseudonymous on-chain analyst and a verified author for CryptoQuant, posting on X as @Darkfost_Coc. On our sample of ten in-window calls the record is 6 played out, 1 open, 3 went against. The regime calls from on-chain data were good. Two of the three misses were late calls for one more drop.
Darkfost is a pen name. We found no real name, and we do not say “he” or “she” because we found no source for either. The X bio reads “Market Decoder and data eater”, “Verified Author for @cryptoquant_com” and “Quoted by @Bloomberg / @Forbes / @CNBC”. The account has been on X since 2017. Some replies are written in French.
Darkfost posts on-chain charts almost every day: the cost basis of short-term and long-term holders, apparent demand, supply in profit, exchange flows, funding rates and ETF flows. Many of these posts are also published as short CryptoQuant articles, and crypto news sites quote them by name.
Most posts describe data without a view on where price goes next. We read every own post from 12 March to 7 October and charted only those that state a direction, a bottom, a regime or a level for Bitcoin or Ether. Darkfost also posts the odd Elliott Wave count, while saying “I don't post much technical analysis”. We charted those too.
Sources: x.com/Darkfost_Coc (own posts) · cryptoquant.com
Cost bases and cycles. Darkfost reads the market through what holders paid and how they behave: whether short-term holders sit in profit or loss, whether long-term holders sell at a loss, and whether demand absorbs new supply. The base case is that Bitcoin repeats its past cycles. That worked for the regime calls. It was weaker on timing: Bitcoin broke above $72,500 weeks after Darkfost expected months below it, and the extra drops Darkfost expected in June and August did not come.
Cautious on Bitcoin through the spring, expecting the bear market to run longer. From late June Darkfost pointed to signs of a bottom, and on 18 July called the end of the bear market. In August Darkfost still expected one more leg down, then turned bullish when demand returned. On 24 September Darkfost posted “Bull Market Confirmed”. On 1 October Darkfost wrote that a small dip to find demand would not be unlikely.
Ten dated calls from Darkfost, all from Darkfost's own X posts, each checked verbatim against the post and charted against real price. The tally is 6 played out, 1 open, 3 went against.
“The market has just gone from panic selling to buying the dip.”
Posted at $80,874. Darkfost added that for anyone expecting Bitcoin to go lower, “it gets complicated”. Bitcoin never closed lower. It rose to $86,597 (+7.1%) on 22 September, and its lowest close since then was $83,479 (+3.2%) on 29 September. It is at $84,009 (+3.9%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“The market has just gone from panic selling to buying the dip.” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“In the short term, a complete structure is currently unfolding, with Wave (5) in progress and a potential target around $88 000.”
Charted at $77,297; the post went out late that day. Darkfost put the end of the move between $85,000 and $88,000, followed by a wave II pullback to around $76,000. Bitcoin first dipped to $75,590 (−2.2%) on 16 September, then rose to $86,597 (+12.0%) on 22 September, inside that range but short of $88,000. The pullback has not come: the lowest close since is $83,479 (+8.0%). It is at $84,009 (+8.7%). The first half played out; the second is open.
𝕏 Post“a potential target around $88 000” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“As it stands, wave C points to a level between $57,000 and $54,000, depending on the capitulation it triggers.”
Posted at $62,820. Bitcoin's lowest close after the post was $62,773 (−0.1%) the next day. It never got near $57,000. It rose to $86,597 (+37.8%) on 22 September and is at $84,009 (+33.7%). Went against.
𝕏 Post“wave C points to a level between $57,000 and $54,000” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“The end of the bear market is approaching.”
Posted at $63,905, when the short-term holder cost basis crossed below that of active long-term holders. Darkfost wrote that this was the final phase and a time when buying in steps “makes sense”. Bitcoin's lowest close after that was $62,773 (−1.8%) on 2 August. It rose to $86,597 (+35.5%) on 22 September and is at $84,009 (+31.5%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“The end of the bear market is approaching.” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“the market could potentially face one more, perhaps final, capitulation wave before stabilizing for good.”
Posted at $59,495. Two days later Bitcoin made its low at $58,566 (−1.6%) on 1 July, and never closed lower. That was a small dip, not a new wave down. Bitcoin rose to $86,597 (+45.6%) on 22 September and is at $84,009 (+41.2%). As a call for one more leg down, it went against.
𝕏 Post“one more, perhaps final, capitulation wave” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“Historically, when the ETH market came to test these whales’ conviction, a bottom zone was marked at the same time.”
Posted at $1,566, when all three Ether whale groups were holding at a loss. That day was Ether's lowest close of the window. Ether rose to $2,775 (+77.2%) on 22 September and is at $2,608 (+66.5%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“a bottom zone was marked at the same time” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“I’m therefore leaning toward a wave B scenario, likely unfolding in five legs as well, before potentially triggering a final corrective wave C.”
Posted at $78,677. Darkfost expected a bounce to about $87,000 first, and warned against “the likely wave of euphoria”. The bounce stopped at $82,018 (+4.2%) on 11 May, well short of $87,000. Then the drop came: Bitcoin fell to $58,566 (−25.6%) on 1 July. It is at $84,009 (+6.8%). The level was missed, but the call for one more leg down played out.
𝕏 Post“before potentially triggering a final corrective wave C” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“BTC has entered the final stage of its bear market.”
Posted at $71,368. Darkfost added that Bitcoin could go lower and that this stage could last several more months. Both held. Bitcoin rose to $82,018 (+14.9%) on 11 May, then fell to $58,566 (−17.9%) on 1 July, almost three months later. It is at $84,009 (+17.7%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“BTC has entered the final stage of its bear market.” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“If this pattern repeats, we could expect several more difficult months for BTC, with price continuing to trade below $72,500.”
Posted at $66,330. Bitcoin closed above $72,500 two weeks later, at $72,920 (+9.9%) on 11 April, and rose to $82,018 (+23.7%) on 11 May. It did fall back later, to $58,566 (−11.7%) on 1 July. It is at $84,009 (+26.7%). The level broke within weeks, so the call went against.
𝕏 Post“we could expect several more difficult months for BTC” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.com“Ethereum is therefore positioned in the middle of this realized price zone, suggesting that for someone looking to take a medium- to long-term exposure, the best strategy would be to wait.”
Posted at $2,156, with Ether's realized price of about $2,300 acting as resistance. Ether rose only to $2,421 (+12.3%) on 18 April, then fell to $1,566 (−27.4%) on 26 June. Waiting gave a much cheaper entry. Ether is at $2,608 (+20.9%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“the best strategy would be to wait” — @Darkfost_Coc on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not Darkfost's own scoring. Every quote is verbatim from the post linked on its card. Each call is charted at that day's midnight CoinGecko mark. The 3 September post went out at 20:28 UTC; the next day's mark was $81,265, so most of that day's rise came before the post. On 22 September Darkfost repeated the wave II view with a level of about $74,500. That update is not charted separately. Most of Darkfost's posts describe data with no view on price, and we left those out. The “$1,000 in” line on each card assumes buying on the day. On the bearish cards it shows what a buyer would have lost or made, not what Darkfost said to do.
Darkfost's X posts are free to read. Here is what we found about how the work is paid for.
Darkfost is a verified author for CryptoQuant, an on-chain data company that sells paid plans. Many of Darkfost's charts are made with CryptoQuant data and link to its site. We did not find whether Darkfost is paid by CryptoQuant.
In August and September 2026 Darkfost posted several invite codes for the Plasma app, as referral links.
Darkfost has said on X that they hold some Aave and some PUMP tokens. We found no statement about Bitcoin or Ether holdings.
“The end of the bear market is approaching.”
18 Jul 2026 · played out“The market has just gone from panic selling to buying the dip.”
19 Sep 2026 · played out“wave C points to a level between $57,000 and $54,000”
1 Aug 2026 · went againstQuotes transcribed from their own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Darkfost posts on-chain charts on X almost every day, and many appear as short articles on CryptoQuant.
A pseudonymous on-chain analyst and verified author for CryptoQuant, posting on X as @Darkfost_Coc, with about 11,000 followers. Crypto news sites often quote Darkfost's charts. We found no real name.
On our sample of ten dated calls from 25 March to 19 September 2026: six played out, one is open, three went against. The calls on the end of the bear market and on Ether were good. The March call for months below $72,500 and the calls for one more leg down in June and August were not.
The X posts are free, and many also appear as free short articles on CryptoQuant, which sells paid data plans. We found no paid service of Darkfost's own.
The average price paid by holders who bought Bitcoin in the last six months or so. Darkfost treats it as resistance in a bear market and as support in a bull market.
Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.
Darkfost reads Bitcoin through what holders paid. How close is your instinct? Measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
Now put your approach to work. Test your edge on live market data with no capital at risk in a free BuyCrypt tournament with real prizes.
Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: Darkfost's public X posts and profile and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Darkfost? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 7 October 2026
