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Trader Dossier · Bear-Market Cycle Trader · Bitcoin & Ether · @CryptoBullet1
CryptoBullet

CryptoBullet

@CryptoBullet1

≈183K followers on XOn X since 201912 dated calls charted here

CryptoBullet is an anonymous chart trader who posts Bitcoin, Ether and altcoin charts to about 183,000 followers on X. They read 2026 as a bear-market year and called the May-to-July drop: “$60k was NOT the bear market bottom” in March, and a crash warning in May. Their targets for the bottom were much lower than what came. Bitcoin's lowest close was $58,566 on 1 July, not the $49-53k they targeted in June, and their August call for a final leg down was followed by a 36% rally.

Called 2026 a bear-market year for BitcoinCounted down the bear market month by monthTargeted a Bitcoin bottom of $35-45kBio carries exchange referral links
12Calls tracked4Played out1Open7Went againstSee the record →

In short. CryptoBullet posts as @CryptoBullet1. On our sample of twelve in-window calls the record is 4 played out, 1 open, 7 went against. They got the direction of the spring and early-summer slide right, for Bitcoin and Ether. Every level they set for the bottom was too low, and they stayed bearish through the August turn. In September they called the run to $85-88k, then said it was the last pump before a two-month correction.

Background — what is documented, and what is not

CryptoBullet's X account was opened in May 2019. The profile says “Trader • Market Analyst” and gives no name, no location and no website. We found no interview or public record that names the person behind it, so this page uses they/them.

Their method mixes chart patterns (wedges, channels, head and shoulders), moving averages and on-chain measures such as the Realized Price, the CVDD and the MVRV Z-Score. They lean on past cycles: in January they wrote that every bear market takes Bitcoin below its Realized Price, and set a “$35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target”. Through spring and summer they posted a “Bear Market Progress” countdown, such as “50% done. Only 6 months left” on 6 April.

We read 494 of their own posts from 15 December 2025 to 9 October 2026, as returned by their X profile feed. We charted the ones that give a direction or a level for Bitcoin or Ether in the text. Many of their posts are about altcoins and the altcoin market; we did not chart those. NewsBTC and Cointelegraph have cited their Bitcoin charts.

Sources: x.com/CryptoBullet1 (own posts) · NewsBTC · Cointelegraph

Trading style & philosophy

Cycle analogies, called with conviction. CryptoBullet compares 2026 with the 2018 and 2022 bear markets and counts the months left. They state views bluntly (“$BTC is still in a bear market and nothing can change that”) and mark hits in public with “So far so good” and “as expected”. After the August rally they wrote “Something's off” and set 1 December as the date to “flip 100% bullish” if no new low comes.

Toolkit · how often each shows up across the public calls we analysed
Reading chart levels5/10
Calling the trend5/10
Calling the bottom2/10
Short-term timing6/10
Ether calls5/10
Admitting misses6/10
Market posture
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

Mixed. On 21 September they called the move to $86,597 “the final pump before the 2-month correction”. Their 3 September chart drew that correction as a right shoulder in November, followed by a breakout in 2027. They have said they will turn “100% bullish” on 1 December if Bitcoin makes no new low by then.

Trade this styleCycle Challenge — trade your own read of the cycle and see how it goesJoin free →

Track record — their calls, charted

Twelve dated calls from CryptoBullet, all from their own X posts, each checked word for word against the post and charted against real price. The tally is 4 played out, 1 open, 7 went against.

12
Calls tracked
4
Played out
1
Open
7
Went against
Each call is charted from the day they said it to today · white = when they spoke · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. How we score →
21 Sep 2026BTC
Final pump before a correction · open

“I'd like to be wrong, but in my opinion this is the final pump before the 2-month correction 📉”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kOct▲ said 21 Sep
BTC $81.2kLow after $81.2k · +0%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,012 · +1.2%worst dip along the way +0% (−$0)

Posted at $81,169. Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+6.7%) on 22 September, its highest close of the window, and has not closed higher since. It fell to $81,686 (+0.6%) early on 9 October and is at $82,171 (+1.2%). The pump topped the next day; whether a two-month correction follows is still open.

𝕏 Post“this is the final pump before the 2-month correction” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
3 Sep 2026BTC
Pump to $85-88k this month · ok

“Here's what I'm expecting next: a pump to $85-88k by the end of the month and a 2-month correction after that”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kSepOct▲ said 3 Sep
BTC $77.3kLow after $75.6k · -2%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,063 · +6.3%worst dip along the way -2% (−$22)

Posted at $77,297. Their chart drew the correction as a right shoulder near $70,000 in November, then a breakout in 2027. Bitcoin dipped to $75,590 (−2.2%) on 16 September, then closed at $86,597 (+12.0%) on 22 September, inside $85-88k. It ended the month at $83,640 (+8.2%) and is at $82,171 (+6.3%). The pump came on time. Played out.

𝕏 Post“a pump to $85-88k by the end of the month” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
25 Aug 2026BTC
Rejection and a 10-15% drop · missed

“I’m expecting a rejection here and a 10-15% correction. Bears still have enough time to fight back 👊”

$67.4k$74.7k$82.1kSepOct▲ said 25 Aug
BTC $79.0kLow after $75.6k · -4%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,040 · +4.0%worst dip along the way -4% (−$43)

Posted at $78,974, with Bitcoin testing its 50-week average. Its lowest close after the post was $75,590 (−4.3%) on 16 September. It then closed at $86,597 (+9.7%) on 22 September and is at $82,171 (+4.0%). The 10-15% correction did not come. Went against.

𝕏 Post“I’m expecting a rejection here and a 10-15% correction.” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
12 Aug 2026BTC
$58k not the bottom · missed

“👉 $58k was not the bottom! The final leg down of this Bear Market is coming 🩸”

$67.3k$74.7k$82.1kAugSepOct▲ said 12 Aug
BTC $63.5kLow after $62.8k · -1%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,293 · +29.3%worst dip along the way -1% (−$11)

Posted at $63,538, as their view for “the next 2-3 months”. Bitcoin's lowest close after the post was $62,844 (−1.1%) on 17 August. It then rose to $86,597 (+36.3%) on 22 September and is at $82,171 (+29.3%). It has not closed below $58,566, the 1 July low. The final leg down has not come. Went against.

𝕏 Post“$58k was not the bottom!” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
2 Jul 2026ETH
Ether will go lower · missed

“There’s nothing bullish on this chart, $ETH will go lower 📉 📍 March 2023 & April 2025 - $ETH must take out those lows”

$1.8k$2.2k$2.5kJulAugSepOct▲ said 2 Jul
ETH $1.6kLow after $1.6k · +0%Now $2.5k
$1,000 in on their call$1,547 · +54.7%worst dip along the way +0% (−$0)

Posted at $1,608, after what they called Ether's lowest monthly close since December 2022. Ether never closed lower after the post; its next close was $1,699 (+5.6%) on 3 July. It rose to $2,775 (+72.6%) on 22 September and is at $2,488 (+54.7%). The lows they named were not taken out. Went against.

𝕏 Post“$ETH will go lower” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
10 Jun 2026ETH
Third leg down to ~$1,230 · missed

“If the 3rd Leg Down on $BTC is gonna be -40% (explained yesterday), then the 3rd Leg Down on $ETH would be -50%? Which is approximately $1230 📍”

$1.8k$2.2k$2.5kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 10 Jun
ETH $1.6kLow after $1.6k · -4%Now $2.5k
$1,000 in on their call$1,518 · +51.8%worst dip along the way -4% (−$44)

Posted at $1,639. Ether's lowest close after the post was $1,566 (−4.4%) on 26 June, well above $1,230. It rose to $2,775 (+69.3%) on 22 September and is at $2,488 (+51.8%). The target was not reached. Went against.

𝕏 Post“Which is approximately $1230 📍” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
9 Jun 2026BTC
This leg down to $49-53k · missed

“How low can $BTC go on this leg down? My Target is $49-53k That's where we could stop and consolidate for a month or two before the final capitulation 📉 🩸”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 9 Jun
BTC $63.1kLow after $58.6k · -7%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,303 · +30.3%worst dip along the way -7% (−$71)

Posted at $63,069. Bitcoin's lowest close after the post was $58,566 (−7.1%) on 1 July, about $5,500 above the top of their range. It rose to $86,597 (+37.3%) on 22 September and is at $82,171 (+30.3%). The leg down went lower, but not to $49-53k. Went against.

𝕏 Post“My Target is $49-53k” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
1 Jun 2026ETH
Support will break · ok

“It was a very weak Dead Cat Bounce. Now the Support will break 📉”

$1.8k$2.2k$2.5kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 1 Jun
ETH $2.0kLow after $1.6k · -22%Now $2.5k
$1,000 in on their call$1,241 · +24.1%worst dip along the way -22% (−$219)

Posted at $2,005. Their monthly chart put the support near $1,900 and drew an arrow toward about $1,300. Ether closed below it on 3 June, at $1,858 (−7.3%), and fell to $1,569 (−21.7%) on 7 June. Its low came on 26 June at $1,566 (−21.9%). It is at $2,488 (+24.1%). The support broke within days. Played out.

𝕏 Post“Now the Support will break 📉” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
18 May 2026BTC
Crash warning · ok

“Whenever $BTC gets above the Short-Term Holder Realised Price in a Bear Market, it ends up crashing badly 📉 🩸 Consider yourself warned.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 18 May
BTC $77.4kLow after $58.6k · -24%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,061 · +6.1%worst dip along the way -24% (−$244)

Posted at $77,429. Bitcoin's best close after the post was $77,550 (+0.2%) on 22 May. It fell to $60,855 (−21.4%) on 7 June and to the window's lowest close, $58,566 (−24.4%), on 1 July. It is at $82,171 (+6.1%). The crash came within three weeks. Played out.

𝕏 Post“it ends up crashing badly 📉 🩸 Consider yourself warned.” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
1 Apr 2026BTC
April will be red · missed

“A wick up to 0.618 Fib ($71.7k) is possible this month. Anyway, I’m expecting April to be red”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 1 Apr
BTC $68.1kLow after $58.6k · -14%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,206 · +20.6%worst dip along the way -14% (−$140)

Posted at $68,107, the April open. Bitcoin's lowest close in April was $66,823 (−1.9%) on 4 April. It went well past $71.7k, to $78,638 (+15.5%) on 27 April, and closed the month at $76,297 (+12.0%), the 1 May mark. It is at $82,171 (+20.6%). April was green. Went against.

𝕏 Post“I’m expecting April to be red” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
24 Mar 2026BTC
$60k was not the bottom · ok

“$60k was NOT the bear market bottom for $BTC, don’t fool yourself.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 24 Mar
BTC $71.0kLow after $58.6k · -17%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,158 · +15.8%worst dip along the way -17% (−$175)

Posted at $70,987. Bitcoin first rose to $82,018 (+15.5%) on 11 May. It closed below $60,000 on 26 June, at $59,727 (−15.9%), and made the window's lowest close of $58,566 (−17.5%) on 1 July. It is at $82,171 (+15.8%). The low so far came below $60,000, but only just. Played out.

𝕏 Post“$60k was NOT the bear market bottom for $BTC” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com
20 Mar 2026BTC
Wedge breakdown, sub $50k · missed

“$BTC Rising Wedge is on the verge of a breakdown 📉 Targeting sub $50k”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 20 Mar
BTC $69.9kLow after $58.6k · -16%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on their call$1,175 · +17.5%worst dip along the way -16% (−$163)

Posted at $69,936. Bitcoin dipped to $65,947 (−5.7%) on 30 March, then rose to $82,018 (+17.3%) on 11 May. Its lowest close after the post was $58,566 (−16.3%) on 1 July, and it never closed below $50,000. It is at $82,171 (+17.5%). The target was not reached. Went against.

𝕏 Post“Targeting sub $50k” — @CryptoBullet1 on X↗ x.com

Outcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not CryptoBullet's own scoring. Every quote is verbatim from the post linked on its card, spelling included. Each call is charted at that day's midnight CoinGecko mark; all twelve posts went out between 09:00 and 17:10 UTC. The “$1,000 in” line on each card assumes buying on the day, even for the bearish calls.

How they make money — and where the conflicts are

CryptoBullet's X posts are free to read. We found no paid group or newsletter. Here is what we found.

Exchange referral links

Their X bio carries partner links to two crypto derivatives exchanges, Bybit (“$30K Welcome Bonus”) and BloFin (“$5K Bonus”). Referral programs like these usually pay the referrer a share of the trading fees of people who sign up.

Small tokens they post about

Many of their posts are bullish charts on small tokens, such as $ATS (“available on MEXC, Gate”), $STRK, $ZRO and $SD. On 26 April they wrote “Still holding my spot position” in $SD. We found no paid-promotion labels on these posts.

Signature ideas

“Something's off 😑”

21 Aug 2026 · after the rally

“$60k was NOT the bear market bottom for $BTC, don’t fool yourself.”

24 Mar 2026 · played out

“My Target is $49-53k”

9 Jun 2026 · went against

Quotes transcribed from their own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.

Content library

CryptoBullet posts on X. We found no YouTube channel, newsletter or website in their name.

Straight answers

Who is CryptoBullet?+

An anonymous trader and market analyst who posts as @CryptoBullet1 on X to about 183,000 followers. The account was opened in May 2019. They give no name or location.

Is CryptoBullet accurate?+

On our sample of twelve dated calls from 20 March to 21 September 2026: four played out, one is open, seven went against. They called the May-to-July slide in Bitcoin and Ether. Their bottom targets were too low, and their August call for a final leg down was followed by a rally of more than 30%.

What was CryptoBullet's Bitcoin bottom target?+

In January they set a “$35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target”, and in June a target of $49-53k for the leg down. Bitcoin's lowest close in our window was $58,566 on 1 July. On 8 September they wrote that if that was the bottom, it was “the shortest $BTC bear market”.

How does CryptoBullet make money?+

We found no paid group. Their X bio carries referral links to the Bybit and BloFin exchanges, which usually pay a share of trading fees. They also post bullish charts on small tokens, without paid-promotion labels.

What is CryptoBullet's net worth?+

Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.

How much do you trade like them?

CryptoBullet reads the cycle from past bear markets and counts the months left. Would you? Measure your own instinct for real with a Trader Passport.

1. Your cycle model says the bottom is months away, but price rallies 30%…
2. Your bottom target is $49-53k and price stops at $58k…
3. Price breaks above a key moving average after a long fall…
4. A past cycle fits today's chart well…
—style match with CryptoBullet

Build your Trader Passport →
Put it to the test

CryptoBullet reads 2026 through the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. Do past cycles predict the next one?

Now put your approach to work. Test your edge on live market data with no capital at risk in a free BuyCrypt tournament with real prizes.

Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: CryptoBullet's public X posts and profile, and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you CryptoBullet? Submit a correction →

Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 9 October 2026