@crypto_birb
A Polish technical analyst with about 712K followers on X who trades Bitcoin by the four-year cycle, the 200-day trend and the calendar. In July 2025 he said he was exiting crypto ahead of a 2026 bear market; in August 2026 he wrote that “the bear market is over”. This page checks the levels he has named since.
In short. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: five dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 15 September 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and four are still open. None has gone against him yet, but all five are recent, so the sample is short.
Adrian Zduńczyk invented the “Crypto Birb” handle and brand, according to mpost.io's profile, which describes him as a market analyst and the founder and CEO of The Birb Nest. The X account (@crypto_birb, display name “₿IRB”) was opened in August 2017 and has more than 123,000 posts.
On 9 July 2025 he explained publicly that he was rotating out of crypto: “Cycle tops always occurred in US post-election years”, “2026 is a midterm year”, and “My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.” He said he would “look to re-enter crypto in Q4 2026 or early 2027”. That post is outside this page's price window, so it is not charted, but the outline held: Bitcoin peaked in October 2025, and in our data it bottomed at $58,566 on 1 July 2026.
His method is classic technical analysis — pattern targets, support and resistance, the 200-day trend and golden crosses — combined with seasonality tables (“Midterm Septembers never closed green. Until today.”). Many posts end with a question to followers and an explicit “I have absolutely no idea”, so several calls on this page are scenarios, not single targets.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
Cycle-and-seasonality technician. He names support and resistance, measures pattern targets (“taking the base size of the pattern and adding to resistance”), and leans on halving-cycle and calendar statistics for the bigger picture. The strength in this sample is the support zones: price tested them and bounced. The weakness for a scorecard is that many posts lay out two outcomes at once, so they can't be clearly right or wrong.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”.
Five dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All five are from late August and September 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $83,448 now (+6.7%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $83,448 now (+5.5%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $83,448 now (+8.0%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $83,448 now (+6.7%) and would need to rise another 73% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $83,448 now (+7.4%). Played out so far — a five-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of what each post said, measured against real CoinGecko daily closes — not his own scoring. Levels are checked against daily closes, so an intraday touch may have gone further than the figures given. “Still open” means the call names a level or a horizon that has not been reached or broken yet.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. That is an incentive worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code; we did not find published terms for what he earns from it.
His brand for analysis, education and consulting, with a YouTube channel and website. Older uploads include sponsored exchange and project features.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. We found no later public statement of his crypto holdings.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · BTC rose 11.4% without giving the move back“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · Bitcoin peaked in October 2025“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · his read of the 2026 bear marketQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
There is no recent market video to link here. The Birb Nest YouTube channel's uploads in this window promote the Millionaire Speedrun program, and every charted call links to his post on X.
Adrian Zduńczyk, a Polish chartered market technician (CMT) and the founder of The Birb Nest, posting as @crypto_birb on X to about 712K followers since August 2017.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in and that Q4, historically Bitcoin's best quarter, “is about to start”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of five dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 15 Sep 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and four are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN.
Crypto Birb trades the four-year cycle with support zones and calendar statistics. How close is your instinct — measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials (his own dated X posts, X profile, The Birb Nest YouTube channel and a public profile on mpost.io, linked on the page). Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Adrian? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 1 October 2026
