@ColinTCrypto
Colin Talks Crypto is a Bitcoin cycle analyst with about 88,000 followers on X and a YouTube channel. He made the CBBI, a free index of Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms. He was bearish from November 2025 and timed the May top and the June breakdown well. But his targets for a much deeper bottom did not come, and he turned bullish in August, after the 1 July low.
In short. Colin posts as @ColinTCrypto. On our sample of 12 calls (11 Bitcoin, 1 Ethereum) from 2 April to 28 September the record is 5 played out, 1 open, 6 went against. His spring calls on the top and the breakdown were good. His deep bear market targets and his summer calls for new lows were wrong.
Colin runs the Colin Talks Crypto channel on YouTube and posts on X as @ColinTCrypto, an account opened in September 2014. His X profile gives his location as Puerto Rico. He does not publish his surname, and we did not find it in a reliable source. Crypto news sites such as NewsBTC call him “crypto analyst Colin”.
He created the CBBI (Colin Talks Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index), a free, open-source index that scores nine metrics to judge where Bitcoin is in its cycle. The CBBI site names him as creator and Kamil Monicz as the original developer. He also often uses the global M2 money supply, moving averages and chart patterns.
In November 2025, NewsBTC reported him saying Bitcoin could still make new highs that cycle. By his own account he turned bearish on 14 November 2025, and he stayed bearish until August 2026. On 4 June he wrote “I got this one wrong.” about a support level that broke. We graded every Bitcoin and Ethereum post from 16 March to 12 October 2026 that leaned one way, not only the best ones.
Sources: x.com/ColinTCrypto (own posts) · YouTube: Colin Talks Crypto · CBBI site · NewsBTC (Nov 2025)
Cycle timing first, then chart levels. Colin measures how long Bitcoin bear markets usually last and how far they fall, then looks for chart patterns and moving averages to time entries and exits. He often gives odds, such as “I currently give 70% odds”, and says when he thinks he was wrong. He sells into rallies and buys back in steps.
Leaning bullish. On 24 September he put his confidence that the cycle low is in at up to 85%. On 8 October he wrote “I think we see lower still”, and he is holding cash to buy a dip.
Twelve dated calls from Colin Talks Crypto, all from his own X posts, each checked word for word against the post and charted against real price. The tally is 5 played out, 1 open, 6 went against.
“If we get a drop back into this range (see blue box), that will be the prime time to stack BTC on the dip. This is looking increasingly likely.”
Posted at $84,449. The blue box on his chart runs from about $68K to $81K. Bitcoin's lowest close since was $81,686 (−3.3%) on 9 October, just above the box. His 8 October post said price had re-entered it, which can happen intraday. It is at $83,593 (−1.0%). On daily closes the drop into the box has not come yet. Open.
𝕏 Post“This is looking increasingly likely.” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“Lower prices likely. Target is approx $68k (inverse H&S breakout neckline)”
Charted at $78,173, the midnight mark; the post went out at 22:12 UTC, and the next mark was $75,590 (−3.3%), the lowest close since. Bitcoin never got near $68K. It rose to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 September and is at $83,593 (+6.9%). Went against.
𝕏 Post“Target is approx $68k” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“Because I think the #BTC low is likely to be in (see post below)— and even if it’s not, we’re far enough along in the cycle— my strategy now is just to wait for the next corrective period in the cycle to buy back in with my last, remaining 35% cash.”
Posted at $78,318. The 1 July low of $58,566 has not been retested: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−3.5%) on 16 September. Bitcoin rose to $86,597 (+10.6%) on 22 September and is at $83,593 (+6.7%). Played out so far.
𝕏 Post“I think the #BTC low is likely to be in” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“$BTC Looks like it wants to break lower to me. Lower highs since June 14 and sitting on the edge of a head-and-shoulders pattern that could break down. I think it’s only a matter of time.”
Charted at $63,429, the midnight mark; the post went out at 20:32 UTC. Bitcoin's lowest close after was $62,844 (−0.9%) on 17 August, not a real break. It then jumped to $78,318 (+23.5%) on 22 August and is at $83,593 (+31.8%). Went against.
𝕏 Post“Looks like it wants to break lower” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“I think $BTC may go as high as the 200-day MA (around $70k-$71k) before dumping again.”
Posted at $64,984. Bitcoin topped at $66,521 (+2.4%) on 22 July and dipped to $62,773 (−3.4%) on 2 August, above the 1 July low. It then went straight through $70K–$71K, closing at $73,021 (+12.4%) on 21 August, and is at $83,593 (+28.6%). The dump did not come. Went against.
𝕏 Post“$BTC may go as high as the 200-day MA (around $70k-$71k) before dumping again” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“It is *very very* likely that $BTC finds new cycle lows.”
Posted at $62,662. The lowest close in our window before this was $60,855 on 7 June. Bitcoin closed at $58,566 (−6.5%) on 1 July, a new low for the window and below the $60K February low he often cites. It is at $83,593 (+33.4%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“It is *very very* likely that $BTC finds new cycle lows.” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“$65k-$66k looks like a reasonable support level for a short term bounce. (For "bounce duration", think: weeks or a couple months, max)”
Charted at $71,320, the midnight mark; the post went out at 22:55 UTC, and the next mark was $66,727 (−6.4%). Bitcoin closed at $64,047 (−10.2%) on 4 June, below the zone, and that evening he wrote “I got this one wrong.” It fell to $60,855 (−14.7%) on 7 June and $58,566 (−17.9%) on 1 July. It is at $83,593 (+17.2%). Went against.
𝕏 Post“$65k-$66k looks like a reasonable support level” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“$BTC H&S Top Breakdown & Channel Breakdown Target: $61,000”
Posted at $73,599. Bitcoin closed at $60,960 (−17.2%) on 6 June, just under $61,000, five days later. It went on to $58,566 (−20.4%) on 1 July and is at $83,593 (+13.6%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“Target: $61,000” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“Local top is in, boys. I think that was it.”
Posted at $80,482, two days after the $82,018 close of 11 May. Bitcoin reached only $81,059 (+0.7%) on 15 May, then fell to $58,566 (−27.2%) on 1 July. It did not close above $82,018 again until 22 September. It is at $83,593 (+3.9%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“Local top is in, boys.” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“Eyeing $75k-$81k for BTC’s potential local top zone. This pump to be followed by new lows in the months to come.”
Posted at $71,368. Bitcoin passed $75K on 17 April and topped at $82,018 (+14.9%) on 11 May, 1.3% above his $81K mark. It then fell to $58,566 (−17.9%) on 1 July, below the $60K February low. It is at $83,593 (+17.1%). The pump, the top zone and the new low all came. Played out.
𝕏 Post“Eyeing $75k-$81k for BTC’s potential local top zone” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“Bear Market Targets $BTC $35k-$40k $ETH $900”
Posted at $2,132. Ether's lowest close since was $1,566 (−26.5%) on 26 June, far above $900. It is at $2,542 (+19.3%). Since 22 August he has said the Bitcoin low is likely in, so he no longer expects this target. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Bear Market Targets $BTC $35k-$40k $ETH $900” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.com“Bear Market Targets $BTC $35k-$40k $ETH $900”
Posted at $67,960. Bitcoin's lowest close since was $58,566 (−13.8%) on 1 July, far above $35K–$40K. It is at $83,593 (+23.0%). Since 22 August he has said the low is likely in, so he no longer expects these targets. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Bear Market Targets $BTC $35k-$40k” — @ColinTCrypto on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not Colin's own scoring. Every quote is verbatim from the post linked on its card. Each call is charted at that day's midnight CoinGecko mark. Three posts went out late in the day (after 20:00 UTC); their cards say so. We grade on daily closes, so a short intraday wick does not count. His 2 April post gave targets for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, so it has two cards. The “$1,000 in” line on each card assumes buying on the day, even for bearish calls.
Colin's posts, videos and the CBBI are free. We found no paid group, course, newsletter or referral link. Here is what we found.
He posts videos on the Colin Talks Crypto channel, which has about 64,300 subscribers. We did not find a paid membership tier.
The CBBI site says “CBBI is truly free. We don't monetize the website. We don't sell your data.”
He posts his trades. On 4 May he wrote “My portfolio is now 40% cash; 60% bitcoin”. On 21 August he wrote “Just sold some $BTC at $78,995”. A chart he posted on 26 September shows his holdings as Bitcoin 72.8%, AbCellera (ABCL) stock 17.3% and cash 9.9%.
He posts bullish views on ABCL, a stock he holds, and on 7 June wrote “I bought a big chunk of ZEC at $316.” He says he sold all his altcoins around February 2026.
“Local top is in, boys. I think that was it.”
13 May 2026 · played out“I got this one wrong.”
4 Jun 2026 · his own verdict“I think the #BTC low is likely to be in”
22 Aug 2026 · played out so farQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Colin posts chart threads on X most days and longer cycle videos on YouTube.
A Bitcoin cycle analyst who posts as @ColinTCrypto on X to about 88,000 followers and runs a YouTube channel. He created the CBBI, a free Bitcoin cycle index. His X profile says he is in Puerto Rico. He does not publish his surname.
On our sample of 12 dated calls from 2 April to 28 September 2026: five played out, one is open, six went against. He called the May top and the June breakdown well. His deep bear market targets and his summer calls for new lows did not come.
Not in advance. He expected a lower bottom later in 2026 until August. On 22 August, with Bitcoin back above $78,000, he said the 1 July low was likely the bottom, and so far it has held.
The Colin Talks Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index, a free, open-source score built from nine on-chain and price metrics that tries to show where Bitcoin is in its cycle.
Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. He shares his portfolio split in percentages, not in dollars. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.
Colin times cycles and sells into rallies in steps. Would you trade that way? Measure your own instinct for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: Colin Talks Crypto's public X posts and profile, his YouTube channel, the CBBI site, press coverage, and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Colin? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 12 October 2026
