
@Bluntz_Capital
The wave counter who called the bottom of the 2018 bear market to within $50, and whose reputation has rested on it ever since. The 2026 record below is the useful kind — three confident calls that went straight against them in March, then the July bottom nailed within a day. Same method, opposite outcomes, seventeen weeks apart.
In short. Bluntz is a pseudonymous Elliott Wave trader who has posted to X since December 2017 and now reaches roughly 339,000 followers. Their reputation is built on one famous call — a $3,200 bottom named mid-2018, before Bitcoin printed $3,150 that December — and the crypto press has introduced them as “the trader who nailed the 2018 bottom” ever since. They publish charts, not essays: 7,300+ images across 33,000 posts, wave counts and divergences rather than macro. That makes them easy to score and hard to hide. In the seven months charted here they were wrong three times in March, calling a Solana bottom that had another 26% to fall and an Ethereum breakout that gave back 33%, then right four times running — flipping bearish on Bitcoin in April before an 18% drop, and calling the July low one day after it printed.
Bluntz is a pseudonym. No verified real name, face or location has been published, and because they have never stated pronouns, this page uses they/them — the press convention of “he” is an assumption, not a documented fact. What is verifiable is the account: @Bluntz_Capital, X-verified, joined 8 December 2017, 33,254 posts and 7,327 images, roughly 339,000 followers. They posted earlier under the handle @SmartContratcer, which still renders as “Bluntz”. Their bio is four words of method statement: “trader and bubblechaser, when one pops find another one”.
The call that made them came mid-2018, in the middle of the bear market, and NewsBTC quotes it exactly: “I'm calling a bottom at exactly 3.2k with a 200 dollar leeway either side.” Bitcoin bottomed at $3,150 that December — inside the band, at the low end. Eight years later the crypto press still opens articles about them with that call, and adds a second: The Daily Hodl's July 2026 headline calls them the “Crypto Strategist Who Nailed 2025 Bitcoin Peak,” for a target of roughly $120k made back in April 2024 against an actual top near $126k. Both sit far outside the price window this page can chart, so neither is scored here — they are context for why anyone listens, not evidence that the listening pays.
That is the honest tension in this dossier. A reputation earned in 2018 is not a track record in 2026, and the seven cards below are the 2026 record: four played out, three went hard against. The March calls are the ones worth reading first, because they are the ones the headlines never mention.
Sources: x.com/Bluntz_Capital · The Daily Hodl (4 dated articles) · NewsBTC · api.fxtwitter.com profile pull
Elliott Wave counts, confirmed by divergence. Bluntz reads the market as five-wave impulses and three-wave (ABC) corrections, and the recurring trade is to buy the end of a C-wave and hold for the markup phase. The timing tool is divergence — price making a lower low while RSI makes a higher low — checked across the four-hour, daily, three-day and weekly charts, with the higher timeframes carrying the weight. Around that sit Fibonacci retracements (the 0.618 as the level a “fresh new low” should wick into) and simple pattern reading (bear flags, range sweeps, accumulation-to-markup transitions). The strength is that it is falsifiable and posted in public with a date. The weakness shows up clearly below: wave counts label a bottom before the divergence confirms it, and in March 2026 that produced three confident calls into a market that had a third of its downside left.
Bearish on Bitcoin from April, then decisively bullish from 2 July and still bullish — the July flip is the one that worked. Reads as a bull, but a bull who spent a quarter of the window short-side and right.
Seven dated calls, all inside the price window, all charted against real price. Each one is an X post reproduced verbatim by The Daily Hodl (their articles print “Source: Bluntz/X” under the quote); every quote below was re-fetched from the live page and machine-checked as an exact substring before it was allowed onto this page. Bluntz posts charts rather than essays, so the calls are short — a wave count, a divergence, a level. We judged each on what price actually did next. Read them in order: March is the bad quarter, July is the good one, and the flip in between is the interesting part.
“Still believe SOL bottom is in here and this current PA (price action) is early stages of accumulation.”
A flat call that the low was already behind them, with SOL at $84 and the timeline “in despair”. It wasn't: Solana fell to $62 — −25.7%, and a genuinely lower low than February's $78 — before it turned. The thesis eventually paid (SOL is +22.2% now, high +30.4%), but “the bottom is in” is a claim about the low, and the low came three months later.
SourceTrader Who Called Bitcoin Top Sees Solana Flashing Multiple Bullish Signals — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“The early stages of SOL accumulation seem to have finally come to an end on the back of this strong daily breakout.”
They doubled down at $95, calling the accumulation over and the markup phase begun — and The Daily Hodl reports the target: above $200 later in 2026, $450 in 2027. Instead SOL lost 34.5% to $62. The recovery high since is $109 (+15.1%) and it trades at $102 now (+7.9%). The $200 target technically has until December, but it needs roughly a double from here.
SourceCrypto Strategist Says Solana (SOL) Now Breaking Out With Conviction — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Looks like SOL has finally broken out of this five week accumulation, ETH also firmly broken out with conviction.”
The same post called Ethereum broken out “with conviction” at $2,321. What followed was a 32.5% slide to $1,566. ETH has since recovered to $2,439 — +5.1% above where they called it, five and a half months later, with a best-case high of only +8.4%. A breakout that needs a third of its value back before it resumes was not a breakout.
SourceCrypto Strategist Says Solana (SOL) Now Breaking Out With Conviction — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“I think at this stage, I'm probably going to be leaning towards Bitcoin eventually breaking down here and pushing down into a fresh new low. I think that will most likely wick into this major 0.618 level, and then most likely also put in some high timeframe bull divs (divergences) as well.”
The flip, and the best-reasoned call on the page. At $71,662 they forecast a breakdown to a fresh low, a wick into the 0.618 at $51,299, then high-timeframe bull divergences. Two of three landed: BTC fell 18.3% to $58,566 — below February's $62,778, so a real fresh low — and the divergences duly arrived, which is exactly what they posted about in July. The level did not: price stopped $7,267 above the line they drew. Scored played out on direction, with the target logged as missed.
SourceCrypto Strategist Warns Bitcoin Fighting Bearish Pattern, Predicts New Lows for Solana — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Expecting another low on SOL and then back to bull posting.”
Nine words that reverse their own March call, and they described the next five months precisely. From $86, Solana made the another-low they asked for at $62 (−27.5%), then ran to $109 (+27.3%) and sits at $102 (+19.4%). The March version of this trader would have been buying the whole way down; this one said wait for the low first.
SourceCrypto Strategist Warns Bitcoin Fighting Bearish Pattern, Predicts New Lows for Solana — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“4h bull div on BTC in weekly bull div territory. Market very close to turning north.”
The best call in the window. Posted at $59,968 — one day after Bitcoin printed the window low of $58,566. Price never closed lower again: the low after this post is the post's own day, 0.0%. BTC ran to $80,268 (+33.9%) and trades at $77,841 now, +29.8%. This is the divergence-confirmation method working exactly as advertised, and it is the same signal they told you in April to wait for.
SourceCrypto Strategist Who Nailed 2025 Bitcoin Peak Says BTC Close to ‘Turning North’ — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Just like weekly bear divs were an amazing predictor of the bull market top on SOL, it also cuts both ways. If you're bearish down here I'm sorry but you are [wrong].”
Blunt, dated, and correct. From $77, Solana dipped only 7.1% to $72 before running to $109 (+41.1%); it is +32.3% at $102 today. Note the symmetry they are claiming — the same weekly divergence tool that called the SOL top now calls the low — and note that it is the identical tool that failed them in March, applied four months later with the confirmation actually in place.
SourceCrypto Strategist Who Nailed 2025 Bitcoin Peak Says BTC Close to ‘Turning North’ — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.comOutcomes are our read of their stated call against real price, not their own scoring. Prices are CoinGecko daily closes and match the charts exactly. A call is “played out” only if price moved the way they said with a real move behind it — being eventually right after a 30% adverse move is not scored as a win.
Bluntz sells no course, runs no public paid group we could verify, and links no website. What their X bio does link is two referral links — and that, rather than subscriptions, is the documented business model. We list only what is verifiable from primary sources.
Their X bio links partner.bybit.com/b/bluntz — a Bybit partner/affiliate link. Affiliate programmes typically pay a share of the trading fees generated by users who sign up through them, which means volume and activity are worth money to the person posting the charts.
The second bio link is fomo.family/r/bluntz_capital, a referral link (“/r/”) into fomo, a social crypto-trading app and web platform. Same structure: sign-ups attributed to them.
A verified account with ~339,000 followers and 7,300+ posted charts is the asset that makes the two links above worth anything. There is no newsletter, no course and no ticketed conference in evidence — but a call that moves attention is still a call that feeds the funnel.
Secondary write-ups mention a premium Discord, copy-trading profiles and a prop-firm partnership. We found no primary confirmation for those, so they are not asserted here. If any exist, treat them as further reasons to weigh a public post against the poster's incentives.
“I'm calling a bottom at exactly 3.2k with a 200 dollar leeway either side.”
mid-2018 · the call the reputation rests on — BTC bottomed $3,150“4h bull div on BTC in weekly bull div territory. Market very close to turning north.”
02 Jul 2026 · posted one day after the window low“trader and bubblechaser, when one pops find another one”
X bio · the whole philosophy, self-describedQuotes transcribed from their own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
There is no video library to link. Bluntz publishes almost entirely in charts on X — 7,327 images across 33,254 posts — with no podcast, no newsletter and no website linked from their profile. A YouTube channel using the name exists but is not referenced from their X bio and we could not verify they run it, so it is not linked here. That output format is precisely why every call above is a timestamped quote rather than a clip, and why the full verified corpus behind these charts is cited on each card.
A pseudonymous trader who gives no interviews sits awkwardly in a section about who they appear with. What follows is the cohort they belong to analytically — chart-first callers publishing dated levels in public — useful for triangulating a call, not a claim of collaboration. Dossier links connect them as the database grows.
The closest methodological cousin here: structure and confirmed closes on the same Bitcoin chart, and the same insistence that a level only counts once price confirms it.
Another pseudonymous X-only caller in this database, same format of dated posts and no video — but far fewer trades, where Bluntz posts a wave count most weeks.
The instructive contrast. Both call bottoms early; il Capo holds the zone through the drawdown, Bluntz flipped their own March call in April and got paid for it.
The other high-frequency level-poster tracked here — Fibonacci and on-chain clusters against Bluntz's wave counts and divergences.
A pseudonymous crypto trader and Elliott Wave analyst who has posted as @Bluntz_Capital since December 2017 — earlier under the handle @SmartContratcer — with roughly 339,000 followers on X. Their real name, face and location are undisclosed. The crypto press introduces them as the trader who called the 2018 Bitcoin bottom.
This one is documented. NewsBTC quotes the call directly — “I'm calling a bottom at exactly 3.2k with a 200 dollar leeway either side” — made mid-2018, before Bitcoin bottomed at $3,150 that December, inside the stated band. It is eight years outside the price window this page can chart, so it is context, not part of the score below.
They are a pseudonymous commentator, not a licensed adviser, and the 2026 record is genuinely mixed: of seven dated calls charted here, four played out and three went against — including a March call that Solana had bottomed when it had another 25.7% to fall. The same method then called the July Bitcoin low within a day. Treat their posts as a documented, dated opinion — never trade them blindly.
Elliott Wave: counting five-wave impulses and three-wave ABC corrections, then waiting for divergence between price and RSI across the four-hour, daily, three-day and weekly charts to confirm a turn. Fibonacci retracements — especially the 0.618 — mark where a low “should” print, and simple patterns like bear flags flag risk. It is falsifiable and posted with a date, which is why it can be scored at all.
Bluntz counts waves and waits for the divergence to confirm — and the seven cards above show what it costs when you call the turn before the confirmation arrives. How close is your instinct? Measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials — dated third-party coverage that reproduces their X posts verbatim, linked on each call, plus a first-party read of their public X profile. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Bluntz? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 31 August 2026