@BigCheds
A pattern trader, not a price prophet. Cheds reads classical charts and Japanese candlesticks — ranges, W-bottoms, fulcrum bases, moving-average and Bollinger tests — and states the level that would confirm or invalidate each idea. That structure makes his calls unusually easy to grade, which is exactly what this page does.
In short. Cheds (@BigCheds) is a CMT-certified technical analyst and one of crypto's most durable teaching accounts. He is pseudonymous — no verified legal name, no net-worth figure — and his public record is built on charts and books rather than personality. He learned in the open: he wrote his first trading guide in 2017 while undergoing chemotherapy for lymphoma, beat the cancer, and has since published five books under the banner “helping new traders avoid my old mistakes.” His method is level-first: he names the flip that makes a thesis valid and the break that kills it. In the 2026 window charted below that discipline paid off on the way down — his May caution on Bitcoin, Solana and Ethereum all played out — and on the 1 July Solana low, which he called within a day. It cost him in April, when a bullish reversal read on Bitcoin and Ethereum ran into a 20–30% drawdown.
Cheds is a pseudonymous trader and educator who built his following the slow way: a Twitter account and a public learning blog (chedstrading.blogspot.com) where he posted what he was figuring out. In his own words, “my early days of trading were filled with frustration, confusion and constant losses” — the teaching came out of the losing, and the brand has been built on “helping new traders avoid my old mistakes.” That path led, as he tells it, “to dedicated studies of Japanese candlesticks and classical charting, and ultimately CMT certification.”
The origin story is not a marketing line. He wrote Complete Beginners Guide to Trading in 2017 while undergoing chemotherapy for lymphoma; he beat the cancer and wrote a book about that too. Five titles now carry his name — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer and the original beginners' guide. His YouTube channel, Cheds Trading, is not a market-call show: the recent feed is a near-daily run of short technical-analysis lessons — candlestick patterns, Parabolic SAR, Andrew's Pitchfork, broadening formations.
Two things to hold against him. First, he is pseudonymous: there is no verified identity, employment history or audited track record behind the charts, so everything here rests on dated public statements and nothing else. Second, his bullish reversal read in April 2026 was wrong in the way that hurts — Bitcoin did clear his $76,000 breakout, but the “compound fulcrum bottom” he flagged was not the bottom, and Ethereum's $2,400 breakout failed within days and fell 32.7%. Both are charted below rather than quietly left off. He is also candid about trading against his own bias: on 3 September 2026 he posted that he had “taken a long at 67k even while expecting lower based on the HTF $BTC trend,” arguing that a bearish view does not forbid a clean long setup.
Sources: dailyhodl.com dated coverage · x.com/BigCheds posts · youtube.com/@ChedsTrading · his own book author notes
Classical charting, level-first. Cheds works from the textbook: ranges and range peaks, W/double-bottoms, compound fulcrum bases, Japanese candlestick reversals, the 50-day moving average, Bollinger Bands and OBV divergence. What separates his posts from most chart commentary is that he almost always names the trigger and the invalidation in the same breath — “flip $85,000,” “flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.” He trades both directions and will short a bounce into resistance without hedging the language. The weakness is the one classical charting always has: a clean pattern can be a real signal or a fake-out, and in April 2026 he called a fulcrum bottom that turned out to have another 21% of downside underneath it.
Genuinely two-way. He shorted Solana into resistance in May and went bullish on it at the July low; his bias follows the level that just broke, not a standing view of the cycle.
Nine dated calls across the 2026 window, charted against real price: six attributed to Cheds by The Daily Hodl, and three from his own X posts since August. Every quote was confirmed verbatim on its live source before it was used here. Because he states an explicit trigger and invalidation, these grade cleanly — and the split is instructive: his April bullish reversal read went badly wrong on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, while his May caution and his 1 July Solana call were right, the last of them within a day of the low. Since August he called the $67,000 Bitcoin breakout well, saw a September diamond-top breakdown reverse within a week, and on 22 September declared the bottom in. Nothing here is cherry-picked; the cards run in date order.
“ETH now working on broader range breakout circa $2,400.”
A range-breakout call on Ethereum at $2,326. It was a fake-out: ETH tagged $2,421 three days later, failed immediately, and fell −32.7% to $1,566. ETH later climbed to a $2,775 (+19.3%) peak on 22 September and sits at $2,503 (+7.6%) — but only after that 33% drawdown. The breakout he named did not hold, and this is the clearest miss on the page.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“BTC $74,500 and pushing toward range peak. Breakout at $76,000.”
Two claims in one post, and they split. The trigger worked: from $74,297 Bitcoin cleared $76,000 within three days and ran to $82,018 (+10.4%) by 11 May. The thesis didn't — he framed it as a “compound fulcrum bottom,” and BTC then fell −21.2% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC then recovered to a $86,597 (+16.6%) high on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+11.5%): a profitable breakout wrapped in a bottom call that was three months early.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000. I think a weekly close would be logical.”
Having been early in April, he set a hard bar in May at $79,289: no bottom until BTC flips $85,000. The downtrend he warned about arrived first, −26.1% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC only reached his line in late September — $86,597 (+9.2%) on 22 September, the day he declared the bottom in himself (last card) — and it is back at $82,851 (+4.5%). Withholding the bottom call at $79K was the right read: the real bottom came 26% lower.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“I'd probably short here, though, because it's a downtrend bouncing into resistance.”
An outright short on Solana at $91, on the textbook reason — a downtrend bouncing into a range peak. It worked: SOL fell −31.8% to $62. Worth stating plainly that he did not stay short: SOL has since run to a $122 (+34.0%) high and sits at $109 (+20.2% from this call), and he flipped bullish on it in July — the next card.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“It needs to hold $2,150 on what looks to be a pending retest or it is headed for Goblin Town”
A conditional warning at $2,258 with a precise line in the sand. ETH lost $2,150 and went exactly where he said — −30.7% to $1,566. Note this is the same $2,400 level he had called a breakout a month earlier: by May he was reading its “continued inability to break $2,400” as weakness. ETH is now $2,503 (+10.8%).
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
His best call in the window, and the timing is the point: he turned bullish on Solana at $74 on 1 July — the exact day Bitcoin printed its $58,566 cycle low. SOL has since gained +66.0% to $122, with a maximum drawdown of only −2.3% along the way, and sits at $109 (+48.8%). He also named the invalidation in the same sentence, which is what makes it a trade rather than an opinion.
SourceCrypto Strategist Details Bullish Scenario for Solana — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter”
A long trigger, named and then hit: he posted mid-session on 19 August as Bitcoin pushed through $67,000. The chart starts at that day's $64,686 opening point, so it flatters him slightly — the next daily point was already $69,291. From there BTC ran to $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+28.1%); measured from his own $67,000 trigger, that is still about +29% at the peak and +24% now. The cleanest call on the page.
𝕏 Post“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC one view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily 76k low trigger for me.”
A bearish pattern read at $78,283, with $76,000 as the trigger. The trigger fired — BTC closed at $75,590 (−3.4%) on 16 September, and that day he asked his stream “what does the loss of 76k mean” — and then the breakdown failed outright: within six days BTC was at $86,597 (+10.6%), and it sits at $82,851 (+5.8%). In fairness he hedged it as “one view” and was back to bullish posts by 18 September, but as a call it went against him. (The “$1,000 in” line below is buy-and-hold, so it shows a gain on this bearish call.)
𝕏 Post“One view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN”
Four months after setting his bar — “flip $85,000” — he called it: the bottom is in. The chart point is $86,597 — as of 11 October, Bitcoin's highest daily point since the July low; BTC has since dipped to $81,686 (−5.7%) and sits at $82,851 (−4.3%). The claim is about the $58,566 low of 1 July, which nothing has threatened yet, so this stays open — but anyone who bought the announcement is down on it so far.
𝕏 Post“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated bias against real price, not his own scoring. Calls come from dated third-party coverage, which quotes his X posts and YouTube sessions directly, or from his own X posts (linked on each card). Percentages are computed from the same price data that draws the charts, at the daily point for the date of the post. The “$1,000 in” line assumes buying on the call date and holding, so on bearish calls it does not show his result. Near-term marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
Cheds sells books and education, and is transparent that trading platforms sponsor him. He is also an analyst at the paid membership Bitcoin Live, which he promotes on his X feed. No token promotion turned up in the record we reviewed, but the sponsorships and the membership are real and worth pricing in.
Five self-published titles — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer and Complete Beginners Guide to Trading — plus a free daily lesson feed on YouTube that funnels toward them.
He has publicly promoted trading venues to his X audience, including BingX and the perps DEX edgeX. Affiliate arrangements are the norm in this category; treat platform recommendations as advertising, not analysis.
He writes member reports for the subscription service Bitcoin Live and advertises it on X. Several times a week he posts a “New Bitcoin Live Member report” link, and in late September and early October he promoted a sale (“Your first 3 months of membership for $97”). He also posts clips of member-only reports to show calls he made there. We cannot see those reports, so no call on this page comes from one.
“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
01 Jul 2026 · the trigger-and-invalidation habit, on the day of the low“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000.”
14 May 2026 · refusing to call a bottom he hadn't been shown“It needs to hold $2,150 … or it is headed for Goblin Town”
14 May 2026 · the ETH warning that played outQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
His YouTube is not a market-call show — it is a near-daily feed of short classical-TA lessons. Representative recent clips:
Broadening Patterns — Classical ChartingThe classical-charting toolkit he trades from.03 Sep 2026
Trading Wisdom Lesson 36 — Candlestick Context MattersCandlesticks read in context, not in isolation.06 Sep 2026
Ride Trends — Don't Try to Guess BottomsThe lesson his own April 2026 miss illustrates.30 Aug 2026
Andrew's Pitchfork IndicatorOne of the structural tools behind his level calls.31 Aug 2026A pseudonymous technical analyst and educator who posts as Cheds (@BigCheds) and runs the Cheds Trading YouTube channel. He is CMT-certified, trades classical chart patterns and Japanese candlesticks, and has published five books on trading. His legal name is not public.
Unknown and not publicly verified. He is pseudonymous, publishes no audited track record, and has never disclosed his holdings. Any specific figure you see quoted is invented — ignore it.
He is an educator and commentator, not a licensed adviser. In the 2026 calls charted here five of nine played out — his May caution on BTC, SOL and ETH, a Solana call within a day of the July low, and the August $67,000 Bitcoin breakout. Two went against him: the April Ethereum breakout, which fell 33%, and a September bearish Bitcoin pattern that reversed within a week. Two are still open, including his 22 September call that the bottom is in. Treat his views as a documented, dated opinion, never as a signal to follow blindly.
Classical charting, level-first. He works from ranges, W/double-bottoms, fulcrum bases, candlestick reversals, the 50-day moving average, Bollinger Bands and OBV divergence — and he states the level that confirms the idea alongside the level that invalidates it. He trades both long and short, and has said a bearish higher-timeframe view does not stop him taking a clean long setup.
Cheds trades the textbook: a named trigger, a named invalidation, and no attachment to the direction. How close is your instinct — measure it for real with a Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials (dated third-party coverage quoting his posts and videos, and his own X posts, linked on each call). Every quote was verified verbatim on its source page. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Cheds? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 11 October 2026
