@TechCharts
Aksel Kibar is a classical chart trader who posts Bitcoin and Ether patterns to about 189,000 followers on X. He stays out of the market below the year-long average and waits for a finished pattern before he calls a long. That kept him out of the spring drop and got him in early on the August rebound. His downside targets of $52,500 and $52,300 never came, and in June he warned on $60,000 a week before the bottom.
In short. Aksel Kibar is a CMT who posts as @TechCharts. On our sample of eight in-window calls the record is 5 played out, 2 open or mixed, 1 went against. His rule of no longs below the year-long average worked in the spring drop, and his August and September Bitcoin and Ether signals played out. His March downside target was not reached, and his late-June warning came just before the low. His 82.8K breakout signal is open.
Aksel Kibar's X profile calls him a “Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and Classical chart trader. Ex-Fund manager.” and gives his location as Bansko, Bulgaria. His site says he has “over 20 years experience as a classical chart trader and global equity market analyst”. On X he wrote that in 2008 he “was managing the largest fund in the UAE”. We could not check the fund claim independently.
He mostly charts global stocks, indices and commodities, and covers crypto in a paid report that he sends out every few weeks. His free posts on Bitcoin and Ether are short notes on a chart: a level, a pattern and what would confirm it. He often adds that a target “is not a prediction”.
We read 1,253 of his own posts from 27 March to 8 October, as returned by X search and his profile feed, plus two earlier posts quoted by NewsBTC and U.Today. We charted the ones that give a direction, a level or a signal for Bitcoin or Ether. Many of his crypto posts are only a chart and a ticker; we did not chart those.
Sources: x.com/TechCharts (own posts) · blog.techcharts.net
Patterns first, with a trend filter. He uses the 365-day average as his “year-long average” and says he will look for bullish entries only above it. He waits for a finished pattern, such as a head-and-shoulders bottom or a rectangle, and calls a breakout above its neckline the signal. Most posts are conditional: “Breakdown of the lower boundary will be the signal”, “A breakout above 82.8K will be the long signal”. He rarely gives a date and almost never says where price will be.
Cautiously bullish. Bitcoin closed above his 82.8K level on 22 September. On 27 September he warned that the weekly candle “does not look like a decisive breakout”, and on 2 October he called 82.8K “the new support” after a re-test.
Eight dated calls from Aksel Kibar, all from his own X posts, each checked word for word against the post and charted against real price. The tally is 5 played out, 2 open or mixed, 1 went against.
“A breakout above 82.8K will be the long signal (in this time frame)”
Posted at $80,874. He said the signal needs a weekly breakout candle. Bitcoin closed above $82,800 on 22 September, at $86,597 (+7.1%). On 27 September he wrote that the weekly candle “does not look like a decisive breakout”. Daily closes stayed above $82,800 from 22 September to 8 October, and Bitcoin is at $82,940 (+2.6%). The signal fired but has not run yet. Open.
𝕏 Post“A breakout above 82.8K will be the long signal” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“$ETHUSD Possible bull flag right at the resistance. I like this tight consolidation. Wait for breakout confirmation.”
Posted at $2,456; his chart showed a tight range around resistance at 2,475. Ether stayed in that range and dipped to $2,397 (−2.4%) on 16 September. It broke out on 19 September, closing at $2,612 (+6.3%), and reached $2,775 (+13.0%) on 22 September. It is at $2,571 (+4.7%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“Possible bull flag right at the resistance” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“If anything this is a short-term bullish signal. Maybe the early stages of a longer-term reversal.”
Posted at $69,291, just after Bitcoin broke above the 67.2K neckline of the head-and-shoulders bottom on his chart, which marked a 76,000 target. Bitcoin closed above $76,000 on 22 August, at $78,318 (+13.0%), and rose to $86,597 (+25.0%) on 22 September. It is at $82,940 (+19.7%). Played out.
𝕏 Post“If anything this is a short-term bullish signal.” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“If $BTCUSD is going to rebound, it has to come from here.”
Posted at $63,031, at the 62.3K low of the right shoulder on his chart. Bitcoin dipped to $62,844 (−0.3%) the next day, then closed at $69,291 (+9.9%) on 20 August, above the 67.2K neckline. It rose to $86,597 (+37.4%) on 22 September and is at $82,940 (+31.6%). The rebound came from there. Played out.
𝕏 Post“If $BTCUSD is going to rebound, it has to come from here.” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“Not for me at this stage. I'm looking for signs of initial strength. This can become part of a larger scale bottom.”
Posted at $1,862, in a reply to a follower, the same morning he asked whether Ether's re-test was complete. Ether's lowest close after that was $1,843 (−1.0%) on 2 August. It closed above $2,000 on 20 August, at $2,252 (+20.9%), and reached $2,775 (+49.0%) on 22 September. It is at $2,571 (+38.0%). The bottom held. Played out.
𝕏 Post“This can become part of a larger scale bottom.” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“Rebound came from 60K but weak. Now 60K is at risk. $BTCUSD Still not broken though. Below 60K next support is at 52.3K.”
Posted at $62,662. Bitcoin closed below $60,000 on 26 June, at $59,727 (−4.7%), and that day he wrote that buyers “want to buy it at lower levels”. The low came on 1 July at $58,566 (−6.5%), far above 52.3K. Bitcoin then rose to $86,597 (+38.2%) on 22 September and is at $82,940 (+32.4%). Bitcoin hovered around $60,000 for a week, then turned up. The call went against.
𝕏 Post“Now 60K is at risk.” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“Quick test of year-long average. I will start looking for bullish entries only above year-long average.”
Posted at $77,635, in a reply to a follower. Bitcoin's best close after that was $82,018 (+5.6%) on 11 May, still below his year-long average. It then fell to $58,566 (−24.6%) on 1 July. It is at $82,940 (+6.8%). Staying out below the average avoided the drop. Played out.
𝕏 Post“I will start looking for bullish entries only above year-long average.” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.com“Breakdown of the lower boundary will be the signal for a possible move towards 52.5K.”
Posted at $71,220, in a post that also said “Not a prediction.” Bitcoin first rose inside the pattern, to $82,018 (+15.2%) on 11 May. On 28 May he put the lower boundary at 71.5K; Bitcoin closed below it on 2 June and fell to $58,566 (−17.8%) on 1 July. It never got near 52.5K, and is at $82,940 (+16.5%). The breakdown came; the target did not. We mark it mixed.
𝕏 Post“Breakdown of the lower boundary will be the signal for a possible move towards 52.5K.” — @TechCharts on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not Aksel Kibar's own scoring. Every quote is verbatim from the post linked on its card. Most of his calls are conditional (if a level breaks, a move may follow), so we grade what price did after the condition. Two cards are replies to followers (26 April and 19 July). Each call is charted at that day's midnight CoinGecko mark; all eight posts went out before 17:00 UTC. The “$1,000 in” line on each card assumes buying on the day, even for the bearish 24 June call.
Aksel Kibar's X posts are free to read. His detailed work is sold as a membership. Here is what we found.
His site sells a Premium membership for $495 a year or $165 a quarter. It includes a weekly global equities report, a watchlist, breakout alerts, videos and webinars. The crypto report is sent to members, and many of his X posts point to it.
The sales page carries a testimonial from Peter Brandt, who calls himself a friend of Aksel Kibar's, and one from Bob Loukas. Both are graded on this site.
In late May he asked followers to sign up for discount codes for a “9th YEAR ANNIVERSARY SALE” of the membership in June.
In the posts we read we found no exchange referral links and no small-token promotions. His bio links point to his own site and YouTube channel.
“If $BTCUSD is going to rebound, it has to come from here.”
16 Aug 2026 · played out“I will start looking for bullish entries only above year-long average.”
26 Apr 2026 · played out“Now 60K is at risk.”
24 Jun 2026 · went againstQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Aksel Kibar posts chart screenshots on X most days, mostly of stocks and indices, and links to his reports on blog.techcharts.net.
A Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and classical chart trader who posts as @TechCharts on X to about 189,000 followers. He says he is a former fund manager, and he runs the paid Tech Charts membership. His profile places him in Bansko, Bulgaria.
On our sample of eight dated calls from 19 March to 19 September 2026: five played out, two are open or mixed, one went against. His trend filter kept him out of the spring drop and his August signals worked. His downside targets near $52,000 did not come.
He says he does not. Most posts give a level and the signal that would confirm a move, and he often writes that a target “is not a prediction”. We grade what price did after the signal.
Through the Tech Charts membership, $495 a year or $165 a quarter. We found no exchange referrals or token promotions in his posts.
Not publicly known, and no credible figure exists. Ignore any specific number you see attached to the name.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials: Aksel Kibar's public X posts and profile, his site blog.techcharts.net, and the sources linked on each call. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Aksel? Submit a correction →
Verified handles · Sources cited above · Scoring methodology · Updated 8 October 2026
