Blogger dossier · YouTube · English
Koenz Trading
Koenz Trading is a crypto channel focused on Elliott Wave analysis and market structure education. The channel's tracked calls mainly concern BTC and ETH.
Focus BTC · ETHTracked since 31 Aug 2026Language EnglishFormat Elliott Wave · Technical analysis · Education
11calls tracked4played out7mixed / open0went against100%hit rate
Stance & style
Computed from the 11 calls we tracked, not from what the channel says about itself.
Market posture: balanced
55% of calls say up · 45% say down
always shortbalancedalways long
A one-sided caller looks right whenever the market goes their way — judge the hit rate against the posture.
Coin focus
How specific are the calls
11 calls from 11 videos · without a stated timeframe a call is judged over 30 days
Current view
The latest call on each coin.
26 Oct 2026BTC▲ UP$81,000◔ open
01 Sep 2026ETH▲ UP$2,566✓ played out
Track record — calls on the chart
Every call placed on the coin's daily price at the moment it was said, coloured by how it played out. Hover a marker for details.
BTC — 10 calls on the price
each marker = one call at the price when it was said · 3 played out · 0 went against
▲ call up▼ call downplayed outmixedwent againstopen
ETH — 1 call on the price
each marker = one call at the price when it was said · 1 played out · 0 went against
▲ call up▼ call downplayed outmixedwent againstopen
Best call
ETH▲ UP01 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC✓ played out
the probabilities are highest for price to take out this high at 2.566 and the reason for this is that the bearish scenarios have lower probabilities
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
By coin
| Coin | Calls | Up / down | ✓ | ◔ | ✗ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 10 | 5▲ / 5▼ | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| ETH | 1 | 1▲ / 0▼ | 1 | 0 | 0 |
All calls
Newest first. Quotes are verbatim from the video transcript, in the original language.
BTC▲ UP26 Oct 2026, 11:48 UTC◔ open
because the probabilities are high this move down is a corrective you are looking at 81k uh as a bias so the bias on the one hour time frame is basically upside range you look for 81k
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN22 Oct 2026, 11:54 UTC✓ played out
on the four hour time frame the bias is to take out the 79.8k low as a minimum you would look for a larger corrective structure or a larger corrective range
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN19 Oct 2026, 10:42 UTC◔ open
the probabilities are highest to look for a retracement to the downside, where the common minimum target is the 0.382 currently sitting at 82.2k
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▲ UP13 Oct 2026, 11:28 UTC◔ open
the probabilities at the moment are highest for price to take out this high at 84.350 and as a minimum you would expect a larger sideways range which still includes a leg to the upside
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN08 Oct 2026, 11:54 UTC◔ mixed
you would expect price to take out this low either directly here right now or at a later stage but this is how you go about looking at these new ranges to see if the probabilities are on your side of looking for a bit of a bounce up or if the probabilities are higher for the local trend to continue which clearly is at the moment to the downside
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN07 Oct 2026, 14:27 UTC◔ open
with this in mind an abc down from 87.4k should take out at least the 82.9k low minimum can go deeper no problem to lower support no problem but it's a minimum target
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN05 Oct 2026, 15:53 UTC◔ mixed
i would at the moment at least expect a continuation of this range or more downside today because for the bullish scenarios you ideally like to at least create a range here slash retracement to extend beyond the 3.825 time which is midnight between the 5th and the 6th central european time
saidjudged window (1 d)best afterworst after
BTC▲ UP25 Sep 2026, 12:19 UTC◔ mixed
At least short term, look for a move up, arguably a larger range, but it's not yet bearish. We're still looking for, ideally, a bounce towards the upside.
saidjudged window (30 d)best afterworst after
ETH▲ UP01 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC✓ played out
the probabilities are highest for price to take out this high at 2.566 and the reason for this is that the bearish scenarios have lower probabilities
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▲ UP01 Sep 2026, 11:00 UTC✓ played out
the bias is 81.5k and that did not change so that being said i hope that this video was helpful or valuable to you
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▲ UP31 Aug 2026, 10:51 UTC✓ played out
the bias is to still take out that high on the daily we're looking for price to take out the high here at 81.5k and also here on a four-hour time frame the probabilities are higher that we're looking at corrective structures and you still take out that high
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
How calls are collected and judged
- Source. Every new video of the monitored channels is transcribed in full. A model reads the transcript and lists the calls — a named coin that the speaker says will rise or fall, with target / stop / timeframe only if stated.
- Proof. A call is kept only if its quote is found word for word in the transcript and a second, strict checker confirms it is the speaker's own expectation. The quote is shown in the original language with a link to the moment in the video (≈ when the exact second is not available). Views the speaker only reports (a bank, another analyst), "Nx potential" talk and "someday / next cycle" claims without a date are not counted.
- Price. Binance spot, hourly candles, from the close of the hour the video was published.
- Window. The timeframe the speaker gave, or 30 days if none.
- Verdict. Direction only: played out if the best move the right way was at least 2× the worst move against and ≥ 5%; went against if the reverse; otherwise mixed. With a target: same level rules as the trader dossiers methodology (target reached, invalidated, late).
- Channel details (name, avatar, links) come from the public YouTube channel page; the short profile is written from the channel's own description. Nothing here is investment advice, and no blogger listed is affiliated with BuyCrypt.