Blogger dossier · YouTube · English
Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen is a crypto channel that provides data-driven analysis of Bitcoin, crypto, commodities, and stocks with a focus on macroeconomics, liquidity, and market cycles. The channel's tracked calls mostly concern BTC and ETH.
Focus BTCTracked since 02 Jul 2026Language EnglishFormat Macro · Data-driven analysis · Bitcoin
10calls tracked0played out5mixed / open5went against0%hit rate
Also has a hand-checked trader dossier →
Stance & style
Computed from the 10 calls we tracked, not from what the channel says about itself.
Market posture: almost always bearish
10% of calls say up · 90% say down
always shortbalancedalways long
A one-sided caller looks right whenever the market goes their way — judge the hit rate against the posture.
Coin focus
How specific are the calls
10 calls from 10 videos · without a stated timeframe a call is judged over 30 days
Current view
Latest call on each coin — note: nothing new from this channel in the last 30 days.
16 Aug 2026BTC▼ DOWNdirection only✗ went against
Track record — calls on the chart
Every call placed on the coin's daily price at the moment it was said, coloured by how it played out. Hover a marker for details.
BTC — 10 calls on the price
each marker = one call at the price when it was said · 0 played out · 5 went against
▲ call up▼ call downplayed outmixedwent againstopen
Worst call
BTC▼ DOWN24 Jul 2026, 13:13 UTC✗ went against
the expectation although it doesn't have to play out like this but the the the baseline expectation i would assume would be that it actually breaks down a little bit later on it breaks down and then from that level and it breaks down around the time the stock market get to 10% to 20% drop. And that's what we saw in 2014, 2018, and 2022. And then from that breakdown, you form the market cycle bottom, and then we go into the next bull market.
saidjudged window (160 d)targetbest afterworst after
By coin
| Coin | Calls | Up / down | ✓ | ◔ | ✗ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 10 | 1▲ / 9▼ | 0 | 5 | 5 |
All calls
Newest first. Quotes are verbatim from the video transcript, in the original language.
BTC▼ DOWN16 Aug 2026, 10:40 UTC✗ went against
My guess is that it eventually breaks down kind of in line with how prior cycles played out, which would sort of necessitate perhaps like an eventual correction in stocks. I don't really think that correction in stocks is going to happen until September and probably not even until mid to late September. But normally Bitcoin shows weakness before stocks do.
saidjudged window (30 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN10 Aug 2026, 16:04 UTC◔ open
I would lean towards breakdown because that's what it normally does near the end of midterm years, but only time will tell. It's almost crunch time. It's coming up soon.
saidjudged window (120 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN30 Jul 2026, 20:50 UTC✗ went against
I would guess that we'll see Bitcoin come back down as we get later on into the month of August and notably September.
saidjudged window (60 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN28 Jul 2026, 20:15 UTC◔ open
You see Bitcoin drop even more, going to its market cycle bottom. Remember, Bitcoin normally bottoms in the back half of midterm years. In the back half of the back half of midterm years, normally in the fourth quarter.
saidjudged window (153 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN27 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC✗ went against
so again, I would guess that bitcoin will will sort of find resistance at these levels you know and and kind of come back down in the august to september time frame
saidjudged window (60 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN24 Jul 2026, 13:13 UTC✗ went against
the expectation although it doesn't have to play out like this but the the the baseline expectation i would assume would be that it actually breaks down a little bit later on it breaks down and then from that level and it breaks down around the time the stock market get to 10% to 20% drop. And that's what we saw in 2014, 2018, and 2022. And then from that breakdown, you form the market cycle bottom, and then we go into the next bull market.
saidjudged window (160 d)targetbest afterworst after
BTC▲ UP15 Jul 2026, 02:37 UTC◔ mixed
we would find a low late june or early july we would then rally and then sell off into mid-july around the cpi report but the cpi report would likely come in a lot cooler than expected and then that would sort of fuel the rally a little bit longer maybe into like late july even as late as like early to mid august
saidjudged window (30 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN14 Jul 2026, 03:20 UTC✗ went against
my guess would be to the downside because that was that's what would be needed to fully reset all the on-chain indicators and then from that low you form your market cycle bottom and then the next bull market begins
saidjudged window (30 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN03 Jul 2026, 14:31 UTC◔ open
I do think that the rest of this year will likely be somewhat sluggish you know probably form a low a little bit later in the year after a counter turn rally in the the summer.
saidjudged window (181 d)best afterworst after
BTC▼ DOWN02 Jul 2026, 13:24 UTC◔ open
i think there's still a reason to assume that there will be some more weakness later in the year um and the reason for that weakness will likely be on the back of a correction in the stock market right like i don't think it's going to happen it's not like anything specific has to happen in crypto i think it'll just be a correction on the back of the stock market and then in that correction bitcoin will then put in the market cycle bottom
saidjudged window (182 d)best afterworst after
How calls are collected and judged
- Source. Every new video of the monitored channels is transcribed in full. A model reads the transcript and lists the calls — a named coin that the speaker says will rise or fall, with target / stop / timeframe only if stated.
- Proof. A call is kept only if its quote is found word for word in the transcript and a second, strict checker confirms it is the speaker's own expectation. The quote is shown in the original language with a link to the moment in the video (≈ when the exact second is not available). Views the speaker only reports (a bank, another analyst), "Nx potential" talk and "someday / next cycle" claims without a date are not counted.
- Price. Binance spot, hourly candles, from the close of the hour the video was published.
- Window. The timeframe the speaker gave, or 30 days if none.
- Verdict. Direction only: played out if the best move the right way was at least 2× the worst move against and ≥ 5%; went against if the reverse; otherwise mixed. With a target: same level rules as the trader dossiers methodology (target reached, invalidated, late).
- Channel details (name, avatar, links) come from the public YouTube channel page; the short profile is written from the channel's own description. Nothing here is investment advice, and no blogger listed is affiliated with BuyCrypt.