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Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa

Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa

@MooninPapa · 62.5K subscribers · 2.7K videos

This channel is run by a cryptocurrency enthusiast and trader who shares educational content about managing and growing a crypto portfolio. The tracked calls mostly focus on BTC, AVAX, ETH, and ARB.

Focus AVAX · ETH · AAVETracked since 11 Nov 2026Language EnglishFormat Education · Trading · Portfolio Management
7calls tracked0played out5mixed / open2went against0%hit rate

Stance & style

Computed from the 7 calls we tracked, not from what the channel says about itself.

Market posture: almost always bullish
86% of calls say up · 14% say down
always shortbalancedalways long
A one-sided caller looks right whenever the market goes their way — judge the hit rate against the posture.
Coin focus
AVAX2 · 28%
ETH1 · 14%
AAVE1 · 14%
PEPE1 · 14%
BTC1 · 14%
JTO1 · 14%
How specific are the calls
Targets71%
Timeframe0%
7 calls from 4 videos · without a stated timeframe a call is judged over 30 days

Current view

The latest call on each coin.

14 Nov 2026ETH▲ UP$2,436◔ open
14 Nov 2026AAVE▼ DOWN$85.92◔ open
13 Nov 2026PEPE▲ UPdirection only◔ open
12 Nov 2026AVAX▲ UP$9.54, $11.43✗ went against
11 Nov 2026BTC▲ UP$87,000◔ open
11 Nov 2026JTO▲ UP$0.37✗ went against

Track record — calls on the chart

Every call placed on the coin's daily price at the moment it was said, coloured by how it played out. Hover a marker for details.

AVAX — 2 calls on the price
each marker = one call at the price when it was said · 0 played out · 1 went against
$7.00$8.0007 Nov11 Nov15 Nov
▲ call up▼ call downplayed outmixedwent againstopen
ETH — 1 call on the price
each marker = one call at the price when it was said · 0 played out · 0 went against
$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,00010 Nov12 Nov15 Nov
▲ call up▼ call downplayed outmixedwent againstopen
Worst call
JTO▲ UP11 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC✗ went against
But we're expecting a move up to the fast line, which is about a 12% move up to 37 cents. That's it.
$0.25$0.3$0.35targetsaid 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
$0.25$0.3$0.35targetsaid 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
said at $0.3342target $0.37window 30 days (default)best +2.0% · worst -12.8%▶ watch at 31:45
no level reached — invalidated first
video: PROOF That Markets Are Over-Extended For Crypto & TradFi

By coin

CoinCallsUp / down✓◔✗
AVAX22▲ / 0▼011
ETH11▲ / 0▼010
AAVE10▲ / 1▼010
PEPE11▲ / 0▼010
BTC11▲ / 0▼010
JTO11▲ / 0▼001

All calls

Newest first. Quotes are verbatim from the video transcript, in the original language.

ETH▲ UP14 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC◔ open
I do think Ethereum will be going a lot higher anyway. But I think in terms of short-term price action, yeah, we have a fair value gap, but it's just to the top side with a top side target of $2,436.
$1,500$1,750$2,000$2,250targetsaid 14 Novtoday 15 Nov
$1,500$1,750$2,000$2,250targetsaid 14 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
said at $1,912target $2,436window 30 days (default)best +0.4% · worst -10.5%▶ watch at 10:48
open — window not over
video: Yes, Bitcoin Is Just Like 2023 Right Now
AAVE▼ DOWN14 Nov 2026, 02:56 UTC◔ open
The next target of things are going to get worse for Aave is down at 85.92.
$80.00$100.00$120.00targetsaid 14 Novtoday 15 Nov
$80.00$100.00$120.00targetsaid 14 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
said at $110.28target $85.92window 30 days (default)best +12.4% · worst -0.3%▶ watch at 43:24
open — window not over
video: Yes, Bitcoin Is Just Like 2023 Right Now
PEPE▲ UP13 Nov 2026, 01:38 UTC◔ open
I still think that Pepe is bullish, believe it or not. It's bullish with on-balance volume. It's, I mean, the slow line is moving up and other indicators are bullish as well. I think it will snap back up and surprise people.
$3e-06$4e-06$5e-06said 13 Novtoday 15 Nov
$3e-06$4e-06$5e-06said 13 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)best afterworst after
said at $4.57e-06window 30 days (default)best +2.6% · worst -19.3%▶ watch at 33:35
video: it's over for crypto
AVAX▲ UP12 Nov 2026, 02:46 UTC✗ went against
Now we're getting the bullish inverse. And to make things even juicier, the direction of the macro trend, which is the slow line, the fourth line right here at the very bottom of the trending breakout indicator, when this is in agreement with the divergence signals, which this is, ascending slow line, TBT bullish divergences, this is a very bullish signal. Once it closes and holds above the fast line, which is at 8.67 or so, it's going to change a lot today. That's where Avalanche should actually move up to the top of the cloud, which is 11% higher. Up here to resistance, 33 or 34% higher, and
$6.00$8.00$10.00targettargetsaid 12 Novtoday 15 Nov
$6.00$8.00$10.00targettargetsaid 12 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
said at $8.59target $9.54, $11.43window 30 days (default)best +1.4% · worst -11.4%▶ watch at 24:30
no level reached — invalidated first
video: NVDA Sell-off is an OPPORTUNITY
BTC▲ UP11 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC◔ open
i'm actually going to start building a position here personally and expecting things to go not just up to 87 but up a lot higher yes this has been a very long and drawn out chop and a lot of downside continuation but there are many signals that are flashing right now
$60.0k$70.0k$80.0ktargetsaid 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
$60.0k$70.0k$80.0ktargetsaid 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
said at $73,643target $87,000window 30 days (default)best +1.6% · worst -15.8%▶ watch at 0:59
open — window not over
video: PROOF That Markets Are Over-Extended For Crypto & TradFi
AVAX▲ UP11 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC◔ open
Once it closes above that, then it's going to be, I don't think it's going to be easy, but it will be heading above the cloud, which is at $9.708 right now, or $9.70, and then up to resistance higher than that at $11.655, and then it takes off
$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00said 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00said 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)best afterworst after
said at $8.48window 30 days (default)best +3.1% · worst -20.4%▶ watch at 26:38
video: PROOF That Markets Are Over-Extended For Crypto & TradFi
JTO▲ UP11 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC✗ went against
But we're expecting a move up to the fast line, which is about a 12% move up to 37 cents. That's it.
$0.25$0.3$0.35targetsaid 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
$0.25$0.3$0.35targetsaid 11 Novtoday 15 Nov
saidjudged window (30 d)targetbest afterworst after
said at $0.3342target $0.37window 30 days (default)best +2.0% · worst -12.8%▶ watch at 31:45
no level reached — invalidated first
video: PROOF That Markets Are Over-Extended For Crypto & TradFi

How calls are collected and judged

  • Source. Every new video of the monitored channels is transcribed in full. A model reads the transcript and lists the calls — a named coin that the speaker says will rise or fall, with target / stop / timeframe only if stated.
  • Proof. A call is kept only if its quote is found word for word in the transcript and a second, strict checker confirms it is the speaker's own expectation. The quote is shown in the original language with a link to the moment in the video (≈ when the exact second is not available). Views the speaker only reports (a bank, another analyst), "Nx potential" talk and "someday / next cycle" claims without a date are not counted.
  • Price. Binance spot, hourly candles, from the close of the hour the video was published.
  • Window. The timeframe the speaker gave, or 30 days if none.
  • Verdict. Direction only: played out if the best move the right way was at least 2× the worst move against and ≥ 5%; went against if the reverse; otherwise mixed. With a target: same level rules as the trader dossiers methodology (target reached, invalidated, late).
  • Channel details (name, avatar, links) come from the public YouTube channel page; the short profile is written from the channel's own description. Nothing here is investment advice, and no blogger listed is affiliated with BuyCrypt.