@Excellion
Ang pinakamalakas na boses para sa Bitcoin na $1 milyon sa merkado — at ang lalaking nagpangalan sa “Omega candle.” Hindi nagte-trade ng mga level si Mow; nagbebenta siya ng iisang hindi natitinag na direksyon at hinahamon ang merkado na tumutol. Kaya siya madaling puntusan: publiko ang mga target, may petsa, at natupad o hindi.
Sa madaling salita. Si Samson Mow ang CEO ng JAN3, ang kompanyang Bitcoin infrastructure na katuwang ng mga pamahalaan sa pambansang pag-aampon, at dating CSO ng Blockstream at COO ng BTCC. Isa siyang Bitcoin-only maximalist na may iisang nakatayong tesis — mas kakaunti ang suplay kaysa sa pinepresyo ng merkado, kaya aabot ang Bitcoin sa $1 milyon sa isang maikli at marahas na muling pagpepresyo na tinatawag niyang “Omega candle.” Ang paniniwalang iyon ang lakas at kahinaan niya nang sabay. Malinaw itong ipinapakita ng aming sample sa 2026: nang mabasag ang merkado, tama na tama ang pagtangging kumurap — tinawag niya ang ilalim tatlong araw nang maaga, 2,3% lang ang lihis. Nang kalmado ang merkado, ang parehong paniniwala ay nagbunga ng kongkretong tawag sa timing na malaki ang mali, kasama ang sahig na $80k na hindi kailanman humawak at ang “Omega candle na malapit na” na sinundan ng 24% na pagbagsak.
Si Mow ay negosyanteng Chinese-Canadian na napunta sa Bitcoin sa pamamagitan ng laro at imprastraktura, hindi sa pamamagitan ng trading. Itinatag niya ang game studio na Pixelmatic noong 2011 (gumawa ng Infinite Fleet), naging COO ng BTCC — noon ay isa sa pinakamalaking palitan at mining pool sa mundo — at pagkatapos ay Chief Strategy Officer sa Blockstream. Noong Marso 2022 umalis siya upang itatag ang JAN3, na nakalikom ng $21M para gumawa ng mga kasangkapan para sa tinatawag niyang hyperbitcoinization.
JAN3's business is sovereign adoption: advising governments on holding and issuing against Bitcoin, work that grew out of his high-profile role in El Salvador's Bitcoin strategy and its Volcano Bond. That matters when reading him. He is not a chartist posting entries and stops — he is a Bitcoin-only advocate whose company profits from Bitcoin being adopted, and his public calls are almost uniformly, structurally bullish. He is also willing to put numbers on it: his published 2026 predictions included $1.33M Bitcoin and MSTR at $5,000, neither of which is remotely in play with BTC near $85k.
Sources: x.com/Excellion · jan3.com · dated press (CoinDesk, Yahoo Finance, Cointelegraph)
Paniniwala kaysa kalibrasyon. Ang balangkas ni Mow ay panig-suplay at ganap: 21 milyong hangganan, wala nang isang milyong barya ang maaaring minahin, bumibili ang mga treasury company at bansa nang walang pakialam sa presyo — kaya't anumang presyong mas mababa sa mga $110–120k ay diskuwento, at biglaan ang muling pagpepresyo, hindi unti-unti. Hindi siya gumagamit ng stop, level, o invalidation — walang presyong magpapatunay na mali ang tesis niya, mga presyo lamang na “malalim na diskuwento.” Ang praktikal na bunga ay talaang hugis-barbell: napakahusay sa kapitulasyon, kung saan ang pagtangging magbenta ang tamang hakbang at talagang maganda ang timing niya malapit sa mga ilalim, at mahina sa maikling-panahong target, kung saan ang parehong katiyakan ay nagluluwal ng apat-na-linggong hula na basta na lang binabalewala ng presyo.
Kasing-bullish ng pinakamataas na naaabot ng database na ito. Bitcoin-only si Mow at wala siyang anumang bearish na senaryo — ang tindig niya ay lumilipat lamang sa pagitan ng “bumili” at “bumili nang mas malakas,” kaya basahin siya bilang permanenteng bull na ang halaga ay nasa pangangatwiran, hindi sa direksyon.
Eight dated, public statements from Mow, each verified against the source before it was charted — seven are X posts captured from X's own syndication endpoint (exact text, exact timestamp), one is a quote confirmed on the page that published it. The earliest, from 27 February, now predates the price window and is charted from its first day. Because he posts direction rather than levels, we judged each one on what Bitcoin actually did next. The sample splits sharply by market regime: his two crash-period calls in June 2026 were the best-timed on this page, and his two calm-market timing calls in March and April were the worst. His headline numbers — $1.33M in 2026, posted in January, and a $1M target he has carried since 2025 — sit outside this window and are noted below rather than scored. His two newest calls — a return over $90,000 (25 Aug) and a coming “most hated rally” (1 Oct) — are still open.
“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time. Everyone had the opportunity to buy the dip but didn't because they were waiting for $40k in October.”
A jab at the four-year-cycle crowd who expected a $40k October bottom — the $40k is their number, not his. The post went up late on 1 October (21:57 UTC), so the chart marks it at that day's $83,576, but the next daily point came about two hours later at $84,842; that +1.5% is not his. Bitcoin is $84,580 today — +1.2% from the chart point, −0.3% from the next one. A direction with no level or deadline, two days old: logged open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again!”
Posted as a quote of a Bitcoin meme from Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino — a named level with no deadline. From $78,974 Bitcoin dipped −4.3% to $75,590, ran +9.7% to $86,597 on 22 Sep and holds $84,580 (+7.1%). It has not closed a day at or above $90,000 since he posted; getting there needs another +6.4%. Direction right so far, level not yet printed: open.
𝕏 Post“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again!” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety.”
Posted as long-bond yields hit highs and Bitcoin pushed back over $71k, framing the move as a flight to safety into BTC, not a relief bounce. From $69,291 Bitcoin has never traded lower — the low since is the day itself — and it ran +25.0% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+22.1%). A clean directional read with no drawdown against it.
𝕏 Post“The market smells blood in the water…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“I find it incredibly interesting how some people are so certain that the bottom is coming in 4 months because “cycles.” But we had an ATH 37 days before the halving, so it would seem even if you believe in cycles you should reason out the cycles accelerated. The bottom is in.”
The strongest call in this dossier, made against a loud consensus that the cycle low was still four months away. He said it at $59,953; the actual low of this window printed three days later on 1 Jul at $58,566 — he was early by 2.3%. From there Bitcoin ran +44.4% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+41.1%). Verified verbatim from the post itself; CoinDesk reported it the same day.
𝕏 Post“The bottom is in.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all: neutral, permissionless, bearer money. It’s the best hope for the future and hyperbitcoinization is inevitable because continued fiat money printing is an absolute certainty.”
Posted with Bitcoin collapsing below $60k and sentiment at its worst of the year — a flat refusal to revise the thesis. It was the right call to make: from $62,662 price gave up only another −6.5% to $58,566 before turning, ran +38.2% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+35.0%). Not a price target — a hold-through-capitulation stance, and it worked.
𝕏 Post“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“Everything is up in the air now. And I think an Omega candle and $1 million Bitcoin is just around the corner, especially with all the buy pressure that is flooding the market now with Saylor through STRC and other Bitcoin treasury company players all coming in”
In the same interview he argued “anything under $120,000, $110,000 I think, is below fair market value.” What followed was the opposite of a melt-up: from $77,367 Bitcoin fell −24.3% to $58,566 first, then ran +11.9% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+9.3%). Five months on there has been no Omega candle and no $1M, price is still below the $110–120k he called fair value, and the “deep discount” got roughly a quarter cheaper before it recovered. Marked against on the timing claim, not the valuation argument.
SourceExpert Says $1 Million Bitcoin and “Omega Candle” Is Just Around the Corner — Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks. It's highly likely it will be closer to $0.1M.”
His most falsifiable call — a level and a deadline. Bitcoin was $69,849 when he posted. Over the four weeks that followed it never once traded above $74,679, and on the deadline date (8 Apr) it closed at $71,662 — comfortably below the $80k he called unlikely, and nowhere near $0.1M. It then fell to $58,566 (−16.2%). Price is +21.1% today at $84,580, but the four-week claim failed on both legs.
𝕏 Post“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“We’re setting up for a decade-long bull run and no one is paying attention.”
A structural claim with a ten-year horizon, so this window can only take its temperature. The post now predates the price window, which starts on 8 March, so the chart anchors at $67,340 rather than his entry price. From there Bitcoin first fell −13.0% to $58,566, then ran +28.6% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+25.6%) — far from anything that settles a decade-long thesis. Logged open: directionally fine so far, unjudgeable on this timeframe.
𝕏 Post“We’re setting up for a decade-long bull run…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.comAng mga kalalabasan ay aming pagbasa sa kanyang ipinahayag na pananaw laban sa totoong presyo ng CoinGecko, hindi ang sarili niyang puntos. Bawat sipi ay literal mula sa naka-link na pinagmulan. Tahasang maraming-taon ang tesis ni Mow, kaya ang markang “sumalungat” dito ay nangangahulugang nabigo ang panandaliang pahayag — hindi ito hatol sa mahabang tesis, na walang chart sa window na ito ang makakapagpasya.
Hindi nagbebenta si Mow ng signals, kurso, o newsletter — na nag-aalis sa pinakakaraniwang kompliktong interes sa database na ito at pinapalitan ito ng mas malaki at estruktural. May opisyal na business badge ng JAN3 ang X account niya, at nakasalalay ang kita ng JAN3 sa pagbilis ng pag-aampon ng Bitcoin. Basahin ang mga tawag niya bilang publikong boses ng isang kompanyang Bitcoin infrastructure, hindi ng isang malayang analyst.
Nakalikom ang JAN3 ng $21M noong 2022 upang magbenta ng Bitcoin infrastructure at payo sa mga kompanya at pamahalaan. Direktang mabuti para sa negosyong iyon ang mas mataas na presyo at mas mabilis na pag-aampon, at siya ang CEO at publikong mukha nito — ang pinakamalinaw na kompliktong interes sa pahinang ito.
Nabuo ang pagkakakilanlan niya sa estratehiyang Bitcoin ng El Salvador at sa Volcano Bond, at patuloy na humahabol ang JAN3 ng mga kliyenteng soberano. Ang mga bullish na hula tungkol sa pag-aampon ng mga bansa ay siya ring pitch ng produkto niya.
Nananatili siyang CEO ng game studio na Pixelmatic (Infinite Fleet) at bayad na regular sa sirkito ng mga kumperensyang Bitcoin, kung saan ang maximalist na paniniwala mismo ang dahilan kung bakit siya iniimbitahan.
“The bottom is in.”
28 Jun 2026 · tatlong araw at 2.3% bago ang tunay na ilalim“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety.”
20 Aug 2026 · pagbasa sa paglisan mula sa mahahabang bono“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks. It's highly likely it will be closer to $0.1M.”
11 Mar 2026 · ang pagkakamali, iniingatan sa talaanMga sipi mula sa sarili niyang pampublikong pinagkunan; mga pananaw na binanggit, hindi rekomendasyon.
Walang personal na trading channel si Mow — ang talaan sa itaas ay binuo mula sa may-petsang mga post sa X at sinipiang balita, dahil iyon ang may mapapatunayang timestamp at tekstong maaaring sipiin nang eksakto. Sa kompanya niya ang talaan ng video: ang JAN3 ang naglalathala ng mga tesis-video at mga paglabas niya.
Bitcoin is the Ninth Wonder of the WorldPangunahing tesis-video ng JAN3 tungkol sa kakapusan ng Bitcoin.18 Aug 2026
Who Gets to Change Bitcoin? Samson Mow on BIP-110Si Mow tungkol sa pamamahala ng protokol at sa alitan sa BIP-110.28 Jul 2026
Ideally we wouldn't need a blockchain at allKung para saan talaga ang blockchain.31 Jul 2026
Bitcoin is Energy MoneyAng balangkas ng enerhiya at kakapusan sa likod ng target niyang $1M.19 May 2026Isang negosyanteng Chinese-Canadian at tagapagtaguyod ng Bitcoin-only, CEO ng kompanyang Bitcoin infrastructure na JAN3 at ng game studio na Pixelmatic. Dati siyang Chief Strategy Officer sa Blockstream at COO ng palitang BTCC, at pinakakilala siya sa kanyang gawain sa estratehiyang Bitcoin ng El Salvador at sa nakatayo niyang target na $1 milyon kada Bitcoin.
His long-standing target is $1 million per coin, arriving in what he calls an “Omega candle” — a single-day move of more than $100,000 — rather than a gradual climb. In January 2026 he published a specific figure of $1.33M for the year. Bitcoin is around $85,000 as of 3 October 2026, so that target is nowhere in play.
Tagapagtaguyod siya at CEO ng kompanya, hindi lisensyadong tagapayo, at wala siyang bearish na senaryo sa anumang presyo. Nahahati ang aming sample sa 2026 ayon sa kalagayan: napakahusay ng mga tawag niya noong Hunyo malapit sa ilalim ng pagbagsak — tinawag niya ang ilalim tatlong araw at 2.3% nang maaga — samantalang malaki ang mali ng apat-na-linggong target niya noong Marso at ng “Omega candle na malapit na” noong Abril. Ituring siyang komentaryong may mataas na paniniwala at malinaw na komersyal na interes, huwag kailanman bilang senyas sa trading.
Panig-suplay at ganap: 21 milyong hangganan, wala nang isang milyong barya ang maaaring minahin, at mga mamimiling walang pakialam sa presyo (corporate treasury at mga bansa) ang sumisipsip ng nasa sirkulasyon. Kongklusyon niya na ang anumang mas mababa sa mga $110–120k ay nasa ilalim ng patas na halaga at biglaan ang muling pagpepresyo. Hindi siya gumagamit ng stop, level, o invalidation point.
Ang buong lakas ni Mow ay ang hindi pagkurap — walang stop, walang invalidation, iisang direksyong hinawakan sa gitna ng 24% na pagbagsak. Gaano kalapit ang instinct mo? Sukatin mo nang totohanan gamit ang Trader Passport.
Ngayon, gamitin ang iyong paraan. Subukan ang iyong kalamangan sa live na datos ng merkado — walang panganib sa kapital — sa isang libreng torneo ng BuyCrypt na may totoong premyo.
Impormatibo at pang-edukasyong pagsusuri na mahigpit na nakabatay sa pampublikong materyales — mga may-petsang post sa X na kinuha mula mismo sa syndication endpoint ng X at mga sipi na kinumpirma sa mga pahinang naglathala, naka-link sa bawat tawag. Hindi ito payong pinansyal o pamumuhunan. Tinatayang numero lamang ang mga ito at patuloy na nagbabago. Spotted an error, or are you Samson? Mag-submit ng pagwawasto →
Napatunayang mga handle · Mga pinagkunan na binanggit sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 3 October 2026
