@PeterSchiff
Ang pinakamadalas na sinisipi na bear sa crypto. Hinulaan ni Schiff ang pagbagsak ng housing noong 2008, labinlimang taon na niyang sinasabing walang halaga ang Bitcoin, at kumikita siya sa pagbebenta ng ginto. Sinusubaybayan namin siya sa parehong dahilan kung bakit sinusubaybayan namin ang mga bull: naglalabas siya ng may petsa, tiyak, at masusuring opinyon — at kailangan din ng merkado na naitala ang kanyang eskeptiko.
Sa madaling salita. Si Peter Schiff ay stockbroker, negosyante ng ginto, at permanenteng bear. Nabuo niya ang pangalan niya sa maaga at tamang hula sa pagbagsak ng housing noong 2008, at mula noon ay iginigiit niyang ang dolyar, ang bond market, at ang Bitcoin ay pare-parehong patungo sa iisang bangin. Pinapatakbo niya ang dealer ng mahahalagang metal na SchiffGold, chief economist at global strategist siya ng Euro Pacific Capital, at may-ari ng fund company na Euro Pacific Asset Management — kaya ang alternatibong inirerekomenda niya, pisikal na ginto at pilak, ay negosyo rin niya. Sa Bitcoin, hindi siya trader kundi isang nakatayong short thesis: ibenta mo, malayo pa ang bagsak, bumili ka na lang ng metal. Sa window na ito, ang thesis na iyon ay napakaaga kaya nagpalugi: pinakamaingay siya nang 4% lang sa itaas ng ilalim ng cycle. Pero dalawang beses din itong tumama, bago pa magsimula ang chart.
Nagsimula si Schiff bilang broker sa Shearson Lehman Brothers at noong 1996 binili niya ang maliit na brokerage na pinangalanan niyang Euro Pacific Capital, pinatakbo hanggang ibenta niya noong 2017 — naging Alliance Global Partners ito, kung saan nanatili siya bilang chief economist at global strategist — habang itinatayo ang sarili niyang fund company, Euro Pacific Asset Management. Nakasalalay ang reputasyon niya sa isang napakagandang hula: noong 2006–07 iginiit niya sa telebisyon ng US na malapit nang sumabog ang housing market at ang mga bangkong nagpapautang dito, at noong 2008 nga ay nangyari. Ang mga clip ang nagpasikat sa kanya at nagbigay ng bansag na Dr. Doom. Doon niya itinayo ang natitirang bahagi ng karera niya — mga aklat (Crash Proof), araw-araw na podcast, at ang dealer ng mahahalagang metal na SchiffGold na nagbebenta mismo ng asset na inirerekomenda niya.
May dalawang bagay na dapat isama sa tala kasabay ng hula noong 2008. Una, hindi kailanman napatay ang pagiging bear: hindi dumating ang pagbagsak ng dolyar at ang hyperinflation na paulit-ulit niyang hinuhulaan mula 2009, at tinawag niyang bula ang Bitcoin halos sa bawat presyo mula $1,000 pataas. Ikalawa, noong Hunyo 2022 ipinasara ng regulator sa pananalapi ng Puerto Rico (OCIF) ang kanyang Euro Pacific International Bank dahil sa kakulangan sa kapital, kasunod ng multinasyonal na imbestigasyon sa buwis na tinawag na Operation Atlantis; walang inanunsyong kaso laban kay Schiff, sa bangko, o sa mga empleyado nito, at mula noon ay nagsampa si Schiff ng kaso laban sa IRS na sinasabing pinlano ang pagsasara. Nawalan din siya ng access sa sarili niyang Bitcoin wallet noong 2020, at ang anak niyang si Spencer ay hayagang lumipat nang 100% sa Bitcoin noong 2021 — isang alitan sa pamilya na hayagan niyang idinaraos mula noon.
Sources: x.com/PeterSchiff · youtube.com/@PeterSchiff · dated coverage (Yahoo Finance, Benzinga, Bitcoin.com, Bitcoinist)
Top-down, laging depensibo. Hindi chartist si Schiff at hindi niya tinatrade ang mga ideyang ipinamamahagi niya — iisang macro na argumento ang ipinagtatanggol niya (utang, depisit, sobrang mahal na dolyar, isang Federal Reserve na laging pipili ng implasyon) at doon niya hinahango ang lahat. Sa balangkas na iyon, hindi pera ang Bitcoin kundi ang pinakadalisay na risk asset: dapat itong bumagsak nang pinakamalala kapag sumabog ang stocks, at nakikipagkumpitensya ito sa ginto para sa parehong demand sa matigas na pera. Ang lakas niya ay pagkakapare-pareho at isang tunay na tama noong 2008. Ang kahinaan: ang thesis na walang labasan ay walang ibinibigay na timing — madalas tama siya sa direksyon pero maaga nang ilang taon, at para sa sinumang kumikilos ayon dito, hindi iyon maipagkaiba sa pagkakamali.
Kasing-bearish sa Bitcoin hangga't kayang ipakita ng sukatan, at ganoon na siya nang mahigit isang dekada. Bullish lang siya sa isang bagay nang estruktural: pisikal na ginto at pilak, na ibinebenta rin niya.
Dated, verbatim posts and quotes from Schiff, charted against real price. He is a one-direction commentator, so we grade him the way you would grade a standing short: ok if Bitcoin is now below the price he said it at, warn if a drawdown of 15% or more followed but price has since round-tripped above him, bad if price is above him and the fall he described never showed up. On that rule this window is unkind: his loudest post came within 4% of the exact cycle low. Two honest counterweights, both outside the chart window and both right: on 17 Dec 2025 he wrote “Before a U.S. dollar crash, we will likely get a Bitcoin crash.” with BTC near $79.6k, and on 1–2 Jan 2026 he told viewers to “get rid of your Bitcoin above $87,000.” Bitcoin’s highest close since is $86,597 (22 Sep) — still below his sell level. The window starting 30 Jan flatters him less than his actual year.
“If Bitcoin breaks $50K, which looks likely, it seems highly likely it will at least test $20K.”
Said at $66,427, with an explicit instruction to sell. The post now predates our 210-day price window, so its chart starts on 2 Mar at $65,824. Bitcoin did fall — but only to $58,566 (−11.0% from that anchor), 17% above the $50k he called likely; $20k was never in sight. It has since closed as high as $86,597 (+31.6%) and sits at $84,359, +28.2%. Right that a dip was coming, wrong on every number and wrong on the trade.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “Sell Bitcoin now!”↗ x.com“If you have any Bitcoin, sell it now and buy gold and silver.”
Said at $70,661. Anyone who sold got paid for a while: BTC fell 17.1% to $58,566 over the next eleven weeks. Then it came all the way back and more — a close of $86,597 (+22.6%) on 22 Sep, and $84,359 now, +19.4% above kanyang antas. A real drawdown followed, so under our rule we log this open rather than against; whether the swap into metals beat holding is a separate question we do not chart here.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — sell Bitcoin, buy gold and silver↗ x.com“Congratulations, Bitcoiners. Bitcoin is finally the uncorrelated asset you’ve hoped it would be.”
His sarcasm — gold up 9%, silver 11%, the NASDAQ 13%, the Russell 2,000 14%, Bitcoin down 11% on the year — landed at $80,025, just ahead of a −26.8% slide to $58,566. For almost four months that made it his best in-window call. It has now round-tripped: BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 Sep (+8.2%) and sits at $84,359, +5.4% above where he wrote it. A 15%+ drawdown followed and price then came back above him, so under our rule this moves from played out to open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “the uncorrelated asset you’ve hoped it would be”↗ x.com“There is way too much complacency in Bitcoin for the market to be anywhere near a bottom.”
Said at $71,320, with the target spelled out: break $50K, then “a quick fall below $20K.” The first half worked — BTC fell another 17.9% to $58,566 on 1 Jul, so he was correct that the bottom was not in. The second half did not: $50k held by 17%, and BTC has since closed as high as $86,597 (+21.4%) and is now $84,359, +18.3% above him. Direction yes, magnitude no.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “anywhere near a bottom”↗ x.com“Even $20,000 Bitcoin is low enough to bankrupt MSTR.”
The most confident post of his year — it ends “Have fun being poor.” — arrived at $60,960, which is 3.9% from the exact low of this entire window ($58,566). From there Bitcoin ran as far as $86,597 (+42.1%) and stands today at $84,359 — +38.4% above him. This is the definition of capitulation-bait: maximum bearishness at the bottom.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “Have fun being poor.”↗ x.com“The entire U.S. stock market is overpriced, not just tech. I also expect a much bigger selloff in Bitcoin.”
Said at $63,701 during a tech-stock rout, on the theory that Bitcoin is high-beta and should fall hardest. It did the opposite almost immediately: the deepest dip after this post was −1.5%, and BTC then climbed as high as $86,597 (+35.9%), standing today at $84,359 — +32.4% above him. The “much bigger selloff” has not happened.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “a much bigger selloff in Bitcoin”↗ x.com“AI isn’t bullish for Bitcoin; it’s a threat to it.”
A new line of attack: AI competes with Bitcoin for speculative capital, electricity and data-centre capacity, and a powerful enough model might find flaws in its cryptography. The resource argument is at least testable; the code-vulnerability part comes with no specific flaw named. Posted at $77,081; BTC dipped no more than −1.9% after it, closed as high as $86,597 (+12.3%) and is $84,359 now, +9.4%. Price has gone against him so far, but the claim is structural, with no level or date, so we keep it open rather than grade it on five weeks.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “AI isn’t bullish for Bitcoin; it’s a threat to it.”↗ x.com“Energy expenditures are not backing. The energy is gone, the money spent is gone, so there is none left to back Bitcoin.”
Not a price call — an argument, made to Bitcoiner Jeff Swanson, that proof-of-work leaves nothing behind: gold survives the miner, electricity does not. Posted at $79,671. It went his way briefly — BTC dipped 5.1% to $75,590 on 16 Sep — then turned, closing as high as $86,597 (+8.7%); it is $84,359 now, +5.9% above him. Three weeks is a mood, not a verdict, and he named no level, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “there is none left to back Bitcoin”↗ x.com“Yes, it's very clear that Bitcoin is worthless. No act of Congress is necessary.”
His reply to Anthony Pompliano after the CLARITY Act failed its Senate cloture vote. Posted at $75,590, the lowest close since 21 Aug. Bitcoin has not closed below it since: it ran to $86,597 (+14.6%) within a week and is $84,359 now, +11.6% above him. Against him so far, but eleven days old with no level named, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — “very clear that Bitcoin is worthless”↗ x.com“The news is actually bearish for Bitcoin, which must now compete with tokenized securities.”
The SEC's tokenized-stock announcement sent Bitcoin up the day before; Schiff wrote that the rally “makes no sense”, arguing tokens backed by profitable, dividend-paying companies are a better store of value than one “backed by nothing.” Posted at $80,874. Three days later BTC closed at $86,597 (+7.1%); it has not closed below kanyang antas since and is $84,359 now, +4.3%. Against him so far, but eight days is too short to grade, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — the SEC tokenized-stock rally “makes no sense”↗ x.com“Now he's buying back some of what he sold for over $80K per Bitcoin. It won't be long before he's selling at lower prices again.”
Aimed at Michael Saylor: Strategy's last selling spree got about $62,150 per Bitcoin, he wrote, and it is now buying back above $80K. The call inside it is that Bitcoin will be lower when Strategy next sells. It landed on the day of the highest close in this window, $86,597; BTC has since dipped to $84,076 (−2.9%) and is $84,359 now, −2.6%. Going his way, but five days old and tied to Strategy's next sale rather than a level, so we log it open.
𝕏 PostPeter Schiff on X — Strategy “selling at lower prices again”↗ x.comAng mga hatol ay pagbasa namin sa ipinahayag niyang panig laban sa totoong presyo, hindi ang sarili niyang pagmamarka. Bawat sipi sa ibaba ay berbatim — ang mga post sa X ay kinuha mula sa sariling teksto at petsa ng post, at ang mga sipi mula sa artikulo ay kinumpirma sa pahina bago gamitin. Mahalaga ang mga antas na binanggit niya: paulit-ulit niyang itinali ang thesis sa pagbasag ng Bitcoin sa $50,000 patungong $20,000. Sa window na ito, ang pinakamababa ay $58,566 — hindi nangyari ang pagbasag sa $50k. Puwedeng magbago ang mga panandaliang marka.
Bihirang komentarista si Schiff na ganap na hayag ang conflict of interest: sinasabi niyang ibenta mo ang Bitcoin at bumili ng ginto, at siya mismo ang may-ari ng tindahan ng ginto. Hindi siya nagiging mali dahil doon — ibig lang sabihin, iisang pangungusap ang rekomendasyon at ang pinagkakakitaan.
May-ari siya ng dealer ng pisikal na ginto at pilak. Bawat post na «ibenta ang Bitcoin, bumili ng metal» ay tumuturo sa produktong ibinebenta niya mismo — ang pinakatuwirang insentibo sa lahat ng nasa database na ito.
Ang fund company niya, kasama ang tungkuling chief economist at global strategist sa Euro Pacific Capital (ibinenta noong 2017, ngayon ay dibisyon ng Alliance Global Partners). Pareho itong nakabatay sa parehong thesis tungkol sa dayuhang equity at hard assets na ipinaglalaban niya sa publiko.
Ang podcast na The Peter Schiff Show, ang YouTube channel, at mga aklat (Crash Proof at iba pa). Ang atensyon ang distribution channel para sa dalawang negosyong nabanggit, at ang alitan ay nagdadala ng atensyon.
“Sell Bitcoin now!”
19 Feb 2026 · ang buong thesis sa tatlong salita“Volatility is a feature, not a bug.”
19 Feb 2026 · pinagtatawanan ang karaniwang depensa“It's the Bitcoin HODLers who have left a lot of money on the table by not selling!”
23 Aug 2026 · inamin na sana ay kumita siya, tapos dinoble ang tayaMga sipi mula sa kanyang sariling pampublikong mga video; mga pahayag na pananaw, hindi mga rekomendasyon.
Ilang video kada linggo ang inilalabas ni Schiff — macro muna, Bitcoin ang paulit-ulit na target. Mga kamakailang episode mula sa channel niya:
The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is BrokenAng argumento sa utang at depisit na pinagmumulan ng lahat ng iba pa.20 Aug 2026
Everything I Warned You About Just Happened... All in One WeekSarili niyang tala sa isang magulong linggo — sulit itapat sa chart sa itaas.08 Aug 2026
Japan Is About to Pop the Biggest Bubble in History... And It Takes Us With ItAng tensyon sa pandaigdigang bond market bilang inaasahan niyang pampasabog para sa risk assets.26 Jul 2026
The Bond Market Breakdown Has Started... Stocks, Housing, Crypto Are NextAng balangkas ng contagion sa likod ng hula niya sa Bitcoin noong Hulyo.11 Jul 2026Isang Amerikanong stockbroker, negosyante ng ginto at komentarista sa ekonomiya, binansagang Dr. Doom. Pinapatakbo niya ang dealer ng mahahalagang metal na SchiffGold, chief economist at global strategist siya ng Euro Pacific Capital at may-ari ng Euro Pacific Asset Management, at pinakakilala siya sa pagbababala sa telebisyon ng US noong 2006–07 na babagsak ang housing market at ang mga bangkong nagpapautang dito — na nangyari nga noong 2008.
Yes, and this page shows it. On 17 Dec 2025 he warned a Bitcoin crash would precede a dollar crash, with BTC near $79.6k; on 1 Jan 2026 he told viewers to get rid of Bitcoin above $87,000 — its highest close since is $86,597, still below it. Inside our chart window his 8 May 2026 post came just ahead of a 26.8% fall, though Bitcoin has since recovered above that level too. His problem is not direction, it is timing and magnitude: he was equally loud 3.9% from the low.
Hindi ito nabeberipika sa publiko. Malaki ang pagkakaiba-iba ng mga inilathalang tantiya at wala ni isang kinumpirma ni Schiff o ng opisyal na dokumento — ituring na hula ang anumang tiyak na halaga. Nanggagaling ang kita niya sa SchiffGold, Euro Pacific Asset Management, sa tungkulin niya sa Euro Pacific Capital, sa mga aklat at sa media.
Iginigiit niyang dapat may hindi-pang-pera na gamit ang pera, na mayroon ang ginto at wala ang Bitcoin, at na kumikilos ang Bitcoin bilang high-beta na risk asset sa halip na hedge. Pansinin ang insentibo kasabay ng argumento: siya ang nagbebenta ng alternatibo. Nawalan din siya ng access sa sarili niyang Bitcoin wallet noong 2020, at lumipat nang 100% sa Bitcoin ang anak niyang si Spencer noong 2021.
Ang ituring siyang maaasahang kabaligtarang senyas ay kasing-tamad ng bulag na pagsunod sa kanya, at ipinapakita ng window na ito kung bakit: tama siya sa tuktok ng Mayo at mali sa ilalim ng Hunyo, apat na araw lang ang pagitan ng tono. Komentarista siyang may hayag na conflict of interest, hindi tagapayo. Basahin ang may-petsang tala sa itaas at magpasya ka mismo.
Si Schiff ang itinalagang eskeptiko ng merkado: isang thesis, dala sa lahat ng pagsubok, ibinebenta nang buong-buo ang kumpiyansa. Gaano karami niyan ang nasa iyo — sukatin mo nang totoo gamit ang Trader Passport.
Ngayon, subukan ang sarili mong pagbasa. Sukatin ang kalamangan mo sa totoong datos ng merkado — walang kapital na nakataya — sa libreng torneo ng BuyCrypt na may totoong premyo.
Impormatibo at pang-edukasyong pagsusuri na mahigpit na nakabatay sa mga materyal na bukas sa publiko — ang sariling may-petsang mga post ni Peter Schiff sa X (kinuha nang berbatim) at may-petsang ulat ng ibang media, naka-link sa bawat hula. Hindi ito payo sa pananalapi o pamumuhunan. Tinatayang mga numero at patuloy na nagbabago. Spotted an error, or are you Peter? Mag-submit ng pagwawasto →
Napatunayang mga handle · Mga pinagkunan na binanggit sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 27 September 2026
