@Kev_Capital_TA
A cycle-roadmap chartist who called the 2026 Bitcoin bear market as a counter-trend story from the start, then read the turn in July. Seven dated calls: four played out, two are still open, one went against. The miss is his own downside target: in late July he still expected Bitcoin to reach $56,000–$44,000. It never closed below $62,773.
Sa madaling salita. Si Kevin, na naglalathala bilang Kev Capital TA, ay nagpo-post sa humigit-kumulang 25,000 na follower sa X (nasa platform mula Disyembre 2015) at may YouTube channel na may humigit-kumulang 6,000 subscriber. Nakasaad sa kanyang bio ang B.S. in Finance at tinatawag siyang technical at fundamental analyst. Ang kanyang framework ay isang multi-phase na Bitcoin roadmap na nakabatay sa two-day 200 EMA/SMA, mga Fibonacci level at mga money-flow indicator. Sa aming window, tama siya na counter-trend bounce ang rally ng Ethereum noong Mayo, tama na humihina ang mga bear noong kalagitnaan ng Hulyo, at tama sa breakout noong Setyembre. Mali siya kung gaano kalalim ang bottom.
Hindi naglalathala ng apelyido si Kev Capital TA. Ang X profile ay pinangalanang “Kevin”, at ang bio ay nagsasabing “B.S. Finance | Technical & Fundamental Analyst. Pamumundok & Pagtulong sa mga Trader na Makita ang Reversal, Key Level & Trade Setup”. Tinatawag siya ng Benzinga, na sumulat tungkol sa ilan sa kanyang mga podcast, na “crypto analyst Kevin” at “Kevin Capital”. Wala kaming nakitang independiyenteng rekord ng degree o ng anumang propesyonal na trabaho, at walang bahagi ng pahinang ito ang umaasa sa alinman.
Binuksan ang X account na @Kev_Capital_TA noong Disyembre 2015 at may humigit-kumulang 25,400 na follower at mahigit 26,000 na post (28 Set 2026). May bayad itong blue check (uri “individual”), hindi badge ng organisasyon. Naka-link ang account sa YouTube channel na @Kev_Capital_TA, na may humigit-kumulang 5,970 subscriber at 241 video. Ang sariling paglalarawan ng channel ay naka-link pabalik sa parehong Patreon, at iyon ang paraan ng pagtugma namin sa dalawa.
Higit pa sa crypto ang saklaw ng channel. Sa aming window, kasindami ang mga video nito tungkol sa S&P 500, Nvidia, SoFi, ServiceNow at pilak gaya ng tungkol sa Bitcoin. Ang pahinang ito ay nagmamarka lamang ng mga call sa Bitcoin at Ethereum.
A note on sources. Three calls come from his own X posts, fetched in full. Three come from articles quoting his podcasts (NewsBTC and Benzinga). One is a YouTube video title, checked against YouTube's oEmbed record. This server cannot pull YouTube transcripts, so where only a title is available, only the title is graded.
Sources: x.com/Kev_Capital_TA · youtube.com/@Kev_Capital_TA · Benzinga · NewsBTC · CoinGecko
Roadmap muna, level pangalawa. Naglalatag si Kevin ng multi-phase na Bitcoin roadmap at saka sinusubaybayan ang presyo laban dito, video kada video. Ang mga checkpoint ay mga moving average: ang two-day 200 EMA/SMA (“ang huling hadlang”), ang 50-week SMA at ang 4H 200. Dinadagdagan niya ito ng Fibonacci golden pocket, whale money flow at stablecoin dominance. Sinasabihan niya ang mga follower na mag-dollar-cost average sa halip na maghintay ng perpektong entry, at sinunod niya mismo ang payong iyon: noong Hulyo, bumibili siya ng Bitcoin habang nagtataya pa rin ng mas mababang low. Ang kahinaan ay ang price target. Mali ang kanyang bottom zone na $44,000–$56,000, kahit tama ang kanyang timing window mula Hulyo hanggang Oktubre.
Bearish hanggang maingat noong tagsibol, tinatawag na counter-trend ang bawat rally. Naging positibo noong unang bahagi ng Hulyo habang inaasahan pa rin ang isa pang low. Ganap na bullish mula kalagitnaan ng Setyembre, na may inaasahang “wave-2” pullback matapos ang pag-akyat sa $93.5K–$100K.
Seven dated calls charted against real CoinGecko price. Three are his own X posts, fetched in full. Three are from podcasts, quoted word for word by NewsBTC and Benzinga. One is the title of one of his YouTube videos. We read his X posts and videos back to the start of our price window, and every upload since, and charted the calls that name a Bitcoin or Ethereum direction or level. Titles that ask a question or repeat a call we already charted are listed in the library below.
“Every major indicator is now signaling the bitcoin:native bear market is over. All of them.”
Posted at 02:10 UTC with Bitcoin at $84,449. Since then it has closed as high as $86,490 on 5 Oct (+2.4%) and as low as $81,686 on 9 Oct (−3.3%). It is $83,593 today (−1.0%). A regime call, so the test is the months ahead, not the first two weeks. He set his own line on 5 Oct: Bitcoin would have to break down through $83K–$77K and then $75K–$67K “to be bearish again”. Graded still open.
𝕏 Post“Every major indicator is now signaling the … bear market is over” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 28 Sep 2026↗ x.com“If bitcoin:native can hold $83K–$77K while short-term indicators reset, I think a push into $93.5K–$100K becomes very likely before a more durable 10%–20% wave-2 correction that sets the macro higher low.”
Posted with Bitcoin at $84,378. Since then it has closed as high as $86,490 on 5 Oct (+2.5%) and as low as $81,686 on 9 Oct (−3.2%), still inside his $83K–$77K hold zone. It is $83,593 today (−0.9%). $93,500 is 10.8% above the call. He repeated the same path on 2 Oct and 9 Oct. Graded still open.
𝕏 Post“A push into $93.5K–$100K becomes very likely” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 25 Sep 2026↗ x.com“Break and hold $78K–$83.7K with escape velocity. Daily trend is already flipped.”
Bitcoin was $76,819, just under the two-day 200 EMA/SMA band he called “the last hurdle”. The same post said: “Until year-end: buy the dips and hold when they show up.” The dip was small, to $75,590 on 16 Sep (−1.6%). Bitcoin then closed above the top of the band on 22 Sep, at $86,597 (+12.7%). It is $83,593 today, +8.8% above the call and just under the top of the band. Graded played out.
𝕏 Post“This is the last hurdle” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 14 Sep 2026↗ x.com“I still believe that we should go down to the $56,000-to-$44,000 range.”
Bitcoin was $65,344, and $56,000 was 14.3% below. The lowest close after the call was $62,773 on 2 Aug (−3.9%). Bitcoin then rose to $86,597 on 22 Sep (+32.5%) and is $83,593 today, +27.9% above the call. Graded went against. His advice in the same podcast held up better than his target: “I’m still buying Bitcoin at these levels,” he said, and he warned that waiting for the low “is dangerous”.
Source“Bitcoin to $44,000? Maybe, but Don't Wait for the ‘Perfect Bottom’” — Kevin on his podcast, via Benzinga, 27 Jul 2026↗ benzinga.com“ETHEREUM IS GETTING MORE BULLISH EVERY WEEK | ZOOM OUT AND DON'T BECOME A PERMA BEAR”
Ethereum was $1,774, and it never closed lower. It climbed to $2,775 on 22 Sep (+56.4%) and is $2,542 today, +43.3% above the call. The best-timed call on this page. Graded played out.
“Ethereum Is Getting More Bullish Every Week” — Kev Capital TA (YouTube, 14 Jul 2026)▶ Panoorin ang tawag · youtu.be/exmKn9fvHkE“the Bitcoin bears are finally getting weaker”
Bitcoin was $63,747, twelve days after its $58,566 low of 1 Jul. It closed at $62,279 the next day (−2.3%) and not lower after that. It reached $86,597 on 22 Sep (+35.8%) and is $83,593 today, +31.1% above the call. Graded played out. In the same podcast he said Bitcoin could still revisit $44,000–$56,000, the view he repeated on 27 Jul.
Source“Bitcoin Bears Are Getting Weaker Despite Drop to $62,000” — Kevin on his podcast, via Benzinga, 13 Jul 2026↗ benzinga.com“Until that happens, it’s still a higher counter-trend rally within a higher time frame downtrend.”
With Ethereum at $2,351, he said the rally from about $1,700 was a counter-trend bounce until ETH reclaimed $2,800 and retested it. It never did. Ethereum peaked at $2,370 on 11 May and fell to $1,566 on 26 Jun (−33.4%). No close above $2,800 since; the high is $2,775 on 22 Sep (+18.0%). Ethereum is $2,542 today, +8.1% above the call. Graded played out.
Source“Ethereum To $10,000? Analyst Says ETH Must Clear This Level First” — Kevin's 7 May market update, via NewsBTC↗ newsbtc.comAng mga resulta ay aming pagbasa sa bawat call, sinukat laban sa totoong presyo ng CoinGecko — hindi sariling pag-score ni Kevin. Ang linyang “$1,000 na ipinasok” sa ilalim ng bawat chart ay buy-and-hold na numero mula sa araw ng call. Dalawang call ang umaasa ng mas mababang presyo: ang Ethereum call noong 7 Mayo at ang target na $56K–$44K noong 27 Hulyo. Para sa dalawang iyon, ang tumataas na numero ay nangangahulugang sumalungat ang merkado sa call.
Libreng analysis sa X at YouTube, na may bayad na Patreon at premium Discord sa likod nito, at isang exchange referral link.
Naka-link ang X bio sa patreon.com/KevCapitalTA. Inilalarawan ito ng YouTube channel bilang “isa sa pinakamalalaking crypto community sa buong crypto” na nag-aalok ng “high-end at eksklusibong analysis mula sa akin sa lahat ng merkado”, na may access sa “parehong Patreon at Premium Discord”. Hinarang ng Patreon ang aming request, kaya hindi namin nakita ang presyo ng mga tier o ang bilang ng miyembro.
Ipinopromote ng paglalarawan ng channel ang Bitunix gamit ang isang referral link, at inilalarawan ito bilang exchange para sa spot at leverage trading na may “mas mababang fee at USDT reward, walang VPN o KYC na kailangan”. Ang referral link ay nangangahulugang kumikita siya kapag nag-sign up at nag-trade ang mga manonood. Ang exchange na ina-advertise na walang KYC ay maaaring walang lisensya kung saan ka nakatira.
Sinasabi niya nang hayagan na bumibili siya ng Bitcoin (“Bumibili pa rin ako ng Bitcoin sa mga level na ito”, 27 Hul) at nag-long sa Ethereum noong Setyembre. Walang nailathalang pahayag ng holdings, kaya ipagpalagay na hawak niya ang mga tinatalakay niya.
“I still believe that we should go down to the $56,000-to-$44,000 range.”
27 Jul 2026 · Hindi kailanman nagsara ang Bitcoin sa ilalim ng $62,773“Until year-end: buy the dips and hold when they show up.”
14 Sep 2026 · Nalampasan ng Bitcoin ang kanyang $83.7K na hadlang makalipas ang walong araw“Analysis is not for pinpointing perfect entries. It’s for limiting your downside risk.”
27 Jul 2026 · ang sinasabi niya sa kanyang audience tungkol sa sarili niyang mga targetMga sipi mula sa kanyang sariling pampublikong sanggunian; mga pananaw, hindi rekomendasyon.
Ang mga may-petsa at beripikadong YouTube title na ito ay hindi naka-chart, dahil nagtatanong ang mga ito, umuulit ng call na na-chart na namin, o masyadong bago. Narito pa rin ang ginawa ng presyo:
THE BITCOIN BULL MARKET IS HERE ‼️THIS IS WHERE BITCOIN GOES NEXT 👀A regime call three weeks old. Bitcoin was $81,169 and is $83,593 today (+3.0%). The 25 September target post, which is charted, covers the same view.21 Sep 2026
BITCOIN TO SOAR TO 150K-215K BEFORE THE NEXT HALVING‼️The next halving is about two years away. Bitcoin was $76,371 and is $83,593 today (+9.5%). Too long-dated to grade yet.18 Sep 2026
THE TIME TO BE OVERLY BEARISH ON BITCOIN IS OVER | YOU'RE MAKING A MISTAKEThe same view as the charted 13 July call, so it is not counted twice. Bitcoin was $64,670 and is up 29.3% since.20 Jul 2026
A BOTTOM IS GETTING CLOSER ON BITCOIN | DO NOT BECOME A PERMA BEARBitcoin was $63,586, five days after the 1 July low. Its lowest close after that was $62,247 (−2.1%). It is up 31.5% since.06 Jul 2026
85K OR 48K FIRST FOR BITCOIN?A question, so not graded, and now older than the start of our price window. Bitcoin reached neither: the low was $58,566 on 1 July and $85K was first passed on 22 September.12 Mar 2026Ang Kev Capital TA ay handle ng isang analyst na nagpo-post bilang “Kevin” sa X (@Kev_Capital_TA, mga 25,000 follower, nasa X mula Disyembre 2015) at may YouTube channel na may mga 6,000 subscriber. Nakasaad sa kanyang bio ang B.S. in Finance. Sinasaklaw niya ang Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoin at US stock, at nagpapatakbo ng bayad na Patreon at Discord.
Seven dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls inside our price window. Four played out: Ethereum's May rally as counter-trend (ETH then fell 33.4%), the bears weakening in mid-July (Bitcoin +35.8% at best), a bullish Ethereum call at $1,774 (+56.4% at best), and the September break of his $78K–$83.7K hurdle. One went against him: his 27 July target of $56,000–$44,000, which never came. Two are still open: a $93.5K–$100K target from 25 September, and his 28 September post that the Bitcoin bear market is over.
Sa sample na ito, mahusay ang kanyang pagbasa sa direksyon ng trend at hindi ang kanyang bottom price target. Sinabihan din niya ang mga follower na bumili nang paunti-unti sa halip na hintayin ang kanyang target, at iyon ang bahaging gumana. Nagbebenta siya ng Patreon at nagpo-promote ng exchange referral link. Ituring ang anumang iisang call bilang may-petsang opinyon, hindi signal.
Sa pamamagitan ng bayad na Patreon na may premium Discord, at referral link para sa Bitunix exchange sa paglalarawan ng kanyang YouTube channel. Hindi namin nakita ang mga presyo sa Patreon.
Pangunahin ang two-day 200 EMA at SMA, ang 50-week SMA, Fibonacci golden pocket, whale money flow, stablecoin dominance at liquidity heatmap, na inayos sa isang multi-phase na Bitcoin cycle roadmap.
Binabasa ni Kevin ang trend gamit ang mahahabang moving average at bumibili nang paunti-unti sa halip na maghintay ng perpektong bottom. Gaano iyon kalapit sa iyong instinct? Sukatin ito nang totoo gamit ang Trader Passport.
Paunti-unting pagbili o mahigpit na target: rekord lang ang makapagsasabi. Subukan ang sarili mong pagbasa sa totoong datos ng merkado, nang walang kapital na nakataya, sa isang libreng tournament ng BuyCrypt na may totoong premyo.
Impormasyonal at pang-edukasyong pagsusuri na mahigpit na nakabatay sa mga pampublikong materyal: sariling may-petsang X post at YouTube title ni Kevin, mga ulat ng Benzinga at NewsBTC tungkol sa kanyang mga podcast (bawat isa ay naka-link sa call nito), kanyang mga pampublikong profile, at datos ng presyo ng CoinGecko. Hindi ito payong pampinansyal o pang-investment. Tinatayang numero lamang ang mga ito at palaging nagbabago. Spotted an error, or are you Kevin? Magsumite ng koreksyon →
Beripikadong handle · Nakabanggit ang mga sanggunian sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 12 October 2026
