@CryptoCapo_
Ang pinakapinagtatalunang anonimong chartist sa crypto. Lumaki ang pangalang il Capo sa pagtawag sa pagbagsak noong 2021–22, tapos ilang taon itong naging paboritong contrarian indicator ng merkado. Ang rekord ng 2026 sa ibaba ay hindi komportable para sa magkabilang panig: isang support zone na halos perpektong natukoy, at limang buwang pagiging maaga rito.
Sa madaling salita. Si il Capo of Crypto ay isang anonimong analyst na nasa merkado mula 2017 at nagpo-post para sa humigit-kumulang 800,000 tagasunod sa X at humigit-kumulang 116,800 sa isang libreng Telegram channel. Dito binabasa ang mga support at resistance zone sa mataas na timeframe, ang pag-ipon ng liquidity, at ang damdamin ng karamihan — at malakas na binabanggit ang level, may petsa. Iyan mismo ang dahilan kung bakit posible ang ganitong pahina. Dalawang bagay ang dapat sabihin bago ang chart: noong 2026 ito ay tama nang maaga tapos mali sa loob ng limang buwan, at — mismong salita niya — “As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin”. Ang sariling portfolio ay mga privacy coin at low cap. Ang Bitcoin ay ang sanggunian kung saan inilalathala ang direksyon; hindi ito ang binibili.
Ang il Capo of Crypto ay isang sagisag-panulat. Walang beripikadong tunay na pangalan, mukha o lokasyon na nailathala kailanman, at dahil hindi kailanman nagsabi ng panghalip, hindi ito hinuhulaan ng pahinang ito — ang nakagawiang “siya (lalaki)” sa press ay palagay, hindi katotohanan. Ang nakadokumento ay ang rekord ng pangangalakal: nakasaad sa profile ng Phemex na ang taong ito ay “been active in the crypto community since 2017”, at na noong Marso 2022, nang ang Bitcoin ay nasa malapit sa $40,000, tumawag siya ng pagbagsak pababa sa $23,000 — noong Hunyo, nag-trade ang BTC nang mas mababa sa $18,000. Ang tawag na iyon, at isang katulad noong Agosto 2022, ang nagtayo ng reputasyon.
Pagkatapos ay tumakbo pabaligtad ang parehong kumbiksyon. Hinawakan ang bearish target matagal pagkatapos ng ilalim ng 2022, at malinaw ang sinabi ng artikulo ng NewsBTC noong Oktubre 2024: “This goes as far back as his prediction of Bitcoin falling to $12,000 last year, but the crypto eventually broke past resistance levels”, at idinagdag pang mayroong “a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite”. Iyan ang reputasyong dala niya papasok sa 2026, at iyan ang dahilan kung bakit ang may-petsa at naka-chart na rekord ay mas mahalaga rito kaysa sa anumang buod — kasama na ito.
The 2026 posture inverts the caricature: they have been publicly, stubbornly bullish since early February, through a 20% drawdown, while the crowd turned bearish. They also documented the cost of it themselves. On 9 July, with Bitcoin at $62,247, they wrote to the Telegram channel: “I've been bullish since January/February, when price reached the expected main support zone of $60k-70k… Since then, 5 months have passed by, which is a lot of time. And price went up to 82k, then back down to 58k, and now trading at around 63k.” The twelve cards below are that stretch and what followed it, charted.
Sources: x.com/CryptoCapo_ · t.me/CryptoCapoTG · Phemex profile · NewsBTC
Mga zone sa mataas na timeframe, liquidity at damdamin — kumbiksyon bago timing. Nagtatrabaho si il Capo mula sa malalapad na banda ng support at resistance (“$65k-75k range”, “main support zone of $60k-70k”), sa pagtatagpo ng mga order block at lumang all-time high, sa kung saan nakasalansan ang liquidity at kung gaano kanegatibo na ang karamihan. Ang diskarte ay bilhin ang zone at maghintay, tapos pangalanan ang mga confirmation level sa itaas (“First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k”) sa halip na stop sa ibaba. Iyan ang lakas at ang kahinaan nang sabay: kapag tama ang zone, halos perpekto ang entry; kapag mali ang timing, walang mekanismong maglalabas sa posisyon. Malinaw ding sinasabi na spot ang tine-trade at hindi leverage — “Hence, I won't promote leverage” — at na “not selling” sa mismong mga pagbagsak na hinuhulaan niya.
Bullish mid-term — “Mid-term bullish (next months) yes” — and heavily positioned in privacy coins, but short-term bearish since late August: as of 24 September 2026 calling the local highs in with a $65k–70k target below $80k, and on 27 September “starting to hedge”.
Twelve dated public statements from il Capo, 5 February – 24 September 2026, charted against real Bitcoin price. The CoinGecko window runs 210 days and now begins 4 March, so the two oldest cards — the 5 and 18 February posts — sit outside it and are anchored at the window's first close; their cards say so. Five are their own X posts, captured with x_capture.py so the text and date are the post's own; seven are posts from t.me/CryptoCapoTG, the channel their own description calls “Official and free Telegram channel of @CryptoCapo_ from Twitter.” Read the whole set together, not the best card: this is a run of one thesis, repeated for seven months, that was right about the level and badly wrong about the clock — followed, from late August, by a turn to short-term caution that the market has so far run over. The famous 2021–22 top call and the $12,000 target sit years outside any chartable window and are described above instead.
“There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze)”
The post the whole year hangs on, and it has now aged off the left edge of its own chart. They marked the “main support zone” — a confluence of an order block, the November and April 2021 all-time highs and the 2024 ATH — and read maximum negative sentiment as the setup for an immediate squeeze. The CoinGecko window is 210 days and now begins 4 Mar 2026, so 5 February can no longer be priced from its own date; the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287, and the weeks right after the post sit off the edge. What does not depend on that anchor is the clock. No strong bounce came: Bitcoin ground lower for nearly five months to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below even the later anchor — and only then turned. The zone did eventually hold, and BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor, but “there's no better time” was five months early. It stays against.
𝕏 Post“Main support zone reached… There's no better time for a strong bounce” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Not ruling out the possibility of a quick last dump to $65k, but we should see bullish acceleration soon, with targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming.”
Two halves, and both have now paid — the second one very late. The post and the “quick last dump” that followed it in late February now sit before the CoinGecko window, which begins 4 Mar 2026, so the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287. The target took seven months. Bitcoin first fell to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below the anchor and well under the $65k they had allowed for — before closing at $86,597 on 22 September, +26.8% above the anchor and over the $85k they named. The card sat open for months because that number was unprinted; it is printed now, so it moves to played out. What it does not earn is “soon”: the acceleration came after a second leg down. BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor. The altcoin half of the post is not charted here.
Source“targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“For now, the most likely scenario remains an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels (potentially higher).”
With BTC at $71,304, stuck in the $65k–75k range they had been publishing for weeks, they called an imminent squeeze into $80k–90k. It arrived twice. First to $82,018 on 11 May, the bottom of the band — after a 7.5% dip to $65,947 on 30 March — and then, after the whole move was given back into the $58,566 low on 1 July (−17.9% from the post), to $86,597 on 22 September, +21.4% and past the middle of the range. Honest caveat: “imminent” fits the first leg, not the second. BTC is $83,145 today, +16.6% above the post.
Source“an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.”
Their most confident post of the spring, and the whole forecast is one word. BTC was $75,716; it went higher for three weeks, to $82,018 on 11 May — and then gave all of it back and more, falling 22.7% to $58,566 by 1 July. The card stayed open while price was only back around the post. That changed in September: Bitcoin closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +14.4% and above the May high, and is $83,145 now, +9.8%. “Higher” was right, so it moves from open to played out — but anyone who sized up on that one word sat through a 23% drawdown to get here.
𝕏 Post“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“I think we see a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation.”
The worst call in the window. Three days before the May high, with BTC at $80,025, they sized the coming correction at roughly 1–2% — a “last leg down” to $78k–79k. Bitcoin lost 26.8% instead, to $58,566 on 1 July. The “bullish continuation” did eventually come: BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +8.2% above the post, and is $83,145 today, +3.9%. That does not rescue it — the forecast was the size of the dip, and it was wrong by more than ten times. Four days earlier they had told the same channel that “Accuracy over the last months has been out of this world.”
Source“a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
Less a forecast than an admission, and it belongs on the record. Four months into the thesis, with BTC back at $61,480, well under the support zone they had marked in February, they wrote the miss down publicly instead of quietly deleting it, and kept the position. It turned out to be near the end of the fall: the deepest dip after this post was −4.7% to $58,566 on 1 July, and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, +35.2% higher.
𝕏 Post“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k.”
The best-timed call here. At $59,727 they read a third test of $60k as a bottom and named the levels that would prove it — “First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k.” The low came five days later at $58,566, only 1.9% below them. Both confirmations have now cleared — the second on 22 September, when Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+45.0%). BTC is $83,145 today, +39.2% above the post.
𝕏 Post“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“After this strong bullish move, I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k.”
After a 34.8% run off the 1 July low, with BTC at $78,974, they turned short-term cautious and named where they would buy it back: “Eyes on 74k-75k and 69k-70k as potential local bottoms.” The first part roughly worked: Bitcoin peaked at $81,265 on 4 September and fell to $75,590 on 16 September, 4.3% below the post — close to, but not into, the 74k–75k zone. Then it ran straight through that top, to $86,597 on 22 September (+9.7%), and is $83,145 today, +5.3% above where they posted. Neither buy-back level has been tested, so it stays open, and the “local top” is now a lower high. Note what it is not: “PS: I'm not selling, just ready to buy more if that happens.”
𝕏 Post“I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Most coins remain sideways/correcting. Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation.”
The August caution, now with a number on it. With BTC at $78,553 they sized the pullback they were waiting for — a final 10–20% shakeout, then bullish continuation — and reposted the same two lines verbatim to the channel on 7 September. It has not arrived. The deepest close since the post is $75,590 on 16 September, only 3.8% below it; then Bitcoin went the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+10.2%), and is $83,145 today, +5.8% above the post. It is open and pointing against them. One caveat this card cannot remove — the post says “most coins”, not Bitcoin; it is charted against BTC because that is the reference they publish direction on.
Source“Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“After riding this wave from the low $60ks, I remain cautious short-term. This looks very overextended for now, and seems like the market is going to flush some leverage and reset indicators before continuing higher.”
The first time in this window they claim the move: “riding this wave from the low $60ks” is the 26 June call above, which landed within 1.9% of the $58,566 low. From $78,451 they stayed short-term cautious and asked for a leverage flush before continuation. What followed fits the words loosely: a 3.6% dip to $75,590 on 16 September, then $86,597 on 22 September (+10.4%); BTC is $83,145 today, +6.0% above the post. A 3.6% flush is small for a market they called “very overextended”, and the post names no level either way, so it stays open rather than claimed. Same caveat as the card above — the subject is “the market”, charted against BTC.
Source“I remain cautious short-term… this looks very overextended for now” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Expected retracements from here: • $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k) • $ETH: 15% - 20% ($2k - $2.1k)”
The shakeout, sized asset by asset. Two days after the card above, with BTC at $76,555, they published a table of expected retracements — Bitcoin 10–15% to $65k–70k, Ether 15–20% to $2k–2.1k, altcoins and memecoins deeper — and reposted it word for word on 18 September. Five days after the post Bitcoin had dipped 1.3% to $75,590, the closest it has come. Then it rallied the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+13.1%), and is $83,145 today, +8.6% above the post — a 15.8% fall away from even the top of their target zone. Ether did the same: $2,438 to a $2,775 high (+13.9%), $2,666 today (+9.4%). No clock was attached, so it stays open — but it is going against them.
Source“Expected retracements from here… $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k)” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“High probability local highs are in. We could now see an LTF bounce towards $85k, but then down again. Bull trap confirmation (trend change) once $BTC goes below $80k. The expected target would be $65k-70k.”
Their newest call, and the most complete bearish one on this page: a top, a bounce level, a trigger and a target. Two days after the $86,597 close on 22 September, with BTC at $84,382, they called the local highs in, allowed a bounce toward $85k, and set below $80k as the confirmation for a drop to $65k–70k. On 27 September they added: “As mentioned on X, I'm starting to hedge.” Five days settles nothing. The highest close since is $84,449 (+0.1%), and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, 1.5% below the post — still above the $80k trigger. Note the shift: this is the first card here where they say they are acting on a bearish view rather than waiting to buy lower.
Source“High probability local highs are in” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.meOutcomes are our read of their stated direction against real CoinGecko price, not their own scoring. Two things bound what these cards can prove. First, il Capo has said they do not trade Bitcoin — “it's one of the main references for market direction” — so a red card marks a published view that aged badly, not a losing position; their actual holdings are privacy coins and low caps we have no price series for. Second, they publish confirmation levels rather than stops, so there is no exit to score against. The newest card is five days old and settles nothing. One more limit: the “$1,000 in” line on each card is buy-and-hold from the post date, including on the cautious and bearish cards from 25 August onward — for those, a positive figure means the call is going against them.
Walang bayad na grupo dito — libre ang Telegram channel at sinasabing ito lang ang pinapatakbo. Ang pera ay nasa isang affiliate deal sa exchange, isang referral link sa isang tool, at higit sa lahat, sa isang portfolio ng mga illiquid coin na hayagang pinapangalanan sa isang audience na anim na digit.
Isang affiliate deal na inanunsyo noong 16 Hulyo 2026 at pinapromote pa rin noong Agosto: $10,000 USDT giveaway, 10% diskwento sa trading fee, at hanggang $30,000 USDT na gantimpala sa pamamagitan ng partner.bybit.com/b/cryptocapo. Hayagang sinabi ang sariling hangganan — “my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading” at “Hence, I won't promote leverage” — isang mas mahigpit na linya kaysa sa karamihan ng deal sa exchange. Kita pa rin itong hati mula sa mga taong nagsa-sign up para mag-trade.
Isang referral link sa analytics platform na ginagamit (kiyotaka.ai/ref=CryptoCapo), inilagay sa channel noong Mayo 2026. Ipinaalam din na lumalabas na sa feed ang sariling mga ad ng Telegram: “Ads might pop up here due to Telegram's new policy. I don't control them and they're not related to the content.”
Mas mabigat ito kaysa sa mga affiliate link. Naglalathala ng buy zone para sa illiquid na privacy coin at low cap na hawak niya — $XMR, $ZEC, $ZANO, $ARRR, $XLM, $BCH, $TAO — sa humigit-kumulang 116,800 mambabasa sa Telegram at ~800K sa X, sa mga linyang gaya ng “$XMR looks ready to take off.” Ang Bitcoin, ang asset na naka-chart sa itaas, ang tanging bagay na sinasabi niyang hindi niya tine-trade. Timbangin nang naaayon ang isang low-cap na tawag mula sa account na ganito kalaki.
Nagbabala ang paglalarawan ng channel: “This is the only TG that I have. Beware of scammers. I will never DM you first.” May umiiral na mga panggagayang Telegram channel at YouTube account na gumagamit ng pangalan; dalawang account lang na idineklara mismo ng account ang nilink ng dossier na ito.
“As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin, but it's one of the main references for market direction.”
04 Mar 2026 · ang pagsisiwalat na bumabalangkas sa buong chart sa itaas“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
11 Jun 2026 · limang buwan na, inamin sa publiko“Trade the charts, not the news.”
07 Apr 2026 · ang palagiang bilin niya sa mga mambabasa“As always, my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading.”
16 Jul 2026 · pag-anunsyo ng deal sa BybitQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Walang video library na maililink. Walang inilalabas na podcast si il Capo at walang pinapatakbong beripikadong YouTube channel — ang mga channel na gumagamit ng pangalan ay hindi kumpirmado, at ang account mismo ay nagbabala tungkol sa mga nagpapanggap. Ang buong output ay maiikling post sa X at ang libreng Telegram channel, at iyan mismo ang dahilan kung bakit bawat tawag sa itaas ay isang sipi na kasinghaba ng screenshot na may timestamp, hindi isang clip. Parehong naka-link ang dalawang account sa itaas ng pahinang ito; ang buong beripikadong korpus sa likod ng chart ay binabanggit sa bawat card.
Isang anonimong crypto analyst at trader na nagpo-post bilang @CryptoCapo_ sa X sa humigit-kumulang 800,000 tagasunod, na may libreng Telegram channel na humigit-kumulang 116,800. Walang beripikadong pangalan, mukha o bansa na nailathala, at hindi kailanman nagsabi ng panghalip. Nasa merkado mula 2017; naging malawakang kilala dahil sa pagtawag sa pagbagsak ng Bitcoin noong 2021–22.
Both, at different times. They called Bitcoin below $23,000 in March 2022 from around $40,000 and it traded under $18,000 that June. They then held a $12,000 target that never arrived — NewsBTC reported in October 2024 that it had become “a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite.” Across the twelve dated calls charted here (5 February – 24 September 2026), five played out, five are still open and two went against — including a 26.8% drawdown after they forecast a 1–2% dip.
Walang natagpuang bayad na grupo, at ang Telegram channel ay libre at idineklarang tanging pinapatakbo. Kumikita mula sa affiliate partnership sa Bybit na inanunsyo noong Hulyo 2026 at sa isang referral link ng tool; bukod pa rito, humahawak at hayagang pinapangalanan ang mga illiquid na privacy coin at low cap — iyan ang conflict na mas dapat timbangin kaysa sa mga affiliate link.
Pagbili ng mga high-timeframe support zone na tinutukoy sa pamamagitan ng pagtatagpo — mga order block, nakaraang all-time high, ilalim ng range — kapag nakasalansan ang liquidity sa itaas at pinakanegatibo ang damdamin, tapos hahawakan ang spot sa gitna ng pagbagsak at pangangalanan ang mga confirmation level sa itaas sa halip na stop sa ibaba. Sinasabing spot lang ang tine-trade at hindi magpo-promote ng leverage, at na ang sariling portfolio ay mga privacy coin at hindi Bitcoin.
Binibili ni il Capo ang zone, binabalewala ang balita, at naghihintay — minsan buwan-buwan, minsan sobrang tagal. Gaano kalapit ang instinct mo? Sukatin ito nang totohanan sa isang Trader Passport.
Ngayon, patakbuhin mo ang paraan mo. Subukin ang bentahe mo sa tunay na datos ng merkado — walang kapital na nakataya — sa isang libreng torneo ng BuyCrypt na may tunay na premyo.
Pang-impormasyon at pang-edukasyong pagsusuri na mahigpit na nakabatay sa mga materyal na bukas sa publiko — sarili niyang may-petsang mga post sa X at mga post mula sa Telegram channel na idineklara ng account na opisyal, naka-link sa bawat tawag. Nananatiling anonimo si il Capo at hindi kailanman nagsabi ng panghalip; hindi humuhula ang pahinang ito. Hindi ito payo sa pananalapi o pamumuhunan. Tinatayang mga numero at patuloy na nagbabago. Spotted an error, or are you il Capo? Mag-submit ng pagwawasto →
Napatunayang mga handle · Mga pinagkunan na binanggit sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 29 September 2026
