@dangambardello
Ang mukha ng Crypto Capital Venture — isang halos araw-araw na crypto YouTube channel at X feed na nakatayo sa iisang ideya: ang business cycle (PMI) ang nagtutulak sa crypto nang higit sa inaakala ng mga tao. Sinasabi ng sariling site ni Gambardello na “no price predictions”, pero palaging may binabanggit na mga level ang mga post — kaya nasusuri ang mga ito.
Sa madaling salita. Dan Gambardello runs Crypto Capital Venture: a YouTube channel with 403K subscribers, an X account with about 318K followers, and a paid analytics platform, CCV Intelligence. The framework is macro-first — PMI and the business cycle, global liquidity, and a handful of moving averages (20-week, 50-week, 200-day). For years the channel was best known for Cardano; in June 2026 Gambardello said they had diversified into Sui and other altcoins. On this page: ten dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls from May to October 2026. The August reads were good; a May “breaking out NOW” video came just before a 26.6% fall, and a 22 Sep “time to be bullish” post came at the high of the move.
Mga walong taon nang pinapatakbo ni Gambardello ang Crypto Capital Venture, ayon sa sariling bilang ng site. Inilalarawan nito ang sarili bilang “the research, intelligence, and talent platform built by Dan Gambardello” na may tatlong sangay: ang libreng media sa YouTube at X, isang bayad na analytics platform (CCV Intelligence), at isang retained na negosyo sa executive search para sa mga crypto, fintech at AI start-up. Naka-link ang X bio sa bayad na platform; sinasabi ng site na ang CCV ay “is built, run, and shipped by one person.”
Nakilala ang channel bilang isa sa mga pinaka-bullish na boses sa Cardano (ADA). Nang bumaba ang ADA sa ilalim ng $0.16 noong Hunyo 2026, isinulat ni Gambardello sa X na siya ay “reallocated and diversified into altcoins like SUI” habang may hawak pa ring ADA, at tinanong ang mga follower kung sila ay “happy with the state of cardano governance, leadership, and branding.” Naka-link sa ibaba ang sumunod na coverage (CoinCentral, 5 Hunyo 2026). Wala ang Cardano sa datos ng presyo ng pahinang ito, kaya walang ADA call na minamarkahan dito.
Isang paalala tungkol sa linya ng bahay: inilalarawan ng CCV site ang channel bilang “No hype. No price predictions. Just the levels that matter.” Pero may binabanggit na presyo ang mga X post na nasa chart sa ibaba — $75K, $55K, $100K, $2,000 — kaya itinuturing namin silang mga call at minamarkahan. Hindi pa hayagang sinasabi ni Gambardello ang kanyang mga panghalip, kaya gumagamit ang pahinang ito ng neutral na panghalip.
Sources: x.com/dangambardello · youtube.com/@CryptoCapitalVenture · cryptocapitalventure.com · CoinCentral
Macro muna, sumusunod sa cycle. Binabasa ni Gambardello ang crypto sa pamamagitan ng business cycle — ang pagtaas ng PMI ang hudyat na ilang taong hinintay ng channel — at saka ito tinitiyempo gamit ang maliit na hanay ng moving average: ang 20-week at 50-week sa Bitcoin, ang 200-day sa Ethereum, dagdag pa ang mga on-chain na panukat gaya ng long-term-holder MVRV. Kadalasang ibinibigay ng mga post ang dalawang sanga ng isang setup (“targets $75K…but if it fails, $55K”), kaya mukhang eksakto ang magagandang call at mukhang may pasubali ang mga sablay. Ang mahinang punto sa pahinang ito ay ang timing: ang pinakamaingay na pamagat na “breaking out NOW” ay lumabas bago mismo ang pinakamababang punto ng tag-init.
Bullish sa cycle. Mula Agosto, sinasabi ng mga post na lumalabas na ang Bitcoin at Ethereum sa bear market, habang tinatawag pa ring “normal” ang mga pagbaba sa $70K (BTC) at $2,000 (ETH).
Ten dated calls from Gambardello's own posts — eight on X, two YouTube uploads — charted against real CoinGecko price. The X posts are quoted as published and were re-fetched live. For the YouTube uploads, the player and descriptions are login-gated for this server, so only the title can be verified word for word, and that is what is graded. Most titles on the channel name no level; we charted the two that state a clear direction for Bitcoin or Ethereum.
“A crypto dip from here would be normal as we pivot from bear into bull. I'd be surprised if it doesn't actually happen.”
With Bitcoin at $85,771, a day after its $86,490 close on 5 Oct, Gambardello said a dip would be normal and that they would be surprised if it didn't come. It came within three days: BTC closed at $81,686 on 9 Oct (−4.8%), and ETH fell from $2,710 to $2,446 by 13 Oct. The post named no level; the video's chapters weigh “$92K vs $79K”, and $79K has not been reached. BTC is $82,846 now (−3.4%). The direction played out; so far the dip is a modest one.
𝕏 Post“A crypto dip from here would be normal” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“I zoomed way out on Bitcoin and laid out my range for this cycle, $137K to $390K.”
Gambardello's exit range for the whole cycle, posted with BTC at $84,378: rather than one sell target, they said they would exit “within a range based on risk and macro factors”. The bottom of the range is about 62% above the call price. Since then BTC has reached $86,490 (+2.5%) on 5 Oct and is $82,846 now (−1.8%). A multi-year call with no deadline — open.
𝕏 Post“I zoomed way out on Bitcoin and laid out my range for this cycle” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“It's precisely the time to be bullish”
Gambardello wrote that Bitcoin was “just shy of $100k” and told followers not to be scared to be bullish. The post went up at 23:57 UTC, so the chart's 22 Sep point ($86,597) is almost a day before it; the next daily point, three minutes after the post, is $86,183. BTC got back to $86,490 on 5 Oct, then fell to $81,686 on 9 Oct (−5.2% from $86,183). It is $82,846 now (−4.3% on the chart, −3.9% from $86,183). No level or deadline, so open — but three weeks on, price has gone the other way.
𝕏 Post“Do not be scared to be bullish” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“Correction to $2,000 would be normal.”
With ETH at $2,515, after almost five weeks of resistance at the 200 and 50 moving averages, Gambardello called a drop to $2,000 normal ahead of the Fed decision. It has not come: the lowest close since is $2,397 (−4.7%) the next day. ETH then broke out to $2,775 (+10.4%) on 22 Sep, and the October pullback stopped at $2,446 on 13 Oct, well above $2,000. It is $2,492 now (−0.9%). Four weeks old, so open.
𝕏 Post“Almost 5 weeks of macro resistance for ethereum” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“$70K here would be normal. That's the 20-week moving average. You'll hear "bear market's back." Ignore it.”
After Bitcoin was rejected near $80K, Gambardello said it was “not a bull trap” and that a dip to the 20-week average at $70K would be normal. Price was $78,283. The dip stopped at $75,590 (−3.4%) on 16 Sep; BTC then ran to $86,597 (+10.6%) on 22 Sep; the October pullback stopped at $81,686 on 9 Oct, still above the call price. BTC is $82,846 now (+5.8%). The “ignore the bear talk” part held; the $70K level never came. Open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin rejected at the 50-week around $80K. Not a bull trap.” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“If BTC can break $80k w/ strength, $100k is sooner than later.”
A conditional call with BTC at $77,081. The first half happened: Bitcoin closed above $80K on 28 Aug ($80,268) and went on to $86,597 (+12.3%) on 22 Sep. The $100K target has not been reached; BTC is $82,846 now (+7.5%). Open.
𝕏 Post“$80k seems like final big boss rn.” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“Anticipating resistance at $2,500-$2,600.”
Bullish on the weekly chart but warning the daily was overbought, Gambardello marked $2,500–$2,600 as the ceiling. ETH was $2,252. It reached $2,515 two days later and then closed between $2,391 and $2,525 for four weeks — never above $2,600 until 19 Sep ($2,612). It peaked at $2,775 (+23.2%) on 22 Sep and is $2,492 now (+10.7%). The resistance zone was exact. Played out.
𝕏 Post“This Ethereum weekly candle took years to form” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin's inverse H&S targets $75K...but if it fails, $55K is on the table.”
With BTC at $64,263 and long-term-holder MVRV in its bottoming zone, Gambardello gave an inverse head-and-shoulders target of $75K, with $55K if it failed. The pattern worked: the lowest close after was $62,844 (−2.2%) on 17 Aug, and BTC closed at $78,318 on 22 Aug, through the target. It peaked at $86,597 (+34.8%) and is $82,846 now (+28.9%). $55K never came. Played out.
𝕏 Post“Altcoins are at cycle lows.” — @dangambardello on X↗ x.com“ETHEREUM Breaking Out RIGHT NOW! (Could MAJORITY May Be Wrong About The Crypto BOTTOM?)”
The best-timed call on the page. ETH was $1,774 and has never closed lower since. It ran to $2,775 (+56.4%) on 22 Sep and is $2,492 now (+40.4%). Played out.
“ETHEREUM Breaking Out RIGHT NOW!” — Crypto Capital Venture (own upload, 14 Jul 2026)▶ Panoorin ang tawag · youtu.be/nisqdjG7fgs“Crypto Bull Market Doors Opening! Bitcoin, Ethereum & Altcoins Breaking Out NOW”
The miss. Bitcoin was $79,826. It rose only to $82,018 (+2.7%) on 11 May, then fell to $58,566 on 1 Jul (−26.6%). After mid-May it did not close above the call level again until 28 Aug. BTC is $82,846 now (+3.8%), but anyone who bought the “breaking out NOW” title sat through the 26.6% fall first. Went against.
“Crypto Bull Market Doors Opening!” — Crypto Capital Venture (own upload, 5 May 2026)▶ Panoorin ang tawag · youtu.be/lIEj81JuNawOutcomes are our read of what each post said, measured against real CoinGecko price — not Gambardello's own scoring. The “$1,000 in” line under each chart is a buy-and-hold figure from the day of the call, whatever the call's direction — so on the 6 Oct dip call, a falling figure means the call was right. The 10 Sep and 15 Sep calls describe dips to $70K and $2,000 as “normal” rather than promising them; they are graded open because those levels have not come yet.
Isang libreng YouTube channel at X feed na humahantong sa isang bayad na analytics subscription, dagdag pa ang isang negosyo sa recruiting. Isinisiwalat din ni Gambardello na may hawak siyang mga altcoin na pinag-uusapan ng channel.
Isang bayad na platform na naka-link mula sa X bio: “proprietary PMI-based risk models”, isang accumulation planner, isang exit planner na may SMS at email alert, mga on-chain dashboard at video para sa mga miyembro. $49 kada buwan o $399 kada taon, na may 7-day na libreng trial (app.cryptocapitalventure.ai, 28 Set 2026). Tinatawag ito ng site na lugar “where members go deeper than the public channel can.”
Halos araw-araw na video para sa 403K subscriber, pino-promote sa X na may chapter timestamp. Ang kita sa ad at ang abot ang daluyan patungo sa bayad na platform.
Inililista ng CCV site ang “retained executive recruiting for crypto, fintech, and AI startups” bilang ikatlong linya ng negosyo. Kliyente ang mga founder at fund, na mahalagang malaman kapag tinatalakay ng channel ang kanilang mga proyekto.
Sa X, 4 Hunyo 2026: “I've reallocated and diversified into altcoins like SUI … I still hold ada.” Regular na tinatalakay ng channel ang ADA at SUI, kaya galing sa isang may-hawak ang mga pananaw na iyon.
“Bitcoin's inverse H&S targets $75K...but if it fails, $55K is on the table.”
07 Aug 2026 · ipinost sa $64,263 — naabot ang target noong 22 Ago“Macro reversals take time and look ugly zoomed in.”
10 Sep 2026 · tungkol sa pagiging matiyaga sa mga pagbaba“I've reallocated and diversified into altcoins like SUI, and have been pretty clear about that for almost a year now. I still hold ada.”
04 Jun 2026 · isinisiwalat ang paglabas mula sa CardanoMga sipi mula sa sarili niyang pampublikong pinagkunan; mga pananaw na binanggit, hindi rekomendasyon.
Halos araw-araw nag-a-upload ang channel; karamihan ng pamagat ay walang binabanggit na level. Ilang may-petsang upload na hindi inilagay sa chart, dahil inuulit nila ang isang call na nasa chart na o walang malinaw na direksiyon:
Bitcoin Is At A THE Moment — $100K Could Come FAST! (Here’s The Catch)Parehong $100K na tesis ng post sa X noong 23 Ago, na siyang nasa chart sa halip nito.02 Sep 2026
Ethereum Breakout! This Is It The Altcoin Signal Years In The Making (WARNING NOW)Ang video sa likod ng post sa X noong 20 Ago tungkol sa $2,500–$2,600 na resistance.20 Aug 2026
Ethereum Has Not Touched This Line Since October, $1,900 Decides Every AltcoinMay binabanggit na level pero walang direksiyon — babagay ang pag-break pataas man o pababa ng $1,900.12 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Breakout! The CRYPTO TRAP Is OFFICIALLY SETDalawang araw bago ang video noong 5 May na nasa chart; hindi sinasabi ng pamagat kung saang direksiyon sasabog ang bitag.03 May 2026Ang tagapagtatag ng Crypto Capital Venture, isang crypto YouTube channel na may 403K subscriber at isang bayad na analytics platform (CCV Intelligence). Matagal nang kilala bilang Cardano bull; mula kalagitnaan ng 2026, mas nakatuon sa Bitcoin, Ethereum at Sui sa lente ng business cycle (PMI).
Noong Hunyo 2026, sinabi ni Gambardello sa X na nag-diversify siya sa mga altcoin gaya ng SUI pero may hawak pa ring ADA, habang pinupuna ang governance at branding ng Cardano. Hindi minamarkahan ang mga ADA call sa pahinang ito.
Of ten dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls from May to October 2026: four played out (the $75K BTC target, the $2,500–$2,600 ETH ceiling, the July ETH breakout and the 6 Oct dip call), five are still open, and one — a 5 May “breaking out NOW” video — was followed by a 26.6% drop. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Sa pamamagitan ng subscription sa CCV Intelligence ($49 kada buwan o $399 kada taon), YouTube, at isang negosyo sa executive search para sa mga crypto at fintech start-up.
Binabasa ni Gambardello ang crypto sa pamamagitan ng business cycle at ilang moving average, at inaasahan ang mga pangit na pagbaba habang paakyat. Gaano kalapit ang iyong instinct — sukatin ito nang totoo gamit ang isang Trader Passport.
Ngayon, isabuhay ang iyong paraan. Subukan ang iyong edge sa live na market data — walang kapital na nakataya — sa isang libreng BuyCrypt tournament na may totoong premyo.
Pagsusuring pang-impormasyon at pang-edukasyon na mahigpit na nakabatay sa mga materyal na pampubliko (sariling may-petsang X post at YouTube upload ni Gambardello, ang mga website ng Crypto Capital Venture at coverage ng ikatlong partido, na naka-link sa pahina). Hindi ito payong pinansiyal o pang-investment. Tinatayang halaga lamang ang mga numero at palaging nagbabago. Spotted an error, or are you Gambardello? Mag-submit ng pagwawasto →
Napatunayang mga handle · Mga pinagkunan na binanggit sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 13 October 2026
