@crypto_birb
Isang Polish na technical analyst na may humigit-kumulang 712K followers sa X na nagte-trade ng Bitcoin batay sa apat-na-taong cycle, sa 200-day trend at sa kalendaryo. Noong Hulyo 2025, sinabi niyang lalabas siya sa crypto bago ang isang bear market sa 2026; noong Agosto 2026, isinulat niyang “tapos na ang bear market”. Sinusuri ng pahinang ito ang mga level na binanggit niya mula noon.
Sa madaling salita. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 12 October 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and six are still open, including his 30 September call that Bitcoin can reach $100k–$122k before 2026 ends. None has gone against him yet, but all seven are recent, so the sample is short.
Si Adrian Zduńczyk ang lumikha ng handle at brand na “Crypto Birb”, ayon sa profile ng mpost.io, na naglalarawan sa kanya bilang market analyst at ang nagtatag at CEO ng The Birb Nest. Ang X account (@crypto_birb, display name na “₿IRB”) ay binuksan noong Agosto 2017 at may mahigit 123,000 post.
Noong 9 Hulyo 2025, ipinaliwanag niya sa publiko na umaalis siya sa crypto: “Laging nangyayari ang cycle top sa mga taon pagkatapos ng eleksyon sa US”, “Midterm year ang 2026”, at “Opinyon ko: top sa Hulyo o huling bahagi ng Oktubre/simula ng Nobyembre.” Sinabi niyang “titingnan kong bumalik sa crypto sa Q4 2026 o maagang bahagi ng 2027”. Nasa labas ng price window ng pahinang ito ang post na iyon, kaya hindi ito naka-chart, pero tumama ang balangkas: nag-peak ang Bitcoin noong Oktubre 2025, at sa aming data ay bumaba ito sa pinakamababang $58,566 noong 1 Hulyo 2026.
Klasikong technical analysis ang kanyang pamamaraan — mga target ng pattern, support at resistance, ang 200-day trend at mga golden cross — na pinagsama sa mga seasonality table (“Hindi kailanman nagsara nang green ang mga Setyembre ng midterm year. Hanggang ngayon.”). Maraming post ang nagtatapos sa tanong sa followers at isang tahasang “Wala talaga akong ideya”, kaya ilang call sa pahinang ito ay mga senaryo, hindi iisang target.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
Technician ng cycle at seasonality. Tinutukoy niya ang support at resistance, sinusukat ang mga target ng pattern (“kinukuha ang laki ng base ng pattern at idinadagdag sa resistance”), at umaasa sa mga estadistika ng halving cycle at kalendaryo para sa mas malaking larawan. Ang lakas sa sample na ito ay ang mga support zone: sinubok ito ng presyo at tumalbog. Ang kahinaan para sa isang scorecard ay maraming post ang naglalatag ng dalawang posibleng resulta nang sabay, kaya hindi sila malinaw na tama o mali.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”. On 9 Oct, with BTC down from $87K to $81K, he wrote: “The bull market isn't up for debate.”
Seven dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All seven are from late August to mid-October 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.”
BTC was $83,691. He read the pullback as a pause in a bull market, with $82k as the daily support that had held and the rising 200-day averages at $72k–$75k below it. Since then BTC has closed under $82k four times, but by less than 1%: the lowest close was $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.3%). The $72k–$75k zone has not been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A typical October would take us to $98,700. That's right. It's fair to expect near $100k prices soon. Will we get there in 30 days? No clue, but Q4 is crazy. Average Q4 gains +19.17% in midterms and +45.26% overall. We can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends.”
BTC was $83,640, so a typical October meant about +18.0%. He said he had “no clue” whether it would take 30 days. October has gone the other way so far: the highest close was $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 Oct, the lowest $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.2%), and would need +22.3% to reach $100k. The $100k–$122k range has until 31 December. Still open.
𝕏 Post“A typical October would take us to $98,700.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $81,764 now (+4.6%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $81,764 now (+3.4%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $81,764 now (+5.8%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $81,764 now (+4.5%) and would need to rise another 77% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $81,764 now (+5.2%). Played out so far — an eight-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.comAng mga resulta ay ang aming pagbasa sa sinabi ng bawat post, sinukat laban sa totoong daily close ng CoinGecko — hindi sa sarili niyang pagmamarka. Sinusuri ang mga level laban sa daily close, kaya maaaring lumampas pa sa mga ibinigay na numero ang isang intraday na galaw. Ang “Bukas pa” ay nangangahulugang may binanggit na level o horizon ang call na hindi pa naaabot o nababasag.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. On 22 Sep he wrote that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts promotions for OKX products (OKX Shield on 26 Sep, OKX VIP tiers on 15 Oct). Those are incentives worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code. On 22 Sep he wrote that entry is free with “our special @Bitbase_Ex code (we get a cut of their fees)”.
Ang kanyang brand para sa pagsusuri, edukasyon at consulting, na may YouTube channel at website. Kasama sa mas lumang mga upload ang mga sponsored na feature ng mga exchange at proyekto.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. On 5 Oct 2026 he wrote that he had “moved on to buy bitcoin bags for long term. Not touching it till Q2 2029.” He gave no size.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · Tumaas ang BTC ng 11.4% nang hindi ibinabalik ang galaw“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · Nag-peak ang Bitcoin noong Oktubre 2025“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · ang kanyang pagbasa sa bear market ng 2026Mga sipi na kinopya mula sa sarili niyang mga pampublikong source; mga ipinahayag na pananaw, hindi rekomendasyon.
Walang bagong market video na mai-link dito. Ang mga upload ng YouTube channel na The Birb Nest sa window na ito ay nagpo-promote ng Millionaire Speedrun program, at bawat naka-chart na call ay naka-link sa kanyang post sa X.
Si Adrian Zduńczyk, isang Polish na chartered market technician (CMT) at ang nagtatag ng The Birb Nest, na nagpo-post bilang @crypto_birb sa X para sa humigit-kumulang 712K followers mula Agosto 2017.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in, that “a typical October would take us to $98,700”, and that “we can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 12 Oct 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and six are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN, and he has written that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts OKX promotions.
Tine-trade ni Crypto Birb ang apat-na-taong cycle gamit ang mga support zone at estadistika ng kalendaryo. Gaano kalapit ang iyong instinct — sukatin ito nang totoo gamit ang Trader Passport.
Ngayon, isabuhay ang iyong diskarte. Subukan ang iyong edge sa live na market data — walang kapital na nakataya — sa isang libreng BuyCrypt tournament na may totoong premyo.
Pang-impormasyon at pang-edukasyong pagsusuri na mahigpit na nakabatay sa mga materyales na pampubliko (ang sarili niyang may-petsang mga post sa X, X profile, ang YouTube channel na The Birb Nest at isang pampublikong profile sa mpost.io, na naka-link sa pahina). Hindi ito payong pinansyal o pang-investment. Tinatayang halaga lang ang mga numero at palagiang nagbabago. Spotted an error, or are you Adrian? Mag-submit ng pagwawasto →
Napatunayang mga handle · Mga pinagkunan na binanggit sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 18 October 2026
