@BigCheds
Isang trader ng pattern, hindi propeta ng presyo. Binabasa ni Cheds ang klasikong tsart at Japanese candlestick — mga range, W-bottom, fulcrum bottom, pagsubok sa moving average at Bollinger Bands — at sinasabi niya ang antas na magpapatunay o magpapawalang-bisa sa bawat ideya. Dahil sa istrakturang iyon, hindi pangkaraniwang madaling markahan ang mga tawag niya — at iyon mismo ang ginagawa ng pahinang ito.
Sa madaling salita. Si Cheds (@BigCheds) ay isang CMT-certified na teknikal na analyst at isa sa pinakamatagal na account na nagtuturo sa crypto. Pseudonymous siya — walang beripikadong tunay na pangalan, walang numero ng yaman — at ang pampublikong rekord niya ay nakabatay sa tsart at libro, hindi sa personalidad. Natuto siya sa harap ng lahat: isinulat niya ang unang gabay niya sa trading noong 2017 habang sumasailalim sa chemotherapy para sa lymphoma, nagtagumpay laban sa kanser, at mula noon ay naglathala ng limang libro sa ilalim ng islogang “tulungan ang mga bagong trader na iwasan ang mga lumang pagkakamali ko”. Ang paraan niya ay antas muna: pinangalanan niya ang breakout na nagpapatunay sa isang tesis at ang pagkasira na pumapatay dito. Sa window ng 2026 na nakagrapiko sa ibaba, nagbunga ang disiplinang iyon sa pababang direksyon — natupad lahat ang pag-iingat niya noong Mayo sa Bitcoin, Solana at Ethereum — at sa Solana low noong 1 Hulyo, na natawag niya sa loob ng isang araw. Nagastos siya nito noong Abril, nang ang bullish reversal na pagbabasa niya sa Bitcoin at Ethereum ay bumangga sa 20–30% na paglagpak.
Si Cheds ay isang pseudonymous na trader at guro na pinatubo ang kanyang tagasunod sa mabagal na paraan: isang Twitter account at isang pampublikong learning blog (chedstrading.blogspot.com) kung saan inilalathala niya ang natutuklasan niya. Sa sarili niyang salita, “ang mga unang araw ko sa trading ay puno ng pagkabigo, pagkalito at tuloy-tuloy na pagkalugi” — sa pagkatalo nagmula ang pagtuturo, at ang tatak ay itinayo sa “pagtulong sa mga bagong trader na iwasan ang mga lumang pagkakamali ko”. Ang landas na iyon, ayon sa kanya, ay humantong “sa masusing pag-aaral ng Japanese candlestick at klasikong pagsusuri ng tsart, at sa huli sa CMT certification”.
Hindi pang-marketing na linya ang pinagmulang kuwento niya. Isinulat niya ang Complete Beginners Guide to Trading noong 2017 habang sumasailalim sa chemotherapy para sa lymphoma; nagtagumpay siya laban sa kanser at nagsulat din ng libro tungkol sa karanasang iyon. Limang aklat na ang may dala ng pangalan niya — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer at ang orihinal na gabay para sa baguhan. Ang YouTube channel niyang Cheds Trading ay hindi palabas ng market call: ang kamakailang feed ay halos araw-araw na serye ng maiikling aralin sa teknikal na pagsusuri — mga candlestick pattern, Parabolic SAR, Andrew's Pitchfork, broadening formation.
Dalawang bagay laban sa kanya. Una, pseudonymous siya: walang beripikadong pagkakakilanlan, kasaysayan ng trabaho o na-audit na track record sa likod ng mga tsart, kaya ang lahat dito ay nakasalalay lamang sa may-petsang pampublikong pahayag. Pangalawa, ang bullish reversal na pagbabasa niya noong Abril 2026 ay mali sa paraang masakit — nalampasan nga ng Bitcoin ang $76,000 breakout niya, ngunit ang “compound fulcrum bottom” na tinukoy niya ay hindi ang bottom, at ang $2,400 breakout ng Ethereum ay bumagsak sa loob ng ilang araw at nalugmok nang 32.7%. Nakagrapiko ang dalawa sa ibaba sa halip na tahimik na tinanggal. Prangka rin siya sa pag-trade laban sa sarili niyang hilig: noong 3 Setyembre 2026 isinulat niyang “kumuha ako ng long sa 67k kahit inaasahan kong mas mababa batay sa HTF na trend ng $BTC”, na nangangatwirang ang bearish na pananaw ay hindi nagbabawal ng malinis na long setup.
Sources: dailyhodl.com dated coverage · x.com/BigCheds posts · youtube.com/@ChedsTrading · his own book author notes
Klasikong pagsusuri ng tsart, antas muna. Sumusunod si Cheds sa aklat: mga range at taluktok ng range, W/double bottom, compound fulcrum bottom, Japanese candlestick reversal, ang 50-day moving average, Bollinger Bands at OBV divergence. Ang naghihiwalay sa mga post niya sa karamihan ng komentaryo sa tsart ay halos palagi niyang pinangangalanan ang trigger at ang invalidation sa iisang hininga — “i-flip ang $85,000”, “ang pag-flip ng $78 ay maaaring maging long thesis, at invalidation para sa short”. Nag-trade siya sa dalawang direksyon at ishoshort ang bounce papasok sa resistance nang hindi nagpapaikot ng salita. Ang kahinaan ay ang laging kahinaan ng klasikong pagsusuri: ang malinis na pattern ay maaaring tunay na senyales o pekeng breakout — at noong Abril 2026 nagdeklara siya ng fulcrum bottom na may natitira pang 21% na pagbaba sa ilalim.
Tunay na dalawang direksyon. Ishinort niya ang Solana papasok sa resistance noong Mayo at naging bullish siya sa low ng Hulyo; ang hilig niya ay sumusunod sa antas na kasisira lang, hindi sa isang nakatakdang pananaw sa siklo.
Nine dated calls across the 2026 window, charted against real price: six attributed to Cheds by The Daily Hodl, and three from his own X posts since August. Every quote was confirmed verbatim on its live source before it was used here. Because he states an explicit trigger and invalidation, these grade cleanly — and the split is instructive: his April bullish reversal read went badly wrong on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, while his May caution and his 1 July Solana call were right, the last of them within a day of the low. Since August he called the $67,000 Bitcoin breakout well, saw a September diamond-top breakdown reverse within a week, and on 22 September declared the bottom in. Nothing here is cherry-picked; the cards run in date order.
“ETH now working on broader range breakout circa $2,400.”
A range-breakout call on Ethereum at $2,326. It was a fake-out: ETH tagged $2,421 three days later, failed immediately, and fell −32.7% to $1,566. ETH later climbed to a $2,775 (+19.3%) peak on 22 September and sits at $2,503 (+7.6%) — but only after that 33% drawdown. The breakout he named did not hold, and this is the clearest miss on the page.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“BTC $74,500 and pushing toward range peak. Breakout at $76,000.”
Two claims in one post, and they split. The trigger worked: from $74,297 Bitcoin cleared $76,000 within three days and ran to $82,018 (+10.4%) by 11 May. The thesis didn't — he framed it as a “compound fulcrum bottom,” and BTC then fell −21.2% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC then recovered to a $86,597 (+16.6%) high on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+11.5%): a profitable breakout wrapped in a bottom call that was three months early.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000. I think a weekly close would be logical.”
Having been early in April, he set a hard bar in May at $79,289: no bottom until BTC flips $85,000. The downtrend he warned about arrived first, −26.1% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC only reached his line in late September — $86,597 (+9.2%) on 22 September, the day he declared the bottom in himself (last card) — and it is back at $82,851 (+4.5%). Withholding the bottom call at $79K was the right read: the real bottom came 26% lower.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“I'd probably short here, though, because it's a downtrend bouncing into resistance.”
An outright short on Solana at $91, on the textbook reason — a downtrend bouncing into a range peak. It worked: SOL fell −31.8% to $62. Worth stating plainly that he did not stay short: SOL has since run to a $122 (+34.0%) high and sits at $109 (+20.2% from this call), and he flipped bullish on it in July — the next card.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“It needs to hold $2,150 on what looks to be a pending retest or it is headed for Goblin Town”
A conditional warning at $2,258 with a precise line in the sand. ETH lost $2,150 and went exactly where he said — −30.7% to $1,566. Note this is the same $2,400 level he had called a breakout a month earlier: by May he was reading its “continued inability to break $2,400” as weakness. ETH is now $2,503 (+10.8%).
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
His best call in the window, and the timing is the point: he turned bullish on Solana at $74 on 1 July — the exact day Bitcoin printed its $58,566 cycle low. SOL has since gained +66.0% to $122, with a maximum drawdown of only −2.3% along the way, and sits at $109 (+48.8%). He also named the invalidation in the same sentence, which is what makes it a trade rather than an opinion.
SourceCrypto Strategist Details Bullish Scenario for Solana — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter”
A long trigger, named and then hit: he posted mid-session on 19 August as Bitcoin pushed through $67,000. The chart starts at that day's $64,686 opening point, so it flatters him slightly — the next daily point was already $69,291. From there BTC ran to $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+28.1%); measured from his own $67,000 trigger, that is still about +29% at the peak and +24% now. The cleanest call on the page.
𝕏 Post“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC one view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily 76k low trigger for me.”
A bearish pattern read at $78,283, with $76,000 as the trigger. The trigger fired — BTC closed at $75,590 (−3.4%) on 16 September, and that day he asked his stream “what does the loss of 76k mean” — and then the breakdown failed outright: within six days BTC was at $86,597 (+10.6%), and it sits at $82,851 (+5.8%). In fairness he hedged it as “one view” and was back to bullish posts by 18 September, but as a call it went against him. (The “$1,000 in” line below is buy-and-hold, so it shows a gain on this bearish call.)
𝕏 Post“One view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN”
Four months after setting his bar — “flip $85,000” — he called it: the bottom is in. The chart point is $86,597 — as of 11 October, Bitcoin's highest daily point since the July low; BTC has since dipped to $81,686 (−5.7%) and sits at $82,851 (−4.3%). The claim is about the $58,566 low of 1 July, which nothing has threatened yet, so this stays open — but anyone who bought the announcement is down on it so far.
𝕏 Post“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated bias against real price, not his own scoring. Calls come from dated third-party coverage, which quotes his X posts and YouTube sessions directly, or from his own X posts (linked on each card). Percentages are computed from the same price data that draws the charts, at the daily point for the date of the post. The “$1,000 in” line assumes buying on the call date and holding, so on bearish calls it does not show his result. Near-term marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
Cheds sells books and education, and is transparent that trading platforms sponsor him. He is also an analyst at the paid membership Bitcoin Live, which he promotes on his X feed. No token promotion turned up in the record we reviewed, but the sponsorships and the membership are real and worth pricing in.
Limang self-published na aklat — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer at Complete Beginners Guide to Trading — kasama ang libreng araw-araw na daloy ng aralin sa YouTube na umaakay patungo sa kanila.
Hayagan niyang inirekomenda ang mga trading venue sa audience niya sa X, kabilang ang BingX at ang perps DEX na edgeX. Karaniwan ang affiliate na kasunduan sa kategoryang ito; ituring ang rekomendasyon sa platform bilang patalastas, hindi pagsusuri.
He writes member reports for the subscription service Bitcoin Live and advertises it on X. Several times a week he posts a “New Bitcoin Live Member report” link, and in late September and early October he promoted a sale (“Your first 3 months of membership for $97”). He also posts clips of member-only reports to show calls he made there. We cannot see those reports, so no call on this page comes from one.
“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
01 Jul 2026 · ang ugaling trigger-at-invalidation, sa mismong araw ng low“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000.”
14 May 2026 · pagtangging magdeklara ng bottom na hindi naman ipinakita sa kanya“It needs to hold $2,150 … or it is headed for Goblin Town”
14 May 2026 · ang babala sa ETH na natupadAng mga sipi ay hango sa sarili niyang pampublikong pinagmulan; mga sinabing pananaw, hindi rekomendasyon.
Hindi palabas ng market call ang YouTube niya — isa itong halos araw-araw na daloy ng maiikling aralin sa klasikong teknikal na pagsusuri. Kinatawang mga clip kamakailan:
Broadening Patterns — Classical ChartingAng kasangkapan ng klasikong pagsusuri ng tsart na pinagbabatayan niya sa pag-trade.03 Sep 2026
Trading Wisdom Lesson 36 — Candlestick Context MattersBinabasa ang candlestick sa konteksto, hindi nag-iisa.06 Sep 2026
Ride Trends — Don't Try to Guess BottomsAng aralin na ipinapakita mismo ng pagkakamali niya noong Abril 2026.30 Aug 2026
Andrew's Pitchfork IndicatorIsa sa mga istrakturang kasangkapan sa likod ng mga tawag niya sa antas.31 Aug 2026Isang pseudonymous na teknikal na analyst at guro na nagpo-post bilang Cheds (@BigCheds) at nagpapatakbo ng YouTube channel na Cheds Trading. CMT-certified siya, nag-trade siya ng klasikong chart pattern at Japanese candlestick, at naglathala ng limang aklat tungkol sa trading. Hindi pampubliko ang tunay niyang pangalan.
Hindi alam at hindi beripikado sa publiko. Pseudonymous siya, hindi naglalathala ng na-audit na track record, at hindi kailanman inihayag ang kanyang mga hawak. Anumang tiyak na numerong makikita mong sinipi ay gawa-gawa lamang — huwag pansinin.
He is an educator and commentator, not a licensed adviser. In the 2026 calls charted here five of nine played out — his May caution on BTC, SOL and ETH, a Solana call within a day of the July low, and the August $67,000 Bitcoin breakout. Two went against him: the April Ethereum breakout, which fell 33%, and a September bearish Bitcoin pattern that reversed within a week. Two are still open, including his 22 September call that the bottom is in. Treat his views as a documented, dated opinion, never as a signal to follow blindly.
Klasikong pagsusuri ng tsart, antas muna. Nagmumula siya sa mga range, W/double bottom, fulcrum bottom, candlestick reversal, ang 50-day moving average, Bollinger Bands at OBV divergence — at sinasabi niya ang antas na nagpapatunay sa ideya kasabay ng antas na nagpapawalang-bisa rito. Nag-trade siya nang long at short, at sinabi niyang ang bearish na pananaw sa mas mataas na timeframe ay hindi humahadlang sa kanya na kumuha ng malinis na long setup.
Sumusunod si Cheds sa aklat: pinangalanang trigger, pinangalanang invalidation, at walang kapit sa direksyon. Gaano kalapit ang instinct mo — sukatin mo ito nang totohanan gamit ang Trader Passport.
Ngayon gamitin mo ang iyong paraan. Subukin ang iyong kalamangan sa live na datos ng merkado — walang kapital na nakataya — sa isang libreng torneo ng BuyCrypt na may tunay na premyo.
Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials (dated third-party coverage quoting his posts and videos, and his own X posts, linked on each call). Every quote was verified verbatim on its source page. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Cheds? Magpadala ng pagwawasto →
Beripikadong mga account · Nakasaad ang pinagmulan sa itaas · Pamamaraan ng pagmamarka · Na-update 11 October 2026
