BuyCrypt
交易员档案 · 分形与突破 · X
Mikybull Crypto

Mikybull Crypto

@MikybullCrypto

≈92K X关注者≈7K Telegram订阅者9 条带日期的判断已在此绘图

A pseudonymous chart account that posts short, one-line Bitcoin and Ether targets, almost all of them bullish. Through the summer of 2026 that bias paid. On 22 July, at $66,521, Mikybull wrote “Expecting $80k”, and Bitcoin got there on 28 August. The $86k and $84k targets from September came on 22 September. The Ether targets are a different story: $3k, $3,400, $4k and $6k are all still open, with Ether at $2,445. Bitcoin's $95k target for October is open too, with Bitcoin at $82,701.

身份 匿名简介 “Macro Contrarian View | Economist | Trader”方法 分形 & 突破倾向 7月以来看涨
9追踪的喊单4已验证5仍在进行0与观点相反See the record →

简而言之。 Mikybull Crypto posts Bitcoin and Ether charts on X as @MikybullCrypto, mostly fractals, triangles and breakout targets. On our sample of nine in-window posts the record is 4 played out, 5 open, 0 went against. All four wins are near-term targets: Bitcoin to $80k, $86k and $84k, and Ether to $2k. All five open calls are larger targets: Ether at $6k, $4k, $3,400 and $3k, and Bitcoin at $95k. We could read the X feed back to 14 July only, and the sample covers a rising market. Calls from before mid-July could not be tested, so this is not a full-cycle record.

背景 — 哪些有据可查,哪些没有

Mikybull Crypto是匿名账号。其X简介写着“Macro Contrarian View | Economist | Trader | no VIP”,并链接到一个约有7,000名订阅者的Telegram频道。我们没有找到该账号背后的姓名、所在地或可核实的过往记录。标志头像是该账号使用的唯一图像。NewsBTC等加密媒体经常引用该账号的图表,最常见的是关于XRP、狗狗币和其他山寨币的图表。

X动态混合了三类帖子:比特币、以太坊和山寨币的一句话图表目标;关于宏观和政策新闻的每日市场回顾;以及付费X订阅的推广。其最大的目标没有时间限定:比特币的“Enjoy the bull run to $250k”(9月25日)和“$ETH going to $10k already guaranteed”(9月21日)。我们没有绘制这些目标,因为没有任何日期或价格能证明它们是错的。

8月下旬有两条帖子读起来像看跌判断:“Biggest crash incoming”(8月24日)和“It seems like a bigger crash is about to unfold”(8月26日)。但附带的图表是看涨的:一张是倒置的比特币图表,另一张将比特币与Apple的突破进行比较。我们将其视为预告而非看跌判断,未予绘制。我们将该账号自己的X动态回溯到7月14日。更早的帖子无法加载,因此3月至7月中旬的判断未在此评分。

Sources: x.com/MikybullCrypto (captured via api.fxtwitter.com and X syndication) · t.me/s/mikybull_crypto · Google News and NewsBTC search

交易风格 & 哲学

突破、分形和整数关口目标。Mikybull会画出一个形态,比如三角形、牛旗、头肩底或早前周期的分形,然后发布其隐含的目标位,通常只有一两行。移动平均线(50日线、200日线、牛市支撑带)用来标记一段行情何时“officially active”。这种方法在上涨行情中的近期比特币目标上效果最好:在本样本中,所有低于$90k的比特币目标都已达到。弱点在于更大目标的幅度。以太坊$6k至$12k、比特币$200k至$300k每周都会被重申,却没有日期,也没有能证明其错误的价位。

工具包 · 在我们分析过的公开判断中,每项工具出现的频率
近期突破目标8/10
分形 & 周期叠加6/10
均线趋势判断6/10
以太坊目标4/10
风险框架 & 失效价位2/10
看跌情景1/10
市场立场
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

整个样本都看涨。我们找到的7月14日以来的每一个比特币和以太坊目标都指向上方。10月1日,Mikybull写道“So seeing this chart, yet bears are still expecting $40k”;10月2日又写道“$BTC to $95k before any meaningful pullback”。

采用此风格交易突破挑战——交易目标,而非炒作免费加入 →

交易记录 — 其观点的图表化呈现

Nine dated posts from @MikybullCrypto, each captured verbatim from X and charted against real price. The tally is 4 played out, 5 open, 0 went against. The four wins are near-term targets: Bitcoin at $80k, $86k and $84k, and Ether at $2k. The five open calls are larger: Ether at $6k, $4k, $3,400 and $3k, and Bitcoin at $95k for October. Since the September top, Bitcoin and Ether have both fallen back, so none of the open targets is closer than it was when posted.

9
追踪的喊单
4
已验证
5
仍在进行
0
与观点相反
每条观点均从发表当天起绘制至今天 · white = 发表观点时 · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. 我们的评分方式 →
21 Oct 2026ETH
ETH $3k · open

“$ETH is maintaining a critical support / Send it to $3k”

$2.4k$2.4k$2.5k▲ said 21 Oct
ETH $2.4k低点时间 $2.4k · -2%Now $2.4k
按其观点投入 $1,000$983 · -1.7%期间最大跌幅 -2% (−$17)

A support-hold call, posted on 21 October at $2,446. The attached chart shows Ether resting on the zone it broke out from in late August. $3k is about 23% above the price on the post date, and Ether has not reached it in our price window: the high was $2,775 on 22 September. Posted on the day of this update, so there is nothing to grade yet. Open.

𝕏 Post“$ETH is maintaining a critical support / Send it to $3k” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
30 Sep 2026BTC
10月看$95k · 未决

“The last October returns were red, definitely this October will be green / $BTC is going to $95k, it's already programmed”

$82.4k$84.0k$85.6kOct▲ said 30 Sep
BTC $83.6k低点时间 $81.4k · -3%Now $81.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$976 · -2.4%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$27)

An October call, posted at $83,640. Bitcoin rose to $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 October, then slipped to $81,408 (−2.7%) on 18 October. It is at $82,701 (−1.1%), so October is down so far. Mikybull restated the target on 2 October as “$BTC to $95k before any meaningful pullback”, and again on 21 October. $95k is about 15% above today's price, with ten days of October left. Open.

𝕏 Post“$BTC is going to $95k, it's already programmed” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
18 Sep 2026BTC
$84k · 四天内到达

“$BTC is breaking out this time around / Expecting $84k”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kOct▲ said 18 Sep
BTC $76.4k低点时间 $76.4k · +0%Now $81.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,069 · +6.9%期间最大跌幅 +0% (−$0)

一个突破判断,于下午发布。当日的每日价格点为$76,371。次日价格点为$80,874(+5.9%),因此部分涨幅发生在价格点之后、发帖之前。9月22日比特币到达$86,597(+13.4%),高于$84k目标,现报$82,701(+8.3%)。兑现。

𝕏 Post“$BTC is breaking out this time around / Expecting $84k” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
14 Sep 2026ETH
ETH $3,400 · 未决

“$ETH triangle breakout incoming / Targeting $3,400”

$2.5k$2.6k$2.7kOct▲ said 14 Sep
ETH $2.5k低点时间 $2.4k · -3%Now $2.4k
按其观点投入 $1,000$971 · -2.9%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$32)

A triangle target on Ether, posted at $2,477. Ether first dipped to $2,397 (−3.2%) on 16 September, then broke out to $2,775 (+12.1%) on 22 September. It has since given that back and is at $2,445 (−1.3%). $3,400 is now 39% above the current price. The target was repeated on 28 September as “short-term”, and again on 6 October. Open.

𝕏 Post“$ETH triangle breakout incoming / Targeting $3,400” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
3 Sep 2026BTC
$86k · 9月22日到达

“$BTC mega breakout / $86k incoming”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kSepOct▲ said 3 Sep
BTC $77.3k低点时间 $75.6k · -2%Now $81.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,056 · +5.6%期间最大跌幅 -2% (−$22)

一个突破目标,发布时价格为$77,297。比特币次日跃升至$81,265(+5.1%),随后在9月16日回落至$75,590(−2.2%)。9月22日到达$86,597(+12.0%),越过目标,现报$82,701(+7.0%)。兑现。

𝕏 Post“$BTC mega breakout / $86k incoming” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
29 Aug 2026ETH
ETH $4k · 未决

“$ETH / Normal consolidation before the next bullish run to $4k”

$2.0k$2.3k$2.6kSepOct▲ said 29 Aug
ETH $2.4k低点时间 $2.4k · -2%Now $2.4k
按其观点投入 $1,000$985 · -1.5%期间最大跌幅 -2% (−$21)

A consolidation call on Ether, posted at $2,442. The low after it was $2,391 (−2.1%) on 3 September, so the dip stayed small. The rally that followed reached $2,775 (+13.6%) on 22 September, but Ether fell back in October and is at $2,445 (+0.1%), level with the post. $4k is 64% above the current price. Open.

𝕏 Post“Normal consolidation before the next bullish run to $4k” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
20 Aug 2026ETH
ETH $6k · 相距甚远

“$ETH / The bull move has started / Get ready for $6k target”

$2.0k$2.3k$2.6kSepOct▲ said 20 Aug
ETH $2.3k低点时间 $2.3k · +0%Now $2.4k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,068 · +6.8%期间最大跌幅 +0% (−$0)

在以太坊突破当天发布,价格为$2,252。上涨行情确实开始了:此后没有任何每日价格点更低,以太坊在9月22日到达$2,775(+23.2%)。现报$2,445(+8.6%)。$6k是当前价格的两倍多,且帖子没有给出时间框架。未决。

𝕏 Post“The bull move has started / Get ready for $6k target” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
22 Jul 2026ETH
ETH $2k · 一个月后到达

“Expecting $ETH to reach $2k from this bull flag breakout”

$1.8k$2.2k$2.6kAugSepOct▲ said 22 Jul
ETH $1.9k低点时间 $1.8k · -4%Now $2.4k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,247 · +24.7%期间最大跌幅 -4% (−$44)

一个小目标,发布时价格为$1,929。以太坊先在8月2日跌至$1,843(−4.4%),并在四周内一直低于$2k。8月20日以$2,252(+16.8%)突破,继而升至$2,775(+43.9%),现报$2,445(+26.8%)。兑现,晚了一个月。

𝕏 Post“Expecting $ETH to reach $2k from this bull flag breakout” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com
22 Jul 2026BTC
$80k · 8月28日到达

“$BTC likely scenario / Expecting $80k”

$65.0k$73.3k$81.5kAugSepOct▲ said 22 Jul
BTC $66.5k低点时间 $62.8k · -6%Now $81.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,228 · +22.8%期间最大跌幅 -6% (−$56)

一个发布于$66,521的目标,距比特币2026年低点三周。比特币先在8月2日跌至$62,773(−5.6%)。该目标在7月29日、8月4日和8月5日被重申。比特币于8月20日突破,8月28日到达$80,268(+20.7%),9月22日到达$86,597(+30.2%)。现报$82,701(+24.3%)。兑现。

𝕏 Post“$BTC likely scenario / Expecting $80k” — @MikybullCrypto on X↗ x.com

Outcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not the trader's own scoring. Every quote is a verbatim X post, linked on its card and reproduced in full in the verified corpus. A “/” in a quote marks a line break in the post. We did not chart targets with no timeframe that are years away (Bitcoin $200k–$300k, Ether $9k–$14k), the two “crash” teasers whose charts are bullish, or altcoin calls. We skipped restatements of a charted target: Bitcoin $80k on 29 July, 4 August and 5 August, Bitcoin $84k on 21 September, Bitcoin $86k on 24 August and 6 September, Ether $3,300 on 11 September, Ether $3,400 on 6 October, and Bitcoin $95k at least eight times from 2 to 21 October. All of them would have scored the same way. We also skipped an 8 October post that gave both $95k and $75k as scenarios, a 13 October “Big crash incoming” post whose chart, like the August teaser, is upside down and points to about $150k, and untimed targets of $142k (19 October) and $200k–$300k (20 October) for Bitcoin, $14k for Ether (21 October), and $33–$35 for NEAR (October). Prices are CoinGecko daily marks, so an intraday post is measured from that day's mark. Near-term marks can flip.

其收入来源 — 以及利益冲突所在

Mikybull的简介写着“no VIP”,公开帖子也是免费的。但该动态同时销售付费X订阅,并发布推荐链接。以下是我们的发现。

付费X订阅

自7月中旬以来,该账号一直在推广其付费X订阅(称为“conclave”),往往每周数次。这些帖子承诺“Potential 10x altcoins”、每日进出场更新和私密交易设置(“These are the plays I don't post publicly”)。帖子还称价格将会上涨(“Join now before I adjust the price higher”)。我们无法看到价格或私密帖子,因此不在此评分。

推荐链接

7月,该动态发布了Mass的推荐链接(一款交易加密货币、永续合约和代币化股票的应用),并向使用该代码注册并入金的人提供“a private group access gift”。它还发布了带有“mikybull”优惠码、可享10%折扣的HyroTrader自营交易公司链接,以及Horizon的注册链接。粉丝注册或交易时,该账号即可获得收益。

自报战绩

推广帖会列出过往的成功交易(“$BTC buy at $63k, $ETH at $1600”)以及付费群中2倍至5倍山寨币交易的截图。我们无法核实这些说法。本页的判断仅限公开帖子。

标志性观点

“$BTC is breaking out this time around / Expecting $84k”

18 Sep 2026 · 四天后到达

“$ETH going to $10k already guaranteed seeing this interesting fractal”

21 Sep 2026 · 无时间限定的目标,未绘制

“$BTC to $95k before any meaningful pullback”

2 Oct 2026 · restated through 21 October

引文摘录自其本人的公开渠道;仅为所述观点,并非投资建议。

内容库

Mikybull在X和一个公开的Telegram频道(t.me/mikybull_crypto)上发帖,该频道发布同样的图表、市场回顾和快讯。我们没有找到其YouTube频道或通讯。

直接回答

Mikybull Crypto是谁?+

X上的一个匿名加密图表账号(@MikybullCrypto),约有92,000名关注者,另有一个约7,000名订阅者的Telegram频道。简介将该账号描述为“Macro Contrarian View | Economist | Trader”。我们没有找到其背后经过核实的姓名。

Mikybull Crypto的分析准确吗?+

On our sample of nine dated posts from 22 July to 21 October 2026: four played out, five are still open, none went against. The wins are near-term Bitcoin targets ($80k, $86k, $84k) and Ether at $2k. The Ether targets of $3k, $3,400, $4k and $6k are open, and so is Bitcoin at $95k in October. The sample covers a rising market, and we could not read posts from before mid-July.

Mikybull Crypto出售信号吗?+

简介写着“no VIP”,但该账号销售附带私密交易设置的付费X订阅,并经常推广。它还发布过Mass应用、HyroTrader自营交易公司和Horizon的推荐链接。

加密图表分析中的分形是什么?+

一种叠加方法,假设价格会重复早前某段走势的形态,通常来自过去的周期或其他资产。分形展示的是一种可能路径。它不提供概率,形态也可能随时不再吻合。

Mikybull Crypto的净资产是多少?+

未公开,也不存在可信的数字。请忽略任何与该名字挂钩的具体数字。

你的交易方式与其有多相似?

Mikybull交易突破并发布目标。你的直觉有多接近?用Trader Passport真实测一测。

1. 图表上的三角形向上突破……
2. 你的目标到了,趋势仍在向上……
3. 旧周期的图表与今天吻合……
4. 空头喊崩盘……
—风格匹配 Mikybull

打造你的交易者护照 →
付诸实践

Mikybull在本样本中命中了每一个近期比特币目标,但以太坊目标仍未决。哪一点对你更重要?

现在把你的方法付诸实践。在免费的 BuyCrypt 锦标赛中,用实时市场数据检验你的优势,无需投入资金,还有真实奖品。

信息性与教育性分析,严格基于公开资料:从 X 公开接口截取的带日期 X 帖子,以及每条判断所附链接的来源。不构成财务或投资建议。数据为近似值,且持续变化。 Spotted an error, or are you Mikybull? 提交更正 →

认证账号 · 上述来源引用 · 评分方法论 · 更新于 21 October 2026