
@JA_Maartun
一位荷兰链上数据分析师,其图表几乎每天都被加密新闻网站引用。其动态将链上解读与实盘交易混在一起——“我做多了”“现在正在做空比特币”——并附带一家自营交易公司的折扣码。本页核查的正是这些交易和价位。
简而言之。 Maartunn is a pseudonymous crypto data analyst from the Netherlands (about 47K followers on X). NewsBTC calls Maartunn a “community analyst”, and CryptoQuant hosts dashboards under the name. The posts are mostly on-chain data — whale flows, holder profits, liquidity maps — but also include trades. On this page: seven dated calls on Bitcoin and Ethereum from March to October 2026. Two played out, two are open, and three went against — all three of them short trades that price ran through.
Maartunn 的 X 简介写着“Crypto Data Analyst 🧑💼 | In Data We Trust 📊 | Featured in CNBC, Bloomberg 📰”(加密数据分析师 | 我们相信数据 | 曾登上 CNBC、Bloomberg),所在地为“Nederland”(荷兰)。真实姓名未公开。NewsBTC 经常报道这些图表,称 Maartunn 为“社区分析师”(2026年6月11日),CryptoQuant 网站上也列有 Maartunn 创作的仪表板,例如一张比特币交易所巨鲸比率图。
大多数帖子是数据:交易所资金流、短期持有者盈亏、Coinbase 溢价、未平仓合约、沉睡币移动。有些会把数据转化为交易。自2026年起,这些交易帖都附带 Breakout(一家加密自营交易公司)的推荐码——“跟我一起交易。使用代码 Maartun 获得最大折扣。”
本页收录的判断是明确给出 BTC 或 ETH 方向或价位的帖子。交易根据发帖后的价格走势评判;部分帖子在后续回复中给出的止盈价位未纳入图表。Maartunn 的公开资料未注明代词,因此本页使用中性称呼。
Sources: x.com/JA_Maartun · NewsBTC (26 Mar, 15 May, 11 Jun 2026) · cryptoquant.com
先看链上价位,再下单交易。Maartunn 解读已实现价格、持有者成本基础、Coinbase 溢价和流动性集群,并将其用作支撑与阻力。交易周期短,多空双向都做。4月的多单奏效;而在夏季和秋季上涨中逆势做空则没有成功。
Mixed and short-term. The last trade posts, in August and September, were shorts; since then the posts flag profit-taking, old coins moving and, on 7 Oct, $81.9K as key support, without a new trade.
Seven dated calls from Maartunn's own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. Most of the feed is on-chain data with no call; we charted the posts that name a trade, a level or a target for BTC or ETH.
“This makes it a key support level, as it reflects the entry price of recent market participants.”
The level is the average cost basis of coins bought one week to one month earlier. The post went up at 22:33 UTC, after the chart's 7 Oct point of $85,540; by the next daily point, 8 Oct, BTC was $83,282. Since then three daily closes have dipped just under $81.9K and bounced: $81,686 on 9 Oct (−0.3% from the level), $81,795 on 13 Oct (−0.1%) and $81,604 on 15 Oct (−0.4%), the lowest close since the post (−4.6% from the chart point). BTC is $82,001 now (+0.1% from the level). The level is being tested; it has not clearly held or broken. Open.
𝕏 Post“$81.9K is the average cost basis for Bitcoin bought 1 week to 1 month ago” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com“Low-timeframe rotation here could set up a beautiful short.”
帖子称 BTC 已跌破 $80,500 的区间下沿,目前只是从下方回测。当时 BTC 为 $81,236。两天后收于 $86,597(+6.6%),为整个期间最高点,现在为 $82,001(+0.9%)。此后最低收盘价为 $81,169(−0.1%)。走势相反。
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin is retesting the drop-off point” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com“Shorting on Bitcoin right now📉 Stop: $80,000”
在 $77,712 做空,止损设在 $80,000;帖子称这是“鉴于强劲上涨动能的高风险布局”。BTC 于8月28日收于 $80,268(+3.3%),高于止损位。9月16日确实跌至 $75,590(−2.7%),但那是在止损之后,现在为 $82,001(+5.5%)。走势相反。
𝕏 Post“Shorting on Bitcoin right now” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com“Short $ETH on @breakoutprop.”
在 $1,570 做空,目标为“最近一轮拉升的起点,可能更低”,止损设在前高上方。那个收盘价正是发帖后 ETH 的最低价。两天后 ETH 为 $1,699(+8.2%),9月22日见顶 $2,775(+76.8%),现在为 $2,439(+55.3%)。走势相反。
𝕏 Post“Rejection at the previous high.” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com“If we push through, things could accelerate fast toward $85K–$95K.”
当时 BTC 为 $74,482。上冲确实出现,但于5月11日在 $82,018 停滞;随后 BTC 跌破 $65K–$70K 支撑,于7月1日跌至 $58,566(−21.4%)。9月22日终于触及区间下沿 $86,597(+16.3%),现在为 $82,001(+10.1%)。目标达成,但晚了五个月,也不是帖子描述的快速方式。好坏参半。
𝕏 Post“~$65K - $70K on-chain support cluster still holding.” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com“I'm long ✅ Bitcoin is holding that support pretty well.”
在 $70,661 做多,帖子指出 Coinbase 溢价强劲。BTC 到5月11日涨至 $82,018(+16.1%)。之后于7月1日跌至 $58,566(−17.1%),现在为 $82,001(+16.0%)。帖子未给出止损或目标;第一波走势方向正确。应验。
𝕏 Post“Long on @breakoutprop” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com“ETH faces its first key resistance at the realized price of $2,306.”
当时 ETH 为 $2,169,低于该价位。到3月30日跌至 $1,983(−8.6%),直到 4月14日($2,374)才收于 $2,306 上方。正如帖子所说,该价位作为短期阻力守住了。ETH 后来跌至 $1,566(−27.8%),现在为 $2,439(+12.4%)。应验。
𝕏 Post“Price was rejected at t所提到的位置 just days ago” — @JA_Maartun on X↗ x.com结果是我们对每条帖子内容的解读,并以 CoinGecko 真实日收盘价衡量——并非 Maartunn 本人的评分。每张图下方的“$1,000 投入”一行是自判断当日起买入并持有的数字,即使对三笔空单也是如此,而这些情况下空头仓位本会亏损。止损以日收盘价核查,因此盘中触发止损的时间可能早于所给日期。
没有付费通讯或课程。X 动态上的收入来自推荐码:大多数交易帖附带一家自营交易公司的折扣码,部分帖子推广某家交易所。
交易帖末尾附有 Breakout 推荐码——“使用代码 Maartun 获得最大折扣。”其他帖子直接为该公司做广告:“8月向交易员支付超过 $7,000,000……由 Kraken 支持。使用代码 MAARTUN 享 5% 折扣”(2026年9月14日),以及“我本人正在使用一个 $100K 的资助账户”(2026年9月13日)。购买考核的关注者越多,该代码赚得越多。
2026年9月14日的一条帖子推广了 OKX 的上市前“X-Perps”,称“最高 10x 杠杆”,并附有存款代金券优惠。
简介写着“曾登上 CNBC、Bloomberg”;NewsBTC 和其他加密网站每月多次引用这些链上图表。
“Shorting on Bitcoin right now📉 Stop: $80,000”
24 Aug 2026 · 四天后 BTC 收于止损位上方“I'm long ✅ Bitcoin is holding that support pretty well.”
13 Apr 2026 · 此后四周内 BTC 上涨 16.1%“ETH faces its first key resistance at the realized price of $2,306.”
26 Mar 2026 · 守住了将近三周引文取自其本人的公开来源;这些是表达过的观点,不是投资建议。
这里没有可链接的视频库。Maartunn 的公开判断都是 X 上的帖子,每条绘图判断都链接到原帖。
一位来自荷兰、使用化名的加密数据分析师,以 @JA_Maartun 在 X 上发布链上图表。NewsBTC 称 Maartunn 为“社区分析师”,CryptoQuant 也以该名义托管仪表板。真实姓名未公开。
The last trade posts were bearish: a Bitcoin short on 24 Aug 2026 with a stop at $80,000, and on 20 Sep a post that a retest of the lost $80,500 range low “could set up a beautiful short.” On 7 Oct 2026 Maartunn called $81.9K, the cost basis of recent buyers, a key support level. In April, the call was that a push through the upper band could take BTC toward $85K–$95K.
Of seven dated BTC and ETH calls from March to October 2026: two played out (the April long and the ETH resistance at $2,306), one is mixed, one is open (the $81.9K support from October), and three went against — the July ETH short, the August BTC short and the September short setup. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
X 帖子附带加密自营交易公司 Breakout 的推荐码,部分帖子推广 OKX。没有付费通讯。
Maartunn 解读链上价位和流动性,然后多空双向交易。你的直觉有多接近——用 Trader Passport 真实测一测。