@GarethSoloway
A chart technician first, crypto commentator second — Soloway trades Bitcoin alongside gold, oil and the S&P, and prices every call off horizontal levels, trend lines and candle structure. He gives numbers and invalidation levels, which makes him unusually easy to score. The catch: for most of 2026 he was a short-term bull inside a long-term bear, so two of his calls can point opposite ways in the same week.
简而言之。 Gareth Soloway is Chief Market Strategist and president of Verified Investing, the subscription research shop he co-founded in 2007 as InTheMoneyStocks. He is a classical technician: support and resistance, trend lines, reversal candles and his own named patterns, applied across crypto, equities, metals and energy. In crypto he is a swing trader, not a hodler — he says so explicitly — and for most of 2026 he paired near-term long setups with a standing forecast that this bear market would end below $50,000 — until 21 September, when he declared it over and set a $175,000 cycle target. That split is the thing to understand before reading any single call of his: the direction is usually the trade, not the thesis.
Soloway 在宾汉姆顿大学主修经济学，职业生涯起步于金融服务业，2004 年离开该行业，转为全职操作自有资金。2007 年，他与 Nicholas Santiago 一起创办了 InTheMoneyStocks，一家做图表教学与交易提醒的公司，后更名为 Verified Investing。此后他一直执掌该公司，每天在 YouTube 发布技术分析，并常出现在 The David Lin Report、Kitco 等财经访谈节目中。
他的方法刻意走老派路线：水平价位、平行通道、从前高拉出的趋势线、反转K线与内包线结构，再加上他以 PPT Methodology、Confirmation Signal、Three Tail Theory 等名目推广的自有工具。Verified Investing 宣称自 2007 年以来每年 300 多个波段交易提醒的胜率超过 80%——那是他自家网站上的营销说法，没有经过独立审计，本页也不试图验证它。本页要做的，是给他公开说过、带日期的判断打分。
That record includes misses we could date but could not quote. On 3 May 2026, in an interview with David Lin, he said Bitcoin was forming a bear flag that could take it down roughly 38% to $50,000 unless it cleared $85,000. Bitcoin's worst print after that was $58,566 — a 25.6% fall, and never close to $50,000 — so the call was wrong on the level and on the size. It sits in the biography rather than on a card only because none of the outlets covering that interview carried a verbatim Bitcoin quote, and this dossier charts nothing it cannot quote. A second in-window near-miss cuts the other way: on 13 February 2026, before this chart window opens, he posted that $80,000–$85,000 was the likely upside — Bitcoin topped at $82,018 in May and did not clear $85,000 until 22 September.
Sources: coinpedia.org · x.com/GarethSoloway · youtube.com/@GarethSolowayProTrader · verifiedinvesting.com
古典价格行为技术分析，对比特币、黄金、原油与 S&P 一视同仁。Soloway 自上而下工作，从长趋势线与此前的枢轴高点入手，然后交易回踩：一根反转K线、一组未能跌破反转K线低点的内包线、一条被触及并守住的通道边界。他会明确给出触发位、目标位与失效位——这也正是他的判断能被打分的原因——并在上涨过程中分两半减仓，而不是持有整段行情。弱点在本页一览无遗：他的时间框架偏离很大（一个“days to weeks”的目标七周才到），他自己的失效位被跌破却不放弃目标，而长期的宏观空头立场诱使他去对做自己刚刚喊出的突破。
Deliberately two-sided for most of 2026 — tactically long the bounces, structurally bearish toward a final flush below $50,000 — until 21 September, when he declared the bear market over and set a $175,000 target. He flips fast: he called a breakout on 5 August, was short by 23 August, and called the bear market intact five days before calling it over.
Dated, in-window calls with a verbatim quote attached — from press that quotes him directly, from his own X posts, and in three cases from the titles of his own uploads — each charted against real CoinGecko price from the day he said it. Where an outlet only paraphrased him (his July $73–74k Bitcoin and $2,000 Ethereum targets, for instance, or the 3 May bear-flag call to $50,000) the call is not charted, because we will not put words in quotation marks that nobody printed. Those are disclosed in the biography instead. He gives real levels, so these are graded on his own numbers.
“Bitcoin Bear Market Is Over, My $175,000 Target”
The flip, in his own title, published at $84,382 two days after Bitcoin printed $86,597 — the higher high over the prior swing high he had said the bear market needed. The upload's description says the $175,000 comes from a roughly 1,000-day low-to-top cycle count and a pivot-high trend line extended to 2029, with $75,500 and $66,000–$67,000 named as pullback buy levels. The target is +107.4% away. Five days in, Bitcoin is $83,145, −1.5% below him — a multi-year call, open.
Source“Bitcoin Bear Market Is Over, My $175,000 Target” — Gareth Soloway (his own upload, 24 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“Bitcoin's Line In The Sand: $75,500 Or Bust - Bear Market Still Intact And Gaining Strength”
Published with Bitcoin at $75,590, which turned out to be the low of the whole move: no day in our series has closed lower since. His line in the sand held, by $90. The other half of the title did not. Six days later Bitcoin printed $86,597 (+14.6%), above the roughly $82,800 high he said it had to clear. On 21 Sep his own upload declared the bear market over. It is $83,145 today, +10.0% above him. He read the level well, but the “gaining strength” thesis was wrong.
Source“Bitcoin’s Line In The Sand: $75,500 Or Bust” — Gareth Soloway (his own upload, 16 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“very, very good”
With Bitcoin at $80,329 he refused to call a new bull market: the prior pivot high at $82,865 was still untagged, so on his definition this is still lower highs and lower lows — while conceding the recent price action looked “very, very good”. The cap held for two weeks, and Bitcoin first slid to $75,590 (−5.9%) on 16 Sep. Then it went through: $86,597 on 22 Sep, +7.8% above him and clear of his pivot, and he declared the bear market over himself. It is $83,145 today, +3.5%. His “not yet” was right for a fortnight. The cap did not hold.
SourceBull Flag or Bear Trap? What the Charts Say — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“Bitcoin Surged, Then I Flipped Short”
Eighteen days after calling the breakout he took the other side, and said so in his own title, published at $77,081. Bitcoin did not stop: it ran to $81,265 on 4 Sep, +5.4% straight through the short, dipped only −1.9% below him ($75,590 on 16 Sep), then broke out to $86,597 on 22 Sep, +12.3% against him. At $83,145 today it is +7.9% above his short — it never worked, and it fought the trend he himself had called correctly three weeks earlier.
Source“Bitcoin Surged, Then I Flipped Short” — Gareth Soloway (his own upload, 23 Aug 2026)↗ youtube.com“Bitcoin on the verge of an epic breakout. Trendline extends from the all-time high in Oct 2025 to the May 2026 highs to recent highs. A break of this trendline sends it to 15%+ imo.”
Posted at $64,062, and it paid. Bitcoin first dipped −1.9% to $62,844 on 17 Aug, then broke out: his +15% level ($73,671) was cleared on 22 Aug and price has since peaked at $86,597 on 22 Sep, +35.2% above him. It sits at $83,145 today, +29.8%. The single best entry on this page — and, as the 23 Aug card shows, one he then traded against.
𝕏 PostGareth Soloway on X — “on the verge of an epic breakout”↗ x.com“#Bitcoin tags lower band of parallel channel. This is a big test for bulls vs. bears. It breaks, the macro pattern begins to play out toward $60K, then $50K. Can the bulls hold the line?”
A clean conditional, posted at $74,340: if the channel band breaks, $60K then $50K. It broke. Bitcoin printed $59,727 on 26 Jun and bottomed at $58,566 on 1 Jul — −21.2%, his first leg almost to the dollar. The second leg, $50K, never arrived; price turned there and is back to $83,145 (+11.8% above him). Right on the break, right on the target, wrong that it kept going.
𝕏 PostGareth Soloway on X — “toward $60K, then $50K”↗ x.com“This one is actually looking the most bullish”
His most bullish chart of the four, held from an average entry near $82, with half the position to come off near $100, more at $105, best case $118. Said at $91.62 — and Solana went the wrong way first, −32.1% to $62.18 by 7 Jun, well under his own entry. The targets did land, just late: $100 on 27 Aug, $105 on 28 Aug, and his best case $118 on 22 Sep, six months after he said it. Solana peaked at $122.08 on 26 Sep (+33.2%) and is $117.82 now (+28.6%). Every target printed, but only after a drop well below his own entry. It played out, with badly wrong timing.
SourceWhat’s Next For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“At some point the bigger pattern is going to take over”
He restated the $80,000–$85,000 target and named $68,000 as the line that kept it alive, while warning the macro breakdown wins eventually. Both halves half-landed. Said at $70,987, his $68,000 support broke four days later ($66,330 on 28 Mar), which on his own terms killed the setup — yet Bitcoin still reached $82,018 on 11 May, +15.5%. The bigger pattern then took over: price fell to $58,566 on 1 Jul, −17.5%. The top of his zone finally printed six months on, $86,597 on 22 Sep (+22.0%), and BTC is $83,145 today, +17.1%. The whole target was hit, but his invalidation was hit first, so this stays ambiguous.
SourceWhat’s Next For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“If we can get a daily close above $2,150 and then confirm, look out above… The target would be $2,600.”
Said at $2,107, and his trigger fired the next day — Ethereum closed above $2,150 on 16 Mar. “Look out above” then half-worked: ETH ran to $2,421 on 18 Apr (+14.9%), rolled over, and gave it all back to $1,566 on 26 Jun (−25.7%). His $2,600 target finally printed on 19 Sep ($2,612), six months on, and ETH peaked at $2,775 on 22 Sep (+31.7%). It is $2,666 today, +26.5%. Target hit, but only after a round trip through a −25.7% drawdown.
SourceNext Bull Targets For Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“We had our high pivot, retraced to support, and now we’re testing the next level. Once we break through $74,000, the upside move takes you to $80,000 to $85,000.”
Said at $71,149. The $74,000 trigger broke two days later, on 17 Mar, and the lower half of his zone printed: Bitcoin reached $80,914 on 6 May and $82,018 on 11 May, +15.3%. The top of his zone took far longer: $85,000 did not print until 22 Sep, when BTC hit $86,597, +21.7%. It is +16.9% at $83,145 today. The route was not straight — BTC first fell to $65,947 (−7.3%) on 30 Mar, and later to $58,566. He also called himself “a short-term bull… days to weeks”; $80k took seven weeks and $85k six months.
SourceNext Bull Targets For Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.orgOutcomes are our read of his stated call against real price, not his own scoring. Every quote was re-fetched from its source before publishing (X posts via the syndication endpoint, articles by direct fetch, video titles via YouTube's own oEmbed API). Near-term marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
Soloway 卖的是研究，不是代币——产品就是订阅他自己的价位。这去掉了“喊单卖币”的利益冲突，换来一个更隐蔽的：付费提醒服务靠战绩来卖，所以公开的判断同时也是私域服务的广告。
核心业务：覆盖股票、加密货币与大宗商品的波段交易提醒、实时日内交易室、课程以及一个长期投资项目。他是该公司的总裁兼首席市场策略师。
Verified Investing 宣称自 2007 年以来每年 300 多个提醒的成功率超过 80%。那是他自己公司在自己网站上的说法——未经审计、无法用公开数据复现，本页的任何内容都不以它为依据。
定期在财经频道接受访谈（The David Lin Report、Kitco 等）以及每日更新的 YouTube 内容。免费分析是货真价实的分析，但它同时也是订阅漏斗的入口，所以最有价值的价位往往只是点到为止，而不是完整展示。
“I am not a midterm bull on Bitcoin. I am a short-term bull. Short term means days to weeks.”
15 Mar 2026 · 解释他每一条判断的那种分裂“At some point the bigger pattern is going to take over.”
24 Mar 2026 · 即便做多也从不放下的空头情景“Bitcoin on the verge of an epic breakout… A break of this trendline sends it to 15%+ imo.”
05 Aug 2026 · the trend-line read that paid 35.2%引语取自他自己的公开来源；属于个人观点表述，并非建议。
Soloway 几乎每天发布图表解析，覆盖比特币以及黄金、白银、原油与 S&P。近期有代表性的视频：
Has Bitcoin Bottomed? The Cycle Data Says Maybe (Plus ETH, HYPE, ZEC)支撑他 9 月 7 日“尚未确认”判断的周期长度论证。08 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Bear Flags As Gold Hammers Into Support - Deep Dive Into The Charts他套用在每一次盘整上的熊旗框架。03 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Surges To $80K: New Bull Market Or Trap?在他反手做空三天后发布——“陷阱”那一面的论证。26 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Surged, Then I Flipped Short那笔没有奏效的空单；已在本页图表化。23 Aug 2026一位美国技术分析师与全职交易者，Verified Investing 的首席市场策略师兼总裁——这家研究与交易提醒公司由他在 2007 年以 InTheMoneyStocks 之名共同创办。他在交易与分析加密货币的同时也覆盖股票、金属与能源，并经常受邀参加财经媒体访谈。
没有公开证实。他的收入来自 Verified Investing 的订阅、课程以及自己的交易。任何具体数字都请忽略——没有一个得到确认。
Mixed, and unusually checkable because he gives levels. Across the ten dated calls charted here, five played out, two are still open or ambiguous and three went against him. His best was the 5 August breakout call (+35.2% at the peak); his worst was flipping short into that same breakout on 23 August. He also called for Bitcoin to fall 38% to $50,000 on 3 May 2026 — it bottomed at $58,566.
Classical price-action technical analysis: horizontal support and resistance, trend lines drawn off prior highs, parallel channels, and reversal/inside-bar candle structure, with a named trigger, target and invalidation on each trade. He swing-trades in and out, scaling out in halves, and until 21 September 2026 held a standing view that this crypto bear market would end with a flush below $50,000 — when Bitcoin printed a higher high above its prior swing high, he declared the bear market over and set a $175,000 cycle target.
Soloway 交易的是价位，不是故事：一个触发位、一个目标位、一个失效位，然后分两半出场。你的直觉有多接近——用 Trader Passport 真正量一量。
