@elliotrades
自称“Narrative Dealer and Builder”的人——一位几乎每天更新、拥有 675K 订阅者的加密 YouTuber，同时还是一个在运行中的代币项目的创始人兼 CEO。他把方向喊得又大声又公开——直接写在自己视频的标题里，并带着日期。这让他异常容易被检验——而这个页面正在检验他。
简而言之。 Elliot Wainman 以 EllioTrades 之名，面向 YouTube 上的 675,000 名订阅者和 X 上的 ~932,000 名关注者发声，从上一轮周期起便是如此。他的地盘是山寨币与叙事：板块轮动、代币解锁、监管、下一个大热点——以高频率、用祈使句的口吻端出来。他也不只是评论者，而是经营者：2021 年他创办了 SuperFarm，如今是 SuperVerse ($SUPER)，并执掌 Super Studios。读他的话时，这两件事都很重要。他 2026 年的记录确实好坏参半，也确实有意思：他在二月底部看空并看错，在三月顶部恰好看多并看错，接着三天后用一则崩盘警告说对了——而且他把七月底的底部喊到只差 1.7%。
Elliot Wainman 把 EllioTrades 做成了 YouTube 上较大的加密频道之一——675K 订阅者、1.4K 条视频，一个已认证频道，简介简单写着 “All things trading, finance, and tech.”——并面向 X 上约 932,000 名关注者发声，简介写着 “Narrative Dealer and Builder.” 产出节奏毫不留情：2026 年 9 月他几乎每天更新，常常一天两条。
他还是创始人。SuperVerse 在自己的文档中被描述为 “a Web3 ecosystem founded by Elliot Wainman”——最初于 2021 年以 SuperFarm 之名上线，后来更名——他也是其背后公司 Super Studios 的联合创始人兼掌舵者。在你掂量他任何一则山寨币观点之前，这是最该知道的一件事：他谈论的市场，正是他自己在其中发行资产的市场。
他没有隐瞒损失。2025 年 12 月 29 日，他发布了一条标题为 “How I Lost $100M in Crypto During 2025” 的视频——他自己的账，署他自己的名。他的代币也没有恢复：SUPER 现价 $0.15，较 2021 年 3 月 30 日创下的 $4.74 历史高点低 −96.9%（CoinGecko，2026 年 9 月 21 日）。这两件事都不会出现在精彩集锦里，而它们都属于这份记录。
Sources: youtube.com/@elliotrades_official · x.com/elliotrades · superverse.co · CoinGecko
叙事优先、山寨币领先、声量极大。Wainman 交易并讲述故事——一次监管松绑、一个正在苏醒的板块、一个市场尚未定价的币——然后把每一个都包装成带方向的标题。图表语言会出现（“形态”、“反转”），但那是框架而非价位：他几乎从不公布入场、止损或失效条件，所以下面的喊单只按从他开口那天起的方向评判——那是他真正肯承诺的唯一东西。强项是速度与覆盖面：他很早进入叙事，也能撬动小市值币。弱点是来回打脸：2026 年 3 月 17 日他发布看涨的比特币形态，3 月 20 日又发布崩盘警告，相隔三天——而市场听了后一个。
结构上偏多——对比特币如此，对山寨币更甚。他看空的视频只是长期做多倾向中的短暂插曲，这也正是为什么他 2026 年最好的喊单（七月底部）与最差的喊单（三月顶部看多）出自同一种直觉。
Nine dated calls from his own uploads, charted against real price. A note on method, because it matters here: YouTube's player and description endpoints are bot-gated and there are no public transcripts for this channel, so the only part of each video that can be verified verbatim is its title. That is not a limitation worth hiding — his titles are his calls, published under his name on a verified channel with a date attached. Each quote below was re-fetched live from YouTube's own oEmbed endpoint (which returns the canonical title and the channel name) and its date from the watch page. What happens inside the video is not captured, so the nuance he may have added on camera is not graded — only the claim he chose to put on the thumbnail.
“Bitcoin’s Bull Market Is NOT Over (This Chart Proves It)”
Streamed live on 28 Sep, nine days after his “bull run has started” upload, with Bitcoin at $84,449. The ten days since have given him nothing: the best close was $86,490 on 5 Oct, +2.4%, and today's drop leaves Bitcoin at $82,940, −1.8% — the lowest close since he said it. A bull market is a claim about months, so this is logged open, not against him.
“Bitcoin’s Bull Market Is NOT Over (This Chart Proves It)” — EllioTrades (his own live stream, 28 Sep 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/2ZnHGMay1j8“I Haven’t Been THIS Bullish on Ethereum in 6 Years”
His most emphatic Ethereum call of the year, published with ETH at $2,696. For a week it went nowhere — the best close was $2,726 on 5 Oct, just +1.1% — and today ETH is $2,571, −4.6%, its lowest close since the upload. The title names no level and no timeframe, so it stays open; so far the market has not shared the conviction.
“I Haven’t Been THIS Bullish on Ethereum in 6 Years” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 27 Sep 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/U6aJYZe9ZLY“Bitcoin Bull Run Has Started”
No hedge in the title. From $80,874 Bitcoin has still never closed lower, and it ran to $86,597 on 22 Sep, +7.1% in three days. But most of that has been given back: today it is $82,940, +2.6%. A bull run is a claim about months, not weeks — still logged open, and it will be re-graded rather than quietly banked.
“Bitcoin Bull Run Has Started” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 19 Sep 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/YZo8TBZWHn0“The Fed Is Trying To Crash Bitcoin (But I'm Still Buying This Dip)”
He named the risk and took the other side of it anyway. From $77,821 the dip he was buying got 2.9% worse at most — $75,590 on 16 Sep — and Bitcoin then ran to $86,597 on 22 Sep, +11.3%. It is $82,940 today, still +6.6% above him. The Fed did not crash it; he was right to keep buying.
“The Fed Is Trying To Crash Bitcoin (But I'm Still Buying This Dip)” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 29 Aug 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/dGbIKlLipDs“Why Bitcoin is Starting to EXPLODE Again (Not What You Think)”
His cleanest piece of timing in the window. $69,291 on the day he said it is the lowest price Bitcoin has traded since — not one close below him — and it added 14.0% inside a week, to $79,018 on 27 Aug. It is $82,940 now, +19.7%. The word “explode” was, for once, the right one.
“Why Bitcoin is Starting to EXPLODE Again (Not What You Think)” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 20 Aug 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/6PTbnqTOI9U“The Only 9 Altcoins I’d Buy At This Crypto Bottom”
The call of his year. He asserted a bottom with Bitcoin at $63,882; the actual low came four days later at $62,773 on 2 Aug — 1.7% below him — and has never been revisited. Within a month Bitcoin was at $80,268, +25.7%, and it is +29.8% today. We grade the bottom, not the nine coins: which altcoins he named is inside the video and cannot be verified here.
“The Only 9 Altcoins I’d Buy At This Crypto Bottom” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 29 Jul 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/MelO6OO_DL4“WARNING: Bitcoin Pattern Shows ANOTHER CRASH COMING”
崩盘确实来了——只是迟了些。从 $69,936 起，比特币十天内下跌 5.7%，3 月 30 日跌至 $65,947，最终在 7 月 1 日见底 $58,566，比他低 16.3%。记为兑现，但代价也直说：在那个低点之前，价格先上涨了 17.3%，5 月 11 日摸到 $82,018，所以任何照着这条警告去做的人，先被套了七周。
“WARNING: Bitcoin Pattern Shows ANOTHER CRASH COMING” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 20 Mar 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/5q5DTXbXKsU“This Bullish Bitcoin Pattern Hasn’t Happened in 4 Years”
He published this at $74,679 — a close that nothing topped for a month. It fell 9.0% within a week to $67,933 on 23 Mar, 11.7% within two to $65,947, and only crept 0.2% past 所提到的位置 on 16 Apr before rolling over to $58,566 on 1 Jul, 21.6% underwater. Bitcoin is +11.1% above him today, nearly seven months later, but the pattern he was pointing at marked a top, not a launch.
“This Bullish Bitcoin Pattern Hasn’t Happened in 4 Years” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 17 Mar 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/iqTKDxPYqX4“Why AI Is Killing Bitcoin & Crypto Right Now”
Posted on 24 February — a day that has since rolled out of this chart's price window, so the chart now anchors at $70,417 on 13 March. A flat declarative about the present tense, graded on the weeks right after it, which no longer appear here. What the chart still shows points the same way: from the anchor Bitcoin rose to $74,679 within four days, and it is $82,940 now, +17.8%. The July low of $58,566 (−16.8%) came more than four months later — too late to rescue a claim about “right now”.
“Why AI Is Killing Bitcoin & Crypto Right Now” — EllioTrades (his own upload, 24 Feb 2026)▶ 观看观点 · youtu.be/j_V6Qd57mqo结论是我们对照 CoinGecko 真实价格，对他所发布方向的解读，而不是他本人的打分。由于公开可核实的只有标题，这些卡片评判的只是标题里的主张：一段视频可能比它的标题更谨慎。较新的标记会随着周期演进而改变。
两台引擎，指向不同方向。一台是普通的媒体生意——一个非常大的 YouTube 频道，配上常规的广告与赞助经济。另一台则一点都不普通：他在自己所谈论的市场里发行代币。
一个拥有 675K 订阅者和 1.4K 条视频的已认证频道，几乎每天更新。广告收入、赞助口播和付费植入是基础生意，而策略就是量——更多视频、更多叙事、更大的触达面。
他创办了 SuperFarm，如今的 SuperVerse，并执掌 Super Studios。这与他对山寨币的评论构成直接且长期的利益冲突。这个代币自己的战绩是公开的：SUPER 现价 $0.15，较 2021 年 3 月 30 日的 $4.74 高点低 −96.9%，市值 $95M（CoinGecko，2026 年 9 月 21 日）。
一条面向 675K 订阅者、点名具体小市值币的视频本身就是一个市场事件，而他是一位创始人，很可能持有自己谈论的东西。无论是他的频道简介（“All things trading, finance, and tech.”）还是他的 X 简介（“Narrative Dealer and Builder”），都没有持仓披露——所以请默认没有任何披露，并据此掂量这些喊单。
“The Only 9 Altcoins I’d Buy At This Crypto Bottom”
29 Jul 2026 · 命中的那条喊单——真正的低点只差 1.7%“WARNING: Bitcoin Pattern Shows ANOTHER CRASH COMING”
20 Mar 2026 · 他那个春天唯一看空的一周，而且赚到了“This Bullish Bitcoin Pattern Hasn’t Happened in 4 Years”
17 Mar 2026 · 三天之前——局部顶部，一天不差引文取自其本人的公开来源；这些是表达过的观点，不是投资建议。
他几乎每天更新。以下是几条已注明日期并经核实、但未作图的近期视频——因为其标题没有给出方向性主张，或落在价格窗口之外：
SEC Just Unleashed ALTCOIN SEASON (What I’m Buying)发布时比特币在 $76,371。这是叙事类视频而非价位——他在买什么留在视频里，因此只列出、不评分。18 Sep 2026
Solana Price Prediction For This Cycle发布时 SOL 在 $102、比特币在 $78,283。标题既没有方向也没有数字，因此没有可核实的内容可作图。10 Sep 2026
Michael Saylor DUMPED BITCOIN As MicroStrategy & STRC Collapse发布时比特币在 $63,811。这是对别人交易的反应，不是他自己的喊单。05 Jun 2026
How I Lost $100M in Crypto During 2025他对上一年的自我清算。落在 210 天价格窗口之外，因此无法作图——但它是这份清单里最有用的一条。29 Dec 2025Elliot Wainman，一位加密 YouTuber 与投资者，YouTube 订阅者约 675,000，X 关注者约 932,000。他谈山寨币、叙事与市场方向——同时他也是 SuperVerse（最初名为 SuperFarm）的创始人和 Super Studios 的 CEO，因此他在自己评论的市场中发行代币。
没有公开证实，任何具体数字都不该相信。公开可查的是：他在 2025 年 12 月 29 日发布了标题为 “How I Lost $100M in Crypto During 2025” 的视频，而他创办的代币 SUPER 较 2021 年的历史高点低 96.9%。
He is a commentator and a token founder, not a licensed adviser, and the record here is genuinely split: of nine dated 2026 calls, four played out, three are open and two went clearly against — including a bullish Bitcoin call published on the exact day of the March top. His late-July bottom call was excellent. Treat any of it as a dated opinion from someone with a book, never as a signal.
叙事优先、山寨币领先。他寻找市场尚未定价的故事——一次监管松绑、一个正在轮动的板块、一个带催化剂的小市值币——然后把它做成带方向的标题发布。他很少给出入场、止损或失效价位，所以他的喊单是方向性主张，而不是交易。
Wainman 交易的是故事：比市场更早抵达叙事，并且大声说出来。这离你的直觉有多近——用 Trader Passport 真刀真枪地量一量。
