@DonAlt
一位匿名的技术派交易员，九年来发帖方式始终如一：一张图、三四行直白的话，以及一个要么守住、要么失守的关键位。他把保留意见摆在明面上——「不差，但也不算好」几乎成了他的口头禅——而且他会直说自己正在空仓观望，这让他的记录异常容易核查。
简而言之。 DonAlt (@DonAlt, formerly @CryptoDonAlt) is one of crypto's longest-running chart traders — on X since 2017, ~794K followers, and co-host of the weekly TechnicalRoundup show with CryptoCred. His method is deliberately narrow: horizontal support and resistance, weekly and monthly closes, and an explicit invalidation level on every idea. He trades majors (BTC, ETH) and is openly dismissive of most altcoins. The style's strength and weakness are the same thing — he will sit out for months waiting for a level, which saves him from bad entries and also costs him rallies. Both happened in 2026: his February patience kept him out of a rally of more than 30%, and his late-July and August posts caught the bottom almost exactly — after which he stayed long all the way to the September high.
DonAlt 自 2017 年 6 月起就顶着一个鸭子头像发布图表，从未公开真名、基金背景或业绩表。他有的是大约 39,600 条公开帖子和一档每周节目 TechnicalRoundup（YouTube 上 18.5 万订阅，与 CryptoCred 共同主持，每周五更新），同样的图表会在直播里被逐一辩论。加密媒体惯常用他 2024–25 年的 XRP 判断来介绍他——从约 $0.50 涨到 $3.66 的那一波——以及他在 2021 年 11 月顶部附近的警告。这些都是真的，但落在本页价格区间之外，因此不在此计分。
The posture that shows up in the record below is patience to the point of stubbornness. He states an invalidation level and a trigger, then does nothing until one of them prints. In February 2026 he wrote that he was waiting for either “a deeper discount ($42k)” or “a market structure shift (above $86k)” — the lower one never arrived, the upper one only on 22 September, at the top of the rally, and Bitcoin is +28.4% above where our price window now starts (9 March). In May he described himself as “preemptively bullish” eight days before the top of the spring rally, and BTC then fell 25.6%. He is also honest about the drag of that stance: on 5 June, near the lows, he wrote “Sentiment couldn't be worse, everyone is dying” and “Usually these are the times in which I'd get ready to buy a lot” — and then explained why he wasn't going to. BTC was $63,811 that day; it bottomed 26 days later and is +32.9% higher now.
The other half of the record is the half that worked. On 1 June he named the dip target and its limit in one sentence and the low came in 2.4% through it. On 29 July he turned constructive within 1.7% of the lowest close that followed. On 10 August he said Bitcoin would “teleport” past resistance; eleven days later it had. On 22 September, with BTC at what is still the highest close of the window, he wrote that it was “finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH” — and that he was not taking profits. He is a level trader, not a forecaster — when the level is specific, he is good; when he is expressing a bias, he is no better than anyone else.
Sources: x.com/DonAlt · youtube.com/@TechnicalRoundup · dated press (Benzinga, U.Today)
纯粹的水平位技术分析，只做主流币。在大周期上画支撑与阻力，用周线和月线收盘作确认，每个想法都有明确的失效条件——站上价位 X 就看起来不错，跌破价位 Y 他就离场。他不把目标位当作预测，而是把价位当作触发条件，因此常常长时间空仓。他公开的想法都是现货，并且明说这一点；他对山寨币和横盘中的杠杆言辞尖刻，宁可承认某张图看不懂，也不愿为它编造一套论据。代价是机会成本：一个始终没有触发的条件，就意味着一波他没有参与的上涨。
Openly bullish since August — long ETH, and declining to take profits on BTC at what he calls its last serious resistance — but still conditional on levels: he flips from “not bad, not great” to buying only when a close confirms, and he names the line that would make him wrong.
Fourteen dated calls from the last seven months, charted against real price. Thirteen are posts from his own X account, captured verbatim (text and timestamp pulled twice from independent endpoints); one is a dated podcast quote in Benzinga. His posts are levels and conditions, not price predictions, so we grade what price actually did against the condition he named. The pattern is stark and worth reading in order: the first three months are his worst stretch — waiting for prices that did not come in time — and late July to mid-August is his best, catching the bottom within 1.7%. From the end of August on he simply stayed long, and the calls since are mostly about not selling: an ETH post that drew a $2,000 line and said “I'll assume up”, a 22 September post that named the one resistance he respected — exactly where BTC has stalled since — and a 2 October “HODL”.
“I'm not in a rush so I'm waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k)”
23 February is now older than our 210-day price window, so this chart starts on 9 March, at $66,043. His lower trigger never fired: the worst close since is $58,566 (−11.3%), nowhere near his $42,000. His upper trigger fired exactly once — BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 Sep, the highest close in the window and +31.1% above where this chart starts. Read literally, the rule kept him flat through the whole rally and would have had him buying its top; BTC is $84,793 today, +28.4%. In fairness, he did not wait that long in practice — by late July he had turned constructive far below $86,000 (see the 29 Jul call).
𝕏 Post$BTC update: waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k) — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Decent reaction to support having been hit, resistance kinda meh from here on out”
Half right, half wrong, which is roughly what he claimed. The resistance half held for almost five months — from $76,332 BTC topped at $82,018 on 11 May and did not close above that again until 22 September. The support half did not hold — it broke first, and BTC lost −23.3% to $58,566. It has since reached $86,597 (+13.4%) and sits +11.1% above the day he posted. A genuinely non-committal call that we log as open rather than pretend was a signal.
𝕏 Post$BTC — Seems kind of alright to me. Not bad, not great — @DonAlt↗ x.com“I've been preemptively bullish but I think these are the levels at which sentiment and market behavior will shift notably”
He said this at $78,677 — eight days before $82,018 on 11 May, the top of the spring rally. His $70,000 “high likelihood of death” level fired in between, and BTC fell −25.6% to $58,566. His $87,000 acceleration level has still never closed — the high is $86,597, on 22 Sep — and BTC is +7.8% today, five months on. Credit where it is owed: the downside level he wrote down is the one that fired, and it worked exactly as described. The bias attached to it did not.
𝕏 Post$BTC — 78k$+ cautiously bullish · 87k$+ bullish acceleration · 70k$- high likelihood of death — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Could see us dip back into $60k support due to Saylor having found the sell button panic but would be surprised by more than that”
The best-specified call here, because it names the target and the limit in one sentence. From $73,599, BTC did dip into that zone — the low was $58,566 on 1 Jul, just 2.4% through the level he named — and it did not keep going. It has since run to $86,597 (+17.7%) and sits +15.2% above the day he posted.
𝕏 Post$BTC update: could dip back into $60k support, would be surprised by more than that — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Above the red line we actually look quite good”
Posted at $63,882, which turned out to be 1.7% above the lowest close that followed ($62,773). BTC then ran +35.6% to $86,597 and is +32.7% now. One stated limitation: “the red line” is a level drawn on his chart image, not a number in the text, so we grade the direction he flagged — constructive, willing to add — and not a numeric target.
𝕏 Post$BTC — Above the red line we actually look quite good — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one”
It did. From $64,856 BTC dipped 3.1%, then broke out — to $86,597 by 22 Sep, +33.5% — and is +30.7% now. This post is where Benzinga's 24 Aug “Bitcoin Could ‘Teleport’ to $90,000” headline came from, so to be exact: $90,000 has not printed. The highest close since is $86,597 and BTC is $84,793 today.
𝕏 Post$BTC — This looks like it wants to explode — @DonAlt↗ x.com“middle of nowhere”
On a 12 Aug podcast he called Solana's chart the “middle of nowhere” — no clean invalidation, so no trade — and said he preferred Ethereum “not even close” when choosing between ETH, XRP and SOL, expecting ETH to outperform Solana longer term. He also said a SOL trade only becomes attractive on a reclaim of roughly $100, opening a move toward $120. SOL was $76: it reclaimed $100 on 27 Aug and closed above $120 on 26 Sep — a high of $122 (+60.2%) — and sits at $120, +57.9%. ETH over the same 53 days is +43.2%. So the SOL trade he described played out to the letter, and the relative call he actually made — ETH over SOL — is behind. Open, because he framed it long-term.
SourceBitcoin, Ethereum Will Outperform XRP, Solana in the Future — Benzinga / TradingView↗ tradingview.com“Bought some and will buy some more in the coming days”
A spot buy he flagged as uncomfortable — he was buying into resistance rather than waiting for a retest, after months of waiting for a deeper entry that never came. ETH was $1,878; the lowest close since is $1,874, so the entry cost him 0.2% of drawdown, and ETH has since run to $2,775 (+47.8%) and sits at $2,693, +43.4%. He said on the same show he had hoped for $1,700 and gave up waiting — the impatience was the right call.
𝕏 Post$ETH — Bought some and will buy some more in the coming days — @DonAlt↗ x.com“My official target is 4k”
Asked where he sells, he answered in three lines: official target $4,000, unofficial $10,000, and “I'll probably sell at 3k” — which is the number that actually matters, since it is what he says he'll do. ETH was $1,874 and is $2,693, +43.7%, with a high of $2,775. Still +11.4% short of the $3,000 he plans to sell into and +48.5% short of his stated target, so this one is open.
𝕏 PostMy official target is 4k / My inoffical target is 10k / I'll probably sell at 3k — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Cleanest chart in crypto right now”
Not a target — a description of the chart, plus a claim about what it would mean: “How ETH trades is probably gonna be indicative of the rest of the market.” ETH was $2,457. It held the range for three weeks — the low since is $2,391 (−2.7%) — then broke out on 19 Sep and closed at $2,775 (+12.9%) on 22 Sep, the same day BTC made its window high. It sits at $2,693, +9.6%. The post named no direction, so we held it open until the range broke; it broke the way he was positioned (long since 13 Aug) and the rest of the market went with it, so we now score it played out.
𝕏 Post$ETH — Cleanest chart in crypto right now — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Looks like we're gonna get another leg up soon”
It came, in two steps. BTC was $77,658; four days later it closed at $81,265, then slipped to $75,590 (−2.7%) on 16 Sep before running to $86,597 on 22 Sep (+11.5%), the highest close of this window. It is $84,793 today, +9.2% above where he posted.
𝕏 Post$BTC — Looks like we're gonna get another leg up soon — @DonAlt↗ x.com“No real resistance till $4k”
Two levels and a rule: “Real good support around $2.1k”, “if $2k fails it's probably gonna be a swift move down to $1k” — and “But as long as it hasn't failed, I'll assume up.” ETH was $2,467. The $2,000 line never came close: the lowest close since is $2,391 (−3.1%), two days later. ETH then rose to $2,775 (+12.5%) and is $2,693, +9.2%. The rule has worked so far; the “no real resistance” half has not been tested — ETH would still need +48.5% from here to reach $4,000. Open.
𝕏 Post$ETH — No real resistance till $4k · Real good support around $2.1k — @DonAlt↗ x.com“BTC is finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH”
Posted at 00:33 UTC on 22 Sep, half an hour after the 00:00 UTC price our chart uses for that day — $86,597, which is still the highest close in this window. So the level he called serious is, so far, exactly where BTC stopped. What he did about it is the other half of the post: “Am I changing my positioning? No”, “Am I taking profits? No” — while conceding that bears “can at least make a compelling case” there. Since then BTC has dipped to $83,479 (−3.6%) and is $84,793, −2.1%. Open: right about the resistance so far, and positioned for it to break.
𝕏 PostBTC is finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH — @DonAlt↗ x.com“No serious resistance left IMO”
His most recent call, and his plainest: “I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL.” Posted at 04:46 UTC on 2 Oct; the price our chart uses for that day (00:00 UTC) is $2,705. Two days on, ETH has dipped to $2,668 (−1.4%) and is $2,693, −0.5% — far too early to score. The post gives no target and no invalidation; the nearest numbers he has put on ETH are “I'll probably sell at 3k” (17 Aug) and the $2,000 line he drew on 1 Sep.
𝕏 Post$ETH — No serious resistance left IMO · I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL — @DonAlt↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated condition against real price, not his own scoring. Every quote is verbatim and linked; nothing is paraphrased. Six calls are still open (two ETH targets, a long-term ETH-over-SOL preference, a non-committal April read, his 22 September resistance call and a 2 October HODL) and can still flip either way.
他不卖信号群、不卖课程、不发币——是本数据库中变现结构最单薄的一位。存在的只有一个交易所推荐链接和一档有赞助的节目，两者都值得知道。
他的 X 简介里带有 Kraken 的推荐邀请链接（2026 年 8 月 30 日核实）。推荐链接按注册数和交易量付费，也就是有动机让受众持续交易——这一点需要与一种主要讲究不交易的风格放在一起权衡。
WOO X 于 2023 年 5 月宣布赞助 TechnicalRoundup，并与 DonAlt 和 CryptoCred 达成「product ambassadorships」。公告未披露任何商业条款，我们也无法确认它在 2026 年是否仍然有效——公告已是三年前，而他现在的简介指向的是 Kraken。
在我们查阅的所有页面上，都没有付费信号群、订阅、课程或代币。他免费发布，交易的是自己的仓位——按他自述，上述想法里都是现货。
当他说自己在 $1,878 买了 ETH，他谈的是一个正在持有的仓位。这比反过来更诚实——但仍然是一种倾向：他在自己所描述的标的上是多头。
“Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one”
10 Aug 2026 · 突破前十一天“I'm not in a rush so I'm waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k)”
23 Feb 2026 · the patience that kept him out of the rally“Could see us dip back into $60k support due to Saylor having found the sell button panic but would be surprised by more than that”
01 Jun 2026 · 一句话里既有回调也有边界引文取自他本人的公开来源；均为其表述的观点，而非投资建议。
TechnicalRoundup 是他与 CryptoCred 合办的每周节目——聊市场和价位，每周五更新。下方的发布日期取自频道自身的订阅源。（同样挂着 TechnicalRoundup 名号的早期《Technical Analysis Series》教学视频是 CryptoCred 的作品，不是他的，因此不列在这里。）
Bitcoin Teleported. What Do You Do Now?8 月 10 日「teleport」判断兑现之后，在节目中的展开版本。21 Aug 2026
DonAlt Bought ETH (and Thinks It Can Go Back to $4K)$1,878 买入 ETH 与 $4,000 目标就是在这里讲清楚的。15 Aug 2026
The First BTC Pullback Hasn't Broken Anything他对八月突破后第一次真正回调的解读。28 Aug 2026
A Decade of Trading Mistakes in One Episode他自己十年来的错误汇总——罕见地有用。08 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Finally Closed the Month at Support (Now the Clock Is Ticking)$58,566 低点四天之后，逐条拆解月线收盘。05 Jul 2026一位匿名的加密货币技术派交易员，自 2017 年 6 月起活跃于 X，先用 @CryptoDonAlt，现在是 @DonAlt，粉丝约 794,000。他与 CryptoCred 共同主持每周节目 TechnicalRoundup（YouTube 上 18.5 万订阅）。他的真名、国籍以及任何基金关联从未公开。
是的——加密媒体一贯认为是他预判了 2024–25 年 XRP 从约 $0.50 到 $3.66 的那一波，这也是标题至今仍称他为「Author of Legendary 700% XRP Prediction」的原因。但它同样落在本页作图的价格区间之外，因此不在此计分。上方战绩记录里的一切都来自最近七个月。
外界并不知道，也无法估算。他匿名，不公开持仓，不卖产品，也从未披露资金规模。你看到的任何具体数字都应视为编造。
He is a pseudonymous commentator, not a licensed adviser. His 2026 record is genuinely mixed: two calls went against him — including describing himself as bullish eight days before the May top — and six played out, including catching the July–August bottom within 1.7%. He states an invalidation level on almost every idea, which makes him easy to check. Never trade someone else's levels blindly.
在大周期上画水平支撑与阻力，用周线和月线收盘确认，每个想法都附带明确的失效位。他做主流币——主要是比特币和以太坊——公开的仓位是现货而非杠杆，看不上山寨币，并且可以为了等一个价位触发而空仓数月。
DonAlt 会等一个价位，在它出现之前什么都不做——哪怕这让他错过一波上涨。你的直觉有多接近？用 Trader Passport 真正量一量。
