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交易者档案 · 比特币技术分析 · 关键位
Daan Crypto Trades

Daan Crypto Trades

@DaanCrypto

X 上 ~500KBitcoin-first 技术分析荷兰 · 化名

加密媒体引用最多的图表账号之一——也是最不爱制造噱头的账号之一。Daan 不兜售六位数的价格目标;他标注区间、均线、CME 缺口和订单簿流动性,说明哪个位置将决定下一波行情,然后等待。Cointelegraph 几乎每周都引用他,这意味着他的判断在公开场合留下了日期,可以被核查。

真名 未公开专注 比特币 · 关键位 & 流动性风格 区间优先,不喊噱头目标基地 荷兰
12追踪的喊单10已验证1仍在进行1与观点相反See the record →

简而言之。 Daan Crypto Trades 是一位使用化名的荷兰全职交易者,其 X 账号(约 500K 粉丝,2017 年 10 月开通)已成为加密市场报道中的固定角色。他的方法刻意做得很窄:比特币优先,只用少数几样工具——区间上下沿、周线/日线 200 均线、牛市支撑带、CME 期货缺口和交易所爆仓热力图——并且明确拒绝发布带方向的情绪化内容。把他理解为区间交易者最贴切:他 2026 年的框架是 $60K–$80K 这个箱体,而他在本窗口内的大多数好判断,都来自对箱体两端的尊重。他的弱点正是同一枚硬币的反面:当他真的选边时,可能恰好选在最糟糕的时点,就像 5 月初对 $84K CME 缺口的判断那样。

背景——一个被媒体学会引用的荷兰化名图表账号

Daan 在荷兰全职交易,从未公开真实姓名;@DaanCrypto 账号可追溯到 2017 年 10 月,并在 2021 年周期中凭借科普性质的图表长帖成长起来。在 Cointelegraph 2024 年的 Hall of Flame 专访中,他被描述为常驻荷兰、年龄在 20–30 岁区间,当时 X 粉丝约 372,000——如今更接近 500,000。

让他区别于多数同量级账号的,是没有产品。没有付费群、没有信号服务、没有课程;在同一篇专访中他说自己对赞助很挑剔,只推广自己使用的平台,而可见的收入来源是与交易所(ByBit)的推广合作。他的帖文中出现过带入金奖励的推荐链接,这就是值得知晓的利益冲突。

他也公开表示不喜欢喧闹的形式:被问到多空建议时他说 “I don't think it's something I like”,并把自己的输出描述为 “mostly just a Bitcoin or Ethereum chart where I roughly think we're heading”。下方的记录展示的正是这一点——关键位与条件,而非目标价。

为求完整,他窗口之外的预测也值得一提,因为并非都对。在那篇 2024 年 5 月的专访中,他给出 2025 年下半年比特币 $120,000、以太坊 $10,000 的预测,并把 Stacks(STX)列为本周期最看好的标的。比特币那个数字兑现了;以太坊那个差得很远——ETH 今天在 $2.5K 附近。这些判断位于本页所绘制的 210 天价格窗口之外,因此在此披露而不计入评分。

Sources: cointelegraph.com (weekly markets coverage citing his X posts) · x.com/DaanCrypto · youtube.com/@DaanCrypto

交易风格 & 哲学

以区间为先的比特币技术分析。Daan 自上而下工作,从一个高周期箱体出发——2026 年的大部分时间里这个箱体是 $60K–$80K——然后追问当下是哪一端在起作用。在箱体内部,他依靠一套小而可复用的工具:周线和日线 200 均线、牛市支撑带、作为短线“磁铁”的 CME 期货缺口,以及用来寻找流动性堆积位置的爆仓热力图。他的判断通常写成条件而非预测(“日线收在 X 上方会改写故事;收在 Y 下方则会杀死动能”),因而异常容易评分。这种纪律的代价是他很少提前表态——而本窗口内他唯一一次给出向上目标,恰恰是在顶部前几天。

工具包 · 在我们分析过的公开判断中,每项工具出现的频率
区间上下沿9/10
流动性 & 爆仓热力图9/10
200MA/EMA(周线 & 日线)8/10
CME 期货缺口8/10
条件式“若/则”表述9/10
长周期价格目标3/10
市场立场
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

刻意接近中性。Daan 的默认立场是“在被证伪之前,这就是一个区间”——他在 5 月破位时转向看空,在 6 月低点拒绝转空,7 月转为建设性。他跟随关键位,既不是永久多头,也不是永久空头。

采用此风格交易Range Trader Challenge — 关键位胜过目标,耐心胜过噱头免费加入 →

战绩记录——他们的判断,画在图上

Twelve dated statements from the last five months of the price window, each one machine-checked against its source page before it was charted: the quote appears verbatim on the page, and the page's own publication date matches the date on the card. Nine come from Cointelegraph's markets desk quoting his X posts as they were written; three are the X posts themselves, captured through the syndication endpoint. Two caveats you should weigh. First, selection bias: these are the posts a newsroom chose to quote, which skews toward his most quotable moments — this is not a complete log of everything he said. Second, his calls are conditional by nature, so we grade them on whether the condition he named actually decided the tape, not on whether he picked a number.

12
追踪的喊单
10
已验证
1
仍在进行
1
与观点相反
每条判断都从说出当天画到今天 · white = 发言当时 · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. 我们的评分方式 →
17 Sep 2026BTC
Named the squeeze magnets

“The big clusters that are left in this range sit at $80K & $82K.”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kOct▲ said 17 Sep
BTC $76.1k低点时间 $76.1k · +0%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,096 · +9.6%期间最大跌幅 +0% (−$0)

With Bitcoin at $76,147, just after it swept the August lows, he said most of the liquidity below had been taken and named the two clusters left above as “magnets” that “could cause a further squeeze up.” Price never closed lower again — worst dip +0.0%. It hit $80,874 (+6.2%) two days later, $81,236 (+6.7%) the day after, and squeezed through both clusters to $86,597 (+13.7%) on 22 September. Today $83,099 (+9.1%).

𝕏 Post@DaanCrypto on X — BTC sweeps the August lows; liquidity left at $80K & $82K↗ x.com
07 Aug 2026BTC
$67K trigger, then the run

“Above $67K things get exciting. From there on out you have $69K-$72K which is full of big high timeframe daily and weekly levels and moving averages.”

$67.3k$74.7k$82.1kAugSepOct▲ said 7 Aug
BTC $64.3k低点时间 $62.8k · -2%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,299 · +29.9%期间最大跌幅 -2% (−$22)

Another if/then, and he added: “until $67K is broken, we are just chopping sideways.” BTC was $64,263 and chopped for eleven more days — low $62,844 (−2.2%). On 20 August it closed above $67K at $69,291 (+7.8%), and “exciting” was an understatement: the $69K–$72K resistance he flagged barely slowed it, and two days later it was at $78,318 (+21.9%). It peaked at $86,597 (+34.8%) and sits at $83,099 (+29.3%) today. The trigger was right; the resistance zone was overrated.

𝕏 Post@DaanCrypto on X — $67K as the line between chop and a breakout↗ x.com
01 Aug 2026BTC
先震荡,再突破

“Until either the local highs are broken and push us higher in the range or the big support level is broken, this will just be a choppy few weeks.”

$67.3k$74.7k$82.1kAugSepOct▲ said 1 Aug
BTC $62.8k低点时间 $62.8k · -0%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,328 · +32.8%期间最大跌幅 -0% (−$1)

With BTC at $62,820 he refused to call a direction and named the two triggers instead. Both halves landed: price chopped in a $62,773–$64,917 band for the next nineteen days — a low of just −0.1% — then broke the local highs on 20 August exactly as he framed it. The move has since run as far as $86,597 (+37.8%); it sits at $83,099 (+32.3%) today.

𝕏 Post@DaanCrypto on X — crypto market cap at high-timeframe support (~$60K on BTC)↗ x.com
20 Jul 2026BTC
看准 $65K 的突破

“But I do think the longer price spends here, the more likely the $65K level is to break. Especially with the higher lows being made over the past 3 weeks.”

$66.9k$74.4k$82.0kAugSepOct▲ said 20 Jul
BTC $64.7k低点时间 $62.8k · -3%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,290 · +29.0%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$29)

The $65K ceiling had rejected Bitcoin all month and most desks were calling for lower. Daan read the higher lows underneath it as pressure building upward. BTC was $64,670; it dipped just 2.9% to $62,773, then broke $65K and has since run as far as $86,597 (+33.9%). Today $83,099 (+28.5%). He also named ~$67,000 as where price would “break into a bullish market structure” — it did.

SourceBitcoin Struggles At $65,000 Amid US-Iran War, Tech-Stock Selling Hurdles — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
09 Jul 2026BTC
两个关键位都判断正确

“A daily close above $64.7K flips the story and would make for a larger relief rally across the board. A close under $61.3K opens the road to the lows again and kills the momentum.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJulAugSepOct▲ said 9 Jul
BTC $62.2k低点时间 $62.2k · +0%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,341 · +34.1%期间最大跌幅 +0% (−$0)

The cleanest if/then on the page, and both branches resolved his way. BTC was $62,247 and never closed lower again — the worst dip from here is +0.0%, so his $61.3K invalidation was never touched. The $64.7K reclaim came, and the “larger relief rally” has run as far as $86,597 (+39.1%). Today $83,099 (+33.5%).

SourceBitcoin Needs a Daily Close Above $64,700 to Seal Its Latest Rebound, Says Trader — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
08 Jun 2026BTC
在低点说出区间

“I can easily see us trade in this $60K-$80K region for quite a while. Just need to not turn bearish at the range low and not get too excited at the range high region.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 8 Jun
BTC $63.3k低点时间 $58.6k · -7%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,319 · +31.9%期间最大跌幅 -7% (−$74)

His best call of the window, made while the tape was still breaking down and other traders quoted in the same article were looking for a deeper bear-market low. BTC was $63,274. It undercut $60K only briefly — low $58,566 (−7.4%) on 1 July — then rallied back to the top of his box, where it stalled through August and early September. The $60K–$80K range held for 103 days before Bitcoin broke out above it on 19 September, running to $86,597 (+36.9%). “Quite a while” proved right. Today $83,099 (+31.3%).

SourceBitcoin Takes Pressure Off $60,000 as Bear Market Roadmap Continues — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
04 Jun 2026BTC
看空,而且对了

“Continuation down after that bearish retest in the low $80Ks region.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 4 Jun
BTC $64.0k低点时间 $58.6k · -9%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,303 · +30.3%期间最大跌幅 -9% (−$86)

In Bitcoin's worst week of 2026 he stayed short-side and named where it should stop: “Key area here in the low $60Ks least with the Weekly 200MA too.” Both held up. From $64,047 BTC fell a further 8.6% to $58,566 — a shallow undercut of the zone he flagged — and that was the bottom. It has since run as far as $86,597 (+35.2%) and sits at $83,099 (+29.7%).

SourceBitcoin Must Hold $60,000 Next After $2 Trillion Crypto Market Wipeout — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
16 May 2026BTC
波动率判断,不给方向

“The longer price compresses around this $80K region, the more liquidity will be building up on both sides which should result in a larger more aggressive move at some point.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 16 May
BTC $79.1k低点时间 $58.6k · -26%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,055 · +5.5%期间最大跌幅 -26% (−$259)

A pure volatility-expansion call — he explicitly declined to say which way. It played out, violently, to the downside: from $79,069 Bitcoin lost 25.9% to $58,566 over the following six weeks. Grade it for what it was: he said the coil would snap hard and it did, but a reader who wanted a direction did not get one. He also flagged $71,000 as the nearest liquidity below — price went straight through it. Bitcoin has since recovered to $83,099 (+5.1%).

SourceBitcoin Falls Below $78,000 as Analysis Eyes a New Bear Trap — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
14 May 2026BTC
Armed in September

“continuing quite a lot higher”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 14 May
BTC $79.3k低点时间 $58.6k · -26%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,052 · +5.2%期间最大跌幅 -26% (−$261)

Cointelegraph reported that he saw a break above $82,000 taking Bitcoin up to fill the $84K CME gap and then “continuing quite a lot higher.” BTC was $79,289; it first fell 26.1% to $58,566, and the trigger only armed 131 days later, on 22 September, when Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+9.2%) — through $82K and through the $84K gap in one move. The third leg has not come yet: the high is only 5.6% above his trigger, and price has slipped back to $83,099 (+4.8%), 1.3% above it. Two of three legs done, so it stays open.

SourceWatch These Bitcoin Price Levels Ahead of the CLARITY Act Vote — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
10 May 2026BTC
拒绝确认突破

“Would want to see a move to at least clear that sticky area around the low $80Ks and hold there for a week or two.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 10 May
BTC $80.7k低点时间 $58.6k · -27%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,034 · +3.4%期间最大跌幅 -27% (−$274)

He called the move above the bull-market support band “not a clean break” and set a bar that was never cleared. BTC was $80,678 — it topped the very next day at $82,018 (+1.7%), never held the low $80Ks for anything like a week, and then lost 27.4% to $58,566. Refusing to confirm the breakout was the correct read, one day before the May high. His bar was only met four months later: since 22 September Bitcoin has held the low $80Ks, peaking at $86,597 (+7.3%). Today $83,099 (+3.0%).

SourceBitcoin Due One More Dip Before BTC Price Uptrend Continues, Traders Agree — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
05 May 2026BTC
被拒绝的那条分支兑现了

“Acceptance higher can lead to a further bounce back into the $90Ks, but a rejection will likely keep this rangebound with $80K as the ceiling for a while.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 5 May
BTC $79.8k低点时间 $58.6k · -27%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,045 · +4.5%期间最大跌幅 -27% (−$266)

Two branches, and the bearish one is the one that ran. From $79,826 Bitcoin got six more days of upside — a high of $82,018 (+2.7%) — then rejected and fell 26.6% to $58,566. The $90Ks never came close. $80K stayed the ceiling for over four months — August and early September poked just above it at $80,268 and $81,265 and failed — until the breakout of 19–22 September to $86,597 (+8.5%). Today $83,099 (+4.1%).

SourceCan Bitcoin Avoid A Repeat of its January Rejection Next? — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
04 May 2026BTC
Gap filled, 4 months late

“its way to close the previous large gap from $84K”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 4 May
BTC $78.5k低点时间 $58.6k · -25%Now $83.4k
在那次判断时投入 $1,000$1,063 · +6.3%期间最大跌幅 -25% (−$254)

His one directional lean in the spring, and on its timing it was wrong. Cointelegraph quoted him saying Bitcoin was on “its way to close the previous large gap from $84K,” adding that gaps are worth marking because they can act as “'magnets' and local reversal zones.” BTC was $78,512; it got to $82,018 (+4.5%) — within 2.4% of the gap — reversed, and fell 25.4% to $58,566. The gap was finally filled 141 days later, on 22 September, when Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+10.3%). We keep it graded against him: “on its way” was a near-term call, and anyone who acted on it sat through a 25% drawdown first. Today $83,099 (+5.8%).

SourceBitcoin Analysts Flip Bullish at $80K: Key BTC Price Levels to Watch Next — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com

Outcomes are our read of his stated position against real CoinGecko price, not his own scoring. Every figure below comes from the same price series that draws the charts. The window opens 14 February 2026; we found no verifiable dated call from him before 4 May, so the record starts there rather than being padded out. Calls from the last few days of the window are left off until the price has had time to answer them.

这里靠什么赚钱——以及利益冲突在哪

以这个体量的账号而言,Daan 的变现方式异常单薄——而这恰恰是关于他最有用的信息。没有信号群,没有课程,也没有在被吹捧的代币。有的是:交易所的推广链接。

交易所推广合作

他与交易所 ByBit 存在推广合作关系,帖文中也出现过带入金奖励的推荐链接。这类合作按注册和交易量付费,因此结构性冲突在于偏向“多活动”——鼓励交易而非按兵不动——尽管他自己的评论往往主张相反。

挑剔的赞助

在 2024 年的 Cointelegraph 专访中,他说只推广自己亲自使用的平台,并拒绝了大部分合作。把这当作他声明的做法,而非经过审计的事实。

没有付费群,没有课程

公开层面不存在订阅制信号服务、教育产品或已发行的代币。他的判断免费且公开——正因如此才可能被打分。

媒体关注

成为编辑室首选的图表引用来源本身就是一种激励:值得引用的关键位会被刊登,模棱两可则不会。请权衡帖文本身,而不是在其之上搭建的标题。

标志性观点

“I can easily see us trade in this $60K-$80K region for quite a while. Just need to not turn bearish at the range low and not get too excited at the range high region.”

08 Jun 2026 · 定义了他整个 2026 年的区间框架

“A daily close above $64.7K flips the story and would make for a larger relief rally across the board. A close under $61.3K opens the road to the lows again and kills the momentum.”

09 Jul 2026 · 他实际上是怎样写一条判断的

“its way to close the previous large gap from $84K”

04 May 2026 · 顶部前几天出错的那次选边

引文取自其本人的公开来源;这些是表达过的观点,不是投资建议。

直接回答

Daan Crypto Trades 是谁?+

一位常驻荷兰、使用化名的全职加密交易者,自 2017 年 10 月起在 X 上以 @DaanCrypto 活跃,约有 500,000 名关注者。他不公开真实姓名。他是加密市场报道中被引用最多的图表分析师之一,尤其常见于 Cointelegraph。

Daan Crypto Trades 的净资产是多少?+

不为公众所知,也不存在可信数字。他使用化名,没有付费产品,也从未披露过持仓。你看到的任何具体数字都应视为编造。

Daan Crypto Trades 的判断可靠吗?+

Over the 210-day window charted on this page, ten of his twelve verifiable dated calls played out, one is still open and one went against him — a strong run built mostly on respecting a $60K–$80K range at both ends, and then on reading where the liquidity sat when it broke. But he is a commentator, not an adviser, these are the calls a newsroom chose to publish, and his single directional lean in the window (the $84K CME gap) was his worst. Never trade someone else's post.

Daan Crypto Trades 的策略是什么?+

以区间为先的比特币技术分析。他先划定一个高周期箱体,再用周线和日线 200 均线、牛市支撑带、CME 期货缺口和交易所爆仓热力图来判断当下是哪一端在起作用。判断被写成条件——“收在 X 上方会改写故事”——而不是价格目标,并且他出于原则回避多空建议。

Daan Crypto Trades 卖信号或课程吗?+

公开层面不存在付费信号群、订阅服务或课程。他可见的收入来源是交易所推广营销——帖文中出现过带入金奖励的推荐链接——这就是需要记住的利益冲突。

你的风格有多接近?

Daan 会等某个关键位给出答案,然后才动手——不喊目标,不造噱头,大量时间按兵不动。你的直觉有多接近?用 Trader Passport 真实地量一量。

1. 是什么驱动你的判断?
2. 价格位于区间中部。你会……
3. 你的判断听起来像……
4. 你的时间框架?
付诸实践

Daan 从不发布价格目标——只发布决定行情的那个关键位。你也是这样交易的吗?

现在把你的方法用起来。在真实市场数据上检验你的优势——不投入本金——参加有真实奖品的 BuyCrypt 免费锦标赛。

信息与教育性质的分析,完全基于公开可得的材料(带日期的第三方报道与他本人的公开帖文,每条判断均附链接)。不构成财务或投资建议。数字为近似值,且持续变动。 Spotted an error, or are you Daan? 提交更正 →

认证账号 · 上述来源引用 · 评分方法论 · 更新于 30 September 2026