@CW8900
一位匿名的韩国链上数据分析师，每天发布数十条简短解读——买墙、卖墙、持有者成本基础——并把其中很多转化为 BTC 和 ETH 的精确价位：“$1750 是底部”、“短期上涨目标是 64.45k”。本页核查的正是这些价位。
简而言之。 CW is a pseudonymous crypto investor and data analyst from South Korea (about 27K followers on X) whose bio says “CryptoQuant verified author” and “Materials Science & Engineering Ph.D”. The feed is on-chain and order-book data, usually boiled down to one level. On this page: nine dated calls on Bitcoin and Ethereum from March to October 2026. Three played out, three are still open, and three went against — the March ETH bottom at $1,750, the May BTC rally call and the September ETH support at $2,618.
CW 的 X 简介写着“加密投资者 & 数据分析师 · CryptoQuant 认证作者 · 材料科学与工程博士”，所在地为“大韩民国”。该账号于2021年6月开设。真实姓名未公开，我们在所有能核查的地方都没有找到。
该账号发帖频率极高——超过 33,000 条。大多是简短的数据解读：ETF 资金流、Coinbase Premium、交易所净流量、期货和期权持仓，以及订单簿上的买墙和卖墙。很多帖子以一个价位收尾：一个支撑、一个目标、一条“将成为触发点”的界线。
本页的判断是点名 BTC 或 ETH 某个价位或目标的帖子。如果一条帖子先给出一个目标、再给出更多目标（“可能继续到……”），我们按第一个目标评定，并注明其他目标何时达成。CW 的公开资料没有注明人称代词，因此本页使用不分性别的表述。
Sources: x.com/CW8900 (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com)
以链上价位为目标。CW 解读短期持有者成本基础、订单簿买卖墙和资金流数据，并把结论表述为价格需要守住或到达的价位。8月的短期目标在几天内就已达成；更大的判断——3月的 ETH 底部和5月的 BTC 上涨——遇上了6月的抛售。
Mixed. On 13 Oct CW wrote that BTC must break 84.2k “to shift to a bullish trend” and added: “The bearish trend is currently ongoing.” On 15 Oct CW wrote that if the BTC buy wall broke, a drop toward 77k should be expected. On 16 Oct the ETH posts said a significant upward trend is expected once the whale-versus-retail delta turns positive.
Nine dated calls from CW's own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. Most of the feed is data with no call; we charted the posts that name a level or a target for BTC or ETH.
“The support level for $ETH is located around $2,400.”
The post went up at 15:30 UTC, in the middle of a fall: ETH's 8 Oct point was $2,573 and the next day's was $2,473. The lowest close since is $2,420 on 15 Oct (+0.8% above the level), and ETH is $2,439 now (+1.6% above it). The support has held on daily closes, but only just. Still open.
𝕏 Post“The support level for $ETH is located around $2,400.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“The decline could extend toward the $82k level.”
BTC's 7 Oct point was $85,540, but the post went up at 13:48 UTC, after the day's drop had begun; the next day's point was $83,282. BTC closed at $81,686 on 9 Oct, below $82k (−4.5% from the 7 Oct point, −1.9% from the 8 Oct one). It is $82,001 now (−4.1%). Played out, though from the time of the post the move left was small.
𝕏 Post“$BTC is liquidating remaining high-leverage long positions.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“Once this consolidation phase ends, the price is expected to rise to the $3,000, which is the 1.618 Fibonacci level.”
ETH was $2,668, so $3,000 sat +12.4% away. The best close since is $2,726 (+2.2%) on 5 Oct. Then the sideways range broke down, not up: ETH fell to $2,420 (−9.3%) on 15 Oct and is $2,439 now (−8.6%). On 9 Oct CW wrote that ETH had to break above $2,675 “to shift back into a bullish trend”. The post gave no deadline, so it stays open, but so far the price has gone the other way.
𝕏 Post“$ETH is showing a stair-step pattern of upward movement.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“The $BTC anchor band is at 82.85k. If t所提到的位置 breaks, the trend will shift to bearish.”
BTC was $84,449. It rose to $86,490 (+2.4%) on 5 Oct, then fell through the line: the 9 Oct close was $81,686, and it closed below 82.85k again on 10, 13, 15 and 16 Oct, with a low of $81,604 (−3.4%). CW's own posts since have called the BTC trend bearish. But the drop after the break has been small, and BTC is $82,001 now (−2.9%), just under the line. The level broke as warned; whether a real bearish move follows is still open.
𝕏 Post“This is a critical moment.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“The key support level for $ETH is $2,618. As long as t所提到的位置 holds, the bullish trend will continue.”
ETH was $2,688 and rose to $2,726 (+1.4%) on 5 Oct. Then the support gave way: ETH closed at $2,573 (−4.3%) on 8 Oct, below $2,618, and fell to $2,420 (−10.0%) on 15 Oct. It is $2,439 now (−9.3%). On 9 Oct CW wrote that ETH had to break above $2,675 “to shift back into a bullish trend”. The level did not hold. Went against.
𝕏 Post“The key support level for $ETH is $2,618.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“The short-term upside target for $ETH is $1900.”
ETH 当时为 $1,843，这也是发帖后的最低收盘价。8月6日收于 $1,907（+3.5%），越过 $1,900 目标。更远的目标 $1,920 和 $1,945 在8月20日达成，当天 ETH 收于 $2,252（+22.1%）。现在为 $2,439（+32.3%）。已应验。
𝕏 Post“The rise could continue to $1920 or $1945.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“The short-term upside target for $BTC is 64.45k.”
BTC 当时为 $62,773，这也是发帖后的最低收盘价。8月6日收于 $64,609（+2.9%），越过 64.45k 目标。更远的目标 65k 和 65.8k 在8月20日达成，价格为 $69,291（+10.4%）。现在为 $82,001（+30.6%）。已应验。
𝕏 Post“The rise could continue to 65k or 65.8k.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“A break through the 79k will be the trigger for the rally.”
BTC 当时为 $76,297。它确实突破了 79k，5月5日收于 $79,826，5月11日升至 $82,018（+7.5%）。随后走势反转：7月1日 BTC 跌至 $58,566（−23.2%）。现在为 $82,001（+7.5%），但帖子预期的突破后上涨只持续了六天。已落空。
𝕏 Post“The start of a bullish rally is just around the corner.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.com“It is highly likely that $1750 is the bottom for $ETH.”
ETH 当时为 $2,024。6月6日首次收于 $1,750 下方（$1,582，−21.8%），6月26日见底于 $1,566（−22.6%），比所说的底部低 10.5%。“爆发式上涨”来得更晚：9月22日 ETH 达到 $2,775（+37.1%），现在为 $2,439（+20.5%）。底部价位没有守住。已落空。
𝕏 Post“Historical bullish signals for $ETH have already appeared.” — @CW8900 on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of what each post said, measured against real CoinGecko daily closes — not CW's own scoring. Levels are checked against daily closes, so an intraday touch may have come earlier than the date given. Open calls stay open until their level breaks or the stated move plays out; none of CW's posts gives a deadline.
在 CW 的 X 简介和我们读过的近期帖子中，没有发现付费通讯、课程或推荐码。简介中唯一的关联方是链上数据公司 CryptoQuant，它将 CW 列为认证作者。
简介写着“CryptoQuant 认证作者”。CryptoQuant 是一家链上数据公司。我们没有找到这一安排的条款，也不清楚是否有报酬。
简介称 CW 为“加密投资者”。我们没有找到任何公开的持仓披露。
“The short-term upside target for $BTC is 64.45k.”
02 Aug 2026 · 四天后达成“It is highly likely that $1750 is the bottom for $ETH.”
31 Mar 2026 · ETH 在6月跌至 $1,566“A break through the 79k will be the trigger for the rally.”
01 May 2026 · 突破来了；上涨只持续了六天引文取自其本人的公开来源；这些是表达过的观点，不是投资建议。
这里没有可链接的视频库。CW 的公开判断都是 X 上的帖子，每条绘制的判断都链接到帖子本身。
一位来自韩国的匿名加密投资者和数据分析师，以 @CW8900 在 X 上发布链上图表。简介写着“CryptoQuant 认证作者”和“材料科学与工程博士”。真实姓名未公开。
On 28 Sep 2026 the post named 82.85k as the BTC “anchor band”: “If t所提到的位置 breaks, the trend will shift to bearish.” BTC closed below it on 9 Oct. On 13 Oct CW wrote that BTC must break 84.2k to turn bullish again.
Of nine dated BTC and ETH calls from March to October 2026: three played out (the August BTC and ETH targets and the October BTC drop to $82k), three are still open, and three went against — the $1,750 ETH bottom in March, the BTC rally call in May and the $2,618 ETH support in September. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
我们在 X 个人资料上没有发现付费产品或推荐码。简介将 CW 列为 CryptoQuant 认证作者和加密投资者。
CW 解读链上数据和订单簿买卖墙，然后给出一个价位。你的直觉有多接近？用 Trader Passport 实际测一测。
