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交易员档案 · 流动性 & 影线回补技术分析 · X
CrypNuevo

CrypNuevo

@CrypNuevo

≈160K X 关注者Blofin 推荐合作伙伴9 dated calls charted here

A range trader who posts a “BTC Sunday update” every week with levels you can grade. In 2026 the big picture was right: in June, with Bitcoin near $60,855, CrypNuevo projected a bounce, a retest of the lows and then $80k+, and that is what happened. The short-term timing was weaker. Five of the nine calls here went against. CrypNuevo admitted two of those misses on X, and two later targets stalled before price turned down.

真实姓名 未公开关注领域 BTC,以及黄金 & 原油方法 流动性 & 影线回补常驻地 未披露
9追踪的喊单4已验证0仍在进行5与观点相反See the record →

简而言之。 CrypNuevo trades Bitcoin from liquidity zones and wick fills and posts weekly updates to about 160,000 followers on X. On our sample of nine in-window posts the record is 4 played out, 0 open, 5 went against. The best call was the “Three Taps” projection of 7 June. From $60,855 it called a bounce, a retest of the range lows and then $80k+. Bitcoin bounced, set its 2026 low of $58,566 on 1 July and closed above $80,000 on 28 August. The $69k mid-range (12 July), $81k (31 August) and $85k+ (29 September) targets were also hit. The misses were short-term reads: a long zone at $73k–$72.5k that broke in May, a $61.6k sweep in August that never showed on daily marks, and a September “retrace first” lean that came just before a +6.6% breakout. Two open-ended targets then stalled: the $89.3k liquidity pool from 27 September (Bitcoin topped at $86,490 and turned down) and the $3,000 Ethereum target from 24 August (Ether topped at $2,775 and fell back below the post price).

背景 — 哪些有据可查,哪些没有

CrypNuevo 以 @CrypNuevo 身份发帖(X 用户 ID 1378977444342939648,账户于 2021 年 4月开设,已获蓝标认证)。其 X 简介写道:“不看多,也不看空。只做技术分析。(流动性 & 市场心理)”。内容形式固定:每周一篇 “$BTC Sunday update” 长帖,周中发布简短更新,自 3月起还定期发布关于黄金和原油的观点。6月22日,CrypNuevo 宣布了 @VettedLabs,这是其与“一位好友”共同创立的项目,用于评估加密项目并警示跑路风险。此外还有一个免费 Telegram 频道(t.me/CrypNuevoTA,约 19,200 名订阅者)和一个不定期更新的 YouTube 频道。

有几件事没有公开记录,因此本页不作陈述。没有公开的真实姓名,没有说明所在国家,也没有说明雇主。在 7月7日的一篇帖子中,CrypNuevo 表示英语不是其母语;近期帖子提到前往巴塞罗那和西班牙比利牛斯山的旅行,但未说明常驻地。CrypNuevo 未说明自己的代词,媒体报道使用“their”(NewsBTC),因此本页使用中性称谓。

CrypNuevo also runs a copy-trading account with outside investors and posts its results. On 22 May the 90-day figure was “34/34” winning trades and +16.60%. We could not check those numbers independently, so they are not part of the grade here. What can be graded are the weekly price levels. Nine in-window posts qualified, and two more were examined and excluded as restatements. Both would have scored as wins. Each exclusion is listed with its reason in the verified corpus. Gold and oil calls are not charted because this site tracks crypto prices only.

Sources: x.com/CrypNuevo (captured via api.fxtwitter.com and X syndication) · t.me/s/CrypNuevoTA · YouTube oEmbed · NewsBTC (8 Jul 2024)

交易风格 & 哲学

Liquidity first, story second. The toolkit is order-flow reading on the chart. CrypNuevo looks for long wicks that price tends to “fill”, liquidation clusters that act as magnets, and the 4-hour and weekly 50 EMAs as trend filters, then trades the extremes of a range. Most posts give a level and an invalidation, so they can be graded. The strength is patience and multi-week structure: the June–August “Three Taps” projection was held every Sunday until it played out. The weakness is the short-term timing inside that structure. In this sample three of the five misses were one-week reads, and CrypNuevo called two of those mistakes. The other two were targets that stalled short: $89.3k on Bitcoin and $3,000 on Ether.

工具包 · 在我们分析过的公开判断中,每项工具出现的频率
影线回补 & 流动性区域9/10
区间极值波段交易8/10
清算热力图 & delta7/10
EMA 趋势过滤(4h、1D、1W)7/10
宏观 & 新闻叠加(US-Iran、FOMC)5/10
一周期时机判断4/10
市场立场
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

Close to neutral, as the bio says. CrypNuevo traded the 2026 range from both sides: longs at the range lows, shorts at the $79k–$81k highs. The calls lean bullish only where a wick or a liquidity cluster sits above price. In September CrypNuevo leaned toward a pullback and was wrong. By 18 October the stated bias was bearish.

采用此风格交易影线回补挑战 — 交易流动性,而不是新闻标题免费加入 →

交易记录 — 其观点的图表化呈现

Nine dated posts from @CrypNuevo, each captured verbatim from X and charted against real price. The tally is 4 played out, 0 open, 5 went against. The record has two layers. The multi-week calls worked: the June projection of $80k+ after a retest of the lows, the $69k mid-range, the $81k wick fill and the late-September push above $85k all happened. The one-week timing calls did worse: the May long zone broke, the August sweep never came, and the September pullback lean was followed by a breakout. The two newest open-ended targets stalled: Bitcoin topped at $86,490, short of $89.3k, and Ether turned down before $3,000. No card is open.

9
追踪的喊单
4
已验证
0
仍在进行
5
与观点相反
每条观点均从发表当天起绘制至今天 · white = 发表观点时 · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. 我们的评分方式 →
29 Sep 2026BTC
Push to $85k+ in 6 days

“They took the stop-losses below the local support and we could be seeing the start of the new push to +$85k.”

$82.2k$83.9k$85.6kOct▲ said 29 Sep
BTC $83.5k低点时间 $81.4k · -2%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$990 · -1.0%期间最大跌幅 -2% (−$25)

A follow-up to the 27 September update, posted at $83,479 after a dip that CrypNuevo read as a stop-loss sweep. It was hedged (“could be”), but it came quickly: Bitcoin marked $84,842 (+1.6%) on 2 October and $86,490 (+3.6%) on 5 October, its first daily mark above $85k after the post. The move did not hold. Bitcoin fell back to $81,408 (−2.5%) on 18 October and is at $81,810 (−2.0%) now. Played out as a short-term call.

𝕏 Post“we could be seeing the start of the new push to +$85k” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
27 Sep 2026BTC
$89.3k stalled at $86.5k

“Bullish case is in play - retracing the LP that reaches up to $89.3k. It'd make sense to fully retrace it.”

$82.0k$83.7k$85.5kOct▲ said 27 Sep
BTC $84.4k低点时间 $81.4k · -4%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$979 · -2.1%期间最大跌幅 -4% (−$36)

The bullish case from the 27 September Sunday update, posted at $84,417 after the breakout that the previous week's “retraces first” lean missed. The target was the top of a liquidity pool at $89.3k, +5.8% away. Bitcoin got as far as $86,490 (+2.5%) on 5 October, then turned down to $81,408 (−3.6%) on 18 October. It is at $81,810 (−3.1%) now, and $89.3k would need another +9.2%. In the 18 October update CrypNuevo wrote: “Market bias is bearish so, in principle, downside continuation should put more pressure this week.” The call had no deadline, but price turned down and the caller's own bias flipped. Went against.

𝕏 Post“Bullish case is in play - retracing the LP that reaches up to $89.3k” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
20 Sep 2026BTC
“先回调” — 结果突破了

“given the risky liquidity signals that we're receiving, we think in the short term, is more likely price retraces first.”

$77.7k$81.1k$84.5kOct▲ said 20 Sep
BTC $81.2k低点时间 $81.2k · -0%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,018 · +1.8%期间最大跌幅 -0% (−$1)

一次短期偏向区间高点回调的判断,发布时价格为 $81,236。CrypNuevo 将冲向 $80k 的高成交量阳线解读为卖方在建立空头仓位。回调没有出现:次日价格为 $81,169(−0.1%),9月22日比特币突破至 $86,597(+6.6%)。目前为 $81,810(+0.7%)。同一帖子还给出了 $82.9k 上方的看涨触发点,目标 $89.3k,尚未达到。9月27日,CrypNuevo 写道:“上周我更支持看跌的情形。”判断失误。

𝕏 Post“Conclusion: … more likely price retraces first.” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
31 Aug 2026BTC
4 天内回补 $81k 影线

“I think it's quite likely that it goes now towards $81k to fill the long wick to the upside in the 1h time frame.”

$72.6k$77.9k$83.3kSepOct▲ said 31 Aug
BTC $77.7k低点时间 $75.6k · -3%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,065 · +6.5%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$27)

一个影线回补目标,在价格测试 4 小时 50 EMA 后发布,当时价格为 $77,658。四天后,即 9月4日,比特币价格为 $81,265(+4.6%),CrypNuevo 发帖称“价格直接去回补了 $81k 的长影线”。随后回调至 $75,590(−2.7%)发生在 9月16日,即目标达成之后。比特币继续上涨至 $86,597(+11.5%),目前为 $81,810(+5.3%)。已应验。

𝕏 Post“I think it's quite likely that it goes now towards $81k” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
24 Aug 2026ETH
ETH $3,000 · turned down

“I think it'll continue moving up higher towards $3,000.”

$2.0k$2.3k$2.6kSepOct▲ said 24 Aug
ETH $2.5k低点时间 $2.4k · -3%Now $2.4k
按其观点投入 $1,000$989 · -1.1%期间最大跌幅 -3% (−$29)

An Ethereum target, posted at $2,462 with a warning that price was “at resistance after an aggresive move.” The caution was fair: Ether dipped to $2,391 (−2.9%) on 3 September. It then rose to $2,775 (+12.7%) on 22 September, its high since the post, and turned down. It is at $2,403 (−2.4%) now, below the post price, and $3,000 would need another +24.8%. In the 18 October update CrypNuevo named ETH as a short candidate: “For shorts, with BTC.D rising, I'd focus on altcoins and ETH.” Went against.

𝕏 Post“Ethereum is perfectly following the projection” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
16 Aug 2026BTC
$61.6k 扫低未出现

“In the short term, I could see price taking out the downside liquidity located below the local double bottom, at the start of the week. Probably around $61.6k”

$67.3k$74.7k$82.1kSepOct▲ said 16 Aug
BTC $63.0k低点时间 $62.8k · -0%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,312 · +31.2%期间最大跌幅 -0% (−$3)

一个为期一周的判断,预计价格将跌破双底,发布时价格为 $63,031。此后最低日线价格为 8月17日的 $62,844(−0.3%),因此 $61.6k 的扫低并未在日线价格中出现。比特币反而上涨:一周后达到 $77,081(+22.3%),到 9月22日达到 $86,597(+37.4%)。目前为 $81,810(+29.8%)。8月23日,CrypNuevo 表示自己犯了错误,怀疑第三次触底是否已经出现,因此“没有在期货上抓住这波行情”。更大的预测成立了,但这张卡片衡量的是近期判断,结果失误。

𝕏 Post“$BTC Sunday update: … Probably around $61.6k” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
12 Jul 2026BTC
$69k 区间中轴已达成

“I'm sticking to the Three Taps Pattern thesis and expecting Bitcoin to trade towards the mid-range at $69k.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJulAugSepOct▲ said 12 Jul
BTC $63.8k低点时间 $62.3k · -2%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,296 · +29.6%期间最大跌幅 -2% (−$24)

区间中轴目标,发布时价格为 $63,791。过程较慢。比特币先于 7月14日跌至 $62,279(−2.4%),此后五周未能收于 $66,521 上方。直到 8月20日才以 $69,291(+8.6%)达到目标,随后继续升至 $86,597(+35.7%)。目前为 $81,810(+28.2%)。已应验,但距发帖已超过五周。

𝕏 Post“$BTC Sunday update: Everything is going as projected” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
7 Jun 2026BTC
“Three Taps” 升至 $80k+

“A potential Three Taps Pattern is forming here imo; just be mindful when/if we reach $69k-$70k from here since a potential retest of the range lows could happen after. And I'll look for +$80k after the possible retest.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 7 Jun
BTC $60.9k低点时间 $58.6k · -4%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,359 · +35.9%期间最大跌幅 -4% (−$38)

本样本中的年度最佳观点,在四周急跌后发布,当时价格为 $60,855。走势与之吻合。比特币于 6月16日反弹至 $66,293(+8.9%),未到 $69k–$70k 区域。随后回测区间低点,并于 7月1日创下 2026 年低点 $58,566(−3.8%)。此后转而上行,于 8月28日首次收于 $80,000 上方,报 $80,268(+31.9%)。最高达到 $86,597(+42.3%),目前为 $81,810(+34.4%)。从6月到8月,CrypNuevo 每个周日都重申这一预测。已应验。

𝕏 Post“This is my projection for the next 2 months (June-July)” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com
31 May 2026BTC
做多区域 2 天内被跌破

“I see a long wick to the downside between $73k-$72.5k - price tends to retrace these type of long wick imbalances.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 31 May
BTC $73.8k低点时间 $58.6k · -21%Now $82.7k
按其观点投入 $1,000$1,120 · +12.0%期间最大跌幅 -21% (−$207)

一个做多设置,发布时价格为 $73,820:若价格到达 $73k–$72.5k 影线区域则买入。价格直接跌穿了该区域。6月2日比特币价格为 $71,320(−3.4%),并在 7月1日继续跌至 $58,566(−20.7%)。6月3日,CrypNuevo 发帖:“我上一个设置错了,抱歉——由于 US-Iran 局势升级的消息,价格跌穿了 $72k 区域。”比特币现已回到 $81,810(+10.8%),但该区域当时没有守住。判断失误。

𝕏 Post“$BTC Sunday update: This is the trade that I'll try to get this week” — @CrypNuevo on X↗ x.com

Outcomes are our read of the stated claim against real price, not CrypNuevo's own scoring. Every quote is a verbatim X post, linked on its card and reproduced in full in the verified corpus. A post earns a card only if it makes a claim the other cards do not already test. Two in-window posts were excluded as restatements, and both would have scored as wins. Prices are CoinGecko daily marks, so an intraday post is measured from that day's mark, and a wick to a level may not appear. The “$1,000 in on their call” line assumes buying on the post date; for the 20 September card, where CrypNuevo leaned toward a pullback, that line is not a short. The 27 September $89.3k and 24 August $3,000 targets had no deadline. We graded them as went against once price fell back below the post price and CrypNuevo's 18 October update turned bearish. Near-term marks can flip.

其收入来源 — 以及利益冲突所在

CrypNuevo 的帖子是免费的,但该账户通过交易所推荐获得收入,而较大的优惠与交易量挂钩。以下是我们的发现。

Blofin 推荐合作伙伴

大多数周日长帖结尾都附有 Blofin 推荐链接(partner.blofin.com/d/CrypNuevo,推荐码 NUEVO),并附带手续费折扣、存款奖励和交易比赛。CrypNuevo 称其为“一个很棒的免 KYC 交易所”。推荐合作伙伴通常从其推荐用户的交易手续费中获得分成,因此交易越多,推荐人收入越高。当帖子以一笔“你可以在 Blofin 上做”的交易结尾时,请记住这一点。

“免费”VIP Telegram 与课程

6月,CrypNuevo 推出了一个“免费 VIP Telegram”,提供山寨币图表和一门为期 4 周的交易课程。加入条件是使用 Blofin 推荐链接、账户持有超过 $100,并完成超过 $1k 的交易量。无需付费,但入场的代价是通过推荐产生的交易。另有一个公开频道 t.me/CrypNuevoTA,免费且无任何条件。

跟单交易、KAST 与 VettedLabs

CrypNuevo 运营一个有外部投资者参与的跟单交易账户并公布其收益;我们无法核实。5月的一条帖子还附有 KAST 卡的推荐链接。6月推出的 @VettedLabs 评估加密项目,并表示会筛查付费合作邀约。7月10日,CrypNuevo 写道,自己曾是某代币团队联系过的 KOL,并提到该代币此后的遭遇:一些规模更大的 KOL 曾为其宣传,随后删除了帖子。

标志性观点

“And I'll look for +$80k after the possible retest.”

7 Jun 2026 · 应验的预测

“My last setup was wrong, sorry - price broke through that $72k area due to US-Iran escalation news.”

3 Jun 2026 · 承认 5月的失误

“Not a bull, not a bear. Just TA. (Liquidity & market psychology).”

X bio · 所述方法

引文摘录自其本人的公开渠道;仅为所述观点,并非投资建议。

内容库

CrypNuevo 主要在 X 上发布内容,因此上面每条观点都是带时间戳的帖子。另有一个 YouTube 频道 @CrypNuevo,偶尔发布长篇图表讲解。7月,CrypNuevo 表示房屋装修完成后会发布更多视频。我们能够核实的近期上传:

直接回答

CrypNuevo 是谁?+

一位匿名加密交易员,以 @CrypNuevo 身份每周在 X 上向约 160,000 名关注者发布比特币分析。其方法是流动性与影线回补图表解读。CrypNuevo 于 2026 年 6月共同创立了 @VettedLabs,并运营一个跟单交易账户。真实姓名和所在国家均未公开。

CrypNuevo 的分析准确吗?+

On our sample of nine dated 2026 posts: four played out and five went against. The June “Three Taps” projection called the bounce, the retest of the lows and the move to $80k+ correctly, and the $69k, $81k and $85k targets were hit. The short-term calls of 31 May, 16 August and 20 September went against, and CrypNuevo acknowledged two of those misses publicly. The $89.3k Bitcoin and $3,000 Ether targets stalled before price turned down.

什么是影线回补策略?+

长 K 线影线表明价格曾触及某一价位并被迅速推回,在那里留下的成交很少。影线回补交易者预期价格之后会回到并穿过该区域。CrypNuevo 将此与清算密集区和移动平均线结合来选择目标。

CrypNuevo 的信号收费吗?+

不直接收费。X 帖子和一个公开 Telegram 频道是免费的。“VIP” Telegram 和交易课程要求通过 CrypNuevo 的推荐链接注册 Blofin 交易所,并完成至少 $1k 的交易量,而推荐合作伙伴会从这些交易中获得收入。

CrypNuevo 的净资产是多少?+

未公开,也不存在可信的数字。请忽略任何与该名字挂钩的具体数字。

你的交易方式与其有多相似?

CrypNuevo 相信影线,而不是新闻标题。你的直觉有多接近?用交易员护照(Trader Passport)来真正测一测。

1. 你在哪里寻找目标价?
2. 比特币处于区间中部……
3. 你的交易设置失败了……
4. 你会坚持一个预测多久?
—风格匹配 CrypNuevo

打造你的交易者护照 →
付诸实践

CrypNuevo 两个月的预测判断正确,但错过了三次一周期的判断。哪一点对你更重要?

现在把你的方法付诸实践。在免费的 BuyCrypt 锦标赛中,用实时市场数据检验你的优势,无需投入资金,还有真实奖品。

信息性与教育性分析,严格基于公开资料:从 X 公开接口截取的带日期 X 帖子,以及每条判断所附链接的来源。不构成财务或投资建议。数据为近似值,且持续变化。 Spotted an error, or are you CrypNuevo? 提交更正 →

认证账号 · 上述来源引用 · 评分方法论 · 更新于 20 October 2026