
@APompliano
“Pomp”——美国陆军老兵,先后在 Facebook 和 Snapchat 任职,如今是加密圈最不知疲倦的比特币推销员。他经营着播客、通讯以及一家上市的比特币金库公司,这意味着他的言论与他的资产负债表指向同一个方向。一个论点,重复了多年:政府印钞,比特币吸收。
一句话概括。 Anthony Pompliano 是一位只谈比特币的宏观声音,并带着异常直接的利益冲突:他是ProCap Financial 的董事长兼 CEO,这家上市公司的全部策略就是持有比特币。他的公开论证几乎从不依赖图表——而是货币贬值、机构采用与长期持有。这让他在长周期上结构性正确,在短周期上一再过早:2026 年的下跌中,他一路高声看多,比特币却跌到 $58,566,他自己的股票也从高点跌去 85%。但六月的低点,他读得比几乎所有人都准。两件事都记录在下方。
Pompliano 曾在美国陆军服役,包括在伊拉克和阿富汗的部署,之后转入科技行业,在 Facebook 和 Snapchat 担任产品与增长岗位。2018 年他共同创办 Morgan Creek Digital,同年推出 The Pomp Podcast 与 The Pomp Letter,建立起财经媒体中规模最大的个人受众之一——X 上约 1.8M 关注者,YouTube 上 648K 订阅者。
如今他是上市比特币金库公司 ProCap Financial(代码 BRR)的董事长兼 CEO。在阅读他关于比特币的任何言论之前,这是最重要的一点:他是在公开地、有意地为自己的仓位说话。他领 $1 年薪,2025 年 12 月拿出 $100 万个人资金买入公司股票,并且在 BRR 股价达到 $15 之前不获得任何股权报酬。2026 年 2 月底该股收于 $2.42——六个月内下跌约 76%,较高点下跌 85%——同期公司正以低于净资产价值的折价回购自家股票。
他的记录是双向的,我们两面都记。长期论点上他从未动摇,并在 2026 年 6 月喊出自低点反弹 10–15%,距离真正的底部只差几天。但在 2025 年 8 月,他称 $112–113k 的比特币“pretty oversold”,并说它会从 9 月起“come back alive again”——比特币在当年 10 月见顶于约 $126,198,随后跌去一半以上。而在 2026 年整个春天,他在下跌全程都在看多。
Sources: youtube.com/@AnthonyPompliano · pomp.substack.com · CNBC, Fox Business & public interviews
由论点驱动,而非由图表驱动。Pompliano 从货币供给自上而下推演:赤字、债务与央行资产负债表让美元贬值,因此供给固定的资产迟早要吸收这一切。他在此之上叠加机构采用(ETF、企业金库、华尔街参与)以及链上持币数据——长期持有者的供给、交易所余额、短期持有者的成本基准——来论证抛压正在枯竭。他几乎从不做的,是择时:他自己也这么说,他的战绩也印证了这一点。你会看到方向与信念,而不是价位或失效点。
一个公开评论者所能达到的最结构性看多——而且他因此拿钱。对比特币,除了“时间会比你想的更久”,他没有任何看空情景,而他公司的资产负债表本身就是这笔交易。
取自他 2026 年公开露面与发帖的、带日期的表态,对照真实比特币价格作图。Pompliano 是论点型的声音,因此这些多为方向性、开放式的说法(“不受待见的时候才该买”“长期看”)而非价位——短期主张我们按价格随后的走势判断,开放式论点在价格明确给出结论前保持未定。图表呈现的模式是真实的:春天里他在 23% 的回撤中一路看多,随后又异常准确地读出了六月的低点。
“It's very hard not to be bullish on AI and crypto right now”
A near-term posture statement — “right now” — made with BTC at $76,326. What followed was the worst stretch of the year: Bitcoin fell 23.3% to $58,566 by 1 July. Five months on, after a high of +13.5% at $86,597, it is +10.2% versus the day he said it. The direction eventually came back; the timing was badly wrong, so this is marked against him. Note: this sentence is CNBC's own on-page attribution line for the segment, not a transcript pull — we link the page it appears on.
Source“It's very hard not to be bullish on AI and crypto right now” — CNBC Squawk Box, 22 Apr 2026↗ cnbc.com“Usually the thing that you want to be buying is the thing that's out of favor, and it can come back into favor over time”
On CNBC he called Bitcoin “a dog with fleas” while AI names were “flying” — and said that is exactly what you buy. It is an explicit over-time thesis, so we log it open. From $74,340 the day he said it, BTC first fell 21.2% to $58,566, then reached +16.5% at $86,597 and is now +13.1%. Right idea, painful path, not yet settled.
SourcePompliano calls Bitcoin a “dog with fleas” — Benzinga via Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com“We know short-term holders are beginning to rebuild their unrealized gains, and this means a new wave of selling pressure is unlikely to materialize”
His most specific and testable claim of the year, built on four on-chain data points from Binance Research, with BTC at $73,599. A new wave of selling arrived almost immediately: Bitcoin lost 20.4% over the next month to $58,566. It has since recovered to +14.3% versus that day, but the call itself was falsified within weeks.
Source“Bitcoin sellers are starting to be exhausted” — Benzinga via Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com“Every 4 years a bunch of bitcoin bears start screeching about how the asset is dying. They are wrong every time.”
A defiant post with no timeframe, so it is judged as a long-run claim and stays open. Short term the bears had it: from $71,320 Bitcoin dropped 17.9% over the following month. Longer term he is ahead — BTC is +17.9% versus the day he posted. Captured directly from X, verified text and date.
𝕏 Post“They are wrong every time.” — @APompliano on X, 2 Jun 2026↗ x.com“Bitcoin could see a rebound of 10 to 15% from its recent lows.”
His best call of the window, and by some distance. Said with BTC at $61,480, it took just 4.7% more downside to the $58,566 low on 1 July — then the rebound ran +47.9% off that low to a $86,597 high, leaving BTC +36.8% versus the day he said it. Either way you measure it, several times the 10–15% he asked for. On the same appearance he said the crypto industry's tail is dead and will not return. One caveat, stated plainly: the write-up's own summary framed the bottom as “late Q3 to early Q4”; it actually landed on 1 July.
Source“Bitcoin could see a rebound of 10 to 15% from its recent lows” — Galaxy Brains podcast↗ cryptobriefing.com“You're betting on the stupidity of them printing money. That's a bet I'll take.”
The core Pompliano trade, stated as plainly as he has ever put it, on Fox Business with BTC at $64,856. It is an explicitly long-run claim — “Bitcoin will go up over the long run, so will gold, real estate, and stocks” — so it is logged open, but the six weeks since have gone his way: a shallow −3.1% dip, then a run to +33.5% at the 22 September high, and BTC now +29.7% above where he said it.
Source“You're betting on the stupidity of them printing money” — Fox Business, via Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com“The short-term is that the Treasury hints they’re going to step in and double their purchases of long-dated yields and treasuries, and it’s a reminder that the U. S. Government is never going to stop printing money”
His read on the day Bitcoin first tagged $80,000: the Treasury signalling it would double its purchases of long-dated bonds, which he framed as proof the printer never switches off. Said with BTC at $78,974, and the conclusion he drew from it — “Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom” — is explicitly long-run, so it is logged open. The month since has leaned his way: a −4.3% dip to $75,590, then +9.7% at the 22 September high of $86,597, and BTC now +6.5% versus the day he said it.
Source“Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom” — Fox Business, 25 Aug 2026 (Benzinga via TradingView)↗ tradingview.com“The best combination of assets for the next two decades will be bitcoin and AI, but not for the reason you think.”
An asset-allocation thesis rather than a trade — he sets it up with US federal debt over $40 trillion and interest expense more than $1 trillion annually, the debasement argument in its balance-sheet form. A two-decade horizon cannot be settled here, so it stays open. Posted with BTC at $77,297: a −2.2% dip to $75,590, then a +12.0% run to $86,597, and +8.8% today. Captured directly from X, verified text and date.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin and AI” for the next two decades — @APompliano on X, 3 Sep 2026↗ x.com“Trump announced yesterday that he is going to give out $5,000 stimulus checks. The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go.”
A conditional call: the day after Trump promised $5,000 checks if Republicans keep Congress, he tied handouts directly to higher Bitcoin. The checks have not been paid, and would need both the midterms and Congress, so the trigger has not happened yet and this stays open. Price has moved his way anyway: from $78,283 when he posted, a −3.4% dip to $75,590, then +10.6% at $86,597, and +7.4% today. That move cannot be credited to checks that do not exist yet. Captured directly from X, verified text and date.
𝕏 Post“The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go” — @APompliano on X, 10 Sep 2026↗ x.com“If the government keeps printing money, Bitcoin is going to go WAY higher in the coming years.”
The “no top” thesis again, this time on Varney & Co. as Bitcoin pushed to its highest level since January, with a stated horizon: “the coming years”. That cannot be settled yet, so it is open. Said with BTC at $81,169, which it has not closed below since: +6.7% at $86,597 the next day, and +3.6% now. Source note: the verbatim line is from Bitcoin Magazine's clip of the interview (posted 21 Sep), not his own account; Fox's own clip page, “Anthony Pompliano introduces Sylvia AI and explains Bitcoin's rally”, is dated 21 September 2026, which fixes the date. The AI product he was there to introduce is his own.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin is going to go WAY higher in the coming years” — Fox Business (Varney & Co.), 21 Sep 2026, clip via @BitcoinMagazine↗ x.com结论是我们以真实价格对照他公开立场的判读,并非他本人的评分。每一条引文都逐字出现在所链接的页面上(Benzinga 的报道通过其 Yahoo Finance 转载页链接,因为 benzinga.com 屏蔽自动抓取)。随着周期推进,“未定”的标记可能翻转。
Pompliano 的激励结构异常清晰,也异常巨大。多数评论者出售的是注意力;他还经营着一家上市公司,其股价取决于人们是否相信他关于比特币的说法。这些都没有被隐瞒——但你应该把它计入价格。
ProCap Financial(BRR)的董事长兼 CEO,公司持有数千枚 BTC。他领 $1 年薪,且在股价达到 $15 之前不获得任何股权报酬——从 2026 年 2 月的 $2.42 算起,这需要大约 520% 的涨幅。他全部的上行空间,就是更高的比特币价格。
The Pomp Podcast 与 The Pomp Letter,加上 YouTube——广告、赞助与订阅。嘉宾常常是有自己仓位的创始人和基金。
Morgan Creek Digital 联合创始人,活跃于加密、金融科技与 AI 的私人投资者,其中包括他在自有渠道上推广的 AI 产品 Silvia。
“Bitcoin has no top because the dollar's got no bottom.”
28 May 2026 · 一句话说清的论点“Picking price is the easy part. The timeline is always the hardest part.”
28 May 2026 · 关于他自己的弱点“Much of the crypto industry is dead and will never come back.”
11 Jun 2026 · 只看多比特币,不看多加密行业引文取自他本人的公开视频;属于其表达的观点,并非投资建议。
他几乎每天在 YouTube 更新——简短的市场解读加长篇访谈。截至撰写时,最新的四条比特币相关视频:
Bitcoin Just Had Its Biggest Week In History他对把 BTC 拉回 $79k 的 CLARITY Act 行情的解读。22 Aug 2026
Bitcoin's Rally Today Just Confirmed Everything行情启动时发布——与上文 8 月 10 日那条对照阅读很有用。19 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Is About to Explode — The Fed Just Ran Out of Tools印钞论证,发布于 Fox Business 访谈前两天。08 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Debate: Pomp DESTROYS Peter Schiff他与最大声的比特币空头长期争论——标题是他起的,不是我们。23 Jul 2026美国陆军老兵,曾任职于 Facebook 和 Snapchat,后成为财经媒体中最知名的比特币倡导者之一。他共同创办 Morgan Creek Digital,主持 The Pomp Podcast,撰写 The Pomp Letter,并担任上市比特币金库公司 ProCap Financial 的董事长兼 CEO。
没有公开核实。坊间流传各种估算,但都未获证实;他的财富很大一部分与比特币以及 ProCap Financial 的股票绑定——该股到 2026 年初已从高点下跌约 85%。对任何具体数字都应保持怀疑。
他是评论者兼公司 CEO,不是持牌顾问,并且对比特币上涨有直接经济利益。他的长期论点一以贯之,择时则不然。在我们 2026 年的样本中,他把六月低点读得很准,整个春天却都判断错误。请把他的观点当作有据可查、带日期的意见——绝不要盲目照做交易。
买入比特币并持有多年。他从货币供给与政府债务出发论证,而不是看图表,再用机构采用和链上持币数据加以佐证,并且坦言判断时点是任何预测中最难的部分。
Pompliano 的优势是对十年视角的信念,而不是入场点。你的直觉有多接近——用 Trader Passport 真正量一量。
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