@Scaramucci
Um alocador de Wall Street que põe o próprio dinheiro onde põe a boca: Scaramucci diz que mais de 70% do seu patrimônio está em bitcoin e comanda um fundo cuja exposição a cripto custou aos investidores dois trimestres seguidos de prejuízo. Ele fala o tempo todo, publicamente e com datas — o que o torna incomumente fácil de avaliar. A nota abaixo é mista de propósito.
Em resumo. Anthony Scaramucci is the founder and managing partner of SkyBridge Capital, a Goldman Sachs alumnus, Harvard Law graduate and — for eleven days in 2017 — White House Communications Director. In crypto he is one of the most quotable institutional bulls alive: a four-year-cycle believer who reads sentiment extremes, buys drawdowns and carries a $1M Bitcoin target for 2032. His 2026 record splits cleanly in two. The bottom and target calls he put a date on — “close to the bottom” in March, “$70K by the end of July” in June — were wrong, and expensively so. The directional reads he made once the market had actually broken — “it's going to grind higher because the sentiment is terrible” in late July — have worked, as has his mid-September call that Bitcoin would go higher off the CLARITY Act's failure. He is also on record conceding he blew his 2025 $150k target outright.
Scaramucci começou no Private Wealth Management do Goldman Sachs, cofundou a sociedade de investimentos Oscar Capital Management (vendida à Neuberger Berman em 2001) e, em 2005, fundou a SkyBridge, a gestora de investimentos alternativos que ainda dirige como sócio-gerente. É também fundador e presidente do conselho da SALT, a plataforma de conferências e venture, membro do Council on Foreign Relations e autor de cinco livros. Tem graduação em Economia por Tufts e um JD por Harvard Law. Em 2017 integrou o comitê de transição presidencial de Donald Trump e foi, por um período famosamente curto, diretor de Comunicações da Casa Branca — onze dias que o tornaram conhecido muito além das finanças.
His crypto conviction is unusually literal. He has said repeatedly that more than 70% of his net worth is in Bitcoin, and SkyBridge's flagship $1.3bn Opportunity Fund carries roughly 64% of its holdings in crypto and digital assets — a bet that cost it −18% in Q4 2025 and −12.9% in Q1 2026, two consecutive losing quarters. That is the context for everything below: when he says buy the drawdown, he is not speculating about somebody else's money. It also cuts the other way, and the record here says so plainly — he held a $150,000 year-end target through 2025 and later conceded in a Benzinga interview that he had got it wrong, having missed the scale of the whale selling. Two of the eleven 2026 calls charted here also went against him.
Sources: skybridge.com · x.com/Scaramucci · dated third-party coverage (CNBC, TheStreet, Benzinga/Yahoo Finance, Coinage, The Block)
Alocador top-down, adepto do ciclo de quatro anos. Scaramucci enquadra o bitcoin pela mecânica de oferta (o teto de 21M, o calendário de halvings), pela dívida soberana e desvalorização monetária e pelo encanamento institucional (ETFs à vista, custódia, regulação) — e então usa extremos de sentimento como cronômetro de entrada: um Fear & Greed perto de zero, RSI semanal sobrevendido, vendedores forçados em vez de fundamentos quebrados. Ele é um comprador de quedas com horizonte de anos, não um operador delas. A fraqueza recorrente é o timing: sua leitura estrutural tem estado em geral certa, enquanto as datas e os níveis que ele anexa a ela — um fundo em março, US$ 70 mil até julho, US$ 150 mil em 2025 — têm sido repetidamente cedo demais e altos demais.
Structurally very bullish — a $1M 2032 target and 70%+ of his own net worth in BTC — and more constructive near term since mid-September, when he called Bitcoin higher off the CLARITY Act's failure. His own cycle model still pencils in the full recovery for Q4 2026 into early 2027.
Eleven dated statements from a rolling 2026 sample, each one re-fetched from its source and confirmed verbatim on that page before it was charted. Three are his own X posts; eight are dated third-party coverage. Scaramucci makes two very different kinds of call, and we have deliberately kept both: timed, falsifiable ones (“close to the bottom”, “$70K by the end of July”) and open-ended structural ones (“it cannot be devalued”, “$100,000 eventually”). The timed ones are where he has been hurt — both of the calls marked went against below carried a date. The reads he made after the market had already broken have aged much better.
“Bitcoin going higher off the Clarity Act failure.”
A one-line call, posted at 16:24 UTC, that the CLARITY Act stalling was good for Bitcoin, not bad — he repeated the point on CNBC on 22 September (“I think Bitcoin is a standalone as a digital store”). BTC was at $75,590 on that day's chart point and has never closed lower since (+0.0%): it reached $86,597 (+14.6%) six days later and holds $85,466 (+13.1%). One caveat on the anchor: that point is from 00:00 UTC, about 16 hours before the post, but the next day's point, $76,147, was barely higher — the call worked from either.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin going higher off the Clarity Act failure.” — @Scaramucci on X↗ x.com“And by October I think you'll see the prices rallying again.”
Speaking at the SALT Wyoming Blockchain Symposium with BTC at $77,297, he put a month on the turn — October — while calling the CLARITY Act politically dead. The rally came, slightly ahead of schedule: after a worst dip of −2.2%, BTC ran to $86,597 (+12.0%) on 22 September and stands at $85,466 (+10.6%) in early October. Prices were rallying by October, as he said, so we grade it played out — noting that the move began in late September rather than in the month he named.
SourceWhy Bitcoin Could Reach a $12 Trillion Market Cap, According to Anthony Scaramucci (Coinage / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“As the halving cycle comes in again, and we cut the supply of coins again, it will tighten price, and I think you'll see the thing move back up over 100,000.”
He called it “a clear bear market” and put the next real catalyst — the halving — roughly 20 months away. The timing luck was remarkable: $64,491 that day is the lowest close since, so BTC has never traded lower (+0.0%), ran to $86,597 (+34.3%) and sits +32.5% higher at $85,466. But the number he named was $100,000, BTC is still 14.5% below it, and he attached no deadline — so we log it open, not a win.
SourceBitcoin's Price Crosses $65K, But Anthony Scaramucci Says $100K Catalyst Could Be 20 Months Away (CNBC via Stocktwits / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“It's going to grind higher because the sentiment is terrible”
His cleanest call of the year, and the one with no number attached: with the Fear & Greed Index at 28 and BTC at $65,052, he argued exhausted sellers meant a slow climb rather than a fresh leg down. That is exactly what happened — only a −3.5% dip, a run to $86,597 (+33.1%) and $85,466 (+31.4%) now. A grind, not a surge, just as described.
SourceEx-Trump advisor believes Bitcoin will grind higher after crashing (TheStreet / Yahoo Finance)↗ sg.finance.yahoo.com“If you believe Bitcoin is the operating layer for the future of money and a digital store of value, you stay invested.”
He put a weight on the conviction — roughly 30% of a fresh portfolio in Bitcoin — days after the cycle low, with BTC at $64,111. Staying invested paid: the worst subsequent dip was −2.9%, the high $86,597 (+35.1%), and BTC is +33.3% at $85,466. Worth noting he hedged himself in the same interview: “I've been humbled by markets. I could be wrong about Bitcoin.”
SourceAnthony Scaramucci's Model Portfolio: 30% to Bitcoin, Some Gold, 'Bet the Long Term of the US' (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“5 reasons I'm still long Bitcoin: 1.The only asset no government can debase. 21M cap, enforced by code — not promises.”
A public thread restating the long at $63,490, arguing the selloff was forced sellers — miners covering costs, leverage unwinding — rather than broken fundamentals. It held: BTC dipped only −7.8% to the July low, reached $86,597 (+36.4%) and is +34.6% now. His read on why the market was falling was the right one.
𝕏 Post“5 reasons I'm still long Bitcoin” — @Scaramucci on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin can reclaim $70K by the end of July. I just think because it's burnt out and the sentiment is so negative that any incremental buying will lift it through $70K”
The most falsifiable call he made all year, and it failed. From $65,709 BTC never got near $70k before the deadline — the best it managed by 31 July was $66,521 (+1.2%), still 5% short — and it first fell −10.9% to $58,566. TheStreet itself wrote the epitaph nine days before the deadline: “July is nearly over. The $70,000 target has not been hit.” It is +30.1% today, but the call had a date on it and the date passed.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci unveils Bitcoin target for July (TheStreet / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“So, if the four-year cycle theory holds, Bitcoin doesn't recover until the early part of the fourth quarter of 2026, possibly into the first quarter of 2027,”
Said in conversation with Mike Novogratz at $61,670, with weekly RSI under 30. The bottom half of the read was nearly exact — BTC fell just −5.0% further, to $58,566 on 1 July, and turned. The timing half is the open question: he said no recovery before Q4, yet BTC had already run +40.4% off that day to $86,597 by 22 September and holds +38.6% at $85,466 — still roughly a third below the old high, so “recovered” is genuinely arguable. Q4 has now begun; logged open until it resolves the call.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci Remains A 'Long-Term Believer' In Bitcoin, Sees BTC Recovering By Q4 2026 Or Q1 2027 (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“This is a computer program that cannot be devalued.”
The pure S-curve thesis — Bitcoin adopted like Amazon or Microsoft, with the volatility that late adopters bring — argued at $78,133, near a local high. It is a decade-long claim, not a level: BTC fell −25.0% to $58,566 afterwards and has only lately climbed back above where he said it, to $86,597 (+10.8%) at best and $85,466 (+9.4%) now. Nothing here is disproven — but four months cannot prove a decade-long claim either. Open.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci Says Bitcoin Poised To Follow The S-Curve Of Adoption Like Amazon, Microsoft: 'Cannot Be Devalued' (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.com“I owned one Bitcoin before the rally. I owned one Bitcoin during the bear market. Same Bitcoin. Different feelings. The asset didn't change. The price did.”
Not a target — a hold instruction, posted at $72,920 with BTC down from $126k. Taking it meant sitting through another −19.7% to $58,566 before the recovery; you are now up +17.2% at $85,466 six months later, against a best of +18.8%. The advice has started to pay, but it carries no level or date to grade against — open.
𝕏 Post“The asset didn't change. The price did.” — @Scaramucci on X↗ x.com“Could it trade lower? Sure. Anything can happen. It's Bitcoin, but we're getting close to the bottom.”
On Scott Melker's podcast, with Fear & Greed at 5 and BTC at $70,987, he said buy it here and set the $1M by 2032 target. He gave himself the out — “could it trade lower? Sure” — and it did: BTC fell another −17.5% to $58,566 over the following three months. It has since recovered to $85,466 (+20.4%), so the purchase is well in the green; the bottom call was not, and that is what is being graded.
SourceAnthony Scaramucci Sets $1 Million Bitcoin Target By 2032, Explains Why He's Buying Now (Benzinga / Yahoo Finance)↗ finance.yahoo.comOs resultados são nossa leitura da postura declarada dele contra o preço real da CoinGecko, não a avaliação dele. Cada card é datado pela data de publicação da própria fonte (ou, para posts no X, pelo horário do tweet) — não por quando uma matéria ressurgiu. Tudo cujo horizonte ultrapasse esta janela do gráfico (4T 2026, 2032) é registrado como ainda em aberto, nunca como acerto. Marcas de curto prazo podem virar.
Scaramucci não é uma figura de mídia que por acaso tem cripto — é um gestor de ativos cujo fundo está comprado justamente naquilo sobre o que ele fala na TV quase toda semana. Esse alinhamento é honesto e declarado, mas continua sendo um interesse.
Ele é fundador e sócio-gerente da SkyBridge, gestora de ativos alternativos registrada na SEC. Seu carro-chefe, o Opportunity Fund de US$ 1,3 bi, mantém cerca de 64% em cripto e ativos digitais — logo, comentários altistas são comentários sobre o próprio livro dele e o dos clientes.
Esse livro doeu: o fundo caiu 18% no 4T 2025 e 12,9% no 1T 2026, dois trimestres seguidos no vermelho, e atendeu apenas cerca de 8% das cotas apresentadas por investidores na última oferta de recompra. Pese o otimismo dele contra a pressão que isso cria.
Ele fundou e preside a SALT, plataforma de conferências e venture cujos patrocinadores e palestrantes são em boa medida a mesma indústria que ele comenta. Diz ainda que mais de 70% do seu patrimônio pessoal está em bitcoin — alinhamento total com o detentor de varejo e exposição total ao mesmo viés.
“It's going to grind higher because the sentiment is terrible”
24 Jul 2026 · a chamada que deu certo“Bitcoin can reclaim $70K by the end of July.”
15 Jun 2026 · a que não deu“I've been humbled by markets. I could be wrong about Bitcoin.”
11 Jul 2026 · a ressalva que ele diz em voz altaCitações retiradas das próprias fontes públicas; são opiniões declaradas, não recomendações.
There is no video library to link — Scaramucci hosts no channel of his own, and the SALT channel has been dormant for years. His output is other people's programmes plus his X account, which is exactly why every call above links to a dated page carrying the quoted words. The appearances charted here are The Wolf Of All Streets Podcast with Scott Melker (22 Mar, published 24 Mar), RiskReversal Media (17 May), a conversation with Mike Novogratz (10 Jun), All Things Markets (15 Jun), an interview with Phil Rose (11 Jul), CNBC (24 Jul and 18 Aug) and Coinage at the SALT Wyoming Blockchain Symposium (3 Sep), alongside his own X posts of 11 Apr, 20 Jun and 16 Sep.
O fundador e sócio-gerente da SkyBridge Capital, ex-Goldman Sachs e formado em Direito por Harvard, que também fundou e preside a conferência SALT. Fora das finanças, é mais conhecido pelos onze dias como diretor de Comunicações da Casa Branca em 2017. É um dos touros institucionais do bitcoin mais visíveis do mercado.
Ele fixou uma meta de US$ 1 milhão para 2032 e, em 2026, disse repetidamente que o bitcoin vai «move back up over $100,000», sem dar data. Também argumentou que o bitcoin poderia chegar a cerca de metade da capitalização do ouro — algo como US$ 12 trilhões, ou perto de US$ 500 mil por moeda — em cinco anos. Tudo isso vai além da janela do gráfico acima, então nenhum é pontuado aqui como acerto.
Mixed, and the record above says so: five of eleven dated 2026 calls played out, four are still open, and two went against him — a “close to the bottom” call in March that preceded another 17.5% drop, and a “$70K by the end of July” target that missed. He has also publicly conceded that his $150,000 target for 2025 was wrong.
Ele disse publicamente que mais de 70% do seu patrimônio está em bitcoin. O fundo carro-chefe da SkyBridge, de US$ 1,3 bi, mantém separadamente cerca de 64% da carteira em cripto e ativos digitais. Não há número auditado para suas posições pessoais — ignore qualquer valor específico.
Scaramucci compra medo com horizonte de cinco anos e convive com entrar cedo. Quão perto está o seu instinto? Meça de verdade com um Trader Passport.
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Análise informativa e educativa baseada estritamente em materiais publicamente disponíveis (cobertura datada de terceiros e as suas próprias publicações públicas no X, com ligação em cada chamada). Não constitui aconselhamento financeiro ou de investimento. Os números são aproximados e mudam constantemente. Spotted an error, or are you Anthony? Envie uma correção →
Perfis verificados · Fontes citadas acima · Metodologia de avaliação · Atualizado 6 October 2026
