@CryptoCapo_
El chartista anónimo más discutido de las criptomonedas. El nombre de il Capo se hizo grande al anticipar el desplome de 2021–22, y después pasó años siendo el indicador contrario favorito del mercado. El registro de 2026 que sigue es incómodo para ambos bandos: una zona de soporte señalada casi a la perfección, y cinco meses de haber llegado demasiado pronto.
En resumen. il Capo of Crypto es un analista anónimo que lleva en el mercado desde 2017 y publica para unos 800.000 seguidores en X y unos 116.800 en un canal gratuito de Telegram. Aquí se leen zonas de soporte y resistencia en temporalidades altas, acumulación de liquidez y el sentimiento de la masa — y se dice el nivel en voz alta, con fecha. Precisamente por eso una página como esta es posible. Dos cosas antes del gráfico: en 2026 fue acertar pronto y luego equivocarse durante cinco meses, y — textualmente — «As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin». La cartera propia son monedas de privacidad y small caps. Bitcoin es la referencia sobre la que se publica dirección; no es lo que se compra.
il Capo of Crypto es un seudónimo. Nunca se ha publicado un nombre real verificado, un rostro ni una ubicación, y como nunca se han declarado pronombres, esta página no los adivina: el «él» habitual en la prensa es una suposición, no un hecho. Lo que sí está documentado es el historial: el perfil de Phemex señala que esta persona «been active in the crypto community since 2017», y que en marzo de 2022, con Bitcoin cerca de $40,000, se anticipó una caída por debajo de $23,000 — en junio BTC cotizó por debajo de $18,000. Esa llamada, y otra parecida en agosto de 2022, construyeron la reputación.
Después la misma convicción corrió en sentido contrario. Se mantuvo un objetivo bajista mucho después del suelo de 2022, y el artículo de NewsBTC de octubre de 2024 lo dice sin rodeos: «This goes as far back as his prediction of Bitcoin falling to $12,000 last year, but the crypto eventually broke past resistance levels», y añade que existe «a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite». Esa es la reputación con la que il Capo llega a 2026, y es la razón por la que un registro fechado y graficado vale aquí más que cualquier resumen — incluido este.
The 2026 posture inverts the caricature: they have been publicly, stubbornly bullish since early February, through a 20% drawdown, while the crowd turned bearish. They also documented the cost of it themselves. On 9 July, with Bitcoin at $62,247, they wrote to the Telegram channel: “I've been bullish since January/February, when price reached the expected main support zone of $60k-70k… Since then, 5 months have passed by, which is a lot of time. And price went up to 82k, then back down to 58k, and now trading at around 63k.” The twelve cards below are that stretch and what followed it, charted.
Sources: x.com/CryptoCapo_ · t.me/CryptoCapoTG · Phemex profile · NewsBTC
Zonas de temporalidad alta, liquidez y sentimiento: convicción por encima del timing. il Capo trabaja con bandas amplias de soporte y resistencia («$65k-75k range», «main support zone of $60k-70k»), con la confluencia de bloques de órdenes y máximos históricos antiguos, con dónde se acumula la liquidez y cuán negativa se ha vuelto la masa. La operativa es comprar la zona y esperar, y luego nombrar niveles de confirmación por encima («First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k») en lugar de un stop por debajo. Ahí están la fuerza y el defecto a la vez: cuando la zona acierta, la entrada es casi perfecta; cuando el timing falla, no hay mecanismo que saque de la posición. También se dice sin rodeos que se opera spot y no apalancamiento — «Hence, I won't promote leverage» — y que se está «not selling» durante las caídas que uno mismo pronostica.
Bullish mid-term — “Mid-term bullish (next months) yes” — and heavily positioned in privacy coins, but short-term bearish since late August: as of 24 September 2026 calling the local highs in with a $65k–70k target below $80k, and on 27 September “starting to hedge”.
Twelve dated public statements from il Capo, 5 February – 24 September 2026, charted against real Bitcoin price. The CoinGecko window runs 210 days and now begins 4 March, so the two oldest cards — the 5 and 18 February posts — sit outside it and are anchored at the window's first close; their cards say so. Five are their own X posts, captured with x_capture.py so the text and date are the post's own; seven are posts from t.me/CryptoCapoTG, the channel their own description calls “Official and free Telegram channel of @CryptoCapo_ from Twitter.” Read the whole set together, not the best card: this is a run of one thesis, repeated for seven months, that was right about the level and badly wrong about the clock — followed, from late August, by a turn to short-term caution that the market has so far run over. The famous 2021–22 top call and the $12,000 target sit years outside any chartable window and are described above instead.
“There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze)”
The post the whole year hangs on, and it has now aged off the left edge of its own chart. They marked the “main support zone” — a confluence of an order block, the November and April 2021 all-time highs and the 2024 ATH — and read maximum negative sentiment as the setup for an immediate squeeze. The CoinGecko window is 210 days and now begins 4 Mar 2026, so 5 February can no longer be priced from its own date; the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287, and the weeks right after the post sit off the edge. What does not depend on that anchor is the clock. No strong bounce came: Bitcoin ground lower for nearly five months to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below even the later anchor — and only then turned. The zone did eventually hold, and BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor, but “there's no better time” was five months early. It stays against.
𝕏 Post“Main support zone reached… There's no better time for a strong bounce” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Not ruling out the possibility of a quick last dump to $65k, but we should see bullish acceleration soon, with targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming.”
Two halves, and both have now paid — the second one very late. The post and the “quick last dump” that followed it in late February now sit before the CoinGecko window, which begins 4 Mar 2026, so the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287. The target took seven months. Bitcoin first fell to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below the anchor and well under the $65k they had allowed for — before closing at $86,597 on 22 September, +26.8% above the anchor and over the $85k they named. The card sat open for months because that number was unprinted; it is printed now, so it moves to played out. What it does not earn is “soon”: the acceleration came after a second leg down. BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor. The altcoin half of the post is not charted here.
Source“targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“For now, the most likely scenario remains an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels (potentially higher).”
With BTC at $71,304, stuck in the $65k–75k range they had been publishing for weeks, they called an imminent squeeze into $80k–90k. It arrived twice. First to $82,018 on 11 May, the bottom of the band — after a 7.5% dip to $65,947 on 30 March — and then, after the whole move was given back into the $58,566 low on 1 July (−17.9% from the post), to $86,597 on 22 September, +21.4% and past the middle of the range. Honest caveat: “imminent” fits the first leg, not the second. BTC is $83,145 today, +16.6% above the post.
Source“an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.”
Their most confident post of the spring, and the whole forecast is one word. BTC was $75,716; it went higher for three weeks, to $82,018 on 11 May — and then gave all of it back and more, falling 22.7% to $58,566 by 1 July. The card stayed open while price was only back around the post. That changed in September: Bitcoin closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +14.4% and above the May high, and is $83,145 now, +9.8%. “Higher” was right, so it moves from open to played out — but anyone who sized up on that one word sat through a 23% drawdown to get here.
𝕏 Post“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“I think we see a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation.”
The worst call in the window. Three days before the May high, with BTC at $80,025, they sized the coming correction at roughly 1–2% — a “last leg down” to $78k–79k. Bitcoin lost 26.8% instead, to $58,566 on 1 July. The “bullish continuation” did eventually come: BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +8.2% above the post, and is $83,145 today, +3.9%. That does not rescue it — the forecast was the size of the dip, and it was wrong by more than ten times. Four days earlier they had told the same channel that “Accuracy over the last months has been out of this world.”
Source“a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
Less a forecast than an admission, and it belongs on the record. Four months into the thesis, with BTC back at $61,480, well under the support zone they had marked in February, they wrote the miss down publicly instead of quietly deleting it, and kept the position. It turned out to be near the end of the fall: the deepest dip after this post was −4.7% to $58,566 on 1 July, and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, +35.2% higher.
𝕏 Post“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k.”
The best-timed call here. At $59,727 they read a third test of $60k as a bottom and named the levels that would prove it — “First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k.” The low came five days later at $58,566, only 1.9% below them. Both confirmations have now cleared — the second on 22 September, when Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+45.0%). BTC is $83,145 today, +39.2% above the post.
𝕏 Post“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“After this strong bullish move, I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k.”
After a 34.8% run off the 1 July low, with BTC at $78,974, they turned short-term cautious and named where they would buy it back: “Eyes on 74k-75k and 69k-70k as potential local bottoms.” The first part roughly worked: Bitcoin peaked at $81,265 on 4 September and fell to $75,590 on 16 September, 4.3% below the post — close to, but not into, the 74k–75k zone. Then it ran straight through that top, to $86,597 on 22 September (+9.7%), and is $83,145 today, +5.3% above where they posted. Neither buy-back level has been tested, so it stays open, and the “local top” is now a lower high. Note what it is not: “PS: I'm not selling, just ready to buy more if that happens.”
𝕏 Post“I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Most coins remain sideways/correcting. Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation.”
The August caution, now with a number on it. With BTC at $78,553 they sized the pullback they were waiting for — a final 10–20% shakeout, then bullish continuation — and reposted the same two lines verbatim to the channel on 7 September. It has not arrived. The deepest close since the post is $75,590 on 16 September, only 3.8% below it; then Bitcoin went the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+10.2%), and is $83,145 today, +5.8% above the post. It is open and pointing against them. One caveat this card cannot remove — the post says “most coins”, not Bitcoin; it is charted against BTC because that is the reference they publish direction on.
Source“Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“After riding this wave from the low $60ks, I remain cautious short-term. This looks very overextended for now, and seems like the market is going to flush some leverage and reset indicators before continuing higher.”
The first time in this window they claim the move: “riding this wave from the low $60ks” is the 26 June call above, which landed within 1.9% of the $58,566 low. From $78,451 they stayed short-term cautious and asked for a leverage flush before continuation. What followed fits the words loosely: a 3.6% dip to $75,590 on 16 September, then $86,597 on 22 September (+10.4%); BTC is $83,145 today, +6.0% above the post. A 3.6% flush is small for a market they called “very overextended”, and the post names no level either way, so it stays open rather than claimed. Same caveat as the card above — the subject is “the market”, charted against BTC.
Source“I remain cautious short-term… this looks very overextended for now” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Expected retracements from here: • $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k) • $ETH: 15% - 20% ($2k - $2.1k)”
The shakeout, sized asset by asset. Two days after the card above, with BTC at $76,555, they published a table of expected retracements — Bitcoin 10–15% to $65k–70k, Ether 15–20% to $2k–2.1k, altcoins and memecoins deeper — and reposted it word for word on 18 September. Five days after the post Bitcoin had dipped 1.3% to $75,590, the closest it has come. Then it rallied the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+13.1%), and is $83,145 today, +8.6% above the post — a 15.8% fall away from even the top of their target zone. Ether did the same: $2,438 to a $2,775 high (+13.9%), $2,666 today (+9.4%). No clock was attached, so it stays open — but it is going against them.
Source“Expected retracements from here… $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k)” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“High probability local highs are in. We could now see an LTF bounce towards $85k, but then down again. Bull trap confirmation (trend change) once $BTC goes below $80k. The expected target would be $65k-70k.”
Their newest call, and the most complete bearish one on this page: a top, a bounce level, a trigger and a target. Two days after the $86,597 close on 22 September, with BTC at $84,382, they called the local highs in, allowed a bounce toward $85k, and set below $80k as the confirmation for a drop to $65k–70k. On 27 September they added: “As mentioned on X, I'm starting to hedge.” Five days settles nothing. The highest close since is $84,449 (+0.1%), and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, 1.5% below the post — still above the $80k trigger. Note the shift: this is the first card here where they say they are acting on a bearish view rather than waiting to buy lower.
Source“High probability local highs are in” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.meOutcomes are our read of their stated direction against real CoinGecko price, not their own scoring. Two things bound what these cards can prove. First, il Capo has said they do not trade Bitcoin — “it's one of the main references for market direction” — so a red card marks a published view that aged badly, not a losing position; their actual holdings are privacy coins and low caps we have no price series for. Second, they publish confirmation levels rather than stops, so there is no exit to score against. The newest card is five days old and settles nothing. One more limit: the “$1,000 in” line on each card is buy-and-hold from the post date, including on the cautious and bearish cards from 25 August onward — for those, a positive figure means the call is going against them.
Aquí no hay grupo de pago — el canal de Telegram es gratuito y se afirma que es el único que se gestiona. El dinero está en un acuerdo de afiliación con un exchange, en un enlace de referido a una herramienta y, sobre todo, en una cartera de monedas ilíquidas que se nombran públicamente ante una audiencia de seis cifras.
Un acuerdo de afiliación anunciado el 16 de julio de 2026 y todavía promocionado en agosto: un sorteo de $10.000 USDT, un 10% de descuento en comisiones de trading y hasta $30.000 USDT en recompensas a través de partner.bybit.com/b/cryptocapo. Los límites autoimpuestos se declararon públicamente — «my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading» y «Hence, I won't promote leverage» —, una línea más estricta que la de la mayoría de acuerdos con exchanges. Sigue siendo una participación en los ingresos de quienes se registran para operar.
Un enlace de referido a la plataforma de análisis que se utiliza (kiyotaka.ai/ref=CryptoCapo), publicado en el canal en mayo de 2026. También se avisó de que ahora aparece publicidad propia de Telegram en el feed: «Ads might pop up here due to Telegram's new policy. I don't control them and they're not related to the content.»
Esto pesa más que los enlaces de afiliado. Se publican zonas de compra de monedas de privacidad y small caps ilíquidas que se tienen en cartera — $XMR, $ZEC, $ZANO, $ARRR, $XLM, $BCH, $TAO — ante unos 116.800 lectores de Telegram y ~800K en X, con frases como «$XMR looks ready to take off.» Bitcoin, el activo graficado arriba, es lo único que aquí se dice no operar. Pondera en consecuencia una llamada de small cap desde una cuenta de este tamaño.
La descripción del canal advierte: «This is the only TG that I have. Beware of scammers. I will never DM you first.» Existen canales de Telegram y cuentas de YouTube que copian el nombre; este dosier solo enlaza las dos cuentas que la propia cuenta declara.
“As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin, but it's one of the main references for market direction.”
04 Mar 2026 · la revelación que enmarca todo el gráfico de arriba“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
11 Jun 2026 · cinco meses después, reconociéndolo en público“Trade the charts, not the news.”
07 Apr 2026 · su instrucción permanente a los lectores“As always, my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading.”
16 Jul 2026 · anunciando el acuerdo con BybitQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
No hay videoteca que enlazar. il Capo no publica pódcast ni tiene un canal de YouTube verificado — los canales que comercian con el nombre no están confirmados, y la propia cuenta advierte sobre suplantadores. Toda la producción son publicaciones cortas en X y el canal gratuito de Telegram, y por eso mismo cada llamada de arriba es una cita del tamaño de una captura con marca de tiempo, no un clip. Ambas cuentas están enlazadas al principio de esta página; el corpus verificado completo que hay detrás del gráfico se cita en cada tarjeta.
Un analista y trader cripto anónimo que publica como @CryptoCapo_ en X ante unos 800.000 seguidores, con un canal gratuito de Telegram de unos 116.800. No se ha publicado nombre verificado, rostro ni país, y nunca se han declarado pronombres. En el mercado desde 2017; la fama amplia llegó al anticipar el desplome de Bitcoin de 2021–22.
Both, at different times. They called Bitcoin below $23,000 in March 2022 from around $40,000 and it traded under $18,000 that June. They then held a $12,000 target that never arrived — NewsBTC reported in October 2024 that it had become “a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite.” Across the twelve dated calls charted here (5 February – 24 September 2026), five played out, five are still open and two went against — including a 26.8% drawdown after they forecast a 1–2% dip.
No se ha encontrado ningún grupo de pago, y el canal de Telegram es gratuito y se declara el único que se gestiona. Los ingresos vienen de una asociación de afiliación con Bybit anunciada en julio de 2026 y de un enlace de referido a una herramienta; además se tienen y se nombran públicamente monedas de privacidad y small caps ilíquidas — ese es el conflicto que conviene sopesar, más que los enlaces de afiliado.
Comprar zonas de soporte de temporalidad alta identificadas por confluencia — bloques de órdenes, máximos históricos previos, mínimos de rango — cuando la liquidez se acumula por encima y el sentimiento está en su punto más negativo; después aguantar en spot durante la caída y nombrar niveles de confirmación por encima en lugar de stops por debajo. Se afirma operar solo spot y no promocionar apalancamiento, y que la cartera propia son monedas de privacidad y no Bitcoin.
il Capo compra la zona, ignora las noticias y espera — a veces meses, a veces demasiado. ¿Cuánto se parece tu instinto? Mídelo de verdad con un Trader Passport.
Ahora pon tu enfoque a trabajar. Prueba tu ventaja con datos de mercado reales — sin capital en riesgo — en un torneo gratuito de BuyCrypt con premios reales.
Análisis informativo y educativo basado estrictamente en materiales de acceso público — publicaciones fechadas propias en X y mensajes del canal de Telegram que la cuenta declara oficial, enlazados en cada llamada. il Capo mantiene el anonimato y nunca ha declarado pronombres; esta página no lo adivina. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de inversión. Las cifras son aproximadas y cambian constantemente. Spotted an error, or are you il Capo? Enviar una corrección →
Cuentas verificadas · Fuentes citadas arriba · Metodología de puntuación · Actualizado 29 September 2026
