@crypto_birb
Un analista técnico polaco con unos 712K seguidores en X que opera Bitcoin según el ciclo de cuatro años, la tendencia de 200 días y el calendario. En julio de 2025 dijo que salía de las criptomonedas antes de un mercado bajista en 2026; en agosto de 2026 escribió que «el mercado bajista ha terminado». Esta página comprueba los niveles que ha señalado desde entonces.
En resumen. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 12 October 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and six are still open, including his 30 September call that Bitcoin can reach $100k–$122k before 2026 ends. None has gone against him yet, but all seven are recent, so the sample is short.
Adrian Zduńczyk creó el nombre y la marca «Crypto Birb», según el perfil de mpost.io, que lo describe como analista de mercado y fundador y CEO de The Birb Nest. La cuenta de X (@crypto_birb, nombre visible «₿IRB») se abrió en agosto de 2017 y tiene más de 123,000 publicaciones.
El 9 de julio de 2025 explicó públicamente que estaba saliendo de las criptomonedas: «Los techos de ciclo siempre se produjeron en años posteriores a elecciones en EE. UU.», «2026 es un año de elecciones de mitad de mandato» y «Mi opinión: techo en julio o a finales de octubre/principios de noviembre». Dijo que «buscaría volver a entrar en cripto en el Q4 2026 o a principios de 2027». Esa publicación queda fuera de la ventana de precios de esta página, por lo que no se grafica, pero el esquema se cumplió: Bitcoin alcanzó su máximo en octubre de 2025 y, en nuestros datos, tocó fondo en $58,566 el 1 de julio de 2026.
Su método es el análisis técnico clásico —objetivos de patrones, soportes y resistencias, la tendencia de 200 días y los cruces dorados— combinado con tablas de estacionalidad («Los septiembres de mitad de mandato nunca cerraron en verde. Hasta hoy»). Muchas publicaciones terminan con una pregunta a los seguidores y un explícito «No tengo absolutamente ni idea», así que varias predicciones de esta página son escenarios, no objetivos únicos.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
Técnico de ciclos y estacionalidad. Señala soportes y resistencias, mide objetivos de patrones («tomar el tamaño de la base del patrón y sumarlo a la resistencia») y se apoya en estadísticas del ciclo del halving y del calendario para la visión general. El punto fuerte de esta muestra son las zonas de soporte: el precio las puso a prueba y rebotó. La debilidad para un historial es que muchas publicaciones plantean dos desenlaces a la vez, por lo que no pueden resultar claramente acertadas ni erróneas.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”. On 9 Oct, with BTC down from $87K to $81K, he wrote: “The bull market isn't up for debate.”
Seven dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All seven are from late August to mid-October 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.”
BTC was $83,691. He read the pullback as a pause in a bull market, with $82k as the daily support that had held and the rising 200-day averages at $72k–$75k below it. Since then BTC has closed under $82k four times, but by less than 1%: the lowest close was $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.3%). The $72k–$75k zone has not been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A typical October would take us to $98,700. That's right. It's fair to expect near $100k prices soon. Will we get there in 30 days? No clue, but Q4 is crazy. Average Q4 gains +19.17% in midterms and +45.26% overall. We can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends.”
BTC was $83,640, so a typical October meant about +18.0%. He said he had “no clue” whether it would take 30 days. October has gone the other way so far: the highest close was $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 Oct, the lowest $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.2%), and would need +22.3% to reach $100k. The $100k–$122k range has until 31 December. Still open.
𝕏 Post“A typical October would take us to $98,700.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $81,764 now (+4.6%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $81,764 now (+3.4%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $81,764 now (+5.8%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $81,764 now (+4.5%) and would need to rise another 77% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $81,764 now (+5.2%). Played out so far — an eight-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.comLos resultados son nuestra lectura de lo que decía cada publicación, medida frente a cierres diarios reales de CoinGecko, no su propia evaluación. Los niveles se comprueban con cierres diarios, por lo que un toque intradía puede haber ido más allá de las cifras indicadas. «Abierta» significa que la predicción señala un nivel o un horizonte que aún no se ha alcanzado ni roto.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. On 22 Sep he wrote that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts promotions for OKX products (OKX Shield on 26 Sep, OKX VIP tiers on 15 Oct). Those are incentives worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code. On 22 Sep he wrote that entry is free with “our special @Bitbase_Ex code (we get a cut of their fees)”.
Su marca de análisis, formación y consultoría, con canal de YouTube y sitio web. Entre los vídeos más antiguos hay contenidos patrocinados sobre exchanges y proyectos.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. On 5 Oct 2026 he wrote that he had “moved on to buy bitcoin bags for long term. Not touching it till Q2 2029.” He gave no size.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · BTC subió un 11.4% sin devolver la subida“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · Bitcoin alcanzó su máximo en octubre de 2025“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · su lectura del mercado bajista de 2026Citas transcritas de sus propias fuentes públicas; opiniones expresadas, no recomendaciones.
No hay ningún vídeo de mercado reciente que enlazar aquí. Los vídeos del canal de YouTube The Birb Nest en este periodo promocionan el programa Millionaire Speedrun, y cada predicción graficada enlaza a su publicación en X.
Adrian Zduńczyk, técnico de mercado certificado (CMT) polaco y fundador de The Birb Nest, que publica como @crypto_birb en X para unos 712K seguidores desde agosto de 2017.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in, that “a typical October would take us to $98,700”, and that “we can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 12 Oct 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and six are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN, and he has written that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts OKX promotions.
Crypto Birb opera el ciclo de cuatro años con zonas de soporte y estadísticas de calendario. ¿Cuánto se parece tu instinto? Mídelo de verdad con un Trader Passport.
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Análisis informativo y educativo basado estrictamente en materiales públicos (sus propias publicaciones fechadas en X, su perfil de X, el canal de YouTube The Birb Nest y un perfil público en mpost.io, enlazados en la página). No constituye asesoramiento financiero ni de inversión. Las cifras son aproximadas y cambian constantemente. Spotted an error, or are you Adrian? Enviar una corrección →
Cuentas verificadas · Fuentes citadas arriba · Metodología de puntuación · Actualizado 18 October 2026
