@BigCheds
Un trader de patrones, no un profeta del precio. Cheds lee gráficos clásicos y velas japonesas — rangos, suelos en W, suelos de fulcro, pruebas de medias móviles y bandas de Bollinger — y enuncia el nivel que confirmaría o invalidaría cada idea. Esa estructura hace que sus llamadas sean inusualmente fáciles de calificar, que es exactamente lo que hace esta página.
En resumen. Cheds (@BigCheds) es un analista técnico certificado CMT y una de las cuentas didácticas más duraderas de las criptomonedas. Es seudónimo — sin nombre legal verificado ni cifra de patrimonio — y su expediente público se basa en gráficos y libros más que en su personalidad. Aprendió en público: escribió su primera guía de trading en 2017 mientras recibía quimioterapia por un linfoma, superó el cáncer y desde entonces ha publicado cinco libros bajo el lema «ayudar a los nuevos traders a evitar mis viejos errores». Su método es el nivel primero: nombra la ruptura que valida una tesis y el quiebre que la mata. En la ventana de 2026 que se grafica abajo, esa disciplina dio frutos a la baja — su cautela de mayo sobre Bitcoin, Solana y Ethereum se cumplió por completo — y en el mínimo de Solana del 1 de julio, que acertó con un día de precisión. Le costó en abril, cuando una lectura alcista de vuelta en Bitcoin y Ethereum chocó con una caída del 20–30%.
Cheds es un trader y formador seudónimo que construyó su audiencia por la vía lenta: una cuenta de Twitter y un blog público de aprendizaje (chedstrading.blogspot.com) donde publicaba lo que iba descubriendo. En sus propias palabras: «mis primeros días operando estuvieron llenos de frustración, confusión y pérdidas constantes» — la enseñanza salió de las pérdidas, y la marca se ha construido sobre «ayudar a los nuevos traders a evitar mis viejos errores». Ese camino llevó, según cuenta, «al estudio dedicado de las velas japonesas y el análisis clásico de gráficos, y finalmente a la certificación CMT».
La historia de origen no es un eslogan. Escribió Complete Beginners Guide to Trading en 2017 mientras recibía quimioterapia por un linfoma; superó el cáncer y también escribió un libro sobre esa experiencia. Cinco títulos llevan hoy su nombre — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer y la guía original para principiantes. Su canal de YouTube, Cheds Trading, no es un programa de llamadas de mercado: el flujo reciente es una tanda casi diaria de lecciones cortas de análisis técnico — patrones de velas, Parabolic SAR, la horquilla de Andrews, formaciones de ampliación.
Dos cosas en su contra. Primera, es seudónimo: no hay identidad verificada, historial laboral ni track record auditado detrás de los gráficos, así que todo lo de aquí descansa únicamente en declaraciones públicas fechadas. Segunda, su lectura alcista de vuelta en abril de 2026 falló de la manera que duele — Bitcoin sí superó su ruptura de $76,000, pero el «suelo de fulcro compuesto» que señaló no era el suelo, y la ruptura de Ethereum en $2,400 falló en cuestión de días y cayó un 32.7%. Ambas están graficadas abajo, no omitidas discretamente. También es franco sobre operar contra su propio sesgo: el 3 de septiembre de 2026 publicó que había «tomado un largo en 67k aun esperando precios más bajos según la tendencia de $BTC en marco temporal alto», argumentando que una visión bajista no prohíbe un setup largo limpio.
Sources: dailyhodl.com dated coverage · x.com/BigCheds posts · youtube.com/@ChedsTrading · his own book author notes
Análisis clásico de gráficos, el nivel primero. Cheds trabaja según el manual: rangos y techos de rango, suelos en W y dobles suelos, suelos de fulcro compuestos, vueltas de velas japonesas, la media móvil de 50 días, las bandas de Bollinger y la divergencia del OBV. Lo que distingue sus publicaciones de la mayoría de los comentarios técnicos es que casi siempre nombra el disparador y la invalidación en la misma frase: «superar $85,000», «superar $78 puede ser una tesis larga, y la invalidación de un corto». Opera en ambas direcciones y venderá en corto un rebote hacia la resistencia sin matizar el lenguaje. La debilidad es la de siempre en el análisis clásico: un patrón limpio puede ser una señal real o una ruptura falsa, y en abril de 2026 anunció un suelo de fulcro que aún tenía otro 21% de caída por debajo.
Genuinamente bidireccional. Vendió Solana en corto contra la resistencia en mayo y se puso alcista en el mínimo de julio; su sesgo sigue al nivel que se acaba de romper, no a una visión fija del ciclo.
Nine dated calls across the 2026 window, charted against real price: six attributed to Cheds by The Daily Hodl, and three from his own X posts since August. Every quote was confirmed verbatim on its live source before it was used here. Because he states an explicit trigger and invalidation, these grade cleanly — and the split is instructive: his April bullish reversal read went badly wrong on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, while his May caution and his 1 July Solana call were right, the last of them within a day of the low. Since August he called the $67,000 Bitcoin breakout well, saw a September diamond-top breakdown reverse within a week, and on 22 September declared the bottom in. Nothing here is cherry-picked; the cards run in date order.
“ETH now working on broader range breakout circa $2,400.”
A range-breakout call on Ethereum at $2,326. It was a fake-out: ETH tagged $2,421 three days later, failed immediately, and fell −32.7% to $1,566. ETH later climbed to a $2,775 (+19.3%) peak on 22 September and sits at $2,503 (+7.6%) — but only after that 33% drawdown. The breakout he named did not hold, and this is the clearest miss on the page.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“BTC $74,500 and pushing toward range peak. Breakout at $76,000.”
Two claims in one post, and they split. The trigger worked: from $74,297 Bitcoin cleared $76,000 within three days and ran to $82,018 (+10.4%) by 11 May. The thesis didn't — he framed it as a “compound fulcrum bottom,” and BTC then fell −21.2% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC then recovered to a $86,597 (+16.6%) high on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+11.5%): a profitable breakout wrapped in a bottom call that was three months early.
SourceCrypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Flashing Bullish Reversal Setup — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000. I think a weekly close would be logical.”
Having been early in April, he set a hard bar in May at $79,289: no bottom until BTC flips $85,000. The downtrend he warned about arrived first, −26.1% to $58,566 on 1 July. BTC only reached his line in late September — $86,597 (+9.2%) on 22 September, the day he declared the bottom in himself (last card) — and it is back at $82,851 (+4.5%). Withholding the bottom call at $79K was the right read: the real bottom came 26% lower.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“I'd probably short here, though, because it's a downtrend bouncing into resistance.”
An outright short on Solana at $91, on the textbook reason — a downtrend bouncing into a range peak. It worked: SOL fell −31.8% to $62. Worth stating plainly that he did not stay short: SOL has since run to a $122 (+34.0%) high and sits at $109 (+20.2% from this call), and he flipped bullish on it in July — the next card.
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“It needs to hold $2,150 on what looks to be a pending retest or it is headed for Goblin Town”
A conditional warning at $2,258 with a precise line in the sand. ETH lost $2,150 and went exactly where he said — −30.7% to $1,566. Note this is the same $2,400 level he had called a breakout a month earlier: by May he was reading its “continued inability to break $2,400” as weakness. ETH is now $2,503 (+10.8%).
SourceVeteran Crypto Trader Warns Bitcoin Now Facing Big Resistance — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
His best call in the window, and the timing is the point: he turned bullish on Solana at $74 on 1 July — the exact day Bitcoin printed its $58,566 cycle low. SOL has since gained +66.0% to $122, with a maximum drawdown of only −2.3% along the way, and sits at $109 (+48.8%). He also named the invalidation in the same sentence, which is what makes it a trade rather than an opinion.
SourceCrypto Strategist Details Bullish Scenario for Solana — The Daily Hodl↗ dailyhodl.com“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter”
A long trigger, named and then hit: he posted mid-session on 19 August as Bitcoin pushed through $67,000. The chart starts at that day's $64,686 opening point, so it flatters him slightly — the next daily point was already $69,291. From there BTC ran to $86,597 (+33.9%) on 22 September and sits at $82,851 (+28.1%); measured from his own $67,000 trigger, that is still about +29% at the peak and +24% now. The cleanest call on the page.
𝕏 Post“$BTC flashing a major buy signal on break of 67k, 2 level filter” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC one view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily 76k low trigger for me.”
A bearish pattern read at $78,283, with $76,000 as the trigger. The trigger fired — BTC closed at $75,590 (−3.4%) on 16 September, and that day he asked his stream “what does the loss of 76k mean” — and then the breakdown failed outright: within six days BTC was at $86,597 (+10.6%), and it sits at $82,851 (+5.8%). In fairness he hedged it as “one view” and was back to bullish posts by 18 September, but as a call it went against him. (The “$1,000 in” line below is buy-and-hold, so it shows a gain on this bearish call.)
𝕏 Post“One view of $BTC here is a diamond top breaking down on daily” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.com“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN”
Four months after setting his bar — “flip $85,000” — he called it: the bottom is in. The chart point is $86,597 — as of 11 October, Bitcoin's highest daily point since the July low; BTC has since dipped to $81,686 (−5.7%) and sits at $82,851 (−4.3%). The claim is about the $58,566 low of 1 July, which nothing has threatened yet, so this stays open — but anyone who bought the announcement is down on it so far.
𝕏 Post“$BTC THE BOTTOM IS IN” — @BigCheds on X↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated bias against real price, not his own scoring. Calls come from dated third-party coverage, which quotes his X posts and YouTube sessions directly, or from his own X posts (linked on each card). Percentages are computed from the same price data that draws the charts, at the daily point for the date of the post. The “$1,000 in” line assumes buying on the call date and holding, so on bearish calls it does not show his result. Near-term marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
Cheds sells books and education, and is transparent that trading platforms sponsor him. He is also an analyst at the paid membership Bitcoin Live, which he promotes on his X feed. No token promotion turned up in the record we reviewed, but the sponsorships and the membership are real and worth pricing in.
Cinco títulos autopublicados — Trading Wisdom, Trading Quotes, The Trading Journal, My Battles with Cancer y Complete Beginners Guide to Trading — más un flujo diario y gratuito de lecciones en YouTube que conduce hacia ellos.
Ha promocionado públicamente plataformas de trading a su audiencia de X, incluidas BingX y el DEX de perpetuos edgeX. Los acuerdos de afiliación son la norma en esta categoría; trata las recomendaciones de plataformas como publicidad, no como análisis.
He writes member reports for the subscription service Bitcoin Live and advertises it on X. Several times a week he posts a “New Bitcoin Live Member report” link, and in late September and early October he promoted a sale (“Your first 3 months of membership for $97”). He also posts clips of member-only reports to show calls he made there. We cannot see those reports, so no call on this page comes from one.
“Flip of $78 can be a long thesis, and invalidation for a short.”
01 Jul 2026 · el hábito de disparador e invalidación, el día del mínimo“For me to think the bottom's in we need to flip $85,000.”
14 May 2026 · negarse a anunciar un suelo que no le habían mostrado“It needs to hold $2,150 … or it is headed for Goblin Town”
14 May 2026 · el aviso sobre ETH que se cumplióCitas transcritas de sus propias fuentes públicas; opiniones expresadas, no recomendaciones.
Su YouTube no es un programa de llamadas de mercado: es un flujo casi diario de lecciones cortas de análisis técnico clásico. Clips recientes representativos:
Broadening Patterns — Classical ChartingLas herramientas de análisis clásico de gráficos con las que opera.03 Sep 2026
Trading Wisdom Lesson 36 — Candlestick Context MattersLas velas leídas en contexto, no de forma aislada.06 Sep 2026
Ride Trends — Don't Try to Guess BottomsLa lección que ilustra su propio fallo de abril de 2026.30 Aug 2026
Andrew's Pitchfork IndicatorUna de las herramientas estructurales detrás de sus llamadas por niveles.31 Aug 2026Un analista técnico y formador seudónimo que publica como Cheds (@BigCheds) y dirige el canal de YouTube Cheds Trading. Está certificado CMT, opera patrones gráficos clásicos y velas japonesas, y ha publicado cinco libros sobre trading. Su nombre legal no es público.
Desconocido y no verificado públicamente. Es seudónimo, no publica un track record auditado y nunca ha revelado sus posiciones. Cualquier cifra concreta que veas citada es inventada — ignórala.
He is an educator and commentator, not a licensed adviser. In the 2026 calls charted here five of nine played out — his May caution on BTC, SOL and ETH, a Solana call within a day of the July low, and the August $67,000 Bitcoin breakout. Two went against him: the April Ethereum breakout, which fell 33%, and a September bearish Bitcoin pattern that reversed within a week. Two are still open, including his 22 September call that the bottom is in. Treat his views as a documented, dated opinion, never as a signal to follow blindly.
Análisis clásico de gráficos, el nivel primero. Trabaja con rangos, suelos en W y dobles suelos, suelos de fulcro, vueltas de velas, la media móvil de 50 días, las bandas de Bollinger y la divergencia del OBV — y enuncia el nivel que confirma la idea junto al nivel que la invalida. Opera tanto en largo como en corto, y ha dicho que una visión bajista en marco temporal alto no le impide tomar un setup largo limpio.
Cheds opera según el manual: un disparador declarado, una invalidación declarada y ningún apego a la dirección. ¿Cuán cerca está tu instinto? Mídelo de verdad con un Trader Passport.
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Informational and educational analysis based strictly on publicly available materials (dated third-party coverage quoting his posts and videos, and his own X posts, linked on each call). Every quote was verified verbatim on its source page. Not financial or investment advice. Figures are approximate and change constantly. Spotted an error, or are you Cheds? Enviar una corrección →
Cuentas verificadas · Fuentes citadas arriba · Metodología de puntuación · Actualizado 11 October 2026
