@CryptoCapo_
Der umstrittenste anonyme Chartist der Kryptowelt. Der Name il Capo wurde mit dem Call auf den Einbruch 2021–22 groß und diente dem Markt danach jahrelang als liebster Kontraindikator. Die Bilanz 2026 unten ist für beide Lager unbequem: eine fast perfekt benannte Unterstützungszone — und fünf Monate, in denen sie zu früh war.
Kurz gesagt. il Capo of Crypto ist ein anonymer Analyst, seit 2017 am Markt, mit rund 800.000 Followern auf X und rund 116.800 in einem kostenlosen Telegram-Kanal. Gelesen werden Unterstützungs- und Widerstandszonen auf hohen Zeitebenen, Liquiditätsaufbau und die Stimmung der Masse — und das Level wird laut ausgesprochen, mit Datum. Genau deshalb ist eine Seite wie diese überhaupt möglich. Zwei Dinge gehören vor den Chart: 2026 war es früh richtig und dann fünf Monate lang falsch, und — wörtlich — „As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin“. Das eigene Buch sind Privacy Coins und Low Caps. Bitcoin ist die Referenz, zu der eine Richtung veröffentlicht wird; gekauft wird etwas anderes.
il Capo of Crypto ist ein Pseudonym. Weder ein verifizierter echter Name noch Gesicht oder Aufenthaltsort wurden je veröffentlicht, und da nie Pronomen genannt wurden, rät diese Seite nicht — das in der Presse übliche „er“ ist eine Annahme, kein Fakt. Dokumentiert ist die Handelsbilanz: Das Phemex-Profil hält fest, diese Person sei „been active in the crypto community since 2017“, und dass im März 2022, mit Bitcoin nahe $40,000, ein Fall unter $23,000 vorhergesagt wurde — im Juni handelte BTC unter $18,000. Dieser Call und ein ähnlicher im August 2022 begründeten den Ruf.
Dann lief dieselbe Überzeugung in die andere Richtung. Ein bärisches Ziel wurde noch lange nach dem Tief 2022 gehalten, und der NewsBTC-Beitrag vom Oktober 2024 sagt es deutlich: „This goes as far back as his prediction of Bitcoin falling to $12,000 last year, but the crypto eventually broke past resistance levels“, und ergänzt, es gebe „a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite“. Mit diesem Ruf geht il Capo ins Jahr 2026, und genau deshalb ist eine datierte, gechartete Bilanz hier mehr wert als jede Zusammenfassung — auch als diese.
The 2026 posture inverts the caricature: they have been publicly, stubbornly bullish since early February, through a 20% drawdown, while the crowd turned bearish. They also documented the cost of it themselves. On 9 July, with Bitcoin at $62,247, they wrote to the Telegram channel: “I've been bullish since January/February, when price reached the expected main support zone of $60k-70k… Since then, 5 months have passed by, which is a lot of time. And price went up to 82k, then back down to 58k, and now trading at around 63k.” The twelve cards below are that stretch and what followed it, charted.
Sources: x.com/CryptoCapo_ · t.me/CryptoCapoTG · Phemex profile · NewsBTC
Zonen auf hohen Zeitebenen, Liquidität und Stimmung — Überzeugung vor Timing. il Capo arbeitet mit breiten Unterstützungs- und Widerstandsbändern („$65k-75k range“, „main support zone of $60k-70k“), mit dem Zusammenfallen von Orderblocks und alten Allzeithochs, damit, wo Liquidität gestapelt ist und wie negativ die Masse geworden ist. Der Trade lautet: die Zone kaufen und warten, dann Bestätigungslevel darüber benennen („First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k“) statt eines Stops darunter. Das ist Stärke und Schwäche in einem: Stimmt die Zone, ist der Einstieg nahezu perfekt; stimmt das Timing nicht, gibt es keinen Mechanismus, der aus der Position holt. Es wird zudem klar gesagt, dass Spot gehandelt wird und keine Hebel — „Hence, I won't promote leverage“ — und dass in den selbst prognostizierten Drawdowns „not selling“ gilt.
Bullish mid-term — “Mid-term bullish (next months) yes” — and heavily positioned in privacy coins, but short-term bearish since late August: as of 24 September 2026 calling the local highs in with a $65k–70k target below $80k, and on 27 September “starting to hedge”.
Twelve dated public statements from il Capo, 5 February – 24 September 2026, charted against real Bitcoin price. The CoinGecko window runs 210 days and now begins 4 March, so the two oldest cards — the 5 and 18 February posts — sit outside it and are anchored at the window's first close; their cards say so. Five are their own X posts, captured with x_capture.py so the text and date are the post's own; seven are posts from t.me/CryptoCapoTG, the channel their own description calls “Official and free Telegram channel of @CryptoCapo_ from Twitter.” Read the whole set together, not the best card: this is a run of one thesis, repeated for seven months, that was right about the level and badly wrong about the clock — followed, from late August, by a turn to short-term caution that the market has so far run over. The famous 2021–22 top call and the $12,000 target sit years outside any chartable window and are described above instead.
“There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze)”
The post the whole year hangs on, and it has now aged off the left edge of its own chart. They marked the “main support zone” — a confluence of an order block, the November and April 2021 all-time highs and the 2024 ATH — and read maximum negative sentiment as the setup for an immediate squeeze. The CoinGecko window is 210 days and now begins 4 Mar 2026, so 5 February can no longer be priced from its own date; the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287, and the weeks right after the post sit off the edge. What does not depend on that anchor is the clock. No strong bounce came: Bitcoin ground lower for nearly five months to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below even the later anchor — and only then turned. The zone did eventually hold, and BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor, but “there's no better time” was five months early. It stays against.
𝕏 Post“Main support zone reached… There's no better time for a strong bounce” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Not ruling out the possibility of a quick last dump to $65k, but we should see bullish acceleration soon, with targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming.”
Two halves, and both have now paid — the second one very late. The post and the “quick last dump” that followed it in late February now sit before the CoinGecko window, which begins 4 Mar 2026, so the chart anchors at the window's first close, $68,287. The target took seven months. Bitcoin first fell to $58,566 on 1 July — 14.2% below the anchor and well under the $65k they had allowed for — before closing at $86,597 on 22 September, +26.8% above the anchor and over the $85k they named. The card sat open for months because that number was unprinted; it is printed now, so it moves to played out. What it does not earn is “soon”: the acceleration came after a second leg down. BTC is $83,145 today, +21.8% above the anchor. The altcoin half of the post is not charted here.
Source“targets over $85k and altcoins outperforming” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“For now, the most likely scenario remains an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels (potentially higher).”
With BTC at $71,304, stuck in the $65k–75k range they had been publishing for weeks, they called an imminent squeeze into $80k–90k. It arrived twice. First to $82,018 on 11 May, the bottom of the band — after a 7.5% dip to $65,947 on 30 March — and then, after the whole move was given back into the $58,566 low on 1 July (−17.9% from the post), to $86,597 on 22 September, +21.4% and past the middle of the range. Honest caveat: “imminent” fits the first leg, not the second. BTC is $83,145 today, +16.6% above the post.
Source“an imminent short squeeze to $80k-90k levels” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.”
Their most confident post of the spring, and the whole forecast is one word. BTC was $75,716; it went higher for three weeks, to $82,018 on 11 May — and then gave all of it back and more, falling 22.7% to $58,566 by 1 July. The card stayed open while price was only back around the post. That changed in September: Bitcoin closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +14.4% and above the May high, and is $83,145 now, +9.8%. “Higher” was right, so it moves from open to played out — but anyone who sized up on that one word sat through a 23% drawdown to get here.
𝕏 Post“Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation. Higher.” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“I think we see a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation.”
The worst call in the window. Three days before the May high, with BTC at $80,025, they sized the coming correction at roughly 1–2% — a “last leg down” to $78k–79k. Bitcoin lost 26.8% instead, to $58,566 on 1 July. The “bullish continuation” did eventually come: BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 September, +8.2% above the post, and is $83,145 today, +3.9%. That does not rescue it — the forecast was the size of the dip, and it was wrong by more than ten times. Four days earlier they had told the same channel that “Accuracy over the last months has been out of this world.”
Source“a last leg down to 78k-79k and then bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
Less a forecast than an admission, and it belongs on the record. Four months into the thesis, with BTC back at $61,480, well under the support zone they had marked in February, they wrote the miss down publicly instead of quietly deleting it, and kept the position. It turned out to be near the end of the fall: the deepest dip after this post was −4.7% to $58,566 on 1 July, and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, +35.2% higher.
𝕏 Post“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k.”
The best-timed call here. At $59,727 they read a third test of $60k as a bottom and named the levels that would prove it — “First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k.” The low came five days later at $58,566, only 1.9% below them. Both confirmations have now cleared — the second on 22 September, when Bitcoin closed at $86,597 (+45.0%). BTC is $83,145 today, +39.2% above the post.
𝕏 Post“an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“After this strong bullish move, I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k.”
After a 34.8% run off the 1 July low, with BTC at $78,974, they turned short-term cautious and named where they would buy it back: “Eyes on 74k-75k and 69k-70k as potential local bottoms.” The first part roughly worked: Bitcoin peaked at $81,265 on 4 September and fell to $75,590 on 16 September, 4.3% below the post — close to, but not into, the 74k–75k zone. Then it ran straight through that top, to $86,597 on 22 September (+9.7%), and is $83,145 today, +5.3% above where they posted. Neither buy-back level has been tested, so it stays open, and the “local top” is now a lower high. Note what it is not: “PS: I'm not selling, just ready to buy more if that happens.”
𝕏 Post“I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k” — @CryptoCapo_↗ x.com“Most coins remain sideways/correcting. Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation.”
The August caution, now with a number on it. With BTC at $78,553 they sized the pullback they were waiting for — a final 10–20% shakeout, then bullish continuation — and reposted the same two lines verbatim to the channel on 7 September. It has not arrived. The deepest close since the post is $75,590 on 16 September, only 3.8% below it; then Bitcoin went the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+10.2%), and is $83,145 today, +5.8% above the post. It is open and pointing against them. One caveat this card cannot remove — the post says “most coins”, not Bitcoin; it is charted against BTC because that is the reference they publish direction on.
Source“Still expecting a final 10%-20% shakeout before bullish continuation” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“After riding this wave from the low $60ks, I remain cautious short-term. This looks very overextended for now, and seems like the market is going to flush some leverage and reset indicators before continuing higher.”
The first time in this window they claim the move: “riding this wave from the low $60ks” is the 26 June call above, which landed within 1.9% of the $58,566 low. From $78,451 they stayed short-term cautious and asked for a leverage flush before continuation. What followed fits the words loosely: a 3.6% dip to $75,590 on 16 September, then $86,597 on 22 September (+10.4%); BTC is $83,145 today, +6.0% above the post. A 3.6% flush is small for a market they called “very overextended”, and the post names no level either way, so it stays open rather than claimed. Same caveat as the card above — the subject is “the market”, charted against BTC.
Source“I remain cautious short-term… this looks very overextended for now” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“Expected retracements from here: • $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k) • $ETH: 15% - 20% ($2k - $2.1k)”
The shakeout, sized asset by asset. Two days after the card above, with BTC at $76,555, they published a table of expected retracements — Bitcoin 10–15% to $65k–70k, Ether 15–20% to $2k–2.1k, altcoins and memecoins deeper — and reposted it word for word on 18 September. Five days after the post Bitcoin had dipped 1.3% to $75,590, the closest it has come. Then it rallied the other way, to $86,597 on 22 September (+13.1%), and is $83,145 today, +8.6% above the post — a 15.8% fall away from even the top of their target zone. Ether did the same: $2,438 to a $2,775 high (+13.9%), $2,666 today (+9.4%). No clock was attached, so it stays open — but it is going against them.
Source“Expected retracements from here… $BTC: 10% - 15% ($65k - $70k)” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.me“High probability local highs are in. We could now see an LTF bounce towards $85k, but then down again. Bull trap confirmation (trend change) once $BTC goes below $80k. The expected target would be $65k-70k.”
Their newest call, and the most complete bearish one on this page: a top, a bounce level, a trigger and a target. Two days after the $86,597 close on 22 September, with BTC at $84,382, they called the local highs in, allowed a bounce toward $85k, and set below $80k as the confirmation for a drop to $65k–70k. On 27 September they added: “As mentioned on X, I'm starting to hedge.” Five days settles nothing. The highest close since is $84,449 (+0.1%), and Bitcoin is $83,145 today, 1.5% below the post — still above the $80k trigger. Note the shift: this is the first card here where they say they are acting on a bearish view rather than waiting to buy lower.
Source“High probability local highs are in” — CryptoCapoTG, the official free Telegram channel↗ t.meOutcomes are our read of their stated direction against real CoinGecko price, not their own scoring. Two things bound what these cards can prove. First, il Capo has said they do not trade Bitcoin — “it's one of the main references for market direction” — so a red card marks a published view that aged badly, not a losing position; their actual holdings are privacy coins and low caps we have no price series for. Second, they publish confirmation levels rather than stops, so there is no exit to score against. The newest card is five days old and settles nothing. One more limit: the “$1,000 in” line on each card is buy-and-hold from the post date, including on the cautious and bearish cards from 25 August onward — for those, a positive figure means the call is going against them.
Es gibt hier keine bezahlte Gruppe — der Telegram-Kanal ist kostenlos und gilt nach eigener Aussage als der einzige. Das Geld steckt in einem Börsen-Affiliate-Deal, einer Tool-Empfehlung und, vor allem, in einem Buch illiquider Coins, die einem sechsstelligen Publikum öffentlich genannt werden.
Ein Affiliate-Deal, angekündigt am 16. Juli 2026 und im August weiterhin beworben: ein Gewinnspiel über $10.000 USDT, 10% Rabatt auf Handelsgebühren und bis zu $30.000 USDT an Prämien über partner.bybit.com/b/cryptocapo. Die eigenen Grenzen wurden öffentlich benannt — „my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading“ und „Hence, I won't promote leverage“ —, eine strengere Linie als bei den meisten Börsendeals. Es bleibt eine Umsatzbeteiligung an Menschen, die sich zum Handeln anmelden.
Ein Empfehlungslink zur genutzten Analyseplattform (kiyotaka.ai/ref=CryptoCapo), im Mai 2026 im Kanal gepostet. Außerdem wurde darauf hingewiesen, dass nun Telegrams eigene Werbung im Feed erscheint: „Ads might pop up here due to Telegram's new policy. I don't control them and they're not related to the content.“
Das wiegt schwerer als die Affiliate-Links. Kaufzonen werden zu illiquiden Privacy Coins und Low Caps aus dem eigenen Bestand veröffentlicht — $XMR, $ZEC, $ZANO, $ARRR, $XLM, $BCH, $TAO — vor rund 116.800 Telegram-Lesern und ~800K auf X, mit Zeilen wie „$XMR looks ready to take off.“ Bitcoin, der oben gechartete Wert, ist das Einzige, was hier nach eigener Aussage nicht gehandelt wird. Gewichten Sie einen Low-Cap-Call von einem Account dieser Größe entsprechend.
Die Kanalbeschreibung warnt: „This is the only TG that I have. Beware of scammers. I will never DM you first.“ Es existieren nachgemachte Telegram-Kanäle und YouTube-Accounts mit diesem Namen; dieses Dossier verlinkt nur die beiden Handles, die der Account selbst angibt.
“As you know, I don't trade Bitcoin, but it's one of the main references for market direction.”
04 Mar 2026 · die Offenlegung, die den ganzen Chart oben einrahmt“The analysis is not playing out yet, thus I'm wrong so far.”
11 Jun 2026 · fünf Monate später, öffentlich eingestanden“Trade the charts, not the news.”
07 Apr 2026 · die stehende Anweisung an die Leser“As always, my views remain entirely my own, focusing on spot markets, education and a sustainable approach to trading.”
16 Jul 2026 · die Ankündigung des Bybit-DealsQuotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.
Es gibt keine Videobibliothek zum Verlinken. il Capo betreibt keinen Podcast und keinen verifizierten YouTube-Kanal — die Kanäle, die mit dem Namen handeln, sind unbestätigt, und der Account warnt vor Nachahmern. Der gesamte Output sind kurze Posts auf X und der kostenlose Telegram-Kanal, und genau deshalb ist jeder Call oben ein Zitat in Screenshot-Länge mit Zeitstempel statt eines Clips. Beide Handles sind oben auf dieser Seite verlinkt; der vollständige geprüfte Quellenbestand hinter dem Chart ist auf jeder Karte zitiert.
Ein anonymer Krypto-Analyst und Trader, der als @CryptoCapo_ auf X vor rund 800.000 Followern postet, mit einem kostenlosen Telegram-Kanal von rund 116.800. Weder verifizierter Name noch Gesicht oder Land wurden veröffentlicht, und Pronomen wurden nie genannt. Seit 2017 am Markt; breit bekannt wurde der Call auf den Bitcoin-Einbruch 2021–22.
Both, at different times. They called Bitcoin below $23,000 in March 2022 from around $40,000 and it traded under $18,000 that June. They then held a $12,000 target that never arrived — NewsBTC reported in October 2024 that it had become “a running joke among some investors that whenever Capo makes a prediction, the market tends to do the opposite.” Across the twelve dated calls charted here (5 February – 24 September 2026), five played out, five are still open and two went against — including a 26.8% drawdown after they forecast a 1–2% dip.
Eine bezahlte Gruppe wurde nicht gefunden, und der Telegram-Kanal ist kostenlos und wird als der einzige bezeichnet. Verdient wird an einer im Juli 2026 angekündigten Bybit-Affiliate-Partnerschaft und einem Tool-Empfehlungslink; hinzu kommt, dass illiquide Privacy Coins und Low Caps gehalten und öffentlich genannt werden — das ist der Konflikt, der schwerer wiegt als die Affiliate-Links.
Kaufen von Unterstützungszonen auf hohen Zeitebenen, die über Konfluenz bestimmt werden — Orderblocks, frühere Allzeithochs, Range-Tiefs —, wenn Liquidität darüber gestapelt ist und die Stimmung am negativsten ist; danach Spot durch den Drawdown halten und Bestätigungslevel darüber benennen statt Stops darunter. Nach eigener Aussage wird nur Spot gehandelt und kein Hebel beworben, und das eigene Buch sind Privacy Coins statt Bitcoin.
il Capo kauft die Zone, ignoriert die Nachrichten und wartet — manchmal monatelang, manchmal zu lange. Wie nah ist Ihr Instinkt dran? Messen Sie es wirklich mit einem Trader Passport.
Jetzt setzen Sie Ihren Ansatz ein. Testen Sie Ihre Edge an echten Marktdaten — ohne Kapitalrisiko — in einem kostenlosen BuyCrypt-Turnier mit echten Preisen.
Informations- und Bildungsanalyse, streng auf Basis öffentlich verfügbarer Materialien — eigene datierte X-Posts und Beiträge aus dem Telegram-Kanal, den der Account als offiziell bezeichnet, bei jedem Call verlinkt. il Capo bleibt anonym, und Pronomen wurden nie genannt; diese Seite rät nicht. Keine Finanz- oder Anlageberatung. Zahlen sind Näherungswerte und ändern sich ständig. Spotted an error, or are you il Capo? Korrektur einreichen →
Verifizierte Handles · Quellen oben zitiert · Bewertungsmethodik · Aktualisiert 29 September 2026
