@crypto_birb
X'te yaklaşık 712K takipçisi olan, Bitcoin'i dört yıllık döngüye, 200 günlük trende ve takvime göre işleyen Polonyalı bir teknik analist. Temmuz 2025'te 2026'daki bir ayı piyasası öncesinde kriptodan çıktığını söyledi; Ağustos 2026'da ise “ayı piyasası bitti” diye yazdı. Bu sayfa, o zamandan beri işaret ettiği seviyeleri kontrol ediyor.
Kısaca. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 12 October 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and six are still open, including his 30 September call that Bitcoin can reach $100k–$122k before 2026 ends. None has gone against him yet, but all seven are recent, so the sample is short.
mpost.io'daki profile göre “Crypto Birb” kullanıcı adını ve markasını Adrian Zduńczyk yarattı; profil onu bir piyasa analisti ve The Birb Nest'in kurucusu ve CEO'su olarak tanımlıyor. X hesabı (@crypto_birb, görünen ad “₿IRB”) Ağustos 2017'de açıldı ve 123,000'den fazla paylaşıma sahip.
9 Temmuz 2025'te kriptodan çıktığını kamuoyuna açıkladı: “Döngü zirveleri her zaman ABD'de seçim sonrası yıllarda gerçekleşti”, “2026 bir ara seçim yılı” ve “Benim görüşüm: zirve Temmuz'da ya da Ekim sonu/Kasım başında.” “Q4 2026'da ya da 2027 başında kriptoya yeniden girmeyi düşüneceğini” söyledi. Bu paylaşım sayfanın fiyat penceresinin dışında kaldığı için grafikte yer almıyor, ancak genel çerçeve tuttu: Bitcoin Ekim 2025'te zirve yaptı ve verilerimize göre 1 Temmuz 2026'da $58,566 ile dibi gördü.
Yöntemi klasik teknik analiz — formasyon hedefleri, destek ve direnç, 200 günlük trend ve golden cross'lar — ile mevsimsellik tablolarının birleşimi (“Ara seçim yıllarının Eylülleri hiç yeşil kapanmadı. Bugüne kadar.”). Birçok paylaşım takipçilere bir soruyla ve açık bir “Kesinlikle hiçbir fikrim yok” ifadesiyle bitiyor; bu yüzden bu sayfadaki birkaç tahmin tek bir hedef değil, senaryodur.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
Döngü ve mevsimsellik teknisyeni. Destek ve dirençleri belirliyor, formasyon hedeflerini ölçüyor (“formasyonun taban boyutunu alıp dirence eklemek”) ve büyük resim için halving döngüsü ile takvim istatistiklerine dayanıyor. Bu örneklemin güçlü yanı destek bölgeleri: fiyat bunları test etti ve sıçradı. Performans karnesi açısından zayıf yanı ise birçok paylaşımın aynı anda iki sonucu ortaya koyması; bu yüzden net olarak doğru ya da yanlış çıkamıyorlar.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”. On 9 Oct, with BTC down from $87K to $81K, he wrote: “The bull market isn't up for debate.”
Seven dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All seven are from late August to mid-October 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.”
BTC was $83,691. He read the pullback as a pause in a bull market, with $82k as the daily support that had held and the rising 200-day averages at $72k–$75k below it. Since then BTC has closed under $82k four times, but by less than 1%: the lowest close was $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.3%). The $72k–$75k zone has not been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A typical October would take us to $98,700. That's right. It's fair to expect near $100k prices soon. Will we get there in 30 days? No clue, but Q4 is crazy. Average Q4 gains +19.17% in midterms and +45.26% overall. We can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends.”
BTC was $83,640, so a typical October meant about +18.0%. He said he had “no clue” whether it would take 30 days. October has gone the other way so far: the highest close was $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 Oct, the lowest $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.2%), and would need +22.3% to reach $100k. The $100k–$122k range has until 31 December. Still open.
𝕏 Post“A typical October would take us to $98,700.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $81,764 now (+4.6%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $81,764 now (+3.4%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $81,764 now (+5.8%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $81,764 now (+4.5%) and would need to rise another 77% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $81,764 now (+5.2%). Played out so far — an eight-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.comSonuçlar, her paylaşımın ne söylediğine dair bizim yorumumuzdur ve gerçek CoinGecko günlük kapanışlarına göre ölçülür — kendi değerlendirmesi değildir. Seviyeler günlük kapanışlara göre kontrol edildiğinden, gün içi bir dokunuş verilen rakamlardan daha ileri gitmiş olabilir. “Açık”, tahminin henüz ulaşılmamış ya da kırılmamış bir seviye veya vade belirttiği anlamına gelir.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. On 22 Sep he wrote that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts promotions for OKX products (OKX Shield on 26 Sep, OKX VIP tiers on 15 Oct). Those are incentives worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code. On 22 Sep he wrote that entry is free with “our special @Bitbase_Ex code (we get a cut of their fees)”.
YouTube kanalı ve web sitesi bulunan; analiz, eğitim ve danışmanlık markası. Eski yüklemeler arasında sponsorlu borsa ve proje tanıtımları da var.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. On 5 Oct 2026 he wrote that he had “moved on to buy bitcoin bags for long term. Not touching it till Q2 2029.” He gave no size.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · BTC yükselişi geri vermeden 11.4% yükseldi“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · Bitcoin Ekim 2025'te zirve yaptı“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · 2026 ayı piyasasına dair yorumuAlıntılar kendi kamuya açık kaynaklarından aktarılmıştır; ifade edilmiş görüşlerdir, tavsiye değildir.
Burada bağlantı verilecek güncel bir piyasa videosu yok. The Birb Nest YouTube kanalının bu dönemdeki yüklemeleri Millionaire Speedrun programını tanıtıyor ve grafikteki her tahmin onun X paylaşımına bağlantı veriyor.
Polonyalı sertifikalı piyasa teknisyeni (CMT) ve The Birb Nest'in kurucusu Adrian Zduńczyk; Ağustos 2017'den beri X'te @crypto_birb olarak yaklaşık 712K takipçiye paylaşım yapıyor.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in, that “a typical October would take us to $98,700”, and that “we can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 12 Oct 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and six are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN, and he has written that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts OKX promotions.
Crypto Birb dört yıllık döngüyü destek bölgeleri ve takvim istatistikleriyle işliyor. Senin içgüdün ne kadar yakın? Bir Trader Passport ile gerçekten ölç.
Şimdi yaklaşımını işe koş. Avantajını canlı piyasa verileriyle — sermayeni riske atmadan — gerçek ödüllü ücretsiz bir BuyCrypt turnuvasında test et.
Yalnızca kamuya açık materyallere (kendi tarihli X paylaşımları, X profili, The Birb Nest YouTube kanalı ve mpost.io'daki herkese açık bir profil; sayfada bağlantıları verilmiştir) dayanan bilgilendirici ve eğitici bir analizdir. Finansal veya yatırım tavsiyesi değildir. Rakamlar yaklaşıktır ve sürekli değişir. Spotted an error, or are you Adrian? Düzeltme gönder →
Doğrulanmış hesaplar · Kaynaklar yukarıda belirtilmiştir · Puanlama metodolojisi · Güncellendi 18 October 2026
