
@GarethSoloway
A chart technician first, crypto commentator second — Soloway trades Bitcoin alongside gold, oil and the S&P, and prices every call off horizontal levels, trend lines and candle structure. He gives numbers and invalidation levels, which makes him unusually easy to score. The catch: for most of 2026 he was a short-term bull inside a long-term bear, so two of his calls can point opposite ways in the same week.
간단히 말해. Gareth Soloway is Chief Market Strategist and president of Verified Investing, the subscription research shop he co-founded in 2007 as InTheMoneyStocks. He is a classical technician: support and resistance, trend lines, reversal candles and his own named patterns, applied across crypto, equities, metals and energy. In crypto he is a swing trader, not a hodler — he says so explicitly — and for most of 2026 he paired near-term long setups with a standing forecast that this bear market would end below $50,000 — until 21 September, when he declared it over and set a $175,000 cycle target. That split is the thing to understand before reading any single call of his: the direction is usually the trade, not the thesis.
솔로웨이는 빙엄턴 대학교에서 경제학을 공부했고 금융서비스 쪽에서 경력을 시작했다가, 2004년에 그곳을 떠나 전업으로 자기 자본을 굴리기 시작했다. 2007년에는 니콜라스 산티아고와 함께 차트 교육·매매 알림 사업체 InTheMoneyStocks를 세웠고, 이 회사는 훗날 Verified Investing으로 이름을 바꿨다. 이후 계속 회사를 이끌면서 유튜브에 매일 기술적 분석을 올리고, The David Lin Report나 Kitco 같은 금융 인터뷰 프로그램에도 꾸준히 출연한다.
그의 방법론은 의도적으로 고전적이다. 수평 레벨, 평행 채널, 직전 고점에서 그은 추세선, 반전 캔들과 인사이드바 구조, 여기에 PPT Methodology, Confirmation Signal, Three Tail Theory 같은 이름으로 파는 자체 도구가 더해진다. Verified Investing은 2007년 이후 연 300건 넘는 스윙 매매 알림에서 승률 80% 이상을 광고한다 — 그의 사이트에 실린 마케팅 주장이며, 독립 감사를 받은 적이 없고, 이 페이지는 그것을 검증하려 하지 않는다. 대신 이 페이지가 하는 일은 그가 공개적으로, 날짜를 달고 한 말을 채점하는 것이다.
That record includes misses we could date but could not quote. On 3 May 2026, in an interview with David Lin, he said Bitcoin was forming a bear flag that could take it down roughly 38% to $50,000 unless it cleared $85,000. Bitcoin's worst print after that was $58,566 — a 25.6% fall, and never close to $50,000 — so the call was wrong on the level and on the size. It sits in the biography rather than on a card only because none of the outlets covering that interview carried a verbatim Bitcoin quote, and this dossier charts nothing it cannot quote. A second in-window near-miss cuts the other way: on 13 February 2026, before this chart window opens, he posted that $80,000–$85,000 was the likely upside — Bitcoin topped at $82,018 in May and did not clear $85,000 until 22 September.
Sources: coinpedia.org · x.com/GarethSoloway · youtube.com/@GarethSolowayProTrader · verifiedinvesting.com
고전적 프라이스 액션 기술적 분석을 비트코인·금·원유·S&P에 똑같이 적용한다. 솔로웨이는 긴 추세선과 직전 피벗 고점에서 시작해 위에서 아래로 내려오며, 그다음 리테스트를 거래한다. 반전 캔들, 반전 캔들의 저점을 깨지 못하는 인사이드바 군집, 닿았다가 지켜진 채널 밴드. 그는 트리거·목표·무효화 레벨을 명시하고 — 그래서 그의 전망을 채점할 수 있다 — 상승 구간에서 절반씩 나눠 청산할 뿐 끝까지 들고 가지 않는다. 약점은 이 페이지에 그대로 드러난다. 시간 프레임이 크게 어긋나고(「days to weeks」 목표가 7주 만에 도달), 자기 무효화 레벨이 깨져도 목표를 버리지 않으며, 상시적인 매크로 약세관 때문에 방금 자기가 외친 돌파를 되레 반대로 치게 된다.
Deliberately two-sided for most of 2026 — tactically long the bounces, structurally bearish toward a final flush below $50,000 — until 21 September, when he declared the bear market over and set a $175,000 target. He flips fast: he called a breakout on 5 August, was short by 23 August, and called the bear market intact five days before calling it over.
Dated, in-window calls with a verbatim quote attached — from press that quotes him directly, from his own X posts, and in three cases from the titles of his own uploads — each charted against real CoinGecko price from the day he said it. Where an outlet only paraphrased him (his July $73–74k Bitcoin and $2,000 Ethereum targets, for instance, or the 3 May bear-flag call to $50,000) the call is not charted, because we will not put words in quotation marks that nobody printed. Those are disclosed in the biography instead. He gives real levels, so these are graded on his own numbers.
“Bitcoin Bear Market Is Over, My $175,000 Target”
The flip, in his own title, published at $84,382 two days after Bitcoin printed $86,597 — the higher high over the prior swing high he had said the bear market needed. The upload's description says the $175,000 comes from a roughly 1,000-day low-to-top cycle count and a pivot-high trend line extended to 2029, with $75,500 and $66,000–$67,000 named as pullback buy levels. The target is +107.4% away. Five days in, Bitcoin is $83,145, −1.5% below him — a multi-year call, open.
Source“Bitcoin Bear Market Is Over, My $175,000 Target” — Gareth Soloway (his own upload, 24 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“Bitcoin's Line In The Sand: $75,500 Or Bust - Bear Market Still Intact And Gaining Strength”
Published with Bitcoin at $75,590, which turned out to be the low of the whole move: no day in our series has closed lower since. His line in the sand held, by $90. The other half of the title did not. Six days later Bitcoin printed $86,597 (+14.6%), above the roughly $82,800 high he said it had to clear. On 21 Sep his own upload declared the bear market over. It is $83,145 today, +10.0% above him. He read the level well, but the “gaining strength” thesis was wrong.
Source“Bitcoin’s Line In The Sand: $75,500 Or Bust” — Gareth Soloway (his own upload, 16 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“very, very good”
With Bitcoin at $80,329 he refused to call a new bull market: the prior pivot high at $82,865 was still untagged, so on his definition this is still lower highs and lower lows — while conceding the recent price action looked “very, very good”. The cap held for two weeks, and Bitcoin first slid to $75,590 (−5.9%) on 16 Sep. Then it went through: $86,597 on 22 Sep, +7.8% above him and clear of his pivot, and he declared the bear market over himself. It is $83,145 today, +3.5%. His “not yet” was right for a fortnight. The cap did not hold.
SourceBull Flag or Bear Trap? What the Charts Say — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“Bitcoin Surged, Then I Flipped Short”
Eighteen days after calling the breakout he took the other side, and said so in his own title, published at $77,081. Bitcoin did not stop: it ran to $81,265 on 4 Sep, +5.4% straight through the short, dipped only −1.9% below him ($75,590 on 16 Sep), then broke out to $86,597 on 22 Sep, +12.3% against him. At $83,145 today it is +7.9% above his short — it never worked, and it fought the trend he himself had called correctly three weeks earlier.
Source“Bitcoin Surged, Then I Flipped Short” — Gareth Soloway (his own upload, 23 Aug 2026)↗ youtube.com“Bitcoin on the verge of an epic breakout. Trendline extends from the all-time high in Oct 2025 to the May 2026 highs to recent highs. A break of this trendline sends it to 15%+ imo.”
Posted at $64,062, and it paid. Bitcoin first dipped −1.9% to $62,844 on 17 Aug, then broke out: his +15% level ($73,671) was cleared on 22 Aug and price has since peaked at $86,597 on 22 Sep, +35.2% above him. It sits at $83,145 today, +29.8%. The single best entry on this page — and, as the 23 Aug card shows, one he then traded against.
𝕏 PostGareth Soloway on X — “on the verge of an epic breakout”↗ x.com“#Bitcoin tags lower band of parallel channel. This is a big test for bulls vs. bears. It breaks, the macro pattern begins to play out toward $60K, then $50K. Can the bulls hold the line?”
A clean conditional, posted at $74,340: if the channel band breaks, $60K then $50K. It broke. Bitcoin printed $59,727 on 26 Jun and bottomed at $58,566 on 1 Jul — −21.2%, his first leg almost to the dollar. The second leg, $50K, never arrived; price turned there and is back to $83,145 (+11.8% above him). Right on the break, right on the target, wrong that it kept going.
𝕏 PostGareth Soloway on X — “toward $60K, then $50K”↗ x.com“This one is actually looking the most bullish”
His most bullish chart of the four, held from an average entry near $82, with half the position to come off near $100, more at $105, best case $118. Said at $91.62 — and Solana went the wrong way first, −32.1% to $62.18 by 7 Jun, well under his own entry. The targets did land, just late: $100 on 27 Aug, $105 on 28 Aug, and his best case $118 on 22 Sep, six months after he said it. Solana peaked at $122.08 on 26 Sep (+33.2%) and is $117.82 now (+28.6%). Every target printed, but only after a drop well below his own entry. It played out, with badly wrong timing.
SourceWhat’s Next For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“At some point the bigger pattern is going to take over”
He restated the $80,000–$85,000 target and named $68,000 as the line that kept it alive, while warning the macro breakdown wins eventually. Both halves half-landed. Said at $70,987, his $68,000 support broke four days later ($66,330 on 28 Mar), which on his own terms killed the setup — yet Bitcoin still reached $82,018 on 11 May, +15.5%. The bigger pattern then took over: price fell to $58,566 on 1 Jul, −17.5%. The top of his zone finally printed six months on, $86,597 on 22 Sep (+22.0%), and BTC is $83,145 today, +17.1%. The whole target was hit, but his invalidation was hit first, so this stays ambiguous.
SourceWhat’s Next For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“If we can get a daily close above $2,150 and then confirm, look out above… The target would be $2,600.”
Said at $2,107, and his trigger fired the next day — Ethereum closed above $2,150 on 16 Mar. “Look out above” then half-worked: ETH ran to $2,421 on 18 Apr (+14.9%), rolled over, and gave it all back to $1,566 on 26 Jun (−25.7%). His $2,600 target finally printed on 19 Sep ($2,612), six months on, and ETH peaked at $2,775 on 22 Sep (+31.7%). It is $2,666 today, +26.5%. Target hit, but only after a round trip through a −25.7% drawdown.
SourceNext Bull Targets For Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.org“We had our high pivot, retraced to support, and now we’re testing the next level. Once we break through $74,000, the upside move takes you to $80,000 to $85,000.”
Said at $71,149. The $74,000 trigger broke two days later, on 17 Mar, and the lower half of his zone printed: Bitcoin reached $80,914 on 6 May and $82,018 on 11 May, +15.3%. The top of his zone took far longer: $85,000 did not print until 22 Sep, when BTC hit $86,597, +21.7%. It is +16.9% at $83,145 today. The route was not straight — BTC first fell to $65,947 (−7.3%) on 30 Mar, and later to $58,566. He also called himself “a short-term bull… days to weeks”; $80k took seven weeks and $85k six months.
SourceNext Bull Targets For Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP — Gareth Soloway (CoinPedia)↗ coinpedia.orgOutcomes are our read of his stated call against real price, not his own scoring. Every quote was re-fetched from its source before publishing (X posts via the syndication endpoint, articles by direct fetch, video titles via YouTube's own oEmbed API). Near-term marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
솔로웨이는 토큰이 아니라 리서치를 판다 — 상품은 그의 레벨에 대한 구독이다. 코인 띄우기라는 이해충돌은 사라지지만 더 미묘한 것이 그 자리를 대신한다. 유료 알림 서비스는 실적으로 팔리므로, 공개된 전망은 유료 전망의 광고 역할도 겸한다.
핵심 사업: 주식·암호화폐·원자재 스윙 매매 알림, 실시간 데이트레이딩 룸, 강의, 장기 투자 프로그램. 그는 이 회사의 사장이자 수석 시장 전략가입니다.
Verified Investing은 2007년 이후 연 300건 넘는 알림에서 성공률 80% 이상을 광고합니다. 그의 회사가 그의 회사 사이트에서 하는 주장으로 — 감사받지 않았고, 공개 데이터로 재현할 수 없으며, 이 페이지의 어떤 내용도 그것에 근거하지 않습니다.
금융 채널(The David Lin Report, Kitco 등)의 정기 인터뷰와 매일 올라오는 유튜브 피드. 무료 분석은 진짜 분석이지만, 동시에 구독 깔때기의 입구이기도 합니다. 가장 핵심적인 레벨은 전부 공개되기보다 살짝 비치는 정도라고 보는 편이 맞습니다.
“I am not a midterm bull on Bitcoin. I am a short-term bull. Short term means days to weeks.”
15 Mar 2026 · 그의 모든 전망을 설명하는 분리“At some point the bigger pattern is going to take over.”
24 Mar 2026 · 롱일 때조차 놓지 않는 약세 시나리오“Bitcoin on the verge of an epic breakout… A break of this trendline sends it to 15%+ imo.”
05 Aug 2026 · the trend-line read that paid 35.2%인용은 본인의 공개 출처에서 가져온 것이며, 표명된 견해일 뿐 권유가 아닙니다.
솔로웨이는 비트코인과 함께 금·은·원유·S&P를 다루는 차트 해설을 거의 매일 올린다. 최근 대표 영상:
Has Bitcoin Bottomed? The Cycle Data Says Maybe (Plus ETH, HYPE, ZEC)9월 7일의 「아직 확인되지 않았다」 해석 뒤에 있는 사이클 길이 논거.08 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Bear Flags As Gold Hammers Into Support - Deep Dive Into The Charts모든 횡보 구간에 적용하는 베어 플래그 틀.03 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Surges To $80K: New Bull Market Or Trap?숏으로 돌아선 사흘 뒤 공개 — 함정 시나리오 쪽.26 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Surged, Then I Flipped Short먹히지 않은 숏; 이 페이지에 차트로 정리되어 있다.23 Aug 2026미국의 기술적 분석가이자 전업 트레이더로, 2007년 InTheMoneyStocks라는 이름으로 공동 창업한 리서치·매매 알림 회사 Verified Investing의 수석 시장 전략가 겸 사장입니다. 암호화폐와 함께 주식·금속·에너지도 매매하고 차트를 분석하며, 금융 매체 인터뷰에 자주 출연합니다.
공개적으로 확인된 바 없습니다. 수입은 Verified Investing 구독, 강의, 본인의 매매에서 나옵니다. 어디서 보든 구체적인 금액은 무시하세요 — 확인된 수치는 하나도 없습니다.
Mixed, and unusually checkable because he gives levels. Across the ten dated calls charted here, five played out, two are still open or ambiguous and three went against him. His best was the 5 August breakout call (+35.2% at the peak); his worst was flipping short into that same breakout on 23 August. He also called for Bitcoin to fall 38% to $50,000 on 3 May 2026 — it bottomed at $58,566.
Classical price-action technical analysis: horizontal support and resistance, trend lines drawn off prior highs, parallel channels, and reversal/inside-bar candle structure, with a named trigger, target and invalidation on each trade. He swing-trades in and out, scaling out in halves, and until 21 September 2026 held a standing view that this crypto bear market would end with a flush below $50,000 — when Bitcoin printed a higher high above its prior swing high, he declared the bear market over and set a $175,000 cycle target.
솔로웨이는 이야기가 아니라 레벨을 거래한다. 트리거 하나, 목표 하나, 무효화 하나, 그리고 절반씩 청산. 당신의 직감은 얼마나 가까운가 — Trader Passport로 제대로 측정해 보라.
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