@DonAlt
9년째 똑같은 방식으로 글을 올리는 익명의 기술적 트레이더. 차트 한 장, 무뚝뚝한 서너 줄, 그리고 지켜지거나 무너지거나 둘 중 하나인 레벨. 그는 유보적인 태도를 대놓고 드러내고 — 「나쁘지도, 훌륭하지도 않다」는 사실상 그의 입버릇이다 — 손을 놓고 있을 때는 그렇다고 말한다. 그래서 그의 기록은 유난히 검증하기 쉽다.
간단히 말해. DonAlt (@DonAlt, formerly @CryptoDonAlt) is one of crypto's longest-running chart traders — on X since 2017, ~794K followers, and co-host of the weekly TechnicalRoundup show with CryptoCred. His method is deliberately narrow: horizontal support and resistance, weekly and monthly closes, and an explicit invalidation level on every idea. He trades majors (BTC, ETH) and is openly dismissive of most altcoins. The style's strength and weakness are the same thing — he will sit out for months waiting for a level, which saves him from bad entries and also costs him rallies. Both happened in 2026: his February patience kept him out of a rally of more than 30%, and his late-July and August posts caught the bottom almost exactly — after which he stayed long all the way to the September high.
DonAlt는 2017년 6월부터 오리 아바타로 차트를 올려왔고, 실명도 펀드도 수익률 표도 공개한 적이 없다. 대신 그에게 있는 것은 약 39,600개의 공개 게시물과 주간 방송 TechnicalRoundup(YouTube 구독자 18.5만, CryptoCred와 공동 진행, 매주 금요일 새 에피소드)이며, 거기서 같은 차트를 생방송으로 놓고 다툰다. 크립토 언론은 대개 2024–25년의 XRP 콜 — 약 $0.50에서 $3.66까지의 랠리 — 과 2021년 11월 고점 부근의 경고로 그를 소개한다. 둘 다 사실이지만 이 페이지의 가격 구간 밖에 있어 여기서는 점수에 넣지 않는다.
The posture that shows up in the record below is patience to the point of stubbornness. He states an invalidation level and a trigger, then does nothing until one of them prints. In February 2026 he wrote that he was waiting for either “a deeper discount ($42k)” or “a market structure shift (above $86k)” — the lower one never arrived, the upper one only on 22 September, at the top of the rally, and Bitcoin is +28.4% above where our price window now starts (9 March). In May he described himself as “preemptively bullish” eight days before the top of the spring rally, and BTC then fell 25.6%. He is also honest about the drag of that stance: on 5 June, near the lows, he wrote “Sentiment couldn't be worse, everyone is dying” and “Usually these are the times in which I'd get ready to buy a lot” — and then explained why he wasn't going to. BTC was $63,811 that day; it bottomed 26 days later and is +32.9% higher now.
The other half of the record is the half that worked. On 1 June he named the dip target and its limit in one sentence and the low came in 2.4% through it. On 29 July he turned constructive within 1.7% of the lowest close that followed. On 10 August he said Bitcoin would “teleport” past resistance; eleven days later it had. On 22 September, with BTC at what is still the highest close of the window, he wrote that it was “finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH” — and that he was not taking profits. He is a level trader, not a forecaster — when the level is specific, he is good; when he is expressing a bias, he is no better than anyone else.
Sources: x.com/DonAlt · youtube.com/@TechnicalRoundup · dated press (Benzinga, U.Today)
순수한 수평 기술적 분석, 메이저만. 높은 타임프레임의 지지와 저항, 확인 수단으로서의 주봉·월봉 종가, 그리고 모든 아이디어에 붙는 명시적 무효화 — 레벨 X 위면 괜찮아 보이고 레벨 Y 아래면 그는 나간다. 그는 목표가를 예측으로 쓰지 않고 레벨을 트리거로 쓴다. 그래서 오랫동안 포지션 없이 지낸다. 공개하는 아이디어에서는 현물로 매매하며 그 사실을 밝히고, 알트코인과 횡보장에서의 레버리지에 대해 신랄하며, 차트에 억지로 논리를 붙이느니 읽을 수 없다고 인정하는 쪽을 택한다. 대가는 기회비용이다. 끝내 트리거되지 않는 레벨은 곧 그가 타지 못한 상승을 뜻한다.
Openly bullish since August — long ETH, and declining to take profits on BTC at what he calls its last serious resistance — but still conditional on levels: he flips from “not bad, not great” to buying only when a close confirms, and he names the line that would make him wrong.
Fourteen dated calls from the last seven months, charted against real price. Thirteen are posts from his own X account, captured verbatim (text and timestamp pulled twice from independent endpoints); one is a dated podcast quote in Benzinga. His posts are levels and conditions, not price predictions, so we grade what price actually did against the condition he named. The pattern is stark and worth reading in order: the first three months are his worst stretch — waiting for prices that did not come in time — and late July to mid-August is his best, catching the bottom within 1.7%. From the end of August on he simply stayed long, and the calls since are mostly about not selling: an ETH post that drew a $2,000 line and said “I'll assume up”, a 22 September post that named the one resistance he respected — exactly where BTC has stalled since — and a 2 October “HODL”.
“I'm not in a rush so I'm waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k)”
23 February is now older than our 210-day price window, so this chart starts on 9 March, at $66,043. His lower trigger never fired: the worst close since is $58,566 (−11.3%), nowhere near his $42,000. His upper trigger fired exactly once — BTC closed at $86,597 on 22 Sep, the highest close in the window and +31.1% above where this chart starts. Read literally, the rule kept him flat through the whole rally and would have had him buying its top; BTC is $84,793 today, +28.4%. In fairness, he did not wait that long in practice — by late July he had turned constructive far below $86,000 (see the 29 Jul call).
𝕏 Post$BTC update: waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k) — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Decent reaction to support having been hit, resistance kinda meh from here on out”
Half right, half wrong, which is roughly what he claimed. The resistance half held for almost five months — from $76,332 BTC topped at $82,018 on 11 May and did not close above that again until 22 September. The support half did not hold — it broke first, and BTC lost −23.3% to $58,566. It has since reached $86,597 (+13.4%) and sits +11.1% above the day he posted. A genuinely non-committal call that we log as open rather than pretend was a signal.
𝕏 Post$BTC — Seems kind of alright to me. Not bad, not great — @DonAlt↗ x.com“I've been preemptively bullish but I think these are the levels at which sentiment and market behavior will shift notably”
He said this at $78,677 — eight days before $82,018 on 11 May, the top of the spring rally. His $70,000 “high likelihood of death” level fired in between, and BTC fell −25.6% to $58,566. His $87,000 acceleration level has still never closed — the high is $86,597, on 22 Sep — and BTC is +7.8% today, five months on. Credit where it is owed: the downside level he wrote down is the one that fired, and it worked exactly as described. The bias attached to it did not.
𝕏 Post$BTC — 78k$+ cautiously bullish · 87k$+ bullish acceleration · 70k$- high likelihood of death — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Could see us dip back into $60k support due to Saylor having found the sell button panic but would be surprised by more than that”
The best-specified call here, because it names the target and the limit in one sentence. From $73,599, BTC did dip into that zone — the low was $58,566 on 1 Jul, just 2.4% through the level he named — and it did not keep going. It has since run to $86,597 (+17.7%) and sits +15.2% above the day he posted.
𝕏 Post$BTC update: could dip back into $60k support, would be surprised by more than that — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Above the red line we actually look quite good”
Posted at $63,882, which turned out to be 1.7% above the lowest close that followed ($62,773). BTC then ran +35.6% to $86,597 and is +32.7% now. One stated limitation: “the red line” is a level drawn on his chart image, not a number in the text, so we grade the direction he flagged — constructive, willing to add — and not a numeric target.
𝕏 Post$BTC — Above the red line we actually look quite good — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one”
It did. From $64,856 BTC dipped 3.1%, then broke out — to $86,597 by 22 Sep, +33.5% — and is +30.7% now. This post is where Benzinga's 24 Aug “Bitcoin Could ‘Teleport’ to $90,000” headline came from, so to be exact: $90,000 has not printed. The highest close since is $86,597 and BTC is $84,793 today.
𝕏 Post$BTC — This looks like it wants to explode — @DonAlt↗ x.com“middle of nowhere”
On a 12 Aug podcast he called Solana's chart the “middle of nowhere” — no clean invalidation, so no trade — and said he preferred Ethereum “not even close” when choosing between ETH, XRP and SOL, expecting ETH to outperform Solana longer term. He also said a SOL trade only becomes attractive on a reclaim of roughly $100, opening a move toward $120. SOL was $76: it reclaimed $100 on 27 Aug and closed above $120 on 26 Sep — a high of $122 (+60.2%) — and sits at $120, +57.9%. ETH over the same 53 days is +43.2%. So the SOL trade he described played out to the letter, and the relative call he actually made — ETH over SOL — is behind. Open, because he framed it long-term.
SourceBitcoin, Ethereum Will Outperform XRP, Solana in the Future — Benzinga / TradingView↗ tradingview.com“Bought some and will buy some more in the coming days”
A spot buy he flagged as uncomfortable — he was buying into resistance rather than waiting for a retest, after months of waiting for a deeper entry that never came. ETH was $1,878; the lowest close since is $1,874, so the entry cost him 0.2% of drawdown, and ETH has since run to $2,775 (+47.8%) and sits at $2,693, +43.4%. He said on the same show he had hoped for $1,700 and gave up waiting — the impatience was the right call.
𝕏 Post$ETH — Bought some and will buy some more in the coming days — @DonAlt↗ x.com“My official target is 4k”
Asked where he sells, he answered in three lines: official target $4,000, unofficial $10,000, and “I'll probably sell at 3k” — which is the number that actually matters, since it is what he says he'll do. ETH was $1,874 and is $2,693, +43.7%, with a high of $2,775. Still +11.4% short of the $3,000 he plans to sell into and +48.5% short of his stated target, so this one is open.
𝕏 PostMy official target is 4k / My inoffical target is 10k / I'll probably sell at 3k — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Cleanest chart in crypto right now”
Not a target — a description of the chart, plus a claim about what it would mean: “How ETH trades is probably gonna be indicative of the rest of the market.” ETH was $2,457. It held the range for three weeks — the low since is $2,391 (−2.7%) — then broke out on 19 Sep and closed at $2,775 (+12.9%) on 22 Sep, the same day BTC made its window high. It sits at $2,693, +9.6%. The post named no direction, so we held it open until the range broke; it broke the way he was positioned (long since 13 Aug) and the rest of the market went with it, so we now score it played out.
𝕏 Post$ETH — Cleanest chart in crypto right now — @DonAlt↗ x.com“Looks like we're gonna get another leg up soon”
It came, in two steps. BTC was $77,658; four days later it closed at $81,265, then slipped to $75,590 (−2.7%) on 16 Sep before running to $86,597 on 22 Sep (+11.5%), the highest close of this window. It is $84,793 today, +9.2% above where he posted.
𝕏 Post$BTC — Looks like we're gonna get another leg up soon — @DonAlt↗ x.com“No real resistance till $4k”
Two levels and a rule: “Real good support around $2.1k”, “if $2k fails it's probably gonna be a swift move down to $1k” — and “But as long as it hasn't failed, I'll assume up.” ETH was $2,467. The $2,000 line never came close: the lowest close since is $2,391 (−3.1%), two days later. ETH then rose to $2,775 (+12.5%) and is $2,693, +9.2%. The rule has worked so far; the “no real resistance” half has not been tested — ETH would still need +48.5% from here to reach $4,000. Open.
𝕏 Post$ETH — No real resistance till $4k · Real good support around $2.1k — @DonAlt↗ x.com“BTC is finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH”
Posted at 00:33 UTC on 22 Sep, half an hour after the 00:00 UTC price our chart uses for that day — $86,597, which is still the highest close in this window. So the level he called serious is, so far, exactly where BTC stopped. What he did about it is the other half of the post: “Am I changing my positioning? No”, “Am I taking profits? No” — while conceding that bears “can at least make a compelling case” there. Since then BTC has dipped to $83,479 (−3.6%) and is $84,793, −2.1%. Open: right about the resistance so far, and positioned for it to break.
𝕏 PostBTC is finally at the only resistance I deem serious enough to prevent a new ATH — @DonAlt↗ x.com“No serious resistance left IMO”
His most recent call, and his plainest: “I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL.” Posted at 04:46 UTC on 2 Oct; the price our chart uses for that day (00:00 UTC) is $2,705. Two days on, ETH has dipped to $2,668 (−1.4%) and is $2,693, −0.5% — far too early to score. The post gives no target and no invalidation; the nearest numbers he has put on ETH are “I'll probably sell at 3k” (17 Aug) and the $2,000 line he drew on 1 Sep.
𝕏 Post$ETH — No serious resistance left IMO · I'm just gonna ignore everything and HODL — @DonAlt↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated condition against real price, not his own scoring. Every quote is verbatim and linked; nothing is paraphrased. Six calls are still open (two ETH targets, a long-term ETH-over-SOL preference, a non-committal April read, his 22 September resistance call and a 2 October HODL) and can still flip either way.
그는 시그널 그룹도, 강의도, 토큰도 팔지 않는다 — 이 데이터베이스를 통틀어 가장 얇은 수익 구조다. 존재하는 것은 거래소 제휴 링크 하나와 후원을 받는 방송 하나이며, 둘 다 알아둘 가치가 있다.
그의 X 소개란에는 Kraken 추천 초대 링크가 있다(2026년 8월 30일 확인). 추천 링크는 가입당·거래량당 수수료를 지급하므로 청중이 계속 거래하게 만들 유인이 된다 — 주로 거래하지 않는 것에 관한 스타일과 함께 저울질할 만하다.
WOO X는 2023년 5월 TechnicalRoundup 후원과 함께 DonAlt·CryptoCred에 대한 「product ambassadorships」를 발표했다. 상업적 조건은 공개되지 않았고, 2026년에도 유효한지는 확인하지 못했다 — 발표는 3년 전 것이고 그의 소개란은 지금 Kraken을 가리킨다.
우리가 확인한 모든 페이지에 유료 시그널 그룹도, 구독도, 강의도, 토큰도 없다. 그는 무료로 공개하고 자기 포지션을 매매한다 — 본인 말로는 위 아이디어들에서 현물이다.
ETH를 $1,878에 샀다고 말할 때, 그는 실제로 들고 있는 포지션을 말하는 것이다. 그 반대보다는 정직하지만 — 여전히 편향이다. 그는 자신이 설명하는 대상에 롱이다.
“Tiny push and this garbage resistance finally goes and we teleport to the next one”
10 Aug 2026 · 돌파 11일 전“I'm not in a rush so I'm waiting for a deeper discount ($42k) or a market structure shift (above $86k)”
23 Feb 2026 · the patience that kept him out of the rally“Could see us dip back into $60k support due to Saylor having found the sell button panic but would be surprised by more than that”
01 Jun 2026 · 한 문장에 담은 하락과 그 한계인용문은 그의 공개 출처에서 가져온 것입니다. 표명된 견해이며 투자 권유가 아닙니다.
TechnicalRoundup은 CryptoCred와 함께하는 그의 주간 방송이다 — 시장과 레벨, 매주 금요일 새 에피소드. 아래 업로드 날짜는 채널 자체 피드에서 가져왔다. (같은 TechnicalRoundup 이름을 달고 있는 예전 「Technical Analysis Series」 강의 영상은 그가 아니라 CryptoCred의 작업이므로 여기 넣지 않았다.)
Bitcoin Teleported. What Do You Do Now?8월 10일 「teleport」 발언이 현실이 된 뒤의 방송 버전.21 Aug 2026
DonAlt Bought ETH (and Thinks It Can Go Back to $4K)$1,878 ETH 매수와 $4,000 목표가 제시된 회차.15 Aug 2026
The First BTC Pullback Hasn't Broken Anything8월 돌파 이후 첫 실질적 조정에 대한 그의 해석.28 Aug 2026
A Decade of Trading Mistakes in One Episode본인의 10년치 실수를 한 회에 정리 — 보기 드물게 유용하다.08 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Finally Closed the Month at Support (Now the Clock Is Ticking)$58,566 저점 나흘 뒤, 월봉 종가를 하나씩 뜯어본다.05 Jul 2026익명의 크립토 기술적 트레이더로, 2017년 6월부터 X에서 @CryptoDonAlt로, 지금은 @DonAlt로 활동하며 팔로워는 약 794,000명이다. CryptoCred와 함께 주간 방송 TechnicalRoundup을 진행한다(YouTube 구독자 18.5만). 실명, 국적, 펀드와의 관계는 한 번도 공개된 적이 없다.
그렇다 — 크립토 언론은 2024–25년 XRP가 약 $0.50에서 $3.66까지 오른 흐름을 그가 예측했다고 일관되게 전하며, 헤드라인이 지금도 그를 「Author of Legendary 700% XRP Prediction」으로 소개하는 이유다. 다만 이 페이지가 차트로 다루는 가격 구간 밖이라 여기서는 점수에 넣지 않는다. 위 기록의 모든 항목은 최근 7개월치다.
공개된 바 없고 추정도 불가능하다. 그는 익명이고 포트폴리오를 공개하지 않으며 상품도 팔지 않고 규모를 밝힌 적도 없다. 어디선가 본 구체적 숫자는 지어낸 것으로 보면 된다.
He is a pseudonymous commentator, not a licensed adviser. His 2026 record is genuinely mixed: two calls went against him — including describing himself as bullish eight days before the May top — and six played out, including catching the July–August bottom within 1.7%. He states an invalidation level on almost every idea, which makes him easy to check. Never trade someone else's levels blindly.
높은 타임프레임의 수평 지지·저항을 주봉과 월봉 종가로 확인하고, 모든 아이디어에 명시적 무효화를 붙인다. 그는 메이저 — 주로 비트코인과 이더리움 — 를 매매하며, 공개하는 포지션은 레버리지가 아닌 현물이고, 알트코인에 냉담하며, 레벨이 발동할 때까지 몇 달씩 포지션 없이 지낸다.
DonAlt는 레벨을 기다리고, 그것이 나올 때까지 아무것도 하지 않는다 — 그 대가로 상승을 놓치더라도. 당신의 감각은 얼마나 가까울까? Trader Passport로 실제로 재보자.
이제 당신의 방식을 실전에 옮겨보자. 실제 상금이 걸린 무료 BuyCrypt 토너먼트에서 자본을 걸지 않고 라이브 시장 데이터로 당신의 엣지를 시험해보라.
