@crypto_birb
X에서 약 712K 팔로워를 보유한 폴란드의 기술적 분석가로, 네 해 주기의 사이클, 200일 추세, 그리고 달력을 기준으로 Bitcoin을 트레이딩합니다. 2025년 7월 그는 2026년 약세장을 앞두고 크립토에서 빠져나간다고 말했고, 2026년 8월에는 “약세장은 끝났다”고 썼습니다. 이 페이지는 그 이후 그가 제시한 레벨을 검증합니다.
간단히 말해. Crypto Birb is Adrian Zduńczyk, a chartered market technician (CMT) from Poland and the founder of The Birb Nest. His posts on X (about 712K followers) mix Bitcoin chart levels with cycle and seasonality statistics. On this page: seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 August to 12 October 2026. One played out — “the bear market is over” — and six are still open, including his 30 September call that Bitcoin can reach $100k–$122k before 2026 ends. None has gone against him yet, but all seven are recent, so the sample is short.
mpost.io 프로필에 따르면 “Crypto Birb”라는 핸들과 브랜드는 Adrian Zduńczyk가 만들었으며, 프로필은 그를 시장 분석가이자 The Birb Nest의 창립자 겸 CEO로 소개합니다. X 계정(@crypto_birb, 표시 이름 “₿IRB”)은 2017년 8월에 개설되었고 게시물이 123,000건이 넘습니다.
2025년 7월 9일 그는 크립토에서 빠져나가고 있다고 공개적으로 설명했습니다. “사이클 고점은 항상 미국 대선 다음 해에 나왔다”, “2026년은 중간선거의 해다”, 그리고 “내 의견: 고점은 7월 또는 10월 말/11월 초.” 그는 “Q4 2026 또는 2027년 초에 크립토 재진입을 검토하겠다”고 말했습니다. 이 게시물은 이 페이지의 가격 기간 밖이라 차트에 표시하지 않았지만, 큰 윤곽은 맞았습니다. Bitcoin은 2025년 10월에 고점을 찍었고, 저희 데이터에서는 2026년 7월 1일 $58,566에서 바닥을 찍었습니다.
그의 방법은 고전적인 기술적 분석 — 패턴 목표가, 지지와 저항, 200일 추세와 골든 크로스 — 에 계절성 표를 결합한 것입니다(“중간선거 해의 9월은 한 번도 양봉으로 마감한 적이 없다. 오늘까지는.”). 많은 게시물이 팔로워에게 던지는 질문과 “전혀 모르겠다”는 분명한 말로 끝나기 때문에, 이 페이지의 여러 콜은 단일 목표가 아니라 시나리오입니다.
Sources: x.com/crypto_birb (profile and posts, via api.fxtwitter.com); youtube.com/@TheBirbNest; mpost.io profile
사이클·계절성 기술적 분석가. 그는 지지와 저항을 짚고, 패턴 목표가를 측정하며(“패턴 바닥의 크기를 재서 저항선에 더하는 것”), 큰 그림은 반감기 사이클과 달력 통계에 기댑니다. 이 표본에서 그의 강점은 지지 구간입니다. 가격이 그 구간을 시험한 뒤 반등했습니다. 스코어카드 관점의 약점은 많은 게시물이 두 가지 결과를 동시에 제시해 명확히 맞거나 틀렸다고 판단할 수 없다는 점입니다.
Bullish. On 28 Sep he posted “Dear bears, your days are counted.” On 30 Sep he wrote that the “Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year” and that the best quarter on record for Bitcoin “is about to start”. On 9 Oct, with BTC down from $87K to $81K, he wrote: “The bull market isn't up for debate.”
Seven dated Bitcoin calls from his own posts on X, charted against real CoinGecko price. Each quote is copied from the post as published and was re-fetched live. All seven are from late August to mid-October 2026: his earlier 2026 posts are not reachable through our tools, and we found no dated press coverage of his calls inside the window, so this is a short, recent sample.
“Rising 200-day trends support @ $72k-$75k. 4. Key 1D support held @ $82k Conclusion: Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.”
BTC was $83,691. He read the pullback as a pause in a bull market, with $82k as the daily support that had held and the rising 200-day averages at $72k–$75k below it. Since then BTC has closed under $82k four times, but by less than 1%: the lowest close was $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.3%). The $72k–$75k zone has not been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Big bull catching a breath after first sprint.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A typical October would take us to $98,700. That's right. It's fair to expect near $100k prices soon. Will we get there in 30 days? No clue, but Q4 is crazy. Average Q4 gains +19.17% in midterms and +45.26% overall. We can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends.”
BTC was $83,640, so a typical October meant about +18.0%. He said he had “no clue” whether it would take 30 days. October has gone the other way so far: the highest close was $86,490 (+3.4%) on 5 Oct, the lowest $81,408 (−2.7%). It is $81,764 now (−2.2%), and would need +22.3% to reach $100k. The $100k–$122k range has until 31 December. Still open.
𝕏 Post“A typical October would take us to $98,700.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“1. Upward breakout aiming at $88k. Or 2. Downward breakout targetting $70k.”
BTC was $78,173. He gave both outcomes and said “No idea” which one. It dipped to $75,590 (−3.3%) the next day, then broke upward to $86,597 (+10.8%) on 22 Sep — 1.6% short of $88k. $70k was never reached. It is $81,764 now (+4.6%). Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's range can resolve in one of two ways.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k. If short-term bulls lose this area (daily close below), $70,000 becomes the key magnet.”
BTC was $79,093. It fell into his zone and closed at $75,590 (−4.4%) on 16 Sep — $110 under the bottom of it — then was back inside at $76,147 the next day. The $70,000 magnet never pulled: BTC ran to $86,597 (+9.5%) on 22 Sep and is $81,764 now (+3.4%). The zone worked as support, but by our closes his own trigger tripped once. Still open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin support area is 75.7k-77.9k.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“$70,000 is main support moving forward. $100,000 is main resistance.”
BTC was $77,297. Since then it has stayed inside his range: the lowest close was $75,590 (−2.2%) and the highest $86,597 (+12.0%). It is $81,764 now (+5.8%). Neither level has been tested. Still open.
𝕏 Post“$70,000 is main support moving forward.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A realistic expectation is 2.5x from market bottom. Baseline can aim at $144,500. An aggressive target would be $231,200 (4x)”
A target for the April 2028 halving, not for this year. BTC was $78,225; it is $81,764 now (+4.5%) and would need to rise another 77% to reach $144,500. He said he expects it to land between the two figures, “closer to the first one”. Still open until 2028.
𝕏 Post“Baseline can aim at $144,500.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com“A trend and not a correction. From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
BTC was $77,712, up 23% in nine days from $62,984 on 15 Aug. He called it a trend, not a relief bounce. It never gave the move back: the lowest close since was $75,590 (−2.7%), and BTC rose to $86,597 (+11.4%) on 22 Sep. It is $81,764 now (+5.2%). Played out so far — an eight-week read on a cycle call.
𝕏 Post“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.” — @crypto_birb on X↗ x.com결과는 각 게시물의 내용에 대한 저희의 해석이며, CoinGecko 실제 일일 종가로 측정했습니다 — 그 자신의 채점이 아닙니다. 레벨은 일일 종가 기준으로 확인하므로, 장중에는 제시된 수치보다 더 멀리 움직였을 수 있습니다. “진행 중”은 콜이 제시한 레벨이나 기한에 아직 도달하지도, 이탈하지도 않았다는 뜻입니다.
His X bio reads “Millionaire Speedrun” and links a futures trading competition on the Bitbase exchange with the referral code SPEEDRUN. On 22 Sep he wrote that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts promotions for OKX products (OKX Shield on 26 Sep, OKX VIP tiers on 15 Oct). Those are incentives worth knowing about when his posts turn bullish.
A trading program he promotes on X and on The Birb Nest YouTube channel (“Millionaire Speedrun - A Structured Path to Profitable Trading”). The bio link is a Bitbase futures competition with a referral code. On 22 Sep he wrote that entry is free with “our special @Bitbase_Ex code (we get a cut of their fees)”.
분석, 교육, 컨설팅을 위한 그의 브랜드로, YouTube 채널과 웹사이트가 있습니다. 예전 업로드에는 거래소와 프로젝트의 협찬 소개가 포함되어 있습니다.
In July 2025 he wrote that he was rotating out of crypto into “cash, real estate, gold, hedge funds, luxury” and planned to re-enter in Q4 2026 or early 2027. On 5 Oct 2026 he wrote that he had “moved on to buy bitcoin bags for long term. Not touching it till Q2 2029.” He gave no size.
“From a technical standpoint, the bear market is over.”
24 Aug 2026 · BTC는 상승분을 반납하지 않고 11.4% 올랐다“My opinion: top in July or late October/early November.”
9 Jul 2025 · Bitcoin은 2025년 10월에 고점을 찍었다“Bear bottom came in a few weeks early this year”
30 Sep 2026 · 2026년 약세장에 대한 그의 해석인용문은 그의 공개 자료에서 옮겨 적은 것이며, 그가 밝힌 견해일 뿐 추천이 아닙니다.
여기에 연결할 최근 시장 영상은 없습니다. 이 기간 The Birb Nest YouTube 채널의 업로드는 Millionaire Speedrun 프로그램을 홍보하며, 차트로 표시된 모든 콜은 X의 그의 게시물로 연결됩니다.
폴란드의 공인 시장 기술분석가(CMT)이자 The Birb Nest의 창립자인 Adrian Zduńczyk로, 2017년 8월부터 X에서 @crypto_birb라는 이름으로 약 712K 팔로워에게 게시물을 올리고 있습니다.
On 30 Sep 2026 he wrote that the bear bottom was in, that “a typical October would take us to $98,700”, and that “we can see $100k-$122k before 2026 ends”. On 3 Sep he named $70,000 as main support and $100,000 as main resistance. For the April 2028 halving he gave a baseline of $144,500 and an aggressive target of $231,200.
Of seven dated Bitcoin calls from 24 Aug to 12 Oct 2026, one played out (the bear market is over) and six are still open. None has gone against him yet, but the sample is short and recent. Outside the chart window, his July 2025 call for a 2025 top followed by a 2026 bear market matched what happened. Treat it as a documented opinion, not advice.
Through The Birb Nest brand and the Millionaire Speedrun trading program. His X bio links a Bitbase futures trading competition with the referral code SPEEDRUN, and he has written that his group gets “a cut of their fees”. He also posts OKX promotions.
Crypto Birb는 지지 구간과 달력 통계로 네 해 단위의 사이클을 트레이딩합니다. 당신의 직감은 얼마나 가까운가요 — Trader Passport로 실제로 측정해 보세요.
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