Tony Severino

@TonySeverinoCMT

≈48K mabiya a XCMT mai takardar shaida6 hasashe masu kwanan wata da aka zana a nan

Chartered Market Technician ne wanda ke karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar zagaye, Elliott Wave da Bollinger Bands, kuma tun farkon 2026 yake cewa kasuwar haɓaka ta Bitcoin ta shekara 16 ta ƙare. Mafi kyawun hasashensa a wannan lokaci na haɓaka ne: a ranar 4 ga Agusta, lokacin da Bitcoin yake $63,465, ya ce ya yi kama da “ripe for a move up to the monthly BB basis”, kuma ya tashi da 36.4%. Manyan maƙasudansa na faɗuwa — $34,000, da faɗuwar 50% kafin ƙarshen 2026 — ba su zo ba.

A taƙaice. Tony Severino yana wallafa a X a matsayin @TonySeverinoCMT ga mabiya kusan 48,000, kuma yana sayar da zurfin aikinsa a matsayin mai horo mai biya a manhajar Slice. Yana da takardar shaidar CMT kuma yana haɗa ka'idar zagayen Hurst, Elliott Wave, Bollinger Bands da tunanin jama'a. A samfurinmu na rubuce-rubuce shida kan Bitcoin da Ether daga 24 ga Maris zuwa 2 ga Oktoba, sakamakon shi ne 2 sun cika, 3 a buɗe, 1 ya saɓa. Mafi kyawun hasashe shi ne na 4 ga Agusta game da motsi zuwa tushen Bollinger Band na wata-wata. Kuskuren shi ne hasashen 2 ga Oktoba na sake taɓa $87,355 sau ɗaya. Hasashe uku da ke buɗe duk na faɗuwa ne kuma manya: ƙolin zagaye na shekara 16, $34,000, da faɗuwar 50% kafin ƙarshen 2026.

Bayanan baya — abin da aka rubuta, da abin da ba a rubuta ba

Tony Severino yana sa hannu a rubuce-rubucensa da “Tony Severino, CMT”: yana da takardar shaidar Chartered Market Technician, kuma a wani rubutu na 24 ga Agusta ya rubuta cewa ya “passed CMT program” kuma ya fara shirin CEWA (Elliott Wave). Asusunsa na X, @TonySeverinoCMT, ya fara daga Yuni 2019 kuma yana da mabiya kusan 48,000; tsofaffin labarai suna ambaton tsohon sunansa, @tonythebullBTC. Shafin marubuci na PrimeXBT ya kira shi mai ciniki, mai nazarin fasaha kuma mai samar da abun ciki, kuma wanda ya kafa CoinChartist.io. A Janairu 2026 Crowdfund Insider ya gabatar da shi a matsayin “YouHodler market analyst”. Shi ɗan kwamiti ne na yau da kullum a X Spaces na “Market Talk” na Wolf Bitcoin.

Babban ra'ayinsa shi ne Bitcoin ya kai ƙoli a Oktoba 2025 kuma kasuwar faɗuwa ta dogon lokaci — wadda ke ɗaukar shekaru, ba watanni ba — ta fara. A wani X Space na Fabrairu, wanda Bitcoinist ya ruwaito a ranar 21 ga Fabrairu, ya ba da hasashensa na ƙasa na “official”: kusan $34,000, faɗuwar 72%, wajen Oktoba 2026. Ya maimaita wannan lamba a ranar 3 ga Afrilu kuma, a matsayin “my $34,500 target”, a ranar 16 ga Satumba. NewsBTC ya rubuta a ranar 26 ga Maris cewa ya yi hasashen kasuwar faɗuwa za ta iya kaiwa har tsakiyar 2027.

Wannan shafi yana tantance hasashensa kan Bitcoin da Ether kawai. Binciken X bai dawo da komai ga wannan asusu ba, don haka jerin karatun shi ne ciyarwar bayaninsa, wadda ta koma har zuwa 31 ga Yuli (kusan rubuce-rubucensa na kansa 720), tare da labaran Maris da Afrilu waɗanda suka saka rubuce-rubucensa na X. Hakan ya bar Mayu zuwa Yuli da ƙarancin bayani, kuma mun faɗi haka. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa game da hannun jari, mai, dala, ilimin taurari da kiɗa ne, waɗanda ba ma tantancewa. A ranar 13 ga Agusta ya shimfiɗa hanyar Bollinger Band ɗin dalla-dalla: tashi zuwa tushen wata-wata da farko, sannan ƙasan kasuwar faɗuwa da “mid-November cyclical trough”. Rabi na biyu na wannan hanya har yanzu a buɗe yake.

Sources: x.com/TonySeverinoCMT (captured via api.fxtwitter.com and X syndication) · Cointelegraph · NewsBTC · Bitcoinist · coinchartist.substack.com · Crowdfund Insider · PrimeXBT

Salon ciniki & falsafa

Zagaye da farko, sannan jadawali. Severino yana auna lokacin Bitcoin da ka'idar zagayen Hurst (zagayen shekara 4-, 8- da 16-, waɗanda yanzu yake auna su a matsayin kwanaki 1,440), yana ƙirga raƙuman Elliott, kuma yana amfani da Bollinger Bands da TD Sequential don lokaci. Tunanin jama'a shi ne mai yanke hukunci: yana ɗaukar ƙarfin gwiwar haɓaka a matsayin dalilin tsammanin faɗuwa. Ƙarfinsa ya bayyana a Agusta, lokacin da matsewar Bollinger Band ta nuna girman tashin. Raunin shi ne manyan hasashensa suna kaiwa shekaru gaba kuma ba a gwada su ba, kuma bin diddigin gajeren lokaci da ya yi a Oktoba ya gaza da 1.0% sannan ya juya.

Tarihin hasashe — kiraye-kirayensa, a jadawali

Rubuce-rubuce shida masu kwanan wata daga @TonySeverinoCMT — biyar kan Bitcoin, ɗaya kan Ether — kowanne an ɗauko shi kalma-da-kalma daga X kuma an zana shi kan farashi na gaske. Jimilla ita ce 2 sun cika, 3 a buɗe, 1 ya saɓa. Hasashen 7 ga Afrilu cewa Ether bai kai ƙasa ba da hasashen 4 ga Agusta na motsi zuwa tushen Bollinger Band na wata-wata sun cika. Hasashen 2 ga Oktoba na $87,355 ya saɓa. Hasashen ƙolin zagaye na 24 ga Maris, maƙasudin $34,000 na 3 ga Afrilu da hasashen 7 ga Satumba na faɗuwar 50% kafin ƙarshen shekara har yanzu a buɗe suke.

Sakamakon fahimtarmu ne na iƙirarin da aka bayyana idan aka kwatanta da farashi na gaske, ba makin da shi kansa ya bayar ba. Kowace magana rubutun X ne kalma-da-kalma, an haɗa mahaɗinsa a katinsa kuma an sake buga shi gaba ɗaya a cikin tarin da aka tabbatar. Ba mu zana rubuce-rubuce kan hannun jari, mai, dala da altcoin ba, ko rubuce-rubuce masu ɓangarori biyu, ko ra'ayoyin dogon zango da suka wuce lokacin farashi. Farashin alamomin yau da kullum ne na CoinGecko, don haka rubutun tsakiyar rana ana auna shi daga alamar wannan ranar; yakan ambaci ƙolin tsakiyar rana, waɗanda alamomin yau da kullum ba sa nunawa. Layin “$1,000 in on their call” yana ɗauka an saya a ranar rubutun; ga katunan faɗuwa ba short ba ne. Alamomin kusa za su iya juyawa.

Yadda ake samun kuɗi a nan — da inda rikicin buƙatu yake

Rubuce-rubucensa na X kyauta ne. Ana sayar da zurfin aikinsa a matsayin horo mai biya a manhajar Slice, kuma yana tallata shi sau da yawa. Ga abin da muka samu.

Ra'ayoyi na musamman

An ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.

Dakin karatu na abun ciki

Severino yana wallafa jadawalai a X kuma yana sayar da cikakken nazarinsa a Slice. Substack ɗinsa, CoinChartist, yana da rumbun jama'a da ya koma har zuwa 2025.

Amsoshi kai tsaye

Salonka ya yi kama sosai?

Severino yana ciniki da zagaye da tunanin jama'a. Yaya kusancin ilhamarka? Auna ta da gaske da Trader Passport.

Nazari na bayani da ilimi bisa kayan da ke a bayyane ga jama'a kawai: rubuce-rubucen X masu kwanan wata da aka ɗauko daga hanyoyin jama'a na X da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Wannan ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba ce. Alƙaluma kimantawa ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Tony? Gabatar da gyara →

An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 15 October 2026