@TechDev_52
Wani manazarcin chart da macro da ba a san sunansa ba, wanda gaba ɗayan hujjarsa ita ce babu wani zagaye na shekaru huɗu na Bitcoin — akwai zagayen tattalin arziki, kuma Bitcoin na bin ruwan kuɗi na duniya bayan wasu watanni. Wannan tsarin ya karanta faɗuwar Fabrairu da ƙasan Yuni cikin ƙwarewa mai ban mamaki. Shi ma wannan tsarin ya sa ya ayyana ƙasa a Oktoba 2025 — watanni da kusan kashi 41 kafin ƙasa ta gaskiya.
A taƙaice. TechDev (@TechDev_52) yana daga cikin manazarta chart na macro da ba a san sunansu ba da aka fi bibiya a crypto: mabiya ~555,000 a X, wasiƙar labarai mai biyan kuɗi kowane mako biyu da masu biyan kuɗi sama da 38,000, da hujja guda ɗaya da yake maimaitawa — halving ba ya bayyana komai, zagayen tattalin arziki mai nauyin ruwan kuɗi shi ke bayyana komai, kuma ƙafar parabolic na zuwa ne lokacin da wannan zagayen ya ɗaga sama daga layinsa. A cikin tagar farashi ta kwanaki 210 tamu, rikodinsa na 2026 yana da kyau da gaske: ya nuna matsanancin oversold a ranar faɗuwar kashi 14 ta Fabrairu, ya ambaci bandin $1,400–$1,600 na Ethereum kwana guda kafin farashi ya isa can, kuma ya koma matsayi mai kyau kashi 3.8 sama da ƙasan ƙarshe. A gaskiya kuwa, wannan tsarin ne ya sa ya ce Bitcoin yana “at a bottom, not a top” a Oktoba 2025 kusan $100k — kafin faɗuwa zuwa $58,566. Samfurin yana zuwa da wuri, kuma zuwa da wuri shi ne kuɗinsa da yake maimaituwa.
TechDev yana wallafawa daga asusu ɗaya da ba a san mai shi ba tun Disamba 2011 kuma bai taɓa bayyana suna, fuska ko kamfani ba. Bayanin X ɗinsa kawai ya ce “Entrepreneur | #Bitcoin and crypto analysis”; filin wurin zama kuwa wasa ne da kuma ke aiki a matsayin gargaɗi — “Not financial advice”. Abin da yake sayarwa ba shaida ba ce sai samfuri: zagayen tattalin arziki mai nauyin ruwan kuɗi, wanda aka gina daga abubuwa kamar rabon jan ƙarfe da zinariya da kuma yawan kuɗi a duniya, wanda a cewarsa ya bayyana kowane zagayen crypto da inganci fiye da labarin halving.
Aikinsa ya kasu gida biyu. A X yana buga chart da gajerun jimloli masu ƙarfi ga kusan mabiya 555,000. A bayan bangon biyan kuɗi yana rubuta wasiƙar Market Update kowane mako biyu mai masu biyan kuɗi sama da 38,000, tare da taswirori, alamun TradingView, kuma tun Yuli 2026, allon “Gem Score” na altcoins. A Yuni 2025 ya fitar da fitowa ɗaya daga bayan wannan bangon tare da Unchained, ya wallafa “Bitcoin's Next Parabolic Move” a matsayin rahoto kyauta.
Ɓangaren gaskiya na tarihinsa shi ne haɗarin lokaci da ke cikin kowane samfurin zagaye. A 10 ga Oktoba 2025 ya rubuta cewa Bitcoin yana “at a bottom, not a top”; bayan mako uku shi da kansa ya sa farashin a matsayin “BTC 100k, ETH 3k”. Tagar chart ɗinmu ta buɗe a 3 ga Fabrairu 2026 lokacin da Bitcoin ya riga ya kai $78,670, kuma ya ci gaba da faɗuwa har $58,566 a 1 ga Yuli — kusan kashi 41 ƙasa da matakin da ya ambata. Wannan hasashen yana wajen tagar da za a iya zanawa kuma ba a tantance shi a ƙasa ba, amma yana cikin tarihin, kusa da hasashen 2026 da suka yi aiki.
Sources: x.com/TechDev_52 · techdev52.com newsletter · unchained.com research
Daga sama zuwa ƙasa, zagaye da farko, matakan farashi kaɗan. TechDev yana farawa daga haɗin macro — ruwan kuɗi na duniya, rabon jan ƙarfe da zinariya, matsayi a cikin zagayen tattalin arziki — sannan kawai ya tambaya me ya kamata chart ɗin Bitcoin ya yi. Kayan aikin da ke ƙarƙashinsa na dogon lokaci ne: tashoshin RSI na mako biyu, fractals na ma'aunin log, tsarin rabon ETH/BTC, da Supertrend na kwana uku da ake amfani da shi don tabbatar da sauyin yanayin kasuwa, ba a matsayin wurin shiga ba. Da ƙyar yake buga stop, girman matsayi ko ciniki; yana buga matsayi ne a cikin zagaye. Ƙarfinsa shi ne cewa ya sa ya ci gaba da kyakkyawan fata a daidai lokutan da ra'ayin kasuwa ya karye. Raunin kuma daidai yake, kuma an rubuta shi sosai a shafinsa: samfurin da mataki na gaba nasa koyaushe shi ne impulse zai iya faɗin haka na dogon lokaci — kuma ya faɗe shi a duk tsawon faɗuwar kashi 41 a ƙarshen 2025 da farkon 2026.
Mai kyakkyawan fata a tsari kuma a ci gaba. Tsarinsa yana da yanayi guda ɗaya kawai na fargaba — ba yanzu ba — kuma babu yanayin kasuwar bear ko kaɗan, don haka ka karanta shi a matsayin murya mai kyakkyawan fata koyaushe, wadda canjinta lokaci ne, ba shugabanci ba.
Maganganu takwas na jama'a masu kwanan wata a cikin tagar CoinGecko, an zana su a kan farashi na gaskiya. Shida daga cikinsu saƙonnin X ne, an ja kowanne sau biyu daga hanyoyi masu zaman kansu; biyu kuma jimloli ne daga Market Update #98, kaɗai fitowar wasiƙar labaransa ta kyauta a 2026 — duk sauran fitowar wannan shekara suna bayan bangon biyan kuɗi don haka ba a ambace su a nan ba. Karatunsa a cikin tagar yana da kyau: biyar sun cika, uku har yanzu a buɗe, babu wanda ya juya baya. Wannan sakamakon yana buƙatar gargaɗi a gefensa, ga shi nan — a 10 ga Oktoba 2025 ya kira Bitcoin “at a bottom, not a top” kuma bayan mako uku shi da kansa ya sa farashin kusan $100k; ƙasa ta zo a $58,566 a 1 ga Yuli 2026, kusan kashi 41 ƙasa. Wannan hasashen yana wajen tagar kwanaki 210 kuma ba za a iya zana shi ba, amma samfuri ɗaya ne — kuma ya yi wuri sosai.
“Parabolic phase doesn't begin until it lifts off green and approaches yellow. That comes next. Next liq cycle already started.”
Jinkiri ne, ba shugabanci ba — ƙafar parabolic ita ce ta gaba, ba ta yanzu ba. Jinkirin ya yi daidai: kasuwa ta ci gaba da kasancewa, a kalmominsa, “nice and confused” har wasu watanni shida. Alkawarin bai yi daidai ba. Daga $73,059 Bitcoin ya faɗi −19.8% zuwa $58,566 kafin ya farfaɗo zuwa +7.7% yau, bayan watanni bakwai kusan daidai yake da $78,670 inda wannan chart ɗin ya buɗe, kuma impulse ɗin da zagayen ruwan kuɗinsa zai kawo bai buga ba. A buɗe.
𝕏 Post“The part you're waiting for still lies ahead” — @TechDev_52↗ x.com“Green circles = Peak oversold bottoms Red arrows = Max potential energy at business cycle lows Interesting pairing we have here.”
An buga shi a tsakiyar faɗuwar kashi 14 a rana ɗaya — Bitcoin ya rufe rana ta 5 a $73,059 kuma ta 6 a $62,778 — yana karanta tashar RSI ta mako biyu a matsayin ƙasa mai matsanancin oversold haɗe da ƙasan zagayen tattalin arziki. Bayan haka sai −6.7% kawai ya sake sauka, idan aka kwatanta da +30.6% zuwa kololuwar Mayu da +25.3% yau. Saƙonsa mafi kyawun lokaci a cikin tagar.
𝕏 PostBitcoin's 2W RSI channel — @TechDev_52↗ x.com“Why what most call ‘the cycle’ has yet to start. Still.”
Daidai kalma da kalma — ƙafar hawa ba ta fara ba sai ƙarshen Agusta. Amma magana ce game da yaushe, ba game da abin da za a yi ba: daga $68,287, duk wanda ya riƙe bisa wannan ya jure −14.2% zuwa $58,566 kafin ya isa +15.2% na yau. Fitowar wasiƙar da ya haɗa tana bayan bangon biyan kuɗi, don haka a nan sai jimlar da ya wallafa a fili aka zana. A buɗe.
𝕏 Post“Why what most call ‘the cycle’ has yet to start. Still.” — @TechDev_52↗ x.com“Following the February playbook. $1400-$1600 Data and planning over emotion. Historic opportunity.”
Hasashen da ya fi sauƙin tabbatarwa a cikin rukunin: bandi mai suna da kwanan wata. Ethereum yana $1,769 lokacin da ya buga, ya rufe a $1,582 washegari kuma ya kai ƙasa a $1,566 a 26 ga Yuni — dukansu cikin bandinsa na $1,400–$1,600. Tun daga lokacin ETH ya tashi +42.2% zuwa kololuwa kuma yana +38.4% sama da inda ya yi hasashen.
𝕏 Post“Historic opportunity. $ETH” — @TechDev_52↗ x.com“Stop comparing this correction to past bear markets. We're still mid-cycle. A significantly extended cycle. At the first bullish inflection since 2020.”
Karatun ƙasa mai saɓani da ra'ayin jama'a da aka yi 3.8% sama da mafi ƙarancin rufewa a duk tagar ($58,566 a 1 ga Yuli). Daga $60,855 Bitcoin yana +29.3%, bayan ya kai +31.9% a kololuwa. Ko kasuwa tana “mid-cycle” da gaske da'awa ce ta shekaru masu yawa da ba ma tantancewa; lokacin gajeren zango kuwa ya yi kyau ƙwarai.
𝕏 Post“Stop comparing this correction to past bear markets” — @TechDev_52↗ x.com“From here I expect Bitcoin to surge into the low 70Ks and spend some time consolidating there, digest that move through another small consolidation, and then push into the 80Ks on the expansion that follows.”
Duka wuraren biyu sun buga. Daga $64,796 Bitcoin ya kai ƙananan 70K ($73,021 a 21 ga Agusta) kuma ya tura zuwa 80K ($80,268 a 28 ga Agusta) — +23.9% a kololuwa, +21.4% yau, kuma bai taɓa wuce −3.1% a kansa ba. Amma tsarin da ya bayyana bai faru ba: farashi ya yi ta yawo a ƙananan zuwa tsakiyar 60K har mako biyar, sannan ya cike duk tazarar cikin kwana tara ba tare da tsayawa a 70K ko kaɗan ba.
SourceMarket Update #98 — TechDev Newsletter (free issue)↗ techdev52.com“For Ethereum, $2800 to $3400 in the September to October window”
Alama mai kwanan wata daga taswirar da ya ƙi sake zanawa. Ethereum yana +31.5% tun daga lokacin — daga $1,862 zuwa $2,448 — amma hakan har yanzu 12.6% ƙasa da ƙasan bandinsa ne, alhali tagar tana rufewa a Oktoba. Tagwayen Bitcoin a cikin jimla ɗaya, “$94K to $98K in September to October”, yana buƙatar ƙarin +19% daga $78,669 a kan agogo ɗaya. Duka a buɗe.
SourceMarket Update #98 — the roadmap waypoints↗ techdev52.com“You are mid cycle. The longest cycle yet. The bull phase began last month. And crypto is now catching up.”
An buga shi a ranar farko ta ɓarkewar, a $69,291, kuma tun daga lokacin babu abin da ya juya baya: babu faɗuwa ko kaɗan, +15.8% zuwa kololuwa bayan kwana takwas, +13.5% yau. Ɓangaren “mid cycle” hujja ce ta shekaru masu yawa kuma ba a tantance ta a nan ba — ɓangaren gajeren zango ya yi daidai nan take.
𝕏 Post“The bull phase began last month” — @TechDev_52↗ x.comSakamakon shi ne yadda muka karanta ra'ayinsa da ya bayyana idan aka kwatanta da farashi na gaskiya, ba tantancewarsa ba. Farashin rufewar yau da kullum ne na CoinGecko; inda wasiƙarsa ta ambaci farashin cikin rana, ba mu maimaita shi ba. Katunan biyu suna raba tushen 19 ga Yuli saboda wannan fitowar guda tana da hasashe daban-daban na Bitcoin da Ethereum. Alamomin Satumba–Oktoba nasa ($94K–$98K a BTC, $2,800–$3,400 a ETH) har yanzu suna raye kuma za su warware cikin makonni — alamun da suke a buɗe na iya juyawa ta kowace hanya.
TechDev yana sayar da rajista ne, ba token ba — babu ƙungiyar sigina, babu launchpad, kuma babu tallar token da ake gani a shafinsa. Rikicin sha'awa ya fi tsanani a ɓoye kuma ya cancanci a kira shi da suna: samfurin zagaye mai kyakkyawan fata koyaushe shi ne kayan da ake sayarwa, kuma TechDev mai fargaba zai zama wasiƙar labarai da ta fi wahalar sayarwa.
TechDev Newsletter — Market Update kowane mako biyu da masu biyan kuɗi sama da 38,000. Tsarin Stripe a shafin rajistarsa shi ne $29 a month ko $249 a year; taswirori, allon Gem Score da chart ɗin kai tsaye suna bayan wannan bangon.
Mambobi na samun alamun TradingView na musamman da manhajar yanar gizo ta Portfolio Analyzer. Wannan kuɗi ne mai maimaituwa da ke danganta da mutane su ci gaba da imani cewa samfurin zagaye yana aiki.
A Yuni 2025 ya wallafa “Bitcoin's Next Parabolic Move” tare da Unchained, kamfanin hidimomin kuɗi na Bitcoin — rahoto ne kyauta, amma ƙarshensa mai kyakkyawan fata ya dace da bangarorin biyu. Ka auna binciken da aka ɗauki nauyinsa daidai da haka.
“Green circles = Peak oversold bottoms Red arrows = Max potential energy at business cycle lows Interesting pairing we have here.”
06 Feb 2026 · an buga shi cikin faɗuwar kashi 14 a rana ɗaya“Following the February playbook. $1400-$1600 Data and planning over emotion. Historic opportunity.”
05 Jun 2026 · farashi ya buga bandin ETH washegari“Stop comparing this correction to past bear markets. We're still mid-cycle. A significantly extended cycle. At the first bullish inflection since 2020.”
07 Jun 2026 · kashi 3.8 sama da ƙasan tagarAn ɗauko maganganun daga majiya nasa na jama'a; ra'ayoyi ne da ya bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Babu ɗakin karatun bidiyo da za a haɗa. TechDev ba shi da tashar YouTube, ba shi da podcast, kuma ba ya yin watsa shirye-shirye kai tsaye — ba a san shi ba kuma yana wallafa abu biyu kawai: gajerun saƙonni masu chart a X, da wasiƙar Market Update kowane mako biyu wadda take bayan bangon biyan kuɗi sai dai fitowar kyauta lokaci-lokaci. Saboda haka ne kowane hasashe a sama jimla ce mai lokacin rubutawa, ba wani ɗan bidiyo ba, kuma saboda haka ne kaɗai Market Update #98 — fitowar kyauta ɗaya tilo ta 2026 — aka ambata daga wasiƙar. An haɗa asusunsa na X da wasiƙar a saman wannan shafin; an ambaci dukkan tushen da aka tabbatar a bayan chart ɗin a kowane katin.
Asusun da ba a san mai shi ba wanda ba ya yin hira kuma ba ya yin shirye-shirye tare da wasu ba shi da da'irar jama'a da za a zana. Abin da ke biyowa shi ne ƙungiyar da yake ciki ta fuskar bincike — makarantar macro da ruwan kuɗi wadda ke jayayya cewa zagayen halving na shekaru huɗu tsari ne mara kyau — da kuma ƙungiya guda mai suna da ya taɓa buga aiki tare da ita. Hanyoyin fayiloli suna haɗa su yayin da bayanan ke ƙaruwa.
Mafi kusanci a tsari: ruwan kuɗi na duniya a matsayin babban canji, sauran duka na biye. Pal ya fi ƙarfin murya kuma ya fi faɗi; TechDev ya fi kunci kuma ya fi manne wa chart.
Sigar mai tsanani ta hujja guda ta ruwan-kuɗi-da-farko, kuma abin dubawa mai amfani — Alden na kai ga irin wannan ƙarshen macro amma da ƙarancin tabbaci game da lokaci.
Abokin hamayya kai tsaye a hanya: aikin Cowen na zagayen bayanai ya sha jayayya da akasin “we're still mid-cycle”. Karanta su gaba da gaba ya fi amfani fiye da karanta ɗayansu shi kaɗai.
Wani manazarci mai samfuri guda wanda tsarinsa — Stock-to-Flow — ke yin caca iri ɗaya da na TechDev: haske mai yawa idan ya yi aiki, kuma babu mafita idan bai yi ba.
Kamfanin hidimomin kuɗi na Bitcoin da ya haɗa gwiwa da shi wajen wallafa “Bitcoin's Next Parabolic Move” a Yuni 2025 — haɗin gwiwarsa guda ɗaya tilo mai suna da wata cibiya.
Manazarcin crypto da ba a san sunansa ba wanda ke wallafawa a matsayin @TechDev_52 tun Disamba 2011, mai kusan mabiya 555,000 a X da wasiƙar labarai mai biyan kuɗi kowane mako biyu da masu biyan kuɗi sama da 38,000. Bai taɓa bayyana suna, fuska ko ma'aikaci ba; bayanin X ɗinsa kawai ya ce “Entrepreneur | #Bitcoin and crypto analysis”.
Cewa zagayen halving na shekaru huɗu haɗuwa ce kawai, ba sanadi ba. Yana jayayya cewa Bitcoin na bin ruwan kuɗi na duniya da zagayen tattalin arziki bayan wasu watanni, ta amfani da haɗin da aka gina daga abubuwa kamar rabon jan ƙarfe da zinariya da yawan kuɗi, kuma cewa matakin parabolic yana farawa lokacin da wannan haɗin ya ɗaga sama daga layinsa na dogon lokaci.
Ee, kuma mai tsada. A 10 ga Oktoba 2025 ya rubuta cewa Bitcoin yana “at a bottom, not a top”, kuma bayan mako uku shi da kansa ya sa farashin a matsayin “BTC 100k, ETH 3k”. Sannan Bitcoin ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 zuwa 1 ga Yuli 2026 — kusan kashi 41 ƙasa. Hasashensa na 2026 a cikin tagarmu sun karanta ƙasan Fabrairu da Yuni sosai, amma yadda samfurin ke gazawa shi ne zuwa da wuri sannan ya ci gaba da kasancewa da wuri.
Wannan shawararka ce, ba tamu ba — mu muna tantance abin da yake faɗa a fili kawai. Shafin rajista ya lissafa $29 kowane wata ko $249 kowace shekara don Market Update kowane mako biyu, alamun TradingView da Portfolio Analyzer. Ka lura cewa duk abin da aka zana a wannan shafin ya fito daga saƙonni kyauta, kuma ka lura cewa samfuri mai kyakkyawan fata koyaushe shi ne abin da ake sayarwa.
TechDev yana janyewa nesa har hayaniya ta ɓace — ruwan kuɗi, zagayen tattalin arziki, matsayi cikin impulse. Haka kake tunani da gaske, ko kana cinikin kyandir ɗin da ke gabanka? Ka auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka yi amfani da tsarinka. Ka gwada shi kan bayanan kasuwa na gaske — ba tare da haɗarin jari ba — a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaskiya.
Bincike na bayanai da ilimi wanda ya dogara sosai kan kayan da ake samu a bainar jama'a — saƙonnin X nasa masu kwanan wata da fitowar wasiƙa ɗaya kyauta, an haɗa su a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko zuba jari ba ce. Alkaluman kusan-kusan ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you TechDev? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 31 August 2026
