
@Excellion
Muryar da ta fi ƙarfi a kasuwa kan Bitcoin dala miliyan 1 — kuma shi ne mutumin da ya sa wa “Omega candle” suna. Mow ba ya cinikin matakan farashi; yana sayar da hanya guda ɗaya marar girgiza sannan ya ƙalubalanci kasuwa ta saɓa masa. Wannan ne ya sa mai sauƙi a ba shi maki: manufofin a bayyane suke, suna da kwanan wata, kuma ko sun tabbata ko kuma ba su tabbata ba.
A taƙaice. Samson Mow shi ne Shugaban JAN3, kamfanin gine-ginen Bitcoin da ke aiki da gwamnatoci kan karɓuwa a matakin ƙasa, kuma tsohon CSO na Blockstream da COO na BTCC. Shi mai bin Bitcoin kaɗai ne mai ra'ayi guda ɗaya mai dawwama — samarwa ta fi ƙaranci fiye da yadda kasuwa ke ƙima, don haka Bitcoin zai kai dala miliyan 1 ta hanyar sake tantancewa mai gajarta da tsanani da yake kira “Omega candle.” Wannan tabbaci shi ne ƙarfinsa kuma shi ne raunin sa a lokaci guda. Samfurinmu na 2026 ya nuna hakan sarai: lokacin da kasuwa ta karye, ƙin ɗaga ido nasa ya yi daidai kwarai — ya sanar da ƙasan kwanaki uku kafin lokaci, da tazarar 2.3% kawai. Lokacin da kasuwa ta kwanta, wannan tabbaci ɗin ya haifar da hasashen lokaci na ainihi da suka yi kuskure sosai, ciki har da benen dala 80,000 da bai taɓa riƙewa ba da kuma “Omega candle na gab da zuwa” wanda faɗuwar kashi 24 ta biyo baya.
Mow ɗan kasuwa ne ɗan asalin China mai zama a Kanada wanda ya shiga Bitcoin ta hanyar wasanni da gine-gine, ba ta hanyar ciniki ba. Ya kafa ɗakin wasanni Pixelmatic a 2011 (mai haɓaka Infinite Fleet), ya yi COO na BTCC — a lokacin ɗaya daga cikin manyan musayar da tafkunan haƙa na duniya — daga baya kuma Chief Strategy Officer a Blockstream. A Maris 2022 ya bar wurin don kafa JAN3, inda ya tara dala miliyan 21 don gina kayan aikin abin da yake kira hyperbitcoinization.
JAN3's business is sovereign adoption: advising governments on holding and issuing against Bitcoin, work that grew out of his high-profile role in El Salvador's Bitcoin strategy and its Volcano Bond. That matters when reading him. He is not a chartist posting entries and stops — he is a Bitcoin-only advocate whose company profits from Bitcoin being adopted, and his public calls are almost uniformly, structurally bullish. He is also willing to put numbers on it: his published 2026 predictions included $1.33M Bitcoin and MSTR at $5,000, neither of which is remotely in play with BTC near $85k.
Sources: x.com/Excellion · jan3.com · dated press (CoinDesk, Yahoo Finance, Cointelegraph)
Tabbaci a kan daidaitawa. Tsarin Mow na bangaren samarwa ne kuma cikakke: iyakar miliyan 21, ƙasa da miliyan ɗaya na tsabar kuɗi ya rage a haƙa, kamfanonin ajiya da ƙasashe suna saya ba tare da kula da farashi ba — don haka duk farashin da ke ƙasa da kusan dala 110,000–120,000 rangwame ne, kuma sake tantancewar zai zo ba zato ba tsammani, ba a hankali ba. Ba ya amfani da stop, matakan farashi ko wurin ɓata hujja — babu farashin da zai sa ra'ayinsa ya zama kuskure, sai dai farashin da suke “rangwame mai zurfi.” Sakamakon a aikace shi ne tarihi kamar sandar nauyi: mai kyau sosai a lokacin mika wuya, inda ƙin sayarwa shi ne cinikin da ya dace kuma lokacinsa kusa da ƙasa ya yi kyau da gaske, da kuma mara ƙarfi a manufofin gajeren lokaci, inda wannan tabbaci ɗin yake haifar da hasashen makonni huɗu da farashi kawai yake yin watsi da su.
Mai tsananin kyakkyawan fata kamar yadda wannan bayanan bayanai zai iya kaiwa. Mow yana bin Bitcoin kaɗai kuma ba ya riƙe wani yanayi na faɗuwa — matsayinsa yana sauyawa tsakanin “saya” da “ƙara saya,” don haka karanta shi a matsayin mai kyakkyawan fata na dindindin wanda ƙimarsa ke cikin dalilai, ba cikin hanya ba.
Eight dated, public statements from Mow, each verified against the source before it was charted — seven are X posts captured from X's own syndication endpoint (exact text, exact timestamp), one is a quote confirmed on the page that published it. The earliest, from 27 February, now predates the price window and is charted from its first day. Because he posts direction rather than levels, we judged each one on what Bitcoin actually did next. The sample splits sharply by market regime: his two crash-period calls in June 2026 were the best-timed on this page, and his two calm-market timing calls in March and April were the worst. His headline numbers — $1.33M in 2026, posted in January, and a $1M target he has carried since 2025 — sit outside this window and are noted below rather than scored. His two newest calls — a return over $90,000 (25 Aug) and a coming “most hated rally” (1 Oct) — are still open.
“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time. Everyone had the opportunity to buy the dip but didn't because they were waiting for $40k in October.”
A jab at the four-year-cycle crowd who expected a $40k October bottom — the $40k is their number, not his. The post went up late on 1 October (21:57 UTC), so the chart marks it at that day's $83,576, but the next daily point came about two hours later at $84,842; that +1.5% is not his. Bitcoin is $84,580 today — +1.2% from the chart point, −0.3% from the next one. A direction with no level or deadline, two days old: logged open.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again!”
Posted as a quote of a Bitcoin meme from Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino — a named level with no deadline. From $78,974 Bitcoin dipped −4.3% to $75,590, ran +9.7% to $86,597 on 22 Sep and holds $84,580 (+7.1%). It has not closed a day at or above $90,000 since he posted; getting there needs another +6.4%. Direction right so far, level not yet printed: open.
𝕏 Post“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again!” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety.”
Posted as long-bond yields hit highs and Bitcoin pushed back over $71k, framing the move as a flight to safety into BTC, not a relief bounce. From $69,291 Bitcoin has never traded lower — the low since is the day itself — and it ran +25.0% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+22.1%). A clean directional read with no drawdown against it.
𝕏 Post“The market smells blood in the water…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“I find it incredibly interesting how some people are so certain that the bottom is coming in 4 months because “cycles.” But we had an ATH 37 days before the halving, so it would seem even if you believe in cycles you should reason out the cycles accelerated. The bottom is in.”
The strongest call in this dossier, made against a loud consensus that the cycle low was still four months away. He said it at $59,953; the actual low of this window printed three days later on 1 Jul at $58,566 — he was early by 2.3%. From there Bitcoin ran +44.4% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+41.1%). Verified verbatim from the post itself; CoinDesk reported it the same day.
𝕏 Post“The bottom is in.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all: neutral, permissionless, bearer money. It’s the best hope for the future and hyperbitcoinization is inevitable because continued fiat money printing is an absolute certainty.”
Posted with Bitcoin collapsing below $60k and sentiment at its worst of the year — a flat refusal to revise the thesis. It was the right call to make: from $62,662 price gave up only another −6.5% to $58,566 before turning, ran +38.2% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+35.0%). Not a price target — a hold-through-capitulation stance, and it worked.
𝕏 Post“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“Everything is up in the air now. And I think an Omega candle and $1 million Bitcoin is just around the corner, especially with all the buy pressure that is flooding the market now with Saylor through STRC and other Bitcoin treasury company players all coming in”
In the same interview he argued “anything under $120,000, $110,000 I think, is below fair market value.” What followed was the opposite of a melt-up: from $77,367 Bitcoin fell −24.3% to $58,566 first, then ran +11.9% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+9.3%). Five months on there has been no Omega candle and no $1M, price is still below the $110–120k he called fair value, and the “deep discount” got roughly a quarter cheaper before it recovered. Marked against on the timing claim, not the valuation argument.
SourceExpert Says $1 Million Bitcoin and “Omega Candle” Is Just Around the Corner — Yahoo Finance↗ finance.yahoo.com“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks. It's highly likely it will be closer to $0.1M.”
His most falsifiable call — a level and a deadline. Bitcoin was $69,849 when he posted. Over the four weeks that followed it never once traded above $74,679, and on the deadline date (8 Apr) it closed at $71,662 — comfortably below the $80k he called unlikely, and nowhere near $0.1M. It then fell to $58,566 (−16.2%). Price is +21.1% today at $84,580, but the four-week claim failed on both legs.
𝕏 Post“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks.” — @Excellion on X↗ x.com“We’re setting up for a decade-long bull run and no one is paying attention.”
A structural claim with a ten-year horizon, so this window can only take its temperature. The post now predates the price window, which starts on 8 March, so the chart anchors at $67,340 rather than his entry price. From there Bitcoin first fell −13.0% to $58,566, then ran +28.6% to $86,597 and holds $84,580 (+25.6%) — far from anything that settles a decade-long thesis. Logged open: directionally fine so far, unjudgeable on this timeframe.
𝕏 Post“We’re setting up for a decade-long bull run…” — @Excellion on X↗ x.comSakamakon karatunmu ne na ra'ayin da ya bayyana idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashin CoinGecko, ba nasa maki ba. Kowane ambato kalma-da-kalma ne daga tushen da aka haɗa. Ra'ayin Mow a bayyane yake na shekaru da dama ne, don haka alamar “ya saɓa” a nan tana nufin da'awar gajeren lokaci ta faɗi — ba hukunci ba ne kan dogon ra'ayin, wanda babu wani zane a wannan taga da zai iya warwarewa.
Mow ba ya sayar da sigina, darussa ko wasiƙun labarai — hakan ya kawar da rikicin sha'awa da ya fi yawa a wannan bayanan bayanai kuma ya maye gurbinsa da wani mafi girma, na tsari. Asusunsa na X yana ɗauke da alamar kasuwanci ta hukuma ta JAN3, kuma kuɗin shigar JAN3 ya dogara ga hanzarin karɓuwar Bitcoin. Karanta maganganunsa a matsayin muryar jama'a ta kamfanin gine-ginen Bitcoin, ba ta mai sharhi mai tsaka-tsaki ba.
JAN3 ya tara dala miliyan 21 a 2022 don sayar da gine-ginen Bitcoin da shawarwari ga kamfanoni da gwamnatoci. Farashi mafi girma da karɓuwa mai sauri suna da amfani kai tsaye ga wannan kasuwanci, kuma shi ne Shugabansa da fuskar jama'a — rikicin sha'awa mafi bayyana a wannan shafi.
An gina sunansa kan dabarun Bitcoin na El Salvador da Volcano Bond, kuma JAN3 na ci gaba da neman abokan ciniki na ƙasashe. Hasashen kyakkyawan fata kan karɓuwar ƙasashe su ne kuma gabatarwar kayansa a lokaci guda.
Ya ci gaba da zama Shugaban ɗakin wasanni Pixelmatic (Infinite Fleet) kuma yana daga cikin masu halarta da ake biya a taron Bitcoin, inda tsattsauran tabbaci shi ne ainihin abin da ake ɗaukar matakin don shi.
“The bottom is in.”
28 Jun 2026 · kwanaki uku da 2.3% kafin ainihin ƙasan“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety.”
20 Aug 2026 · karanta gudu daga lamunin dogon lokaci“It's highly unlikely that #Bitcoin will be below $80k in 4 weeks. It's highly likely it will be closer to $0.1M.”
11 Mar 2026 · kuskuren, an ajiye shi a tarihiAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Mow ba ya gudanar da tashar ciniki ta kansa — an gina tarihin da ke sama daga wallafe-wallafen X masu kwanan wata da ambaton jaridu, saboda su ne ke ɗauke da lokacin da za a iya tabbatarwa da rubutun da za a iya ambata daidai. Tarin bidiyon na kamfaninsa ne: JAN3 yana buga bidiyoyin ra'ayinsa da bayyanuwarsa.
Bitcoin is the Ninth Wonder of the WorldBabban bidiyon ra'ayin JAN3 kan ƙarancin Bitcoin.18 Aug 2026
Who Gets to Change Bitcoin? Samson Mow on BIP-110Mow kan mulkin ƙa'ida da faɗan BIP-110.28 Jul 2026
Ideally we wouldn't need a blockchain at allKan abin da blockchain yake da shi da gaske.31 Jul 2026
Bitcoin is Energy MoneyTsarin makamashi-da-ƙaranci da ke bayan manufarsa ta dala miliyan 1.19 May 2026Ɗan kasuwa ɗan asalin China mai zama a Kanada kuma mai goyon bayan Bitcoin kaɗai, Shugaban kamfanin gine-ginen Bitcoin JAN3 da ɗakin wasanni Pixelmatic. A baya ya kasance Chief Strategy Officer a Blockstream da COO na musayar BTCC, kuma an fi saninsa da aikinsa kan dabarun Bitcoin na El Salvador da manufarsa mai dawwama ta dala miliyan 1 kan kowace Bitcoin.
His long-standing target is $1 million per coin, arriving in what he calls an “Omega candle” — a single-day move of more than $100,000 — rather than a gradual climb. In January 2026 he published a specific figure of $1.33M for the year. Bitcoin is around $85,000 as of 3 October 2026, so that target is nowhere in play.
Shi mai goyon baya ne kuma Shugaban kamfani, ba mai ba da shawara mai lasisi ba, kuma ba ya riƙe wani yanayi na faɗuwa a kowane farashi. Samfurinmu na 2026 ya rabu bisa yanayi: maganganunsa na Yuni kusa da ƙasan faɗuwar sun yi kyau ƙwarai — ya sanar da ƙasan kwanaki uku da 2.3% kafin lokaci — yayin da manufarsa ta makonni huɗu a Maris da “Omega candle na gab da zuwa” na Afrilu duka suka yi kuskure sosai. Ɗauke shi a matsayin sharhi mai ƙarfin tabbaci tare da sha'awar kasuwanci a fili, kada ka taɓa ɗaukarsa a matsayin siginar ciniki.
Ta bangaren samarwa kuma cikakke: iyakar miliyan 21, ƙasa da miliyan ɗaya na tsabar kuɗi ya rage a haƙa, da masu saye marasa kula da farashi (ajiyar kamfanoni da ƙasashe) suna ɗaukar abin da ke yawo. Ya kammala cewa duk abin da ke ƙasa da kusan dala 110,000–120,000 yana ƙasa da ainihin ƙima kuma sake tantancewar zai zo ba zato ba tsammani. Ba ya amfani da stop, matakan farashi ko wuraren ɓata hujja.
Duk ƙarfin Mow yana cikin ƙin ɗaga ido — babu stop, babu ɓata hujja, hanya guda da aka riƙe har ta hanyar faɗuwar kashi 24. Yaya kusa hankalinka yake? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
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An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 3 October 2026