@TheRealPlanC
Mai gina samfura wanda ke mai da hankali kan Bitcoin kaɗai, wanda galibi yake wallafa yiwuwa, amma lokaci-lokaci yakan ɗauki alƙawari a jumla da za a iya tantancewa. A 2026 ya yi da dama, kuma tarihinsa ya rabu biyu sarai. A watan Afrilu ya bayyana cewa mafi ƙarancin farashin 2026 ya riga ya faru a $60,000, amma ba haka ba ne. Sannan a watan Agusta ya gaya wa mabiyansa cewa ƙasan kasuwa ya wuce, kuma a wannan karon kasuwa ta amince.
A taƙaice. Plan C yana gina samfuran ƙididdiga na farashin Bitcoin na dogon lokaci, musamman Bitcoin Quantile Model, kuma yana wallafa hasashen zagaye masu kwanan wata ga kusan mabiya 218,000 a X. A samfurinmu na rubuce-rubuce biyar a cikin lokacin bincike, sakamakon shi ne 2 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 2 sun saɓa. Kurakuran ne suka fara zuwa: a ranar 16 ga Afrilu ya rubuta cewa “mafi ƙarancin farashin Bitcoin na 2026 shi ne $60,000”, kuma a ranar 23 ga Mayu ya ambaci $74,500–$76,000 a matsayin tallafi. Bitcoin ya karya wannan yanki bayan kwanaki biyar kuma ya kafa mafi ƙarancinsa na 2026 a $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Wannan ƙasa da $60,000 ɗinsa ne da kashi 2.4% kawai, amma dai ƙasa ne. Nasarorin sun zo a ɗaya ƙarshen: a ranar 21 ga Agusta, a $73,021, ya taya masu riƙe da kuɗin murna waɗanda “ba su miƙa wuya ba”. Tun daga lokacin Bitcoin bai buga wani farashin yau da kullum mafi ƙasa ba, kuma ya tsallake manyan farashin Mayu da ya nuna a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Hasashensa na Afrilu na $90,000–$130,000 a ƙarshen shekara har yanzu yana buɗe, saura kwata ɗaya.
Plan C yana wallafawa da sunan @TheRealPlanC (lambar mai amfani ta X 1301215504686694400, an buɗe asusun a Satumba 2020, yana da alamar tabbatarwa shuɗi). Bayanin kansa a X kawai yana cewa “Bitcoin Quantile Framework ⎮ Math Models”. Shafin masu jawabi na BTC Prague 2026 ya bayyana shi a matsayin “Mai bincike mai zaman kansa kan bayanan Bitcoin da ke da shekaru shida na cikakken bincike” kuma wanda ya ƙirƙiri Bitcoin Refraction Model, da taken “Babu hopium, lissafi kawai.” A Oktoba 2025 ya fitar da Bitcoin Quantile Model v2, wanda yake kira “babban tsarin quantile ɗinsa”. A cewarsa, yana daidaita matakan quantile 999 da fiye da wuraren bayanai 133,000 kuma “bai damu da tsawon zagaye ba”. Wato bai ɗauka cewa dole ne Bitcoin ya bi zagayen shekaru huɗu ba.
Akwai abubuwa da dama da ba su cikin bayanan jama'a, don haka wannan shafin bai faɗe su ba. Babu sunan doka na jama'a, babu ƙasa kuma babu wurin aiki da aka bayyana. Kada a rikita shi da PlanB (@100trillionUSD), mai gina samfurin Stock-to-Flow wanda ke da shafinsa a wannan shafin yanar gizo. Mutane ne daban-daban masu samfura daban-daban. Wakilan suna a wannan shafin suna bin amfanin 'yan jarida (Bitcoin News ta rubuta “Bitcoin Quantile Model ɗinsa”); shi da kansa bai bayyana su ba.
Yawancin abin da yake wallafawa sabuntawar samfura ne, ƙuri'u da karatun quantile, kuma babu ɗaya daga cikinsu da za a iya tantancewa. Abin da za a iya tantancewa shi ne jumla mai sauƙi da yakan haɗa lokaci-lokaci: mafi ƙarancin farashi, yankin tallafi, kewayon ƙarshen shekara. Rubuce-rubuce biyar a cikin lokacin bincike sun cancanta. An duba wasu uku kuma an cire su, kuma biyu daga cikinsu da sun zama nasara. An jera kowane cirewa tare da dalilinsa a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar. Haka kuma ba a kwatanta a chart ba: daɗaɗɗiyar hujjarsa kan zagayen shekaru huɗu. Rubutunsa na 23 ga Agusta ya ba shekaru launin kore ko ja kuma ya sanya 2026 kore, 2027 kore, 2028 ja. Waɗannan hasashe ne na cikakkun shekarun kalanda, kuma babu ɗayan da za a iya warwarewa kafin 31 ga Disamba.
Sources: x.com/TheRealPlanC (captured via api.fxtwitter.com and X syndication) · btcprague.com speaker page
Yiwuwa da farko, farashi daga baya. Kayan aikinsa shi ne regression, ba siffofin chart ba. Quantile regression yana sanya farashin yau a cikin dukkan rarrabuwar tarihin Bitcoin, don haka sakamakon karatu ne kamar “kashi na 31 cikin ɗari (percentile)”, ba manufa ba. A kewaye da wannan yana ƙara shaidar tattalin arziki gabaɗaya kamar saurin sayayyar Strategy, tare da wasu muhimman yankunan tallafi da aka ɗauko daga farashin baya. Ƙarfinsa shi ne hangen nesa na dogon lokaci wanda bai dogara da zagayen shekaru huɗu ba. Raunin yana bayyana idan ya mayar da yiwuwa zuwa da'awa takamaimai: “mafi ƙarancin na 2026 shi ne $60,000” jumla ce mai tsauri fiye da kowane quantile, kuma ita ce ta kuskure.
Mai kyakkyawan fata a tsarinsa (bullish). Yana jayayya da labarin zagayen faɗuwa na shekaru huɗu kuma yana sa ran farfaɗowa a 2026 da kololuwar zagaye a 2027. A wannan samfurin bai taɓa wallafa manufar faɗuwa ba. Kurakuransa sun kasance na ayyana ƙasan kasuwa da wuri, ba na yin short ba.
Rubuce-rubuce biyar masu kwanan wata daga @TheRealPlanC, kowanne an ɗauko shi kalma da kalma daga X kuma an kwatanta shi da ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 2 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 2 sun saɓa. Idan aka karanta su a jere, labari ɗaya suke bayarwa. A lokacin bazara ya ayyana ƙasan kasuwa da wuri: mafi ƙarancin da ya ambata a Afrilu da tallafin da ya ambata a Mayu duka sun karye, kuma faɗuwar ta tsaya a $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli. A watan Agusta ya sake yin hasashen tashi iri ɗaya a karo na biyu, kusa da juyawar, kuma a wannan karon ya tsaya. Tun daga 21 ga Agusta Bitcoin bai taɓa buga farashin yau da kullum mafi ƙasa ba, kuma a ranar 22 ga Satumba ya tsallake manyan farashin Mayu da ya nuna. Kewayon ƙarshen shekara na Afrilu, $90,000–$130,000, shi ne katin da ya rage a buɗe.
“Bitcoin just needs to clear and confirm a breakout above the May 2026 highs.”
Ya ambaci abin da zai haifar da mataki na gaba. Babban farashin Mayu shi ne farashin yau da kullum na $82,018 a ranar 11 ga Mayu, kuma Bitcoin yana $78,974 lokacin da ya wallafa. Da farko ya sauka zuwa $75,590 (−4.3%) a ranar 16 ga Satumba. Sannan ya tsallake matakin a ranar 22 ga Satumba, ya kai $86,597 (+9.7%). Tun daga lokacin bai sake rufewa ƙasa da babban farashin Mayu ba kuma yana riƙe a $83,448 (+5.7%). An tsallake kuma, ya zuwa yanzu, an tabbatar. Rubutun bai ba da wata manufa bayan tsallakewar ba, don haka makin ya shafi tsallakewar ne kawai.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin just needs to clear and confirm a breakout” — @TheRealPlanC on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin: Congrats to everyone that didn't capitulate. 2027 will be a great year.”
Hasashen ƙasan kasuwa, wanda aka faɗa a matsayin taya murna. An wallafa shi a $73,021, kuma tun daga lokacin Bitcoin bai buga farashin yau da kullum mafi ƙasa ba: farashin ranar rubutun har yanzu shi ne bene. Ya tashi da +18.6% zuwa $86,597 a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yana riƙe a $83,448 (+14.3%). A wannan ranar ya ƙara da cewa kasuwar faɗuwa ta gargajiya “da ta kai ƙasa a Q4 a $35,000 zuwa $40,000”, don haka da'awar da aka tantance a nan ita ce cewa mafi ƙarancin ya riga ya faru. Rabin “2027 zai zama shekara mai kyau” ba za a iya gwada shi ba tukuna kuma ba a ba shi maki ba. Wannan shi ne hasashen da rubutunsa na Afrilu ya yi ƙoƙarin yi, wanda aka yi bayan watanni huɗu kuma kusa da ainihin juyawar.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin: Congrats to everyone that didn't capitulate.” — @TheRealPlanC on X↗ x.com“Support from April 2025, is $74,500 to $76,000.”
Yankin tallafi da aka ambata suna, an wallafa a $75,478 a cikinsa, washegarin abin da ya kira tashi “mai kyau sosai” a $74,500. Ya riƙe na kwanaki biyar. A ranar 28 ga Mayu Bitcoin ya rufe a $74,340, ƙasa da yankin, kuma ya ci gaba da faɗuwa zuwa $58,566 (−22.4%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Bai sake rufewa sama da $74,500 ba sai ranar 22 ga Agusta, a $78,318. Yanzu yana riƙe a $83,448 (+10.6%), sama da yankin kuma, amma tallafin da ya ba da kai da kashi 22% bai riƙe ba. Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin holding key support, not random.” — @TheRealPlanC on X↗ x.com“Recovery in 2026. Year-end between $90k and $130k.”
Kewayon ƙarshen shekararsa, an wallafa a $75,858. Ya kafa shi kan saurin sayayyar Strategy, wanda ya ce ya ninka na 2022 sau 60, kuma ya ƙara da “Ainihin kololuwar zagaye a 2027.” Hanyar ba ta yi sauƙi ba: Bitcoin ya faɗi da −22.8% zuwa $58,566 kafin ya farfaɗo. Ya kai $86,597 (+14.2%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yana riƙe a $83,448 (+10.0%). Rabin “farfaɗowa” yana kan hanya. Ba a kai kewayon ba tukuna: ƙasansa, $90,000, yana nesa da ƙarin +7.9% daga yau, saura kwata ɗaya. Wannan zai ci gaba da kasancewa a buɗe har zuwa 31 ga Disamba.
𝕏 Post“For anyone who thinks 2026 is preordained … to be a bear market” — @TheRealPlanC on X↗ x.com“The Bitcoin low for 2026 was $60,000.”
Da'awa kai tsaye a lokacin da ya wuce ba tare da wani sharaɗi ba, an wallafa a $74,826. Bitcoin ya fara rufewa ƙasa da $60,000 a ranar 26 ga Yuni, a $59,727. Ya buga farashin yau da kullum biyar ƙasa da layin kuma ya kafa mafi ƙarancin shekara a $58,566 (−21.7%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Kuskuren ƙanƙane ne, kashi 2.4% kawai ƙasa da lambarsa, kuma farfaɗowar da ya yi tsammani ta zo: $86,597 (+15.7%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba, da $83,448 (+11.5%) a yanzu. Amma jumlar ta ambaci mafi ƙarancin farashi kuma farashin ya sauka ƙasa da shi, don haka an ƙirga shi a kansa. An kuma wallafa shi makonni goma sha ɗaya kafin ainihin ƙasan kasuwa.
𝕏 Post“The Bitcoin low for 2026 was $60,000.” — @TheRealPlanC on X↗ x.comSakamakon fassararmu ce ta da'awar da ya bayyana idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba makin da ya ba kansa ba. Kowace magana rubutu ne na X kalma da kalma, an haɗa shi da katinsa kuma an sake buga shi gaba ɗaya a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar. Rubutu yana samun kati ne kawai idan ya yi da'awar da sauran katunan ba su riga sun gwada ba. An cire rubuce-rubuce uku a cikin lokacin bincike saboda maimaitawa ne ko kuma bayanan yiwuwa da ba za a iya warwarewa ba, kuma biyu daga cikinsu da sun zama nasara. Farashin su ne farashin yau da kullum na CoinGecko, don haka ana auna rubutun tsakiyar rana daga farashin wannan ranar, kuma wani wick da ya sauka ƙasa da wani matsayi ƙila ba zai bayyana ba. Farashin ɗan gajeren lokaci na iya juyawa yayin da zagayen ke tafiya.
Abin mamaki ga asusu mai girman haka, babu abubuwa da yawa da za a bayyana. Duk da haka yana da kyau a faɗi abin da muka bincika.
A Oktoba 2025 ya bayyana kansa a matsayin “mai bincike kan Bitcoin na cikakken lokaci ba tare da albashi ba” kuma ya roƙi magoya baya kawai su “adana, sake wallafawa, kuma su yi sharhi”. Bayanan sa a X ba su lissafa wani shafin yanar gizo ba. Ba mu sami wata wasiƙar labarai ta biya, kwas, ƙungiyar sigina ko hanyar turawa ta musayar kuɗi a rubuce-rubucensa na baya-bayan nan ba.
Yana bayyana a shirye-shiryen wasu. A ranar 9 ga Satumba ya kasance baƙo a Bitcoin Uncharted, shiri na mako-mako a tashar YouTube ta @MrMPodcast, kuma ya yi jawabi a BTC Prague 2026. Ba mu sani ba ko ana biyan sa kan waɗannan bayyanuwa. Shaharar da ake samu daga irin waɗannan shirye-shirye tana gina masu sauraro da za a iya samun kuɗi daga gare su daga baya.
A fili yake cewa shi mai riƙe da Bitcoin ne na dogon lokaci; rubuce-rubucensa suna taya waɗanda “ba su miƙa wuya ba” murna. Wanda ke riƙe da abin da yake hasashe yana da ribar kansa a cikin karatu mai kyakkyawan fata. Wannan shi ne gargaɗin gabaɗaya, kuma kowane hasashe a wannan shafin game da Bitcoin ne.
“The Bitcoin low for 2026 was $60,000.”
16 Apr 2026 · mafi ƙarancin da bai tabbata ba“Recovery in 2026. Year-end between $90k and $130k.”
21 Apr 2026 · kewayon da har yanzu yake a buɗe“Bitcoin: Congrats to everyone that didn't capitulate. 2027 will be a great year.”
21 Aug 2026 · hasashen ƙasan kasuwa da ya tsayaAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Babu ɗakin bidiyo da za a haɗa. Plan C yana wallafawa a X; ana wallafa samfuransa a can a matsayin chart, kuma ba shi da tasharsa ta kansa da muka iya tabbatarwa. Yana bayyana a matsayin baƙo a shirye-shiryen wasu, kamar Bitcoin Uncharted a @MrMPodcast. Shi ya sa kowane hasashe a sama rubutu ne mai lokaci a jiki, ba guntun bidiyo ba. Dukkan tarin bayanan, har da rubuce-rubuce uku a cikin lokacin bincike da muka duba muka cire, an ambace su a kowane kati.
Mai bincike mai zaman kansa kan bayanan Bitcoin wanda ba a san ko wane ne ba, wanda ke wallafawa da sunan @TheRealPlanC a X ga kusan mabiya 218,000. Yana gina samfuran farashi na ƙididdiga, musamman Bitcoin Quantile Model, kuma ya kasance mai jawabi a BTC Prague 2026. Ba a bayyana ainihin sunansa da ƙasarsa a fili ba. Shi ba PlanB ba ne, mai gina samfurin Stock-to-Flow.
A samfurinmu na rubuce-rubuce biyar masu kwanan wata na 2026: biyu sun tabbata, ɗaya har yanzu a buɗe, biyu sun saɓa. Da'awarsa ta Afrilu cewa mafi ƙarancin 2026 shi ne $60,000 ta kasa (mafi ƙarancin shi ne $58,566 a ranar 1 ga Yuli), haka ma tallafin $74,500–$76,000 da ya ambata a Mayu. Hasashensa na ƙasan kasuwa na 21 ga Agusta ya tsaya: tun daga lokacin Bitcoin bai buga farashin yau da kullum mafi ƙasa ba, kuma ya tsallaka sama da manyan farashin Mayu da ya nuna.
Samfurin quantile-regression na farashin Bitcoin na dogon lokaci. Yana daidaita ɗaruruwan layukan percentile da dukkan tarihin farashi kuma yana bayar da rahoton inda farashin yau yake a cikin wannan rarrabuwa. Bai damu da tsawon zagaye ba, don haka bai ɗauki zagayen shekaru huɗu ba, kuma yana ba da kewayon sakamako maimakon manufa ɗaya.
Ba mu sami haka ba. Yana bayyana kansa a matsayin mai bincike ba tare da albashi ba, bayanansa a X ba su haɗa da wani samfuri na biya ba, kuma dukkan hasashen da ke wannan shafin an wallafa su kyauta a X.
Ba a san shi a bayyane ba, kuma babu wani adadi abin dogaro. Ka yi watsi da duk wani takamaiman adadi da ka gani a haɗe da sunansa.
Plan C yana amincewa da rarrabuwa, ba kyandir ba. Yaya kusancin hankalinka? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayani da ilmantarwa wanda ya dogara kacokan kan kayan da jama'a ke iya samu: rubuce-rubucen X masu kwanan wata da aka ɗauko daga hanyoyin jama'a na X da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko ta zuba jari ba ne. Alƙaluman kimanin ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Plan C? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 1 October 2026
