Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

~380K a X16.2K a YouTube9 kiraye-kiraye masu kwanan wata an zana su nan

Asusun zane na ɗan Holland wanda ke wallafa ra'ayi ɗaya a lokaci guda, da manyan baƙaƙe da zane ɗaya kawai mai bayani: wannan shekara tana yin kama da 2018 / 2022 / 2017, kuma ga matakin da zai yanke hukunci. Yana wallafa da yawa, mai sauƙin fahimta, kuma — abin da ba kasafai ba a wannan salo — kusan kowane lokaci yana haɗe da lamba da za a iya duba ta daga baya. Sai muka duba.

A taƙaice. Merlijn The Trader na ɗaya daga cikin asusun tsarin zane mafi ƙarar murya a X (~380K mabiya) tare da tashar YouTube da ta fi ƙanƙanta (16.2K). Hanyar aiki ba ta canjawa: a ɗauki kwatance na tarihi — ƙasan 2022, death cross na 2018, Agusta 2017 — a shimfida shi a kan zanen yau, sannan a faɗi matakin guda ɗaya da zai tabbatar ko ya kashe ra'ayin. Hakan ya sa a sauƙaƙe a iya ba shi maki, kuma makin ya fito a gauraye da gaske. Kiran ƙasa na Yuli 2026 kan Bitcoin da Ether sun yi daidai — kwanaki kaɗan kacal kafin juyowar gaskiya. Taswirar Yunin “spring zuwa $50K” ta kasa a bangarorin biyu yayin da farashi ya tafi 33% a wancan hanya, kuma kwatancen death cross na Afrilu ya nuna faɗuwa da ba ta taɓa zuwa ba. Haka kuma yana gudanar da kasuwancin tallace-tallace da ake biyan kuɗi — shafin hanyoyinsa yana sayar da “Premium RWA Marketing Packages” — kuma wannan ya kamata ya kasance kusa da zanukan.

Bayan fage — asusun fractal, da aka gina a kan X

Merlijn yana wallafawa a matsayin @MerlijnTrader ga kusan mabiya 380,000, tare da tashar YouTube da ta fi ƙanƙanta (16.2K masu biyan kuɗi, tana aiki daga Yuni 2021, kusan 1.1M kallo gaba ɗaya) wadda ke sake faɗin ra'ayin yau da kullum a bidiyo. Asusunsa na X yana ɗauke da alamar haɗin gwiwa ga @cryptorover — lakabin kasuwanci na Crypto Rover — don haka asusun biyu suna cikin gudanarwar kafofin watsa labarai guda ɗaya, ba muryoyi masu zaman kansu da suka haɗu kwatsam ba. Tashar YouTube tasa ta bayyana aikinta a fili: “The mission: turn $250K into $1M with Bitcoin”, ana rubuta shi kai tsaye.

Shi mai sharhi da mai talla ne, ba asusun saka jari ba. Shafin hanyoyinsa na jama'a ya kira shi mai ba da shawara da business coach, yana gayyatar saƙo “for Business/Partnerships”, kuma yana sayar da “TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages” — wato ayyuka na iya siyan talla daga asusu ɗaya da ke wallafa nazari. Don gaskiya, mu rubuta manyan kiraye-kirayen da suke wajen tagar ma: a Agusta 2025 ya ƙi cewa $124K shine kololuwa (“0/30 peak indicators have triggered”), kuma a Nuwamba 2025 ya kira tsoron “manufactured” sannan ya ce zagayen ya kai kawai “50% progress”, “not exit liquidity season”. A cikin watanni bakwai da wannan shafin ke zana, Bitcoin bai taɓa yin ciniki sama da $82,018 ba kuma ya buga $58,566 a 1 Yuli 2026 — bai ma kusa da $124K ba. Waɗancan wallafe-wallafen suna wajen tagar farashi don haka ba a zana su ba, amma ya kamata su kasance a rikodin.

Sources: x.com/MerlijnTrader (posts captured via x_capture.py) · youtube.com/@Merlijntrader · linktr.ee/merlijnthetrader

Salon ciniki & falsafa

Nazarin fasaha mai fara da fractal. Injin shine kwatance: nemo shekarar da ta wuce wadda zanenta yayi kama da wannan (2017, 2018, 2022), a ɗauka cewa tsarin zai maimaita, sannan a faɗi matakin da zai tabbatar da hakan. A kusa da wannan yana amfani da matakan tarawa na Wyckoff (spring, mark-up), haɗuwar matsakaitan motsi, Stochastic RSI, allon nuni na kusan 30 alamun kololuwar sake zagaye, da kanun labarai na on-chain ko macro (jerin fita na validators, tsammanin ƙimar riba ta Fed, buƙatun ETF) a matsayin tabbatarwa. Ƙarfinsa shine ana iya tantance shi — yana ɗaure kansa da lambobi kamar “$60K is the decision” ko “DCA zone $48–59K”. Raunin shine ɗaya gefen wannan alƙawari: idan kwatancen bai maimaita ba, ƙarshen ba wai kawai ya zo da wuri ba ne, a'a ya juye, kuma wallafe-wallafensa kusan ba sa ɗauke da girman matsayi ko farashin ƙarya ga mai karatu.

Tarihin hasashe — kiraye-kirayensa, a jadawali

Wallafe-wallafe tara masu kwanan wata nasa, kowanne an jawo shi baya daga X tare da rubutunsa da tambarin lokaci, sannan aka zana su kan ainihin farashin CoinGecko. Samfurin ba zaɓin mafi kyau ba ne da gangan: ya haɗa da kiran ƙasa biyu na Yuli da suka yi daidai (BTC da ETH, kwanaki kaɗan kafin juyowa), taswirar Yuni da ta kasa a bangarorin biyu, kwatancen death cross na Afrilu da ya nuna maimaitawar −67% wadda ba ta taɓa zuwa ba, da wallafar Mayu “Solana ce ta yi rashin nasara” wadda daga baya Solana ta yi kyau fiye da sauran. Ya dace a fahimci abin da wannan yake: wallafe-wallafe tara daga asusun da ke wallafawa sau da yawa a rana, an zaɓe su saboda suna ɗauke da lamba mai duba — ba cikakken tarihin duk abin da ya faɗa ba. Wallafe-wallafensa na 2025 “$124K ba kololuwa ba / an yi 50% na zagayen” suna wajen tagar farashi; suna cikin tarihin rayuwa a sama, ba a ba su maki ba.

Sakamakon shine yadda muka karanta ra'ayin da ya bayyana a kan ainihin farashi, ba tsarin makinsa ba. Wasu wallafe-wallafe sharaɗi ne masu reshe biyu (“hold it / lose it”) kuma X yana yanke dogayen wallafe-wallafe, don haka muna nakalto da ba maki ne kawai ga rubutun da endpoint na jama'a ke mayarwa kalma-da-kalma. Alamun da suka buɗe na iya canjawa yayin da zagayen ke warwarewa.

Yadda ake samun kuɗi a nan — da inda rikicin buƙatu yake

Wannan shine ɓangaren fayil ɗin da ya fi muhimmanci ga asusun zane mai wallafawa da yawa: kasuwancin jama'a na Merlijn shine hankali da tallatawa, ana sayar da su daga asusu ɗaya da ke wallafa nazari. Babu wani abu a ɓoye — duk yana shafin hanyoyinsa — amma ya kamata ya tsaya kusa da zanukan.

Ra'ayoyi na musamman

Quotes transcribed from his own public videos; stated views, not recommendations.

Dakin karatu na abun ciki

Yana wallafa bidiyon Bitcoin kusan kowace rana a tasha da ta fi ƙanƙanta sosai fiye da yadda mabiyansa a X ke nunawa. Sabbin wallafe-wallafe, kwanakin daga jerin tasha:

Bitcoin’s Next Drop Is Coming… But Bears Are Making A Huge MistakeFaɗuwa a ɗan gajeren lokaci, hauhawa a dogon lokaci — daidai matsayin da wannan fayil ke zana.10 Sep 2026Bitcoin Is Repeating The 2022 Bottom… Here’s What Comes NextFractal na 2022 wanda ke tafiyar da mafi yawan kiraye-kirayensa na 2026.08 Sep 2026Bitcoin’s New Parabolic Cycle Has OFFICIALLY BegunRa'ayin zagaye mai sa ran hauhawa, an faɗa ba tare da mataki ba.07 Sep 2026Bitcoin Just Flashed A MAJOR Buy Signal Before Jackson HoleTsarin taron macro kafin tashin Agusta.28 Aug 2026

Amsoshi kai tsaye

Salonka ya yi kama sosai?

Merlijn yana ciniki ta kwatance: nemo shekarar da wannan zane ke kwafa, sannan ka kare mataki ɗaya. Nawa hankalinka ya kusa — auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.

Nazarin bayanai da ilimi da aka gina kacokan daga kayan jama'a: wallafe-wallafensa na X masu kwanan wata, an kama su kalma-da-kalma tare da tambarin lokaci kuma an haɗa hanya a kowane kira, tare da tashar da shafin hanyoyinsa na jama'a. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba. Lambobi kimanta ne kuma suna canjawa kullum. Spotted an error, or are you Merlijn? Gabatar da gyara →

An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 11 September 2026