@MerlijnTrader
Asusun zane na ɗan Holland wanda ke wallafa ra'ayi ɗaya a lokaci guda, da manyan baƙaƙe da zane ɗaya kawai mai bayani: wannan shekara tana yin kama da 2018 / 2022 / 2017, kuma ga matakin da zai yanke hukunci. Yana wallafa da yawa, mai sauƙin fahimta, kuma — abin da ba kasafai ba a wannan salo — kusan kowane lokaci yana haɗe da lamba da za a iya duba ta daga baya. Sai muka duba.
A taƙaice. Merlijn The Trader is one of the loudest pattern accounts on X (~380K followers) and a much smaller YouTube channel (16.2K). The method is consistent: take a historical analogue — the 2022 bottom, the 2018 death cross, August 2017 — overlay it on the present chart, and name the one level that confirms or kills it. That makes him easy to grade, and the grade is genuinely mixed. His July 2026 bottom calls on Bitcoin and Ether landed within days of the actual turn. His June 2026 “spring to $50K” road-map missed on both legs while price ran 42% the other way, and his April death-cross analogue pointed at a crash that never came. His September “Rektember” warning was followed by the month's rally; since mid-September he has been loudly bullish again (“don't wait for $50K”, “road to $170K”), and those calls are still open. He is also a paid-promotion business — his own link page sells “Premium RWA Marketing Packages” — which belongs in the frame next to the charts.
Merlijn yana wallafawa a matsayin @MerlijnTrader ga kusan mabiya 380,000, tare da tashar YouTube da ta fi ƙanƙanta (16.2K masu biyan kuɗi, tana aiki daga Yuni 2021, kusan 1.1M kallo gaba ɗaya) wadda ke sake faɗin ra'ayin yau da kullum a bidiyo. Asusunsa na X yana ɗauke da alamar haɗin gwiwa ga @cryptorover — lakabin kasuwanci na Crypto Rover — don haka asusun biyu suna cikin gudanarwar kafofin watsa labarai guda ɗaya, ba muryoyi masu zaman kansu da suka haɗu kwatsam ba. Tashar YouTube tasa ta bayyana aikinta a fili: “The mission: turn $250K into $1M with Bitcoin”, ana rubuta shi kai tsaye.
He is a commentator and marketer, not a fund. His public link page describes him as a consultant and business coach, invites DMs “for Business/Partnerships”, and sells “TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages” — i.e. projects can buy promotion from the same account that publishes the analysis. For honesty, note the big out-of-window calls too: in August 2025 he pushed back on $124K being the top (“0/30 peak indicators have triggered”), and in November 2025 he called the fear “manufactured” and the cycle only at “50% progress”, “not exit liquidity season”. In the seven months this page charts, Bitcoin never traded above $86,597 and printed $58,566 on 1 July 2026 — nowhere near $124K. Those posts are outside the price window so they are not charted, but they belong on the record.
Sources: x.com/MerlijnTrader (posts captured via x_capture.py) · youtube.com/@Merlijntrader (upload titles verified via oEmbed, dates from the video page) · linktr.ee/merlijnthetrader
Nazarin fasaha mai fara da fractal. Injin shine kwatance: nemo shekarar da ta wuce wadda zanenta yayi kama da wannan (2017, 2018, 2022), a ɗauka cewa tsarin zai maimaita, sannan a faɗi matakin da zai tabbatar da hakan. A kusa da wannan yana amfani da matakan tarawa na Wyckoff (spring, mark-up), haɗuwar matsakaitan motsi, Stochastic RSI, allon nuni na kusan 30 alamun kololuwar sake zagaye, da kanun labarai na on-chain ko macro (jerin fita na validators, tsammanin ƙimar riba ta Fed, buƙatun ETF) a matsayin tabbatarwa. Ƙarfinsa shine ana iya tantance shi — yana ɗaure kansa da lambobi kamar “$60K is the decision” ko “DCA zone $48–59K”. Raunin shine ɗaya gefen wannan alƙawari: idan kwatancen bai maimaita ba, ƙarshen ba wai kawai ya zo da wuri ba ne, a'a ya juye, kuma wallafe-wallafensa kusan ba sa ɗauke da girman matsayi ko farashin ƙarya ga mai karatu.
A tsarin gaba ɗaya mai sa ran hauhawa — ƙarshen da ke maimaituwa shine ƙasa ta riga ta faru kuma taron jama'a sun sayar da ita. Wallafe-wallafen faɗuwa a cikin wannan samfurin na ɗan gajeren lokaci ne kuma na sharaɗi; na hauhawa su ne ainihin ra'ayinsa.
Twelve dated calls of his own, charted against real CoinGecko price. Ten are X posts fetched back with their text and timestamp intact; two are the titles of his own YouTube uploads, dated from the video page. The sample is deliberately not a highlight reel: it includes the two July bottom calls that landed (BTC and ETH, within days of the turn), the June road-map that missed on both legs, the April death-cross analogue that pointed at a −67% repeat which never arrived, and the May “Solana is the loser” post that Solana then outperformed on. Note what this is: twelve calls from an account that publishes many times a day, picked because they contained a checkable number — not a complete log of everything he said. His 2025 “$124K is not the top / 50% through the cycle” posts fall outside the price window; they are in the biography above, unscored.
“$BTC BULLS THIS ISN'T WHAT YOU WANTED TO SEE. Bitcoin breakdown confirmed. All eyes on $80,500 now. Hold it, and this is just a shakeout. Lose it, and I expect more pain.”
A two-branch call with the level spelled out. Bitcoin was $84,449 that day, so $80,500 sat 4.7% below it. A day later it is $83,145 (−1.5%), still $2,645 above his line, so neither branch has triggered. The next morning he posted the same idea in more detail as a Wyckoff plan: a backup to $81K–$82K, then $90K if that holds. Open.
𝕏 Post“All eyes on $80,500 now.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“And So It Begins… Bitcoin’s Road To $170K”
Published the day Bitcoin closed at $86,597, the highest price in this page's window. The title names a $170,000 destination, +96.3% away, with no date attached. We have the title, not a transcript, so we grade the title. A week on, Bitcoin is $83,145, −4.0% below him, and no day has closed higher since. A multi-year target: open.
Source“And So It Begins… Bitcoin’s Road To $170K” — Merlijn The Trader (his own upload, 22 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“PLEASE Don’t Wait For $50K Bitcoin… The Bottom Is Already In”
A bottom call made one day after Bitcoin's lowest September close, $75,590 on the 16th. He published at $76,147 and told viewers not to wait for $50,000. Twelve days later no day in our series has closed below his day's price. The high since is $86,597 (+13.7%) and Bitcoin trades at $83,145 (+9.2%). A fortnight is too short to grade a “bottom is in” call, so it stays open, but so far price agrees with him.
Source“PLEASE Don’t Wait For $50K Bitcoin… The Bottom Is Already In” — Merlijn The Trader (his own upload, 17 Sep 2026)↗ youtube.com“REKTEMBER IS HERE: … Bitcoin lost $78,000 to open September. Warsh is publicly signaling a September hike. Trump is not stepping in to stop him. … Rektember arrived without the safety net.”
A rate-scare warning with no level attached, so we graded it on the month it named. From $77,416 Bitcoin dipped to $75,590 (−2.4%) on 16 September. It then ran to $86,597 (+11.9%) on the 22nd and trades at $83,145 (+7.4%) with September all but over. The month did not bleed; it was the month the rally resumed. Went against.
𝕏 Post“Rektember arrived without the safety net.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BITCOIN'S WORST MONTH JUST PRINTED ITS BEST NUMBER SINCE 2017. August: red in 9 of the last 13 years. Median return -6.99%. 2026: +24.39%. When the month that always bleeds prints green, the crowd is positioned wrong. That's exactly what 2017 looked like before Q4 tripled.”
The premise checks out — our daily series has Bitcoin going $62,820 → $77,658 across August, +23.6%, against his quoted +24.39%. The conclusion is a Q4 call, and Q4 starts on Thursday. Since the post, Bitcoin has dipped to $75,590 (−2.7%), run to $86,597 (+11.5%), and sits at $83,145 (+7.1%). That was a good September for his thesis, but the claim is that Q4 triples like 2017. Open.
𝕏 Post“When the month that always bleeds prints green, the crowd is positioned wrong.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“$67K was support. Now it's a ceiling. Price is pinned right below it at $65,300. As long as that level caps us, the range holds and a dip toward $54K liquidity is on the table.”
Two branches, and the tape took the one he named as the invalidation. The ceiling did hold for three more weeks — from $65,344 Bitcoin sagged to $62,773 (−3.9%) by 2 August and closed under $67K every single day until 20 August. Then it reclaimed the level and ran: high since $86,597 (+32.5%), now $83,145 (+27.2%). The $54K liquidity he pointed at never got close — the lowest print is $8,773 above it. Range read right, downside target never armed: open, not scored.
𝕏 Post“$67K was support. Now it's a ceiling.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“2,600,000 ETHEREUM QUEUED TO EXIT IN SEPTEMBER. TODAY THE QUEUE IS EMPTY. … That queue cleared straight into a 47% drawdown. Whoever wanted out is already out. That is what a $ETH bottom looks like.”
Well timed. Ether was $1,953; the worst it did afterwards was $1,843 (−5.6%), then it ran to $2,775 (+42.1%) and trades at $2,666 (+36.5%). The reasoning was an emptied validator exit queue rather than a chart, and the call landed within days of the low.
𝕏 Post“That is what a $ETH bottom looks like.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BITCOIN TAPPED ITS PREVIOUS CYCLE HIGH TWICE. THAT'S EXACTLY WHAT HAPPENED IN 2022. … 2026: price fell to the 2021 top, tapped it twice, and it's up 13% this month. Same structure.”
The 2022 analogue worked here. From $66,077 Bitcoin dipped only to $62,773 (−5.0%), then ran to $86,597 (+31.1%) and sits at $83,145 (+25.8%). His “up 13% this month” also checks: the July low was $58,566 on the 1st, so +12.8% into the day he posted.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin tapped its previous cycle high twice.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“The Bitcoin bounce is coming. Don't go all-in on it. … 2026: Same playbook. Spring near $50K incoming. Bounce rally to $65-70K incoming. DCA zone: $48-59K.”
The most specific call in the set, and the clearest miss. Bitcoin was $60,855. The Wyckoff spring to ~$50K never happened — the lowest print since is $58,566 (−3.8%) on 1 July, which only clips the very top edge of his $48–59K accumulation band. And the bounce did not stall in his $65–70K box: the high since is $86,597 (+42.3%) and price is $83,145 (+36.6%). “Don't go all-in on it” was the wrong instruction — that bounce was the move.
𝕏 Post“Spring near $50K incoming. Bounce rally to $65-70K incoming.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BAD NEWS FOR SOLANA AND XRP HOLDERS: Goldman Sachs just separated winners from losers. Publicly. Sold: all Solana ETF holdings. … Kept: Bitcoin exposure. Kept: Ethereum infrastructure plays.”
The filing was real; the winners-and-losers reading was not. Solana was $85, fell to $62 (−27.0%) — but so did everything, with Bitcoin −24.4% and Ether −26.5% over the same stretch — and it has since recovered to $118 (+38.3%) after a high of $122 (+43.3%). Over the period he framed it in, the coin he called the loser beat the Bitcoin he said the bank kept (+7.4%) by about 31 points.
𝕏 Post“BAD NEWS FOR SOLANA AND XRP HOLDERS” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“BITCOIN GOLDEN CROSS. THEN DEATH CROSS. TWICE. 2018: golden cross printed. Death cross followed. -67%. 2022: golden cross printed. Death cross followed. -69%. 2026: golden cross printed. Death cross forming. $60K is the decision. Hold it: this time is different.”
He put two analogues on the table (−67% in 2018, −69% in 2022) and made $60K the line that chose between them. The line broke: from $68,107 Bitcoin fell to $58,566 (−14.0%), about 2.4% under matakin da aka ambata. Then nothing resembling the analogue followed — the high since is $86,597 (+27.1%) and price is $83,145 (+22.1%). The level was a fair pivot; the crash he attached to losing it never existed.
𝕏 Post“$60K is the decision.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.com“ETHEREUM HAS PRINTED THIS PATTERN TWICE IN FOUR MONTHS. 3 step rally. Stoch RSI peaks. Rollover. Dump. November: textbook. ETH lost 40%. March: same structure. Same Stoch RSI signal. $2K is the last support before the pattern completes.”
Graded on the branch he drew, this one worked. Ether was $2,203; $2,000 gave way nine days later, on 28 March, and the pattern completed into $1,566 (−28.9%) on 26 June — not far off the −40% November analogue he cited. It has since recovered to $2,666 (+21.0%), but the rollover he warned about was real, and it was called before the break.
𝕏 Post“$2K is the last support before the pattern completes.” — @MerlijnTrader↗ x.comOutcomes are our read of his stated thesis against real price, not his own scoring. Several posts are two-branch conditionals (“hold it / lose it”) and X truncates long posts, so we quote and grade only the text the syndication endpoint returns verbatim. The two YouTube calls are graded on the title alone. Open marks can flip as the cycle resolves.
Wannan shine ɓangaren fayil ɗin da ya fi muhimmanci ga asusun zane mai wallafawa da yawa: kasuwancin jama'a na Merlijn shine hankali da tallatawa, ana sayar da su daga asusu ɗaya da ke wallafa nazari. Babu wani abu a ɓoye — duk yana shafin hanyoyinsa — amma ya kamata ya tsaya kusa da zanukan.
Shafin hanyoyinsa na jama'a yana sayar da “TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages” kuma yana gayyatar saƙo “for Business/Partnerships”. Don haka ayyuka na iya siyan kaiwa daga asusu ɗaya da ke wallafa nazarin kasuwa. Ka ɗauka cewa duk wani token ko dandali da aka ambata a wallafa na iya zama dangantakar kasuwanci sai dai in ya ce ba haka ba.
Shafi ɗaya yana sayar da shi a matsayin mai ba da shawara da business coach da tayin “Book a Strategy Call” — ana mai da masu sauraro zuwa kuɗin sabis, wanda ke ba wa yawan wallafawa da ƙarfin gwiwa lada, ba taka tsantsan ba.
Asusunsa na X yana ɗauke da alamar haɗin gwiwa ga @cryptorover. Asusu biyu daga gudanarwa ɗaya da suka yarda da juna ba tabbaci biyu masu zaman kansu ba ne — ka ƙidaya sau ɗaya, ba sau biyu ba.
Tashar YouTube tasa ta bayyana aikin a matsayin “turn $250K into $1M with Bitcoin”, ana rubutawa kai tsaye. Wannan bayyanawa ce, ba rikici ba — amma yana nufin akwai littafin Bitcoin mai sa ran hauhawa a bayan wallafe-wallafen Bitcoin masu sa ran hauhawa.
“Spring near $50K incoming. Bounce rally to $65-70K incoming. DCA zone: $48-59K.”
07 Jun 2026 · taswirar da ta kasa a bangarorin biyu“That is what a $ETH bottom looks like.”
27 Jul 2026 · kwanaki huɗu kafin ainihin ƙasan ETH“$60K is the decision. Hold it: this time is different.”
01 Apr 2026 · layin death cross da ya karye ba tare da faɗuwa baAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Yana wallafa bidiyon Bitcoin kusan kowace rana a tasha da ta fi ƙanƙanta sosai fiye da yadda mabiyansa a X ke nunawa. Sabbin wallafe-wallafe, kwanakin daga jerin tasha:
Bitcoin’s Next Drop Is Coming… But Bears Are Making A Huge MistakeFaɗuwa a ɗan gajeren lokaci, hauhawa a dogon lokaci — daidai matsayin da wannan fayil ke zana.10 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Is Repeating The 2022 Bottom… Here’s What Comes NextFractal na 2022 wanda ke tafiyar da mafi yawan kiraye-kirayensa na 2026.08 Sep 2026
Bitcoin’s New Parabolic Cycle Has OFFICIALLY BegunRa'ayin zagaye mai sa ran hauhawa, an faɗa ba tare da mataki ba.07 Sep 2026
Bitcoin Just Flashed A MAJOR Buy Signal Before Jackson HoleTsarin taron macro kafin tashin Agusta.28 Aug 2026Ɗan Holland mai nazarin zanen crypto wanda ke wallafawa a matsayin @MerlijnTrader ga kusan mabiya 380,000 a X, tare da ƙaramar tashar YouTube (16.2K masu biyan kuɗi). Sunan mahaifinsa ba na jama'a ba ne. An san shi da wallafe-wallafen manyan baƙaƙe masu zane guda ɗaya waɗanda ke kwatanta kasuwar yau da wata shekarar baya — 2017, 2018, 2022 — sannan suna faɗin mataki guda da ke yanke sakamakon.
Mixed, and that is measurable. Of twelve dated 2026 calls charted here, three played out (including well-timed July bottom calls on Bitcoin and Ether), five are still open, and four went against him — most clearly a June road-map for a drop to $50,000 that instead saw Bitcoin rally 42%. He is a commentator, not a licensed adviser.
Yana sayar da talla a fili: shafin hanyoyinsa na jama'a ya lissafa “TOKEN2049 – Premium RWA Marketing Packages”, yana gayyatar saƙo don kasuwanci da haɗin gwiwa, kuma yana ba da kiran dabaru masu kuɗi. Asusunsa na X yana ɗauke da alamar haɗin gwiwa ga @cryptorover. Ka ɗauka cewa aikin da aka ambata na iya zama dangantakar kasuwanci sai dai in an faɗi akasin haka.
Kwatancen fractal tare da mataki ɗaya na yanke shawara. Yana shimfida tsarin zanen wata shekarar baya a kan yau — tarawar Wyckoff, golden/death cross, Stochastic RSI, allon kusan 30 alamun kololuwar zagaye — sannan yana ɗaure kansa da lamba kamar “$60K is the decision” ko “DCA zone $48–59K”. Hakan ya sa a sauƙaƙe a duba shi; haka kuma yana nufin cewa idan kwatancen ya kasa, ƙarshen ya juye, ba kawai ya zo da wuri ba.
Merlijn yana ciniki ta kwatance: nemo shekarar da wannan zane ke kwafa, sannan ka kare mataki ɗaya. Nawa hankalinka ya kusa — auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Ko ta yaya, gwaji mai gaskiya guda ɗaya shine na kai tsaye. Gudanar da karatunka kan ainihin bayanan kasuwa — ba tare da jarin da ke cikin haɗari ba — a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyautuka na gaske.
Nazarin bayanai da ilimi da aka gina kacokan daga kayan jama'a: wallafe-wallafensa na X masu kwanan wata, an kama su kalma-da-kalma tare da tambarin lokaci kuma an haɗa hanya a kowane kira, tare da tashar da shafin hanyoyinsa na jama'a. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba. Lambobi kimanta ne kuma suna canjawa kullum. Spotted an error, or are you Merlijn? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 29 September 2026
