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Fayil ɗin Ɗan Kasuwa · Macro / Ruwan Kuɗi · Bitcoin
Lyn Alden

Lyn Alden

@LynAldenContact

1.13M a XLyn Alden Investment Strategy · an kafa 2016Broken Money · marubuciya mai siyarwa sosai

Injiniyar da ke karanta bututun tsarin. Alden ta gina sunanta a kan ruwan kuɗi na duniya da lissafin kasafin kuɗi, ba kan hasashen farashi ba — kusan ba ta taɓa ba da wani mataki, kuma tana faɗin haka a fili. Abin da take bayarwa shi ne siffar kasuwa mai kwanan wata da rubutacce: nika ko V, ƙasa ko sabon ƙasa, shimfiɗa-zuwa-sama ko shimfiɗa-zuwa-ƙasa. Wannan ana iya awo, kuma a wannan taga awon ya fito da kyau. Lambobinta na dogon zango kuwa ba haka ba: hasashen 2025 na $150k a wannan zagayen bai taɓa faruwa ba.

Sunanta na gaskiya Lyn AldenKamfani Lyn Alden Investment Strategy (2016)Mayar da hankali Ruwan kuɗi na duniya · BitcoinWurin zama Amurka da Masar
4Hasashen da aka bi3Ya tabbata1Har yanzu a buɗe0Ya sāɓaSee the record →

A taƙaice. Lyn Alden manazarciyar macro ce mai asalin injiniyan lantarki, ta kafa Lyn Alden Investment Strategy a 2016 kuma ta rubuta littafin da ya fi siyarwa, Broken Money. Tsarinta na daga-sama-zuwa-ƙasa ne kuma na inji: ruwan kuɗi na duniya da M2, gibin kasafin kuɗi da ta ce ba za a iya tsayar da su ba, da Bitcoin a matsayin dukiyar da ta fi manne da duk waɗannan. Cikin dukiyoyin dijital ita Bitcoin kaɗai ce kuma a fili tana da ra'ayin faɗuwa game da kusan sauran duka. Kalaman ta na jama'a kusan ba matakan farashi ba ne — bayanin tsarin da yanayin ji na kasuwa ne, shi ya sa aka auna hasashe huɗu masu kwanan wata na 2026 da ke ƙasa bisa abin da farashi ya yi da gaske, ba bisa lamba da ba ta taɓa bayarwa ba. Uku sun tabbata; na huɗu caca ce ta shekara biyu zuwa uku wadda har yanzu a buɗe take. Tana kuma zaune a kwamitin gudanarwa na Bakkt (NYSE: BKKT) kuma babbar abokiyar haɗin gwiwa ce a kamfanin jarin haɗari da ya mai da hankali kan Bitcoin — ku karanta ta kuna sane da wannan.

Tarihi — daga dakin gwaje-gwajen kwaikwayo na FAA zuwa teburin ruwan kuɗi

Alden tana da digiri na farko a injiniyan lantarki daga Penn State da digiri na biyu a gudanar da injiniyanci daga Rowan University. A cewarta, ita injiniyar lantarki ce, sannan daga baya babbar injiniya kuma mai haɗa tsarin a Cockpit Simulation Facility na Hukumar Sufurin Jiragen Sama ta Amurka (FAA) daga 2009 zuwa 2021. Ta fara Lyn Alden Investment Strategy a 2016 a matsayin aikin gefe; ya girma har ta bar injiniyanci ta mai da hankali gaba ɗaya a kansa. Ta girma cikin talauci, har da lokutan rashin gida, kuma yanzu tana raba shekara tsakanin Amurka da Masar.

Wannan ɗabi'ar injiniya na bayyana a aikinta: tana ɗaukar tsarin kuɗi a matsayin injin da ke da abubuwan shigarwa masu aunuwa — gibi, ma'ajiyar ajiya, ƙarfin bashi, M2 na duniya — kuma Bitcoin a matsayin dukiyar da ta fi fuskantar su. Broken Money (2023) shi ne cikakken sigar hujjar; a 2026 ta biyo shi da littafin almara na kimiyya The Stolguard Incident. Tare da kamfanin bincike, ita babbar abokiyar haɗin gwiwa ce a Ego Death Capital (tun 2022), ta shiga kwamitin gudanarwa na Bakkt (NYSE: BKKT) a 2025 a kwamitocin bincike-da-haɗari da na albashi, ita darakta ce a Swan, kuma a 2026 ta haɗa kafa Orange Juice, wanda ke sayen kasuwancin da ke samar da kuɗi tare da tallafin ma'ajiyar bitcoin.

For honesty, the misses belong on the record too, and they are the long-dated kind. In August 2025 she said “I think we're going over $150k this cycle” — Bitcoin's record high came that October above $125,000 and it has been in a bear market since; $150k never printed. In November 2025 she said she expected Bitcoin to reclaim $100,000 in 2026: with under three months of the year left it sits at $86,440, so that one is currently offside. And in April 2025 she publicly cut her own year-end target — “Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target.” Those calls sit outside the chart window below, which is why they are here in words rather than on a chart. On 28 September she told Kitco News the recent bounce owed more to liquidity than to adoption and that the “fast money's already out”; Kitco reports she is not calling for a major rally “in, say, the next three months.” Because that is Kitco's paraphrase wrapped around a fragment of her words, it is noted here rather than charted as a call.

Sources: lynalden.com · Cointelegraph · Bitcoin Magazine · dated podcast & TV appearances

Salon ciniki & falsafa

Ruwan kuɗi tukuna, ba matakai ba. Alden tana aiki daga sama zuwa ƙasa: ruwan kuɗi na duniya, gibin kasafin kuɗi da dala, sannan ta tambaya me hakan ke nufi ga dukiyoyin da suka fi jin su. Ita ce ta ba da umarnin bincike da ya gano cewa Bitcoin yana motsi tare da M2 na duniya kusan kashi 83% na lokaci a duk taga na wata 12, kuma wannan alaƙa ita ce ƙashin bayan duk abin da take faɗi game da shi. Cikin dukiyoyin dijital ita Bitcoin kaɗai ce kuma ta rubuta a tsawaice kan dalilin da ya sa yawancin sauran tokens ba za su tara daraja ba. Rauninta na ganganci shi ne daidaito: da wuya ta ambaci mataki ko kwanan wata, don haka a kowane mako ra'ayinta na iya zama daidai a siffa amma mara amfani ga lokaci — kuma lokacin da ta kai ga lamba ($150k a wannan zagayen, $100k a 2026), a nan ne ta yi kuskure.

Kayan aiki · sau nawa kowanne ke bayyana a cikin hasashen jama'a da muka bincika
Ruwan kuɗi na duniya da M210/10
Lissafin kasafin kuɗi / gibi9/10
Ma'aunin daraja da yanayin ji8/10
Tacewar dukiya ta Bitcoin-kaɗai8/10
Matakan farashi da lokaci3/10
Matsayin kasuwa
CapitulationNeutralAccumulateEuphoria

A tsari tana da kyakkyawan fata kan Bitcoin a zango na shekaru da yawa, kuma da gangan tana haƙuri a gajeren lokaci — a duk wannan taga ta yi jayayya don nika da ƙasa maimakon tashin farashi, kuma ba ta cinikin sauye-sauyen gajeren lokaci.

Yi ciniki da wannan salonLiquidity Macro Challenge — dukiya ɗaya, zango mai tsawo, babu matakaiShiga kyauta →

Track record — his calls, charted

Kalamai huɗu masu kwanan wata na 2026 da Cointelegraph da Bitcoin Magazine suka danganta ga Alden, an zana su a kan farashi na gaskiya. Ita mai kiran tsari ce, ba mai kiran mataki ba — maganganun da ke ƙasa suna kan siffar kasuwa (nika da V-ƙasa, ƙasa da sabon ƙasa, shimfiɗa-zuwa-sama da shimfiɗa-zuwa-ƙasa), don haka ana auna kowanne bisa abin da Bitcoin ya yi bayan haka, ba bisa lamba da ba ta bayar ba. Duka huɗu na Bitcoin ne, domin shi kaɗai ne dukiyar dijital da take ɗaukar matsaya a kai. Tarihin nan yana da kyau; ma'aunin gaskiya yana cikin tarihin rayuwa a sama — hasashenta na lambobi na dogon zango ($150k a wannan zagayen, $100k a 2026) bai yi aiki ba.

4
Hasashen da aka bi
3
Ya tabbata
1
Har yanzu a buɗe
0
Ya sāɓa
Each call is charted from the day he said it to today · white = when he spoke · red = the low that came after · green = now. Hover the line for any day. Prices: CoinGecko daily. Yadda muke ba da maki →
21 Feb 2026BTC
Ta hango nika

“Bitcoin rarely makes V-shape bottoms outside COVID stimulus-type events.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 21 Feb
BTC $70.8kMatsakaici bayan $58.6k · -17%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on his call$1,160 · +16.0%mummunan sauka a hanya -17% (−$173)

Speaking to Natalie Brunell, she refused the bounce narrative: no V-bottom, “I think we're in more of a grind”, and — per Cointelegraph — a market that might still go $10,000 to $20,000 lower before it was done. That is close to exactly what happened. Her 21 February interview has now rolled out of the 210-day price window, so the chart anchors on its first day, 10 March, at $68,431. From there Bitcoin first rallied to $82,018 on 11 May (+19.9%), then broke to $58,566 on 1 July — −14.4%, $9,865 below the anchor and $135 short of the shallow end of the range she flagged — and chopped for months before recovering. It ran +26.5% to $86,597 on 22 September and holds $86,440 (+26.3%). She got the shape right; the catalyst she named did not arrive — the August recovery came on US crypto legislation, not on AI stocks peaking.

SourceBitcoin's bull catalyst could be AI stocks turning ‘silly big’ — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
06 Mar 2026BTC
Cacar shekara biyu · a buɗe

“If I had to bet Bitcoin versus gold over the next two to three years, I would bet Bitcoin.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kAprMayJunJulAugSepOct▲ said 6 Mar
BTC $70.8kMatsakaici bayan $58.6k · -17%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on his call$1,160 · +16.0%mummunan sauka a hanya -17% (−$173)

A relative call with a horizon running to roughly 2029, made with gold at record highs and crypto sentiment in Extreme Fear. She called gold “somewhat euphoric” and Bitcoin's sentiment “somewhat unfairly negative”. We log it open: only seven of her twenty-four-to-thirty-six months have run. The 6 March interview has rolled out of the 210-day price window, so the chart anchors on 10 March at $68,431; from there Bitcoin's own path has been ugly then good — −14.4% to $58,566 on 1 July, then +26.5% to $86,597 on 22 September, and it holds $86,440 (+26.3%). This chart tracks Bitcoin alone; we do not chart gold, so the ratio she actually bet on is not resolved here either. Judge it in 2029.

SourceLyn Alden tips Bitcoin outperforming gold over next ‘two to three years’ — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
08 Jul 2026BTC
Mafi kyawun hasashe na shekara

“The base case that I would hope to see is just a lack of new bottoms in place.”

$63.9k$72.6k$81.3kJulAugSepOct▲ said 8 Jul
BTC $63.3kMatsakaici bayan $62.2k · -2%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on his call$1,297 · +29.7%mummunan sauka a hanya -2% (−$17)

Said a week after the cycle low, into the worst sentiment she had ever seen, with Strategy dumping $216M of BTC: she wanted a technical picture pointing “flat to up rather than flat to down”. She got it. From $63,335 Bitcoin dipped just −1.7% to $62,247 the next day and never made a new bottom, then ran +36.7% to $86,597 on 22 September and holds $86,440 (+36.5%). Note what she did not claim: her stated base case was also that Bitcoin would not make a new all-time high this year — at $86,440 against a record above $125,000, that half is still comfortably intact with under three months to go.

SourceLyn Alden says Bitcoin needs no savior as Strategy sells $216M of BTC — Cointelegraph↗ cointelegraph.com
20 Aug 2026BTC
Floor held

“By almost every metric, Bitcoin is near the low end of its valuation and sentiment range.”

$67.4k$74.7k$82.1kSepOct▲ said 20 Aug
BTC $69.3kMatsakaici bayan $69.3k · +0%Now $82.2k
$1,000 in on his call$1,186 · +18.6%mummunan sauka a hanya +0% (−$0)

On CNBC she argued the “fast money” was washed out and there were “not a lot of downside catalysts” left, with even small gains able to pull technical traders back in. Since then $69,291 has been the floor — Bitcoin has not closed below it once — and price ran +25.0% to $86,597 on 22 September and holds $86,440 (+24.7%). On 28 September she told Kitco News the bounce owed more to liquidity than to adoption. Two caveats we will not hide: this call is only 46 days old, so it can still flip; and she said it into a day when Bitcoin had already jumped more than 6% on the Clarity Act news, so the chart's starting point flatters her. She also said Bitcoin was not necessarily “out of the woods yet”.

SourceBitcoin Could Attract More Buyers As Fast Money Is Washed Out — Bitcoin Magazine↗ bitcoinmagazine.com

Outcomes are our read of her stated view against real price, not her own scoring. Every quote is sourced from dated third-party coverage linked on each card and was confirmed verbatim on that page before publishing. The 20 August card is only 46 days old — that one can still flip. Her 21 February and 6 March interviews have rolled out of the 210-day price window, so those two charts now start on 10 March.

How he makes money — and where the conflicts are

Alden tana siyar da bincike da littattafai, ba sigina ba — amma ita ma daraktar kamfani ne na dukiyar dijital da ke kasuwar hannayen jari, kuma abokiyar jarin haɗari a farawar Bitcoin. Ra'ayinta kan Bitcoin da ma'aunin kuɗinta suna nuni zuwa hanya ɗaya, kuma ya kamata a san hakan kafin a auna maganarta.

Kamfanin bincike da littattafai

Lyn Alden Investment Strategy (an kafa 2016) tana siyar da bincike na zuba jari mai tsada ga abokan ciniki na kanana da na cibiyoyi tare da wasiƙar labarai kyauta; Broken Money (2023) da The Stolguard Incident (2026) kuɗin littattafai ne. Shafinta ya bayyana cewa ba ta gudanar da tallace-tallace amma tana karɓar kwamitin haɗin gwiwa saboda ba da shawarar wasu kayayyaki ko ayyuka.

Kujerun kwamiti da jarin haɗari

Daraktar kwamitin Bakkt (NYSE: BKKT) tun 2025, a kwamitocin bincike-da-haɗari da na albashi; darakta a Swan; kuma babbar abokiyar haɗin gwiwa a Ego Death Capital, kamfanin jarin haɗari da ya mai da hankali kan Bitcoin, tun 2022. Waɗannan matsayi ne masu biya kuma masu alaƙa da hannun jari a masana'antar da take nazari — sabanin buƙatu mafi bayyana a wannan shafin.

Kamfanin aiki mai tallafin bitcoin

A 2026 ta haɗa kafa Orange Juice, wanda ke saya kuma ke riƙe har abada kasuwancin da ke samar da kuɗi tare da tallafin ma'ajiyar bitcoin. Tana da matsayin sayen Bitcoin a binciken ta, a fayil ɗin jarin haɗarin ta, kuma yanzu a wani kamfanin aiki.

Ra'ayoyi na musamman

“Bitcoin rarely makes V-shape bottoms outside COVID stimulus-type events.”

21 Feb 2026 · refusing the bounce narrative

“I don't think there's anything coming to save Bitcoin.”

08 Jul 2026 · dole dukiyar ta tsaya kan ƙarfin kanta

“By almost every metric, Bitcoin is near the low end of its valuation and sentiment range.”

20 Aug 2026 · a CNBC, kwanaki goma kafin a gina wannan shafin

Quotes transcribed from his own public sources; stated views, not recommendations.

Amsoshi kai tsaye

Wace ce Lyn Alden?+

Manazarciyar macro kuma marubuciya wadda daga 2009 zuwa 2021 ta yi aiki a matsayin injiniya a Cockpit Simulation Facility na FAA kafin ta mai da hankali gaba ɗaya kan kamfanin binciken ta, Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Ta rubuta littafin da ya fi siyarwa Broken Money, tana zaune a kwamitin gudanarwa na Bakkt (NYSE: BKKT), kuma babbar abokiyar haɗin gwiwa ce a Ego Death Capital.

Menene dukiyar Lyn Alden?+

Ba a tabbatar da ita a fili ba, kuma ya kamata a yi watsi da duk wata lamba da ke da'awar akasin haka. Kuɗin shigarta ya haɗa da sabis na bincike mai biya, kuɗin haƙƙin littattafai, albashin kwamiti a kamfani da ke kasuwar hannayen jari, ribar abokiyar jarin haɗari, da matsayin Bitcoin ɗinta — babu ɗaya daga cikinsu da aka bayyana.

Shin shawarwarin Lyn Alden abin dogaro ne?+

She is a researcher, not a licensed adviser, and her record splits by horizon. Her dated 2026 structural calls on this page landed — three of four played out. Her longer-dated numeric calls did not: “$150k this cycle” (August 2025) never printed, and her November 2025 expectation that Bitcoin reclaims $100,000 in 2026 is currently offside at $86,440. She also holds paid board and venture roles in the industry she covers.

Menene dabarar Lyn Alden?+

Daga sama zuwa ƙasa kuma ruwan-kuɗi-tukuna: M2 na duniya da ma'aunin bankunan tsakiya, gibin kasafin kuɗi da ta ce ba za a iya juyar da su ba, da dala — sannan Bitcoin a matsayin dukiyar da ta fi jin duk ukun. Cikin dukiyoyin dijital ita Bitcoin-kaɗai ce, tana ɗaukar matsaya a zango na shekaru da yawa, kuma da gangan tana guje wa matakan farashi da lokaci.

How much do you trade like him?

Alden tana cinikin bututu, ba kyandirori ba: ruwan kuɗi tukuna, zango na shekaru, dukiya ɗaya. Yaya kusa fahimtar ka take — auna ta da gaske da Trader Passport.

1. Me ke jagorantar shawararka?
2. Dukiya nawa kake riƙe?
3. Wani ya tambaye ka hasashen farashi. Kai…
4. Zangon lokacinka?
—daidaiton salon tare da Lyn

Gina Trader Passport ɗinka →
Gwada shi

Alden kusan ba ta taɓa ba da hasashen farashi ba — maimakon haka tana bayyana siffar kasuwa. Wannan yana da amfani a gare ka, ko kaucewa ne kawai?

Ko ta yaya, gwaji ɗaya tilo na gaskiya shi ne tarihinka. Gwada ƙarfinka a kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye — babu jarin da ke cikin haɗari — a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyautuka na gaske.

Bincike na bayarwa da ilimantarwa wanda ya dogara kaɗai kan kayan da jama'a ke iya samu — rahotannin ɓangare na uku masu kwanan wata da rubuce-rubucenta da ta wallafa, an haɗa su a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko zuba jari ba ce. Lambobin kimanta ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Lyn? Gabatar da gyara →

An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 5 October 2026