Leon Waidmann

@LeonWaidmann

≈13K mabiya a X2013 ya shiga X6 hasashe masu kwanan wata a taswira a nan

Wani mai nazarin on-chain wanda ke karanta bayanan wadatar Ethereum — staking, ma'aunin kuɗi a kasuwannin musaya, taskokin kamfanoni — kuma kusan kullum yana fassara su a matsayin alamar hauhawa. Hakan ya yi aiki a ƙasan farashin watan Yuni: “Hard to find a cleaner bottom signal than this!” ya zo a $1,621 ranar 11 ga Yuni, kafin hauhawar 71.2%. Ya gaza a watan Mayu: “I am bullish ETH here” ya zo a $2,339, kafin faɗuwar 33.0%.

A taƙaice. Leon Waidmann yana wallafa rubutu a X da sunan @LeonWaidmann ga kusan mabiya 13,000. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa taswirori ne na bayanan hanyar sadarwar Ethereum tare da fassarar hauhawa; kaɗan ne ke faɗin kai tsaye abin da hakan ke nufi ga farashi. A cikin samfurinmu na irin waɗannan rubuce-rubuce shida daga 1 ga Afrilu zuwa 14 ga Agusta — ɗaya kan Bitcoin, biyar kan Ethereum — sakamakon shi ne 4 sun tabbata, 1 ya saɓa, 1 a buɗe. Hasashensa na Bitcoin na 1 ga Afrilu, hasashensa na Ethereum na 3 ga Yuni da 11 ga Yuni kusa da ƙasan farashi, da rubutunsa na “undervalued” na 9 ga Yuli sun tabbata. Rubutunsa na “bullish ETH here” na 12 ga Mayu ya saɓa. Hasashensa na 14 ga Agusta cewa Ethereum zai fi Bitcoin yana nan a buɗe.

Bayanan baya — abin da aka rubuta, da abin da ba a rubuta ba

Leon Waidmann yana kan X tun Disamba 2013 kuma yana da kusan mabiya 13,000. Bayaninsa yana ambaton @Lisk, kuma rahotannin labarai kan rubuce-rubucensa suna kiransa shugaban bincike ko shugaban bunƙasa kasuwanci na Lisk. Linktree ɗinsa yana kai wa ga bincike daga Onchain AG, wani shirin podcast na harshen Jamusanci mai suna BlockBlick, labaransa ga shafin crypto na Jamus BTC-ECHO da kuma Substack kyauta, On-Chain Insights, wanda rubutunsa na ƙarshe ya kasance a Nuwamba 2023.

Hanyarsa ita ce bayanan wadata na on-chain: rabon ETH da aka yi staking, ma'aunin ETH da BTC a kasuwannin musaya, taskokin ETH na kamfanoni, wadatar stablecoin da ayyukan hanyar sadarwa, yawancinsu an zana su daga Glassnode, CryptoQuant, Token Terminal da growthepie. Kusan kowane rubutu yana ƙarewa da sautin hauhawa. A cikin watanni shida da muka karanta ba mu sami ko ɗaya hasashen faɗuwar farashi ba, kuma “Delusional Optimist” da ke cikin bayaninsa bai ɓoye hakan ba.

Wannan shafin yana auna rubuce-rubucen da ke yin iƙirari game da farashi: farfaɗowa, ƙasan farashi, “bullish ETH here”, “undervalued”, ko Ethereum ya fi Bitcoin. Mun bar yawancin rubuce-rubucen bayanai da ke ƙarewa da “Bullish.” kawai, da kuma wani rubutu na 15 ga Oktoba inda ya ce shi “wouldn't be surprised to see NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS in the coming months”, saboda yana ƙarƙashin taswirar kuɗin shigar manhajoji kuma bai faɗi ko yana nufin farashi ba. Kuskure ɗaya na gaskiya: ranar 26 ga Satumba ya rubuta “ETH is back near $3,000”; alamar farashin ranar ita ce $2,691.

Sources: x.com/LeonWaidmann (captured via api.fxtwitter.com) · linktr.ee/LeonWaidmann · lisk.com · CoinGecko

Salon ciniki & falsafa

Wadata da farko, farashi daga baya. Leon Waidmann yana jayayya cewa fitar ETH daga kasuwannin musaya zuwa staking dole ne, a kan lokaci, ya tura farashi sama. A watannin Yuni da Yuli, lokacin da ETH ke kusa da ƙasan farashinsa, wannan fassarar ta yi daidai: rubuce-rubuce uku daga 3 ga Yuni zuwa 9 ga Yuli sun zo kafin hauhawa ta 49% zuwa 71%. A watan Mayu ta yi wuri da yawa: irin wannan bayanan sun zo kafin faɗuwar 33%. Saboda ba kasafai yake juyawa zuwa hasashen faɗuwa ba, rubuce-rubucensa sun fi amfani wajen fahimtar wadata na dogon lokaci fiye da zaɓen lokaci.

Tarihin hasashe — kiraye-kirayensa, a jadawali

Rubuce-rubuce shida masu kwanan wata daga @LeonWaidmann — ɗaya kan Bitcoin, biyar kan Ethereum — kowanne an ɗauko shi kalma da kalma daga X kuma an kwatanta shi da ainihin farashi a taswira. Jimillar ita ce 4 sun tabbata, 1 ya saɓa, 1 a buɗe. Hasashen farfaɗowar Bitcoin na 1 ga Afrilu, hasashen Ethereum na 3 ga Yuni da 11 ga Yuni da rubutun “undervalued” na 9 ga Yuli sun tabbata. Rubutun “bullish ETH here” na 12 ga Mayu ya saɓa. Hasashen 14 ga Agusta cewa Ethereum zai fi Bitcoin yana nan a buɗe.

Sakamako fassararmu ce ta iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi. Babu ɗaya daga cikin waɗannan rubuce-rubucen da ya ambaci wani buri ko kwanan wata, don haka mun auna alƙiblar da ta biyo baya. Kowace magana rubutu ne na X kalma da kalma, an haɗa shi a katinsa kuma an sake buga shi gaba ɗaya a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar; an cire emoji da ke ƙarshe. Farashi alamomin yau da kullum ne na CoinGecko da aka ɗauka a 00:00 UTC, don haka ana auna rubutu daga alamar farkon ranarsa, kuma mafi girma da mafi ƙasƙanci a cikin rana ba sa bayyana. Alamomin kusa-kusa na iya juyawa.

Yadda ake samun kuɗi a nan — da inda rikicin buƙatu yake

Ba mu sami wani kwas ko ƙungiyar sigina da Leon Waidmann ke sayarwa ba. Ga abin da muka samu.

Ra'ayoyi na musamman

An ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.

Dakin karatu na abun ciki

Leon Waidmann yana wallafa taswirorin on-chain a X kusan kowace rana. Rubuce-rubucen X kaɗai muka auna.

Amsoshi kai tsaye

Salonka ya yi kama sosai?

Leon Waidmann ya fi amincewa da bayanan wadata fiye da taswirar farashi. Yaya fahimtarka ta kusa da tasa? Auna ta da gaske da Trader Passport.

Nazari don bayani da ilimantarwa wanda ya dogara ne kacokan kan kayan da ke a fili ga jama'a: rubuce-rubucen X masu kwanan wata da aka ɗauko daga hanyoyin jama'a na X, shafukan bayanin martaba na jama'a da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko ta zuba jari ba ce. Alƙaluma kimanin ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Leon? Gabatar da gyara →

An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 17 October 2026