@Kev_Capital_TA
A cycle-roadmap chartist who called the 2026 Bitcoin bear market as a counter-trend story from the start, then read the turn in July. Seven dated calls: four played out, two are still open, one went against. The miss is his own downside target: in late July he still expected Bitcoin to reach $56,000–$44,000. It never closed below $62,773.
A taƙaice. Kevin, wanda ke wallafawa da sunan Kev Capital TA, yana wallafawa ga kimanin mabiya 25,000 a X (yana kan dandalin tun Disamba 2015) kuma yana gudanar da tashar YouTube mai kimanin masu biyan kuɗi 6,000. Bayanin sa ya ambaci B.S. in Finance kuma ya kira shi manazarcin fasaha da na tushe. Tsarinsa shi ne taswirar Bitcoin mai matakai da yawa da aka gina a kan two-day 200 EMA/SMA, matakan Fibonacci da alamomin kwararar kuɗi. A cikin lokacin da muka duba, ya yi daidai cewa hauhawar Ethereum ta Mayu tsallen saɓanin yanayi ce, ya yi daidai cewa bears suna rauni a tsakiyar Yuli, kuma ya yi daidai game da fashewar Satumba. Ya yi kuskure game da zurfin da ƙasan zai kai.
Kev Capital TA ba ya wallafa sunan mahaifi. Sunan bayanin martaba na X shi ne “Kevin”, kuma bayanin yana cewa “B.S. Finance | Manazarcin Fasaha & na Tushe. Hawan Duwatsu & Taimaka wa 'Yan Kasuwa Gano Juyawa, Muhimman Matakai & Tsarin Kasuwanci”. Benzinga, wacce ta rubuta game da wasu podcast ɗinsa, tana kiran sa “manazarcin crypto Kevin” da “Kevin Capital”. Ba mu sami wani rikodi mai zaman kansa na digirin ba ko na kowane aiki na ƙwararru, kuma babu abin da ke wannan shafi da ya dogara da ɗayansu.
An buɗe asusun X @Kev_Capital_TA a Disamba 2015 kuma yana da kimanin mabiya 25,400 da wallafe-wallafe fiye da 26,000 (28 Satumba 2026). Yana da alamar shuɗi ta biya (nau'in “individual”), ba alamar ƙungiya ba. Asusun yana haɗe da tashar YouTube @Kev_Capital_TA, wacce ke da kimanin masu biyan kuɗi 5,970 da bidiyo 241. Bayanin tashar da kansa yana komawa zuwa Patreon ɗin, kuma haka muka haɗa su biyun.
Tashar ta wuce crypto kaɗai. A cikin lokacin da muka duba, tana da bidiyo game da S&P 500, Nvidia, SoFi, ServiceNow da azurfa kamar yadda take da su game da Bitcoin. Wannan shafi yana ba da maki ne kawai ga kiran Bitcoin da Ethereum.
A note on sources. Three calls come from his own X posts, fetched in full. Three come from articles quoting his podcasts (NewsBTC and Benzinga). One is a YouTube video title, checked against YouTube's oEmbed record. This server cannot pull YouTube transcripts, so where only a title is available, only the title is graded.
Sources: x.com/Kev_Capital_TA · youtube.com/@Kev_Capital_TA · Benzinga · NewsBTC · CoinGecko
Taswira farko, matakai na biyu. Kevin yana shimfiɗa taswirar Bitcoin mai matakai da yawa sannan ya bibiyi farashi da ita, bidiyo bayan bidiyo. Wuraren dubawa matsakaicin motsi ne: two-day 200 EMA/SMA (“shinge na ƙarshe”), 50-week SMA da 4H 200. Yana ƙara aljihun zinare na Fibonacci, kwararar kuɗin manyan masu riƙe da rinjayen stablecoin. Yana gaya wa mabiya su yi dollar-cost average maimakon jiran shigowa cikakkiya, kuma shi kansa ya bi wannan shawara: a watan Yuli yana sayen Bitcoin yayin da har yanzu yake hasashen ƙasa mafi zurfi. Rauni shi ne burin farashi. Yankin ƙasansa na $44,000–$56,000 ya yi kuskure, ko da yake lokacin da ya ƙayyade daga Yuli zuwa Oktoba ya yi daidai.
Daga bearish zuwa taka-tsantsan a lokacin bazara, yana kiran kowace hauhawa saɓanin yanayi. Ya koma mai kyakkyawan fata a farkon Yuli yayin da har yanzu yake sa ran ƙarin faɗuwa ɗaya. Cikakken bullish tun tsakiyar Satumba, yana sa ran ja da baya na “wave-2” bayan tashi zuwa $93.5K–$100K.
Seven dated calls charted against real CoinGecko price. Three are his own X posts, fetched in full. Three are from podcasts, quoted word for word by NewsBTC and Benzinga. One is the title of one of his YouTube videos. We read his X posts and videos back to the start of our price window, and every upload since, and charted the calls that name a Bitcoin or Ethereum direction or level. Titles that ask a question or repeat a call we already charted are listed in the library below.
“Every major indicator is now signaling the bitcoin:native bear market is over. All of them.”
Posted at 02:10 UTC with Bitcoin at $84,449. Since then it has closed as high as $86,490 on 5 Oct (+2.4%) and as low as $81,686 on 9 Oct (−3.3%). It is $83,593 today (−1.0%). A regime call, so the test is the months ahead, not the first two weeks. He set his own line on 5 Oct: Bitcoin would have to break down through $83K–$77K and then $75K–$67K “to be bearish again”. Graded still open.
𝕏 Post“Every major indicator is now signaling the … bear market is over” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 28 Sep 2026↗ x.com“If bitcoin:native can hold $83K–$77K while short-term indicators reset, I think a push into $93.5K–$100K becomes very likely before a more durable 10%–20% wave-2 correction that sets the macro higher low.”
Posted with Bitcoin at $84,378. Since then it has closed as high as $86,490 on 5 Oct (+2.5%) and as low as $81,686 on 9 Oct (−3.2%), still inside his $83K–$77K hold zone. It is $83,593 today (−0.9%). $93,500 is 10.8% above the call. He repeated the same path on 2 Oct and 9 Oct. Graded still open.
𝕏 Post“A push into $93.5K–$100K becomes very likely” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 25 Sep 2026↗ x.com“Break and hold $78K–$83.7K with escape velocity. Daily trend is already flipped.”
Bitcoin was $76,819, just under the two-day 200 EMA/SMA band he called “the last hurdle”. The same post said: “Until year-end: buy the dips and hold when they show up.” The dip was small, to $75,590 on 16 Sep (−1.6%). Bitcoin then closed above the top of the band on 22 Sep, at $86,597 (+12.7%). It is $83,593 today, +8.8% above the call and just under the top of the band. Graded played out.
𝕏 Post“This is the last hurdle” — @Kev_Capital_TA on X, 14 Sep 2026↗ x.com“I still believe that we should go down to the $56,000-to-$44,000 range.”
Bitcoin was $65,344, and $56,000 was 14.3% below. The lowest close after the call was $62,773 on 2 Aug (−3.9%). Bitcoin then rose to $86,597 on 22 Sep (+32.5%) and is $83,593 today, +27.9% above the call. Graded went against. His advice in the same podcast held up better than his target: “I’m still buying Bitcoin at these levels,” he said, and he warned that waiting for the low “is dangerous”.
Source“Bitcoin to $44,000? Maybe, but Don't Wait for the ‘Perfect Bottom’” — Kevin on his podcast, via Benzinga, 27 Jul 2026↗ benzinga.com“ETHEREUM IS GETTING MORE BULLISH EVERY WEEK | ZOOM OUT AND DON'T BECOME A PERMA BEAR”
Ethereum was $1,774, and it never closed lower. It climbed to $2,775 on 22 Sep (+56.4%) and is $2,542 today, +43.3% above the call. The best-timed call on this page. Graded played out.
“Ethereum Is Getting More Bullish Every Week” — Kev Capital TA (YouTube, 14 Jul 2026)▶ Kalli kiran · youtu.be/exmKn9fvHkE“the Bitcoin bears are finally getting weaker”
Bitcoin was $63,747, twelve days after its $58,566 low of 1 Jul. It closed at $62,279 the next day (−2.3%) and not lower after that. It reached $86,597 on 22 Sep (+35.8%) and is $83,593 today, +31.1% above the call. Graded played out. In the same podcast he said Bitcoin could still revisit $44,000–$56,000, the view he repeated on 27 Jul.
Source“Bitcoin Bears Are Getting Weaker Despite Drop to $62,000” — Kevin on his podcast, via Benzinga, 13 Jul 2026↗ benzinga.com“Until that happens, it’s still a higher counter-trend rally within a higher time frame downtrend.”
With Ethereum at $2,351, he said the rally from about $1,700 was a counter-trend bounce until ETH reclaimed $2,800 and retested it. It never did. Ethereum peaked at $2,370 on 11 May and fell to $1,566 on 26 Jun (−33.4%). No close above $2,800 since; the high is $2,775 on 22 Sep (+18.0%). Ethereum is $2,542 today, +8.1% above the call. Graded played out.
Source“Ethereum To $10,000? Analyst Says ETH Must Clear This Level First” — Kevin's 7 May market update, via NewsBTC↗ newsbtc.comSakamakon fahimtarmu ne na kowane kira, an auna shi da ainihin farashin CoinGecko — ba makin Kevin da kansa ba. Layin “$1,000 da aka saka” a ƙarƙashin kowane jadawali adadi ne na saya-ka-riƙe daga ranar kiran. Kira biyu suna sa ran ƙananan farashi: kiran Ethereum na 7 Mayu da burin $56K–$44K na 27 Yuli. Ga waɗannan biyun, adadi mai tashi yana nufin kasuwa ta saɓa wa kiran.
Nazari kyauta a X da YouTube, tare da Patreon na biya da Discord na musamman a bayansa, da hanyar haɗin tura mutane zuwa musayar kuɗi.
Bayanin X yana haɗe da patreon.com/KevCapitalTA. Tashar YouTube ta bayyana shi a matsayin “ɗaya daga cikin manyan al'ummomin crypto a duk duniyar crypto” da ke ba da “nazari na musamman mai inganci daga gare ni kan dukkan kasuwanni”, tare da damar shiga “duka Patreon da Premium Discord”. Patreon ya toshe buƙatarmu, don haka ba mu iya ganin farashin matakai ko yawan mambobi ba.
Bayanin tashar yana tallata Bitunix da hanyar haɗin tura mutane, yana bayyana ta a matsayin musayar kuɗi don kasuwancin spot da leverage mai “ƙananan kuɗaɗe da ladan USDT, ba a buƙatar VPN ko KYC”. Hanyar haɗin tura mutane na nufin yana samun kuɗi idan masu kallo suka yi rajista suka yi kasuwanci. Musayar kuɗi da aka tallata cewa ba ta buƙatar KYC ƙila ba ta da lasisi a inda kake zaune.
Ya faɗa a bainar jama'a cewa yana sayen Bitcoin (“Har yanzu ina sayen Bitcoin a waɗannan matakai”, 27 Yuli) kuma ya shiga long na Ethereum a watan Satumba. Ba a wallafa bayanin kadarorinsa ba, don haka ka ɗauka yana riƙe da abin da yake tattaunawa.
“I still believe that we should go down to the $56,000-to-$44,000 range.”
27 Jul 2026 · Bitcoin bai taɓa rufewa ƙasa da $62,773 ba“Until year-end: buy the dips and hold when they show up.”
14 Sep 2026 · Bitcoin ya karya shingensa na $83.7K kwana takwas bayan haka“Analysis is not for pinpointing perfect entries. It’s for limiting your downside risk.”
27 Jul 2026 · abin da yake gaya wa masu kallonsa game da burinsaAn ɗauko kalaman daga majiyoyinsa na jama'a; ra'ayoyi ne da ya bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Waɗannan taken YouTube masu kwanan wata da aka tabbatar ba a zana su ba, saboda suna yin tambaya, suna maimaita kiran da muka riga muka zana, ko sun yi sabo sosai. Ga abin da farashi ya yi duk da haka:
THE BITCOIN BULL MARKET IS HERE ‼️THIS IS WHERE BITCOIN GOES NEXT 👀A regime call three weeks old. Bitcoin was $81,169 and is $83,593 today (+3.0%). The 25 September target post, which is charted, covers the same view.21 Sep 2026
BITCOIN TO SOAR TO 150K-215K BEFORE THE NEXT HALVING‼️The next halving is about two years away. Bitcoin was $76,371 and is $83,593 today (+9.5%). Too long-dated to grade yet.18 Sep 2026
THE TIME TO BE OVERLY BEARISH ON BITCOIN IS OVER | YOU'RE MAKING A MISTAKEThe same view as the charted 13 July call, so it is not counted twice. Bitcoin was $64,670 and is up 29.3% since.20 Jul 2026
A BOTTOM IS GETTING CLOSER ON BITCOIN | DO NOT BECOME A PERMA BEARBitcoin was $63,586, five days after the 1 July low. Its lowest close after that was $62,247 (−2.1%). It is up 31.5% since.06 Jul 2026
85K OR 48K FIRST FOR BITCOIN?A question, so not graded, and now older than the start of our price window. Bitcoin reached neither: the low was $58,566 on 1 July and $85K was first passed on 22 September.12 Mar 2026Kev Capital TA sunan asusun wani manazarci ne da ke wallafawa da sunan “Kevin” a X (@Kev_Capital_TA, kimanin mabiya 25,000, a X tun Disamba 2015) kuma yana gudanar da tashar YouTube mai kimanin masu biyan kuɗi 6,000. Bayanin sa ya ambaci B.S. in Finance. Yana bin diddigin Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoin da hannayen jarin Amurka, kuma yana gudanar da Patreon da Discord na biya.
Seven dated Bitcoin and Ethereum calls inside our price window. Four played out: Ethereum's May rally as counter-trend (ETH then fell 33.4%), the bears weakening in mid-July (Bitcoin +35.8% at best), a bullish Ethereum call at $1,774 (+56.4% at best), and the September break of his $78K–$83.7K hurdle. One went against him: his 27 July target of $56,000–$44,000, which never came. Two are still open: a $93.5K–$100K target from 25 September, and his 28 September post that the Bitcoin bear market is over.
A wannan samfurin, fahimtarsa ta alkiblar yanayi ta yi kyau amma burinsa na farashin ƙasa bai yi ba. Ya kuma gaya wa mabiya su riƙa saye a hankali maimakon jiran burinsa, kuma wannan ɓangaren ne ya yi aiki. Yana sayar da Patreon kuma yana tallata hanyar haɗin tura mutane zuwa musayar kuɗi. Ka ɗauki kowane kira guda a matsayin ra'ayi mai kwanan wata, ba sigina ba.
Ta hanyar Patreon na biya mai Discord na musamman, da hanyar haɗin tura mutane zuwa musayar Bitunix a bayanin tashar YouTube ɗinsa. Ba mu iya ganin farashin Patreon ba.
Galibi two-day 200 EMA da SMA, 50-week SMA, aljihun zinare na Fibonacci, kwararar kuɗin manyan masu riƙe, rinjayen stablecoin da taswirar zafin liquidity, an tsara su cikin taswirar zagayen Bitcoin mai matakai da yawa.
Kevin yana karanta yanayi da dogayen matsakaicin motsi kuma yana saye a matakai maimakon jiran cikakken ƙasa. Yaya hakan ya yi kusa da fahimtarka? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Saye a matakai ko tsayayyen buri: rikodi ne kaɗai ke bayyanawa. Gwada fahimtarka a kan ainihin bayanan kasuwa, ba tare da haɗarin jari ba, a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayani da ilimantarwa da aka gina gaba ɗaya kan kayan da ke a bainar jama'a: wallafe-wallafen X da taken YouTube na Kevin masu kwanan wata, rahotannin Benzinga da NewsBTC game da podcast ɗinsa (kowanne an haɗa shi da kiran sa), bayanan martabarsa na jama'a, da bayanan farashin CoinGecko. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko ta zuba jari ba ce. Adadin kimantawa ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Kevin? Aika gyara →
Asusun da aka tabbatar · An ambaci majiyoyi a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 12 October 2026
