@jjcmoreno
Shugaban bincike a kamfanin bayanan on-chain CryptoQuant. Ya kira farfaɗowar watan Maris da ɗan hutun farfaɗowa a cikin kasuwar bear, kuma ya yi gargaɗi game da ɗaukar riba a ranar 5 ga Mayu a $79,826, kafin faɗuwa zuwa $58,566. Ya gano juyawar watan Agusta da wuri. Amma a ranar mafi ƙasƙancin farashin kasuwar bear, ya nuna cewa ƙasa ba ta zo ba tukuna, kuma wani matakin resistance da ya nuna a watan Afrilu ya karye bayan kwana huɗu.
A taƙaice. Julio Moreno shi ne shugaban bincike a CryptoQuant kuma yana wallafa rubutu a X da sunan @jjcmoreno. A cikin samfurinmu na hasashe bakwai a cikin lokacin bincike, sakamakon shi ne 4 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 2 sun saɓa. Karatunsa na yanayin kasuwa bisa buƙata galibi ya yi daidai. Lokacin da ya ƙayyade ƙasa da wani matakin resistance guda ɗaya ba su yi daidai ba.
Julio Moreno shi ne shugaban bincike a CryptoQuant, wani kamfanin nazarin on-chain. Tarihin rayuwarsa na X ya faɗi haka, kuma CoinDesk ya ambace shi a wannan matsayi a ranar 30 ga Satumba 2026. Wurinsa a X shi ne San Salvador, El Salvador. Bayanansa na Substack sun bayyana shi a matsayin “Economist” kuma sun lissafa kimiyyar bayanai.
Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa suna taƙaita binciken CryptoQuant na mako-mako: ƙaruwa da raguwar buƙata, ɗaukar riba, da Bull Score Index na kamfanin, maki 0–100 da aka gina daga alamomi goma. Yawancin rubuce-rubuce suna bayyana bayanai ba tare da goyon bayan wani ɓangare ba. Mun zana rubuce-rubucen da suka faɗi yanayin kasuwa, haɗari ko wani mataki kawai.
Kafin lokacin farashinmu, a watan Oktoba 2025, ya gaya wa podcast ɗin Milk Road cewa hawan sama da $115K zai iya buɗe kewayon $150K–$195K, kuma ba ya tsammanin kololuwar zagaye daga baya fiye da Q1 2026, a cewar NewsBTC. Waɗannan ra'ayoyin suna wajen lokacin farashinmu kuma ba a yi musu maki a nan ba.
Sources: x.com/jjcmoreno (own posts) · coindesk.com · newsbtc.com · cryptoquant.com
Buƙata da farko, farashi daga baya. Julio yana karanta Bitcoin ta yadda buƙatar spot da futures ke ƙaruwa ko raguwa da sauri, yawan ribar da masu riƙewa ke ɗauka, da Bull Score Index na CryptoQuant. Yana ambaton matakan farashin on-chain a matsayin support ko resistance. Yana saurin yin gargaɗi idan farfaɗowa na tafiya bisa ɗaukar riba, kuma yana jinkirin cewa ƙasa ta zo.
Ra'ayin bear daga Maris zuwa Yuli: farfaɗowa a cikin kasuwar bear, sannan gargaɗin ɗaukar riba a watan Afrilu da Mayu, sannan, a watan Yuni da Yuli, gargaɗi kada a yi gaggawar ayyana ƙasan zagaye. Ya koma ra'ayin bull a tsakiyar watan Agusta lokacin da buƙatar spot ta fara ƙaruwa, kuma a ranar 25 ga Agusta ya ce yanayin kasuwa ya koma bull. Ya sake yin taka-tsantsan daga 25 ga Satumba, yana gargaɗin yiwuwar gyaran farashi.
Hasashe bakwai masu kwanan wata daga Julio Moreno, duk daga rubuce-rubucensa na X, kowanne an duba shi kalma da kalma da rubutun kuma an zana shi a kan ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 4 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 2 sun saɓa.
“These are typical signals of a rally losing momentum and risks of a correction.”
An wallafa a $84,378, bayan ribar da masu riƙewa ba su karɓa ba ta kai mafi girma tun Disamba 2024 kuma ɗaukar riba ta yau da kullum ta kai mafi girma a 2026. Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $83,479 (−1.1%) a ranar 29 ga Satumba kuma ya tashi zuwa $86,490 (+2.5%) a ranar 5 ga Oktoba. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+1.3%). Babu gyaran farashi tukuna. A buɗe.
𝕏 Post“These are typical signals of a rally losing momentum and risks of a correction.” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.com“Market regime has switched to Bull for Bitcoin. Basically all metrics are pointing to the initial phase of a new bull market.”
An wallafa a $78,974. Ya ƙara sharuɗɗa biyu: dole farashi ya rufe sama da matsakaicinsa na kwana 365, wanda a ranar yake $83K, don tabbatar da kasuwar bull, kuma gyaran farashi zai iya faruwa. Duka biyun sun faru. Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $75,590 (−4.3%) a ranar 16 ga Satumba, sannan ya tashi zuwa $86,597 (+9.7%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+8.2%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“Market regime has switched to Bull for Bitcoin.” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin apparent spot demand entered into expansion territory a few days ago for just the second time in 2026. Historically, the median return is 23% in the next 60 days after this happens during a bear market.”
An zana a $64,686. Rubutun ya fita da ƙarfe 15:42 UTC, kuma farashin washegari ya riga ya kai $69,291 (+7.1%). Ribar 23% daga farashin 19 ga Agusta ta zo cikin kwana tara: Bitcoin ya rufe a $80,268 (+24.1%) a ranar 28 ga Agusta. Ya ci gaba zuwa $86,597 (+33.9%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $85,466 (+32.1%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“Historically, the median return is 23% in the next 60 days after this happens during a bear market.” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.com“Fresh Bitcoin bear market low. The bottom is in when everyone stops calling the bottom is in.”
An wallafa da ƙarfe 03:12 UTC a ranar mafi ƙasƙanci, $58,566. Bai bayar da manufa ba, amma rubutun ya ce ƙasa ba ta zo ba tukuna. Ashe ta zo. Bitcoin bai taɓa rufewa ƙasa da haka ba. Ya tashi zuwa $86,597 (+47.9%) a ranar 22 ga Satumba kuma yanzu yana $85,466 (+45.9%). Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“The bottom is in when everyone stops calling the bottom is in.” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.com“Bitcoin is up 36% from the 2026 low, watch out for the profit taking.”
An wallafa a $79,826, bayan masu riƙewa sun ɗauki ribar yau da kullum mafi girma tun Disamba. Bitcoin ya ɗan ƙara tashi, zuwa $82,018 (+2.7%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu, kololuwarsa ta lokacin bazara. Sannan ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−26.6%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+7.1%), amma faɗuwar ce ta fara zuwa. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“Bitcoin is up 36% from the 2026 low, watch out for the profit taking.” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.com“The price of Bitcoin is approaching a major bear market resistance: the Traders' On-chain Realized Price, currently at $76.8K.”
An wallafa a $74,482. Matakin bai riƙe ba. Bitcoin ya rufe sama da shi a $77,126 (+3.5%) bayan kwana huɗu, a ranar 18 ga Afrilu, kuma ya tashi zuwa $82,018 (+10.1%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu. Sai a ƙarshen Mayu ne ya juya ƙasa gaba ɗaya, a hanyarsa zuwa $58,566 (−21.4%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+14.7%). A matsayin hasashen resistance, ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“approaching a major bear market resistance: the Traders' On-chain Realized Price, currently at $76.8K” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.com“We are still in a bear market, but in a relief rally.”
An wallafa a $69,849, lokacin da Bull Score Index na CryptoQuant ya tashi zuwa 30. Farfaɗowar ta kai $82,018 (+17.4%) a ranar 11 ga Mayu. Sannan kasuwar bear ta yi sabon mafi ƙasƙanci a $58,566 (−16.2%) a ranar 1 ga Yuli. Yanzu yana $85,466 (+22.4%), bayan ya ayyana sabon yanayin bull a watan Agusta. Duka sassan hasashen biyu sun tabbata.
𝕏 Post“We are still in a bear market, but in a relief rally.” — @jjcmoreno on X↗ x.comSakamako ra'ayinmu ne game da iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba makin da shi da kansa ya bayar ba. Kowace magana an ɗauko ta kalma da kalma daga rubutun da aka haɗa a katinta. Kowane hasashe an zana shi a farashin CoinGecko na tsakar daren wannan rana. Rubutun 1 ga Yuli ya fita da ƙarfe 03:12 UTC, awa uku bayan farashin wannan rana, wanda shi ne mafi ƙasƙanci. Wannan ra'ayin, cewa ƙasa ba ta zo ba tukuna, ya bayyana a rubuce-rubuce biyu da ba mu zana ba: “Don't rush the cycle bottom” a ranar 7 ga Yuni a $60,855, da kuma a ranar 30 ga Yuli “there's still a lot of room to go” a $63,917. Bayan 7 ga Yuni, faɗuwar farashin rufewar Bitcoin ba ta wuce 3.8% ba; bayan 30 ga Yuli, ba ta wuce 1.8% ba. A duka lokutan biyu, daga baya ya tashi fiye da 35%. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa suna bayyana bayanai ba tare da ra'ayi ba, kuma mun cire su. Layin “$1,000 in” a kowane kati yana ɗauka cewa an sayi Bitcoin a ranar. A katunan bear, yana nuna abin da mai saye zai yi asara ko riba, ba abin da ya ce a yi ba.
Rubuce-rubucen Julio na X kyauta ne a karanta. Ga yadda ake biyan kuɗin aikinsa.
Shi ne shugaban bincike a CryptoQuant, wanda ke sayar da bayanan on-chain. Shafin farashinsa ya lissafa matakin kyauta, Advanced a $39 a wata, Professional a $109 a wata da Premium a $799 a wata a tsarin shekara. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa suna tallata rahotanni, dashboard da podcast na kamfanin.
Yana fitowa a podcast da talabijin, kamar Milk Road da FintechTV, kuma CoinDesk, The Block da wasu suna yawan ambatonsa. Ba mu sami wata alama cewa ana biyansa saboda waɗannan ba.
Bai bayyana a fili ko yana riƙe da Bitcoin ba, kuma ba mu sami wata sanarwa ba.
“We are still in a bear market, but in a relief rally.”
11 Mar 2026 · ya tabbata“Bitcoin is up 36% from the 2026 low, watch out for the profit taking.”
5 May 2026 · ya tabbata“The bottom is in when everyone stops calling the bottom is in.”
1 Jul 2026 · ya saɓaAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Julio yana wallafa zane-zanen CryptoQuant a X galibin ranakun aiki, tare da hanyoyin haɗi zuwa rahotannin bincike na mako-mako da dashboard kai tsaye na kamfanin.
Shugaban bincike a CryptoQuant, wani kamfanin nazarin on-chain. Yana wallafa rubutu a X da sunan @jjcmoreno, yana da mabiya kusan 23,000, kuma yana kiran kansa masanin tattalin arziki. Wurinsa a X shi ne San Salvador, El Salvador.
A cikin samfurinmu na hasashe bakwai masu kwanan wata daga 11 ga Maris zuwa 25 ga Satumba 2026: huɗu sun tabbata, ɗaya a buɗe, biyu sun saɓa. Gargaɗinsa na lokacin bazara da hasashensa na bull a watan Agusta sun yi daidai. Bai ga mafi ƙasƙancin 1 ga Yuli a matsayin ƙasa ba.
Rubuce-rubucensa na X kyauta ne. Yana aiki a CryptoQuant, wanda ke sayar da tsare-tsaren bayanai daga $39 a wata (Advanced) zuwa $799 a wata (Premium), tare da matakin kyauta.
Makin CryptoQuant daga 0 zuwa 100 da aka gina daga alamomi goma, tara na on-chain da ɗaya na fasaha. Julio yana amfani da shi don sanya wa kasuwa suna a ma'auni daga bear sosai zuwa bull sosai.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
Julio yana karanta Bitcoin ta hanyar buƙata da ɗaukar riba. Yaya kusancin hankalinka? Auna shi da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayani da ilimi wanda ya dogara kacokan kan kayan jama'a: rubuce-rubucensa da bayanansa na X na jama'a da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko saka hannun jari ba ce. Alƙaluma kimanin ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Julio? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 6 October 2026
