@CarpeNoctom
Masanin chart na Ichimoku wanda ke jagorantar ciniki a kamfanin da ke fitar da crypto ETF, Canary Capital, kuma yana wallafa gajerun hasashen chart masu kwanan wata ga kusan mabiya 149,000. A 2026, yawancin juyawarsa sun zo a kan lokaci. A ranar 29 May, lokacin da Bitcoin ke $73,652, ya ce mai yiwuwa yana kan hanyar gwada matsakaicin motsi na mako 200, kuma bayan kwana shida ya isa can. Taken bidiyonsa na Afrilu “Here's How $BTC Hits ATH in 2026” har yanzu yana da nisa, kuma bayan hasashensa na “M top” a Satumba sai aka samu ballewa sama.
A taƙaice. Josh Olszewicz yana cinikin Bitcoin da Ether bisa Ichimoku cloud da tsoffin tsarin chart, kuma yana wallafa tsare-tsarensa a X a matsayin @CarpeNoctom. A samfurinmu na rubuce-rubuce bakwai a cikin lokacin bincike, sakamakon shi ne 5 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 1 ya saɓa. Hasashen da ya fi kyau shi ne juyawar bearish na 29 May: daga $73,652 ya yi tsammanin gwajin matsakaicin motsi na mako 200, wanda ya zo a ranar 4 June a $64,047 (−13.0%). Ya kuma faɗi burin 70k+ na inverse head-and-shoulders a Yuli da ballewar Ether a Agusta (+32.2% cikin makonni biyu). Kuskuren shi ne M top na 11 September, wanda ya nuna $70k–$72k, amma Bitcoin ya tafi $86,597 maimakon haka. Taken sa na 20 April, hanyar zuwa sabon kololuwa a 2026, har yanzu a buɗe yake.
Josh Olszewicz shi ne VP kuma Shugaban Ciniki a Canary Capital, wani kamfanin gudanar da kadarori na Amurka da ke fitar da crypto ETF. Bayanin sa a X yana cewa “Canary.Capital PM & Head of Trading”. A cewar shafin ma'aikatan Canary, a baya ya jagoranci binciken crypto a BraveNewCoin, ya kasance manajan jakar jari a Techemy Capital kuma ya yi aiki a matsayin Shugaban Bincike a Valkyrie Investments. Kafin crypto ya koyar da kimiyyar ɗakin gwaji a matakin jami'a, kuma yana da digirin BS a Human Biology da MS a Biotechnology. Ya kasance a X a matsayin @CarpeNoctom tun March 2009.
Ayyukansa suna bin tsarin mako-mako: bidiyon “Setup Sunday”, “Macro Monday”, shirin “Alt Coins” da watsa shirye-shirye kai tsaye na “Broad Market Review” a ranar Juma'a, tare da rubuce-rubuce na mako-mako kan bayanan CME Commitments of Traders (CoT) da kwararar spot ETF na Amurka. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa na chart suna magana kan hannayen jari da kuma crypto. Wannan shafi yana auna hasashensa na Bitcoin da Ether kawai, domin waɗannan ne farashin da shafin ke bibiya.
Shi da kansa ma yana bayyana wani kuskurensa. A ranar 3 June 2026 ya sake wallafa rubutunsa na March 2018 “ya, still on track for 33k by July” tare da layin “Heroes get remembered but bad calls never die”. Bitcoin bai ma kusanci $33k ba a 2018. Rubuce-rubucensa na CoT na mako-mako sun karanta bayanan a matsayin bearish a yawancin lokacin bincike, har ma a lokacin hauhawar July–September. Muna ɗaukar su a matsayin rahotannin bayanai, ba hasashen farashi ba, kuma ba mu sanya su a chart ba. Rubuce-rubuce bakwai sun cancanci zama hasashe, kuma an duba wasu da dama an cire su. Kowanne an jera shi tare da dalilinsa a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar.
Sources: x.com/CarpeNoctom (captured via api.fxtwitter.com and X syndication) · canary.capital/about · canaryetfs.com · linktr.ee/carpenoctom · YouTube oEmbed
Gajimare ne ke yanke hukunci. Olszewicz yana karanta yanayin kasuwa daga Ichimoku cloud (“kumo”): sama da shi bullish ne, ƙasa da shi bearish ne, kuma ballewa ta cikinsa alama ce. Yana haɗa shi da tsoffin tsari: head-and-shoulders da inverse head-and-shoulders, double top (“M”), falling wedge, da burin Fibonacci. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa layi ɗaya ne da chart ɗaya, tare da buri ko matakin soke hasashe. Wannan yana sa a sauƙaƙa auna su. Ƙarfinsa shi ne juyawa tare da yanayin kasuwa: a wannan samfurin ya koma bearish kafin faɗuwar Yuni, kuma ya sake komawa bullish kafin ballewar Agusta. Rauninsa shi ne tsarin da bai taɓa faruwa ba: M top na Satumba ya ɗauki tsayawa a matsayin kololuwa.
Kusan tsaka-tsaki, kuma yana canzawa tare da chart. Ya kasance bullish a Afrilu da farkon Mayu, ya koma bearish a ranar 29 May ƙasa da gajimaren yau da kullum, ya sake komawa bullish a Yuli da Agusta, sannan ya yi gargaɗin yiwuwar kololuwa a Satumba. A ranar 30 September ya rubuta cewa “never seen Q3 this bullish”.
Rubuce-rubuce bakwai masu kwanan wata daga @CarpeNoctom, kowanne an ɗauko shi kalma da kalma daga X kuma an kwatanta shi da ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 5 sun tabbata, 1 a buɗe, 1 ya saɓa. Rikodinsa ya fi ƙarfi a lokutan juyawa: hasashen 29 May na gwajin matsakaicin motsi na mako 200, “no bottom yet” na 5 June, burin 70k+ na 20 July da ballewar Ether a Agusta duk sun tabbata. M top na 11 September ya saɓa, kuma taken Afrilu na sabon kololuwa har yanzu a buɗe yake.
“looks like a potential M top here, downside fibs = 70-72”
Karatun double top na bearish a chart na yau da kullum, an wallafa a $76,555, tare da burin Fibonacci a $70k–$72k. Faɗuwar ba ta zo ba. Mafi ƙasƙancin alamar yau da kullum bayan haka ita ce $75,590 (−1.3%) a ranar 16 September, nesa da burin. Bayan mako ɗaya Bitcoin ya balle zuwa $86,597 (+13.1%), kuma yanzu yana $85,208 (+11.3%). Ya saɓa.
𝕏 Post“looks like a potential M top here, downside fibs = 70-72” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.com“ethereum:native prepping for breakout”
Hasashen ballewa kan Ether, an wallafa a $1,902 bayan makonni na ciniki a gefe. Ya sauka zuwa $1,871 (−1.6%) a ranar 11 August, sannan ya balle: $2,515 (+32.2%) a ranar 22 August da $2,775 (+45.9%) a ranar 22 September. Yanzu yana $2,714 (+42.7%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“ethereum:native prepping for breakout” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.com“a small nudge and $BTC is in full breakout territory iHS target = 70k+”
Burin inverse head-and-shoulders, an wallafa a $64,670. Ya ɗauki wata ɗaya. Bitcoin ya fara sauka zuwa $62,773 (−2.9%) a ranar 2 August. Sannan ya rufe sama da $70k a karon farko a ranar 21 August a $73,021 (+12.9%), kuma ya ci gaba zuwa $86,597 (+33.9%). Yanzu yana $85,208 (+31.8%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“a small nudge and $BTC is in full breakout territory” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.com“$BTC pi cycle bottom suggests more no bottom yet”
Karatun ma'aunin zagaye, an wallafa a $63,811 washegarin da Bitcoin ya taɓa matsakaicinsa na mako 200. Ƙarin faɗuwa ta biyo baya: $60,855 (−4.6%) a ranar 7 June, da mafi ƙasƙancin 2026 na $58,566 (−8.2%) a ranar 1 July. Sai a lokacin ne ƙasan ya kafu. Bitcoin ya ci gaba zuwa $86,597 (+35.7%) kuma yanzu yana $85,208 (+33.5%). Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“$BTC pi cycle bottom suggests more no bottom yet” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.com“if channel support doesnt save this then we are probably headed for a 200WMA test bearish lean negated if/when price >79k above cloud”
Juyawar bearish, an wallafa a $73,652 lokacin da Bitcoin ke ƙasa da gajimaren yau da kullum kuma yana karya head-and-shoulders. Tallafin channel bai riƙe ba. A ranar 4 June Bitcoin ya kai $64,047 (−13.0%), kuma ya wallafa cewa ya isa matsakaicin motsi na mako 200 a karon farko tun October 2023. Ya kai ƙasa a $58,566 (−20.5%) a ranar 1 July. Matakin soke hasashen, rufewa sama da $79k, ya zo ne kawai a ranar 27 August a $79,018, watanni uku daga baya. Bitcoin yana $85,208 (+15.7%) yanzu, amma hasashen na gwajin ne, kuma gwajin ya zo. Ya tabbata.
𝕏 Post“1D $BTC — below daily Cloud now, bottom of channel, active H&S breakdown” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.com“4h $BTC poised for a Sun open attempt higher”
Hasashen ɗan gajeren lokaci a chart na awa 4, an wallafa a $78,677. Bitcoin ya tura sama: $81,437 (+3.5%) a ranar 7 May da $82,018 (+4.2%) a ranar 11 May, mafi girmansa a lokacin bazara. A wannan maraice ya rubuta cewa farfaɗowa daga faɗuwar ita ce mafi sauri a tarihi “if the low holds”. Bai riƙe ba: zuwa 1 July Bitcoin yana $58,566 (−25.6%). Yanzu yana $85,208 (+8.3%). Hasashen ɗan gajeren lokaci ya tabbata; babban motsin da ya biyo baya ya tafi ɗaya hanyar.
𝕏 Post“4h $BTC poised for a Sun open attempt higher” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.com“Setup Sunday: Here's How $BTC Hits ATH in 2026”
Taken bidiyonsa na mako-mako, an wallafa a $73,841, wanda ke bayyana hanyar zuwa sabon kololuwa a wannan shekara. Rikodin shi ne kololuwar October 2025, sama da $120,000. Bitcoin ya fara hawa zuwa $82,018 (+11.1%) a ranar 11 May, sannan ya faɗi zuwa $58,566 (−20.7%) a ranar 1 July. Tun daga lokacin ya farfaɗo zuwa $86,597 (+17.3%) kuma yanzu yana $85,208 (+15.4%). Da saura watanni uku a 2026, rikodin har yanzu yana da nisa. A buɗe.
𝕏 Post“Setup Sunday: Here's How $BTC Hits ATH in 2026” — @CarpeNoctom on X↗ x.comSakamakon fassararmu ce ta iƙirarin da aka faɗa idan aka kwatanta da ainihin farashi, ba ƙididdigarsa ba. Kowace magana rubutu ne na X kalma da kalma, an haɗa shi a katinsa kuma an sake buga shi gaba ɗaya a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar. API na X yana rubuta alamomin BTC da ETH a matsayin “bitcoin:native” da “ethereum:native”, kuma muna ambaton su yadda aka dawo da su. Ba mu sanya a chart ɗin rubuce-rubucensa na mako-mako kan CoT da kwararar ETF ba (rahotannin bayanai), rubuce-rubuce masu shakku (“bull flag possible”), wani rubutu na 3 May wanda ya dogara da riƙewar mafi ƙasƙanci (bai riƙe ba), ko wani rubutu na baya kan Puell Multiple wanda ya maimaita hasashen bull na Yuli kuma da an ƙidaya shi a matsayin nasara. Farashin su ne alamomin yau da kullum na CoinGecko, don haka ana auna rubutun cikin yini daga alamar ranar. Layin “$1,000 da aka saka a kan wannan kiran” yana ɗauka cewa an saya a ranar rubutun; ga katunan bearish na 29 May da 11 September, wannan layin ba short ba ne. Alamomin kusa-kusa na iya juyawa.
Rubuce-rubuce da watsa shirye-shiryen Olszewicz kyauta ne. Babban kuɗin shigarsa daga aikinsa ne, kuma shafin hanyoyinsa yana da hanyar zuwa wata kasuwar musaya. Ga abin da muka gano.
Shi ne VP kuma Shugaban Ciniki a Canary Capital, wanda ke fitar da crypto ETF na Amurka, ciki har da asusun HBAR, Litecoin, Solana, SUI, TRX da XRP. Ba ya jera Bitcoin ko Ether ETF. Idan yana rubutu game da altcoin da ke cikin waɗannan asusun, ku tuna cewa mai ɗaukarsa aiki yana samun kuɗin sabis a kansu. A ranar 19 September ya wallafa “Time to buy some $SUIS ?”, wanda shi ne alamar Staked SUI ETF na Canary.
Hanya ta farko a Linktree ɗinsa ita ce Kraken Pro, ta hanyar haɗin abokin hulɗa da ake bibiya (kraken.pxf.io). Irin waɗannan hanyoyi yawanci suna biyan wanda ya tura idan wani ya yi rajista ko ya yi ciniki. Ba mu sami tallan tura mutane zuwa kasuwar musaya a rubuce-rubucensa na X ba.
Shirye-shiryen “Setup Sunday”, “Macro Monday” da “Broad Market Review” ana watsa su kyauta a X, YouTube da Twitch. Ba mu sami wasiƙar labarai ta biya, ƙungiya ta biya ko kwas ba.
“if channel support doesnt save this then we are probably headed for a 200WMA test”
29 May 2026 · juyawar da ta tabbata“Heroes get remembered but bad calls never die”
3 Jun 2026 · yana sake wallafa kuskurensa na 2018“never seen Q3 this bullish”
30 Sep 2026 · kan hauhawar Bitcoin ta July–SeptemberAn ɗauko maganganun daga tushen jama'a nasa; ra'ayoyi ne da aka bayyana, ba shawarwari ba.
Olszewicz yana watsa shirye-shirye a YouTube (@carpenoctom), a X da a Twitch, kuma yana wallafa kowane shiri a X. Shirin “Broad Market Review” na ranar Juma'a yana magana kan crypto, tattalin arziki da hannayen jari. Watsa shirye-shiryen kwanan nan da muka iya tabbatarwa:
Broad Market Review: Drop It Like Its HotAn watsa a ranar hasashensa na M top.11 Sep 2026
Broad Market Review: Breakout ConfirmedBallewar Bitcoin ta Afrilu, kwana uku kafin bidiyon sabon kololuwa.17 Apr 2026
Broad Market Review - Home on the Choppy RangeBitcoin ya maƙale a cikin iyakarsa a farkon Afrilu.3 Apr 2026Ɗan kasuwar crypto kuma mai nazari wanda ke wallafa a matsayin @CarpeNoctom a X ga kusan mabiya 149,000. Shi ne VP kuma Shugaban Ciniki a Canary Capital, kuma kafin haka ya kasance Shugaban Bincike a Valkyrie Investments kuma ya jagoranci binciken crypto a BraveNewCoin. Hanyarsa ita ce Ichimoku cloud da tsoffin tsarin chart.
A samfurinmu na rubuce-rubuce bakwai masu kwanan wata na 2026: biyar sun tabbata, ɗaya har yanzu a buɗe, ɗaya ya saɓa. Hasashensa na 29 May na gwajin matsakaicin motsi na mako 200 ya tabbata cikin kwana shida, kuma an cimma hasashensa na Bitcoin 70k+ da na ballewar Ether a Agusta. Hasashensa na M top na 11 September ya saɓa, kuma taken sa na Afrilu na sabon kololuwa har yanzu a buɗe yake.
Tsarin chart na Japan wanda ke zana wani zane mai inuwa, “cloud” ko kumo, daga tsoffin mafi tsayi da mafi ƙasƙanci. Farashi sama da gajimaren ana ɗaukarsa a matsayin hauhawa, ƙasa da shi kuma a matsayin faɗuwa. Olszewicz yana amfani da ballewa ta cikin gajimaren a matsayin alamomi.
Ba a sami wani kaya na biya ba. Rubuce-rubucensa da watsa shirye-shiryensa kyauta ne. Ana biyansa a matsayin shugaban ciniki a Canary Capital, kuma Linktree ɗinsa yana da hanyar Kraken Pro da ake bibiya.
Ba a san shi a fili ba, kuma babu adadi mai inganci. Kada ku kula da kowane takamaiman adadi da kuka gani an haɗa shi da sunan.
Olszewicz yana barin gajimare ya yanke hukunci. Yaya fahimtarka take kusa? Auna ta da gaske da Trader Passport.
Yanzu ka gwada hanyarka. Gwada ƙwarewarka kan bayanan kasuwa kai tsaye ba tare da haɗarin jari ba a gasar BuyCrypt kyauta mai kyaututtuka na gaske.
Nazari na bayani da ilmantarwa wanda ya dogara kacokan kan kayan da jama'a ke iya samu: rubuce-rubucen X masu kwanan wata da aka ɗauko daga hanyoyin jama'a na X da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko ta zuba jari ba ne. Alƙaluman kimanin ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Spotted an error, or are you Josh? Gabatar da gyara →
An tabbatar da masu amfani · An ambaci tushe a sama · Hanyar ba da maki · An sabunta 2 October 2026
