Josh Olszewicz

@CarpeNoctom

≈149K mabiya a XCanary Capital shugaban ciniki8 hasashe masu kwanan wata an zana su a nan

Mai nazarin jadawalin Ichimoku wanda ke jagorantar ciniki a kamfanin ETF na kirifto Canary Capital kuma yana wallafa gajerun hasashen jadawali masu kwanan wata ga kimanin mabiya 149,000. A 2026 juyawar da ya hango galibi sun zo a lokacin da ya dace. A ranar 29 ga Mayu, lokacin da Bitcoin yake $73,652, ya ce mai yiwuwa yana kan hanyar gwada matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200, kuma bayan kwanaki shida ya kai can. Taken sa na Afrilu “Here's How $BTC Hits ATH in 2026” har yanzu yana da nisa, bayan hasashensa na “M top” na Satumba sai fashewa ta biyo baya, kuma shi da kansa ya watsar da shirinsa na “rdy to rock” na 6 ga Oktoba washegari.

A taƙaice. Josh Olszewicz yana cinikin Bitcoin da Ether daga girgijen Ichimoku da tsarin jadawali na gargajiya, kuma yana wallafa shirye-shiryen a X a matsayin @CarpeNoctom. A samfurinmu na rubutu takwas a cikin taga sakamakon shine 5 sun tabbata, 1 ana ci gaba, 2 ba su tabbata ba. Mafi kyawun hasashe shine juyawar faɗuwa ta 29 ga Mayu: daga $73,652 ya yi tsammanin gwajin matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200, wanda ya zo a ranar 4 ga Yuni a $64,047 (−13.0%). Ya kuma yi hasashen manufar inverse head-and-shoulders ta Yuli ta 70k+ da fashewar Ether ta Agusta (+32.2% cikin makonni biyu). Kurakuran su ne M top na 11 ga Satumba, wanda ya nuna $70k–$72k yayin da Bitcoin ya tafi $86,597 maimakon haka, da hasashen fashewa na awa 4 na 6 ga Oktoba da ya watsar washegari (“so much for that”). Taken sa na 20 ga Afrilu, hanyar zuwa sabuwar kololuwar kowane lokaci a 2026, ana ci gaba da shi.

Bayanan baya — abin da aka rubuta, da abin da ba a rubuta ba

Josh Olszewicz shi ne VP kuma Shugaban Ciniki a Canary Capital, wani kamfanin gudanar da kadarori na Amurka da ke fitar da crypto ETF. Bayanin sa a X yana cewa “Canary.Capital PM & Head of Trading”. A cewar shafin ma'aikatan Canary, a baya ya jagoranci binciken crypto a BraveNewCoin, ya kasance manajan jakar jari a Techemy Capital kuma ya yi aiki a matsayin Shugaban Bincike a Valkyrie Investments. Kafin crypto ya koyar da kimiyyar ɗakin gwaji a matakin jami'a, kuma yana da digirin BS a Human Biology da MS a Biotechnology. Ya kasance a X a matsayin @CarpeNoctom tun March 2009.

Ayyukansa suna bin tsarin mako-mako: bidiyon “Setup Sunday”, “Macro Monday”, shirin “Alt Coins” da watsa shirye-shirye kai tsaye na “Broad Market Review” a ranar Juma'a, tare da rubuce-rubuce na mako-mako kan bayanan CME Commitments of Traders (CoT) da kwararar spot ETF na Amurka. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa na chart suna magana kan hannayen jari da kuma crypto. Wannan shafi yana auna hasashensa na Bitcoin da Ether kawai, domin waɗannan ne farashin da shafin ke bibiya.

Yana kuma bayyana wani kuskurensa na kansa. A ranar 3 ga Yuni 2026 ya sake wallafa rubutunsa na Maris 2018 “ya, still on track for 33k by July” tare da layin “Heroes get remembered but bad calls never die”. Bitcoin bai kusanci $33k ba a 2018. Rubutunsa na CoT na mako-mako sun fassara bayanan a matsayin na faɗuwa (bearish) a mafi yawan tagar, har da lokacin tashin Yuli–Satumba. Muna ɗaukar su a matsayin rahotannin bayanai, ba hasashen farashi ba, kuma ba mu sanya su a jadawali ba. Rubutu takwas sun cancanta a matsayin hasashe, kuma an duba wasu da dama aka cire su. Kowanne an lissafa shi tare da dalilinsa a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar.

Majiyoyi: x.com/CarpeNoctom (captured via api.fxtwitter.com and X syndication) · canary.capital/about · canaryetfs.com · linktr.ee/carpenoctom · YouTube oEmbed

Salo da hanyar kallon kasuwa

Gajimare ne ke yanke hukunci. Olszewicz yana karanta yanayin kasuwa daga Ichimoku cloud (“kumo”): sama da shi bullish ne, ƙasa da shi bearish ne, kuma ballewa ta cikinsa alama ce. Yana haɗa shi da tsoffin tsari: head-and-shoulders da inverse head-and-shoulders, double top (“M”), falling wedge, da burin Fibonacci. Yawancin rubuce-rubucensa layi ɗaya ne da chart ɗaya, tare da buri ko matakin soke hasashe. Wannan yana sa a sauƙaƙa auna su. Ƙarfinsa shi ne juyawa tare da yanayin kasuwa: a wannan samfurin ya koma bearish kafin faɗuwar Yuni, kuma ya sake komawa bullish kafin ballewar Agusta. Rauninsa shi ne tsarin da bai taɓa faruwa ba: M top na Satumba ya ɗauki tsayawa a matsayin kololuwa.

Hasashe da abin da ya biyo baya

Rubutu takwas masu kwanan wata daga @CarpeNoctom, kowanne an ɗauko shi kalma-da-kalma daga X kuma an sanya shi a jadawali tare da ainihin farashi. Jimillar ita ce 5 sun tabbata, 1 ana ci gaba, 2 ba su tabbata ba. Tarihin ya fi ƙarfi a juyawa: hasashen 29 ga Mayu na gwajin matsakaicin motsi na makonni 200, “no bottom yet” na 5 ga Yuni, manufar 70k+ ta 20 ga Yuli da fashewar Ether ta Agusta duk sun tabbata. M top na 11 ga Satumba da shirin “rdy to rock” na 6 ga Oktoba ba su tabbata ba, kuma taken kololuwar kowane lokaci na Afrilu ana ci gaba da shi.

Sakamakon karatunmu ne na iƙirarin da aka bayyana a kan ainihin farashi, ba ƙimarsa ta kansa ba. Kowace magana rubutun X ne kalma-da-kalma, an haɗa shi a katinsa kuma an sake buga shi gaba ɗaya a cikin tarin bayanan da aka tabbatar. API na X yana rubuta alamun token na BTC da ETH a matsayin “bitcoin:native” da “ethereum:native”, kuma muna ambato su kamar yadda aka dawo da su. Ba mu sanya a jadawali rubutunsa na CoT na mako-mako da na kwararar kuɗin ETF ba (rahotannin bayanai), rubutun da ke da taka-tsantsan (“bull flag possible”), rubutun 3 ga Mayu da ke da sharaɗin cewa mafi ƙasƙanci zai riƙe (bai riƙe ba), ko rubutun Puell Multiple na baya da ya maimaita hasashen tashi na Yuli kuma da ya zama nasara. Daga sabuntawar 20 ga Oktoba mun kuma bar rubutun taka-tsantsan ko na sa ido kan tsari: “4h $BTC FW potential” (17 ga Satumba), “1D $ETH unconfirmed hidden bull div” (8 ga Oktoba) da “$ETH H&S watch” (14 ga Oktoba), tare da jadawalin rabo kamar SOL/BTC da ETH/BTC. Farashin alamomin yini ne na CoinGecko, don haka rubutun da aka yi a cikin yini ana auna shi daga alamar wannan ranar. Katin 6 ga Oktoba an tantance shi daga bayanan bibiyarsa na kansa, “looked*” a ranar, da “well, so much for that, on to the next trade” a ranar 7 ga Oktoba, da kuma daga farashi. Layin “$1,000 in on his call” yana ɗauka an saya a ranar rubutun; ga katunan faɗuwa na 29 ga Mayu da 11 ga Satumba, wannan layin ba short ba ne. Alamomin kusa na iya juyawa.

Hanyoyin samun kuɗi da inda rikicin muradu yake

Rubuce-rubuce da watsa shirye-shiryen Olszewicz kyauta ne. Babban kuɗin shigarsa daga aikinsa ne, kuma shafin hanyoyinsa yana da hanyar zuwa wata kasuwar musaya. Ga abin da muka gano.

Fitattun ra'ayoyi

An kawo maganganun kalma da kalma, a harshensu na asali, daga majiyoyin jama'a; ra'ayoyi ne da aka faɗa, ba shawara ba.

Bidiyo da jawabai

Olszewicz yana watsa shirye-shirye a YouTube (@carpenoctom), a X da a Twitch, kuma yana wallafa kowane shiri a X. Shirin “Broad Market Review” na ranar Juma'a yana magana kan crypto, tattalin arziki da hannayen jari. Watsa shirye-shiryen kwanan nan da muka iya tabbatarwa:

Broad Market Review: Drop It Like Its HotAn watsa a ranar hasashensa na M top.11 Sat 2026Broad Market Review: Breakout ConfirmedBallewar Bitcoin ta Afrilu, kwana uku kafin bidiyon sabon kololuwa.17 Afi 2026Broad Market Review - Home on the Choppy RangeBitcoin ya maƙale a cikin iyakarsa a farkon Afrilu.3 Afi 2026

Tambayoyi da amsoshi

Gwaji: yaya salonku yake kama

Olszewicz yana barin gajimare ya yanke hukunci. Yaya fahimtarka take kusa? Auna ta da gaske da Trader Passport.

Nazari na bayani da ilmantarwa wanda ya dogara kacokan kan kayan da jama'a ke iya samu: rubuce-rubucen X masu kwanan wata da aka ɗauko daga hanyoyin jama'a na X da majiyoyin da aka haɗa a kowane hasashe. Ba shawarar kuɗi ko ta zuba jari ba ne. Alƙaluman kimanin ne kuma suna canzawa koyaushe. Kun ga kuskure, ko kuwa ku ne Josh? Aika gyara →

An tabbatar da asusun · An lissafa majiyoyi a sama · Hanyar tantancewa · An sabunta 20 Oktoba 2026